Member Briefing August 24, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

August Economic Indicators for U.S. Manufacturers

Manufacturing reached its strongest pace in four years in July, with hiring finally joining the expansion, though softness in new orders and nondurable goods signals the recovery remains uneven. Here are the highlights:

  • Manufacturing output rose modestly in July, led by wood products, computer and electronic products, and primary metals, while nondurable industries broadly declined (Federal Reserve)
  • U.S. manufacturing activity surged to a four-year high in July, with production, employment, new orders, and exports all expanding simultaneously (Institute for Supply Management)
  • The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in June, though year-to-date conditions have tightened considerably from the dramatic improvements seen earlier in 2026 (U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)
  • New orders declined for a second consecutive month in June, though deep backlogs and rising inventories point to continued underlying demand (U.S. Census Bureau)
  • Manufacturing added 5,000 jobs in July even as the broader economy shed jobs, with durable goods leading all gains while nondurable goods continued to decline (U.S. Department of Labor)
  • Producer prices were unchanged in July, extending a cooling trend, with the 12-month gain easing to its lowest level since the surge began earlier this year (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)
  • Regional conditions strengthened further in the Northeast, with New York reaching a four-year high, while Richmond held mostly flat and other districts showed mixed signals (Federal Reserve regional surveys)

Read more at Industrynet

Cautious Optimism Over Cutting Tool Orders

U.S. machining operations’ purchases of cutting tools are rising steadily, up to $270.5 million in June 2026, a 12.8% from May and up 31.7% versus June 2025. Since January, U.S. cutting tool shipments have totaled $1.47 billion, a 19.3% increase over the January-June 2025 period. The data is drawn from the monthly Cutting Tool Market Report compiled by AMT the Assn. for Manufacturing Technology together with the U.S. Cutting Tool Institute.

“Through the first six months of 2026, our industry experienced significant double-digit growth,” according to Mike Stokey, president of USCTI and executive vice president and owner of cutting tool manufacturer Allied Machine & Engineering. Stokey maintained that much of the increase in the value of cutting-tool shipments may be attributed to inflation resulting from “skyrocketing” raw material prices, and particularly the cost for tungsten carbide. Bret Tayne, president of cutting tool manufacturer Everede Tool Co., is similarly guarded about the rising value of cutting tool shipments. “The question is how much of these increases can be attributed to price increases driven by rapidly escalating raw material prices, and how much are due to unit volume increases?

Read more at American Machinist

Leading Indicator Index Improves In July, Turning Six-Month Measure Positive.

The U.S. Leading Economic Index increased 0.2% M/M to 99.5 in July from -0.1% in June, beating the +0.1% consensus, according to data released by The Conference Board on Thursday. The June print was revised up from the initial reading of -0.2% July's reading is the fourth increase in the past six months. The LEI's six-month growth rate turned positive — to an increase of 0.2% between January and July 2026 — reversing from its 1.3% contraction in the previous six months.

"Most components were positive in July except consumer expectations. Consumer expectations remained weak, but the drag was more than offset by positive contributions from jobless claims and building permits" said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of Business Cycle Indicators at The Conference Board. "With the most recent gains, the LEI's six-month growth rate turned positive for the first time in more than four years, suggesting moderate growth ahead."

Read more at The Conference Board

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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Jackson Hole Meeting Gives Fed’s Kevin Warsh a Chance to Quell Market Fears

For the first time as leader of the world’s top central bank, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh will offer keynote remarks at the Kansas City Fed’s annual Economic Policy Symposium. The meeting begins on Thursday. With Treasury yields still elevated by sticky inflation and fiscal deficit concerns, he’s under pressure to act more like his predecessors and give clearer guidance of how the Fed might react over the remainder of the year. But with five task forces created by Warsh now reviewing key aspects of the Fed’s inner workings, including one on communications, the chairman may simply reiterate his commitment to price stability and avoid saying how the Fed plans to get there.

According to Bloomberg: “Warsh faces a choice: Should he use the prime-time opportunity to reassure markets the Fed has a plan to bring down inflation – something he didn’t do well at his news conference following the July FOMC meeting? Or should he double down on his crusade to cut forward guidance and withhold any signal about the drivers of monetary policy?” Bloomberg’s Anna Wong, Eliza Winger and Troy Durie expect the latter, “with Warsh focusing more on describing the intellectual framework for his Fed reforms. He’ll likely cite evidence that forward guidance has reduced policy flexibility and muddled market signals.”

 Read more at The Business Standard

‘Ghost Job’ Ads Are Getting So Bad That Lawmakers Want to Ban Them

So-called ghost jobs are a longtime source of frustration and anguish for people slogging through an increasingly anonymous and impersonal job-search process. That anger is now spilling over into state legislatures, where lawmakers around the country are trying to stop them. Legislators in New York and Pennsylvania proposed bills this year that would require employers to list hiring timelines and remove job ads after roles are filled. In Texas, Attorney General Ken Paxton, a Senate candidate, last month opened an investigation into LinkedIn, which he said has advertised and profited from fake job ads.

Some companies post less-than-real ads to build a pipeline for jobs that might open up someday or in case they reel in a dream candidate too good to pass up. On social media and elsewhere, job seekers theorize about other reasons: Some think employers are posting fake roles to convince investors and employees that they are healthy and growing, or to harvest data. The practice is growing as it becomes faster, cheaper and easier for employers to post jobs online. Around 19% of jobs advertised on digital job boards in the second quarter were ghost jobs, according to Greenhouse, a hiring platform that examined its clients’ job postings. That included any posting that received at least one application but led to no hiring activity such as job-test submissions or scheduled interviews.

Read more at The WSJ

There’s No Shortcut To Replenish US Munitions Stockpiles

As the U.S. military’s critical munitions are overused in the Iran war and underproduced at home, companies are eagerly pitching new low-cost solutions, and the Pentagon is keen to make big deals. But defense experts say those new, cheaper missile options—and the push to rapidly produce existing weapons—aren’t the short-term fix needed to overcome the long-existing problem exacerbated by the Iran war. However, they will provide the military much-needed options in the future.

“The push for low-cost munitions is unlikely to have a material effect on the Iran War—at least not anytime soon,” said Becca Wasser, Bloomberg Economics’s defense lead. And, she said, making enough new weapons, at the right cost, is only part of the problem. “Getting to a lower cost for exquisite munitions will take time. It requires developing new weapons or adapting old ones, which means going through new testing and evaluation processes,” she said. “If the Iran war drags on for years, that’s when the drive for lower cost interceptors and munitions could have an impact,” because “wars of attrition require enormous amounts of material—and the lower price tag helps.”

Read more at Defense One

November Election Headlines

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A Celebrity Death and a Murder Trial Shine Light on Postpartum Mental Health

When Hayden Panettiere died on Sunday, at age 36, there was an outpouring of love from fans who’d followed her career and personal struggles over the years, including alcoholism and postpartum depression. Attention to the actress’s story comes amid the ongoing, televised trial of Lindsay Clancy. The trial centers on whether Clancy is criminally responsible for killing her three young children in January 2023. Prosecutors argued the murders were premeditated, while her defense contended she had been suffering from postpartum psychosis and depression, and that she wasn’t properly treated or diagnosed by care providers.

The two women have thrust the topic of maternal mental health into the spotlight—illuminating medical conditions that often get overlooked and undertreated. Mothers on social media have begun sharing stories about their own postpartum mental-health struggles. Postpartum depression occurs in 1 out of 10 women, and postpartum psychosis impacts mothers in 1 or 2 of every 1,000 births. Postpartum depression is longer-lasting than “baby blues,” a common emotional state after birth that subsides within a couple of weeks. Some might experience depression as anger, crying often, or feeling guilty, numb or hopeless. Postpartum psychosis is characterized by losing touch with reality, including having delusions, hallucinations or paranoia.

Read more at The WSJ 

Upcoming Council Programs

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Trade Wars

GM Ruled U.S. Auto Sales for 100 Years. Now Toyota Is Closing In.

Twenty years ago, GM sold twice as many cars and trucks in the U.S. as Toyota. Today that lead has dwindled to just over 100,000 vehicles through July. Toyota is quickly closing the sales gap with GM, threatening to end the American auto giant’s nearly 100-year reign atop the U.S. auto market. Even as the entire new-car market shrinks, GM stands out for selling fewer vehicles, following a strategic decision to kill off traditional sedans and hold the line on profits rather than chase volume with deals and discounts. The result is that the company is making more money and winning over Wall Street.

Toyota, meanwhile, is pumping out a string of new models, capitalizing on surging demand for hybrids, and investing billions to expand American production in places like Texas and Kentucky—pivots that come as the company faces more stagnant car markets abroad. The company—the world’s largest automaker by sales—is roughly twice as profitable as GM and recently raised its annual earnings forecast, saying it will benefit from a weaker yen and smaller impact from the Iran war. Both automakers say that market share is only one metric when it comes to how they measure success. A GM spokesman said it also has vehicles in short supply that have constrained sales. Both Toyota and GM have each sold about 1.5 million vehicles this year.

Read more at The WSJ

CACI Opens Defense Electronics Manufacturing COE in New York

CACI International recently held a ribbon cutting ceremony to mark the opening of its Manufacturing Center of Excellence for Defense Electronics in the Greater Rochester, New York, area, expanding the company’s manufacturing footprint and long-term investment in the region. The company said last weed the 61,000-square-foot facility increases its manufacturing space by more than 300 percent.

The facility is intended to support production, delivery, training, customer acceptance testing and onsite storage for CACI’s Terrestrial Layer System Brigade Combat Team Manpack, or TLS BCT Manpack, program with the U.S. Army. TLS BCT Manpack is CACI’s electronic warfare technology for dismounted soldiers, designed to support operations in the electromagnetic battlespace. The company said the center provides room for expansion to produce additional software-defined electronic warfare capabilities at scale. The facility’s work supports dozens of manufacturing and fabrication small business suppliers across upstate New York.

Read more at Executive Biz

Siemens PLCs Targeted by Cybercriminals

The National Security Agency (NSA), Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), Department of Energy, Environmental Protection Agency and the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Agency (CISA) announced on Wednesday that threat actors using AI-generated code targeted Siemens S7 Series programmable logic controller (PLCs). In plainer English… Cybercriminals are using AI to attack a piece of hardware that very well might be running on your shop floor.

According to BleepingComputer, these AI-generated attack tools are designed to mimic legitimate monitoring software for Siemens S7 series PLC devices. The custom attack tools constantly monitor the PLCs looking for vulnerabilities and possibly preparing threat actors to launch the attacks that could steal data, shut down equipment on the floor or otherwise interrupt normal operations. The targeted PLCs include the S7-200, S7-300, S7-400, S7-1200 and S7-1500 models. According to CISA, top mitigation strategies include inventorying all Siemens PLCs, applying security patches, making sure PLCs cannot access the internet, and monitoring for unauthorized activity or anomalies that may indicate compromised security.

Read more at IndustryWeek

Robot Boxing, Football And Sprinting At World Humanoid Games

Chinese humanoid robots broke records set by humans, including beating Usain Bolt’s 100-meter sprint world record, on the opening day of the Olympics-like World Humanoid Robot Games in Beijing on Saturday. More than 2,000 humanoid robots were participating in the event, the organizer said. The five-day games, now in its second year, are a spectacle demonstrating China’s rapid progress in advanced robotics as the technology race with the U.S. heats up, with 51 events and more than 1,000 competitions taking place including running, table tennis and soccer.

At Saturday’s opening of the robot games, the organizer and robot makers said that Chinese humanoid robots defeated human world records, as hundreds of humanoid robots marched in formation onto the field in a massive display of synchronized coordination. This year’s robot games — which the organizer said has 16 countries participating, among them Germany, Japan and the U.S. — also include other events such as weightlifting and tug of war.

Read more, watch at BBC

Micron Adds $10B Memory Lab To Its Idaho Expansion Plans

Micron is building on its Idaho fab investment plans with Micron Research Labs, which will focus on critical memory technologies, advanced memory and compute architectures, packaging, future semiconductor manufacturing and other key areas, the company said in a news release. Billed as the first dedicated memory research hub of its kind in the United States, the Boise-based facility will fund “extensive university collaborations, global satellite labs and deep ecosystem partnerships,” creating a research network focused on advanced AI technologies.

The lab will be connected to Micron’s research and technology footprint across the U.S., Europe, Japan, India, Singapore and Taiwan. Micron expects to break ground in 2027. Micron’s new Boise research hub will “look beyond a 10-year horizon while helping build the next generation of memory researchers and technology leaders,” the company said.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Deere Lifts Sales Guidance, Bolstered By Data Center Construction

Deere posted higher profit and sales in its fiscal third quarter, as continued growth in the company’s construction equipment business helped to offset ongoing weakness in its production agriculture segment. The company posted a profit of $1.38 billion for its three months ended Aug. 2, compared with $1.29 billion in last year’s comparable period. On a per-share basis, quarterly earnings of $5.10 a share topped the $4.69 a share that analysts polled by FactSet expected.

Net sales and revenues climbed 6.2% to $11 billion, ahead of Wall Street models for $10.81 billion. The total top-line figure came in at $12.61 billion. Sales across the company’s production and precision agriculture division—its largest business unit—came in at $4 billion, down 6.4% from a year ago. The company attributed the decrease primarily to lower shipment volumes. Deere raised the low-end of its net income outlook to $4.75 billion from $5.0 billion, while maintaining the high end at $5 billion.

Read more at the WSJ

Port Of Los Angeles Preps For Cargo Bump As Shippers Navigate Global Risks

The Port of Los Angeles is planning for a 5% year over year uptick in cargo volumes, in the next six to eight months, as conflict in the Red Sea persists and draft restrictions from the Panama Canal have begun, Executive Director Gene Seroka said during a media briefing on Tuesday. While Seroka said the uptick in volume is not a promise, he said the port is prepping though conversations with the Harbor Trucking Association, marine terminal operators, shipping lines and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union.

Due to the ongoing concerns at the Suez Canal and the Panama Canal, “more cargo is going to be flowing through the West Coast ports and primarily here to southern California,” Seroka said. He added that “seeing different routes, like ones through the West Coast, can not only cut down on transit time, but also the cost associated with shipping those goods.”

Read more at Supply Chain Dive

Airbus Targets A350F Maiden Flight In September, Sources Say

 ​Airbus has tentatively set the first flight of its delayed A350F freighter ​for ‌late September as it tries to loosen Boeing's grip on airborne trade, ⁠industry sources said on Tuesday. The schedule, which ⁠could slip into early ​October, leaves the European planemaker with a finely balanced certification timeline as it aims to complete flight testing and achieve the first delivery ​to ‌customers before the end of next year. Flight trials usually take 12 to 15 months, industry sources say.

Originally launched in 2021 with ​a goal of entering service four years later, the dedicated freighter version of ‌Airbus's A350 long-haul jet family aims to penetrate a corner of the aircraft market long dominated by Boeing. Airbus has sold 107 of ⁠the lightweight ⁠composite A350F cargo planes, compared with 38 ‌of a smaller and older A330F model. Reuters reported in May that Airbus ​was facing ​delays in cargo doors built by Airbus in ‌Spain for the new freighter.

Read more at London South East

U.S. Refiners Capitalize as Buyers Vie for Shrinking Diesel Supply

Diesel buyers are competing for shrinking supply amid disruptions in Russia and the Middle East, with the U.S. at the center of a scramble that could intensify into the winter. The squeeze across the global refined-product markets, where gasoline, diesel and jet fuel compete for the same refinery capacity, is pushing prices higher. The margin, or crack spread between the price of West Texas Intermediate crude and diesel futures hit $101.86 last week, the first time the margin has hit triple digits. The average on-highway price for a gallon of diesel, meanwhile, rose about 20 cents to $5.45 in the week ending Monday, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

 American refiners are capitalizing on the extraordinary refining margins, sending more fuel into international markets: Exports of distillate fuel—including diesel and heating oil—rose to 1.9 million barrels a day in the first week of August, the highest weekly number on record. The surge is helping fill the global supply gap, but leaves the domestic market with a thinner cushion, with inventories at their lowest level for this time of year in three decades.

Read more at The WSJ

Daily Market Update Aug 21, 2026

The September ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.04 at $2.78. The September ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.27 at $87.01. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

"When you're in the day-to-day grind, it just seems like it's another step along the way. But I find joy in the actual process, the journey, the work. It's not the end. It's not the end event."

Cal Ripken, Jr. - American Hall of Fame Baseball Player who was born on this day in 1960.

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