Member Briefing November 26, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

PPI = 2.9: Core Wholesale Prices Rose Less Than Expected In September

Core wholesale prices rose less than expected in September, indicating a potential cooling in pipeline inflation pressures, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. The producer price index increased a seasonally adjusted 0.3% on the month, in line with the Dow Jones consensus estimate. However, excluding food and energy, the index rose just 0.1%, below the 0.2% estimate. Both core and headline PPI had decreased 0.1% in August. Headline PPI was up 2.9% from a year ago, while core rose 2.6%.

Final-demand energy prices jumped 3.5% for the month, while food rose 1.1%. Of the energy increase, much of that was tied to an 11.8% surge in gasoline. On the services side, transportation and warehousing prices rose 0.8%, while airline passenger fees surged 4%. The September PPI release, like most other major official data points, was delayed due to the government shutdown. The BLS may not release October PPI data, as it already has canceled the October consumer price index report.

Read more at CNBC

Conference Board: Consumer Confidence Hits Lowest Point Since April As Job Worries Grow

Consumers soured on the current economy and their prospects for the future, with worries growing over the ability to find a job, according to a Conference Board survey released Tuesday. The board’s Consumer Confidence Index for November slumped to 88.7, a drop of 6.8 points from the prior month for its lowest reading since April. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were looking for a reading of 93.2. In addition, the expectations index tumbled 8.6 points to 63.2 while the present situation index slipped to 126.9, a decline of 4.3 points.

Among demographic groups, confidence continued to improve for consumers under 35 years old, but confidence for consumers age 35 and older dipped, with respondents 55 and over remaining the most downbeat this year. By income, confidence fell for nearly all cohorts after several months of increasing confidence for most groups. Consumers earning less than $15K was the only income bracket in which confidence improved in November but remained the least optimistic among all income groups. Confidence fell among consumers of all political stripes, with the sharpest retreat among independent voters.

Read more at PR Wire

Retail Sales Rose Less Than Expected in September

Purchases at stores, restaurants and online increased a seasonally adjusted 0.2% in September from the prior month, the Commerce Department said Tuesday. That was below the 0.3% increase economists had expected, and marked a cooling from the 0.6% increase clocked in August. However, sales excluding autos rose 0.3%, in line with the estimate. September’s retail sales report suggested consumers closed out the summer months on a weaker footing.

Consumers reined in spending in a number of key categories, including vehicles, electronics, clothing, sporting goods and at online retailers. Still, spending at bars and restaurants, an indicator of discretionary spending, rose a solid 0.7%, and spending at personal care and grocery stores also rose. Miscellaneous retailers saw a 2.9% increase on the month, while gas stations, owing to the higher prices, increased 2%. Sporting goods, hobby and music stores saw a 2.5% decline while online sales were off 0.7%.

Read more at Wells Fargo

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Take the NYS Department of Labor Employers Survey.

This will be the fifth year in which The Business Council has teamed up with the New York State Department of Labor, Empire State Development, and now the State University of New York, to survey thousands of businesses on their real-time needs and challenges in the workforce. Results from this survey will be used to address regional workforce and business needs and develop a strategy that will shape future workforce development practices and policies for education and training providers across New York State. First conducted during the pandemic year of 2020 the surveys has provided valuable insights from thousands of businesses from every region and industry statewide. Your input helps the NYSDOL respond to the evolving needs of businesses, the workforce, and the economy. Council members are encouraged to take the survey.

The Business Survey will ask employers about what they are experiencing in the economy and their use of emerging technology, including artificial intelligence, to gain greater insight into their needs. The survey results will be shared with leaders in education, workforce development, business associations, training providers and much more.

Take the survey here

NDAA Vote, Appropriations Progress Expected After Break

Congress is expected to vote on the National Defense Authorization Act in early December, aiming for a compromise between the House and Senate versions. A significant issue in the NDAA negotiations is the potential preemption of state AI regulation. Meanwhile, the continuing resolution has funded three appropriations bills, leaving nine outstanding. Lawmakers are considering bundling the defense and Labor-HHS-Education bills.

The big thing that’s been introduced to the debate on the NDAA has been whether or not to preempt state AI regulation using language in this bill. That was something that had come up in the summer around the reconciliation or the one big, beautiful bill act where they had inserted it in the house, took it out in the Senate and it’s come back as an issue and would talk around maybe a draft executive order on AI policy or some sort of legislative language to address that.

Read more at Federal News Network

Senate Republicans Pitch Spending Cuts In Energy And Water Appropriations Bill

Senate Republicans are floating spending cuts for energy and water in an appropriations bill released on Monday. The legislation, which funds the Energy Department and various water programs across the government, would represent a 1.1 percent cut overall. It would increase defense spending by 3 percent and non-defense spending by 6.5 percent. Among the cuts in the bill are a 5 percent reduction to the Energy Department’s office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, which the department has recently decided to rename as the Office of Critical Minerals and Energy Innovation.

“The FY 2026 Energy and Water Development Appropriations bill is a responsible step toward cutting bloated spending while bolstering America’s defense and energy infrastructures. It reflects a good-faith effort to live within our means without shortchanging the American people,” Sen. John Kennedy (R-La.) said.

Read more at The Hill

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Adolescence Lasts Into 30s - New Study Shows Four Pivotal Ages For Your Brain

Neuroscientists at the University of Cambridge have identified five “major epochs” of brain structure over the course of a human life, as our brains rewire to support different ways of thinking while we grow, mature, and ultimately decline.  A study led by Cambridge’s MRC Cognition and Brain Sciences Unit compared the brains of 3,802 people between zero and ninety years old using datasets of MRI diffusion scans, which map neural connections by tracking how water molecules move through brain tissue. “These eras provide important context for what our brains might be best at, or more vulnerable to, at different stages of our lives. It could help us understand why some brains develop differently at key points in life, whether it be learning difficulties in childhood, or dementia in our later years.”

Childhood brain “topology” runs from birth until a turning point at the age of nine, when it transitions to the adolescent phase – an era that lasts right up to the age of 32, on average. Our early thirties see the brain’s neural wiring shift into adult mode. This is the longest era, which lasts over three decades. A third turning point around age 66 marks the start of an “early ageing” phase of brain architecture. Finally, the “late ageing” brain takes shape at around 83 years old.

Read more at the University of Cambridge

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast - Friday May 8, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00. The DoubleTree Poughkeepsie.

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

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Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Winter Session, Virtual. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (15 half day sessions) January 6 - March 11 Via Zoom.

Lean Six Sigma Green Belt This program combines online coursework, with live Zoom sessions, to deliver a flexible and effective learning experience in Lean Six Sigma methodologies. Most Mondays March 2 - June 8 Via Zoom.

(Special Info session for those who are 'Green Belt curious' February 23rd)

Robots and AI Are Already Remaking the Chinese Economy

Sam Altman wants artificial intelligence to cure cancer. Elon Musk says AI robots will eliminate poverty. China is focused on something more prosaic: making better washing machines. While China’s long-term AI goals are no less ambitious than the U.S. tech titans, its near-term priority is to shore up its role as the world’s factory floor for decades to come. With exports under threat from rising costs at home and tariffs abroad, that is no longer assured. The push can be seen across the giant country in scores of companies—fueled by billions of dollars in government and private technology development—that are transforming every step of making and exporting goods.

Executives involved in China’s efforts liken the future of factories to living organisms that can increasingly think and act for themselves, moving beyond the preprogrammed tasks at traditionally-automated factories. It could further enable the spread of “dark factories,” with operations so automated that work happens around the clock with the lights dimmed. China installed 295,000 industrial robots last year, nearly nine times as many as the U.S. and more than the rest of the world combined, according to the International Federation of Robotics. China’s stock of operational robots surpassed two million in 2024, the most of any country.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Rockwell Automation To Build Wisconsin Factory As Part Of $2B US Expansion

Rockwell Automation said it plans to build a factory equipped with advanced automation, robotics and digital systems in Wisconsin as part of a larger $2 billion bid to strengthen its U.S. operations. The facility has the potential to be Rockwell’s largest manufacturing campus with more than 1 million square feet of production and warehouse space. A company spokesperson declined to say what exactly would be manufactured there.

Construction and site planning are underway with local and state officials. The Milwaukee-based company said the factory will be near its headquarters. Job creation and cost details were not disclosed in the company’s news release. The new factory would add to Rockwell’s manufacturing footprint that spans 10 facilities worldwide, according to the company’s latest annual report. These operations are primarily located in the U.S., Mexico, Poland, India, Canada and Singapore.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Japan's Rapidus To Build Cutting-Edge 1.4-nm Chip Plant In Race With TSMC

Rapidus, Japan’s homegrown challenger to Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), has announced that it will start building its next-generation 1.4-nanometer fab in fiscal year 2027, with production expected to commence in Hokkaido in 2029. According to Nikkei Asia, this move is expected to help the Japanese chipmaker close the gap with the Taiwanese chip-making giant, which has already revealed its 1.4-nm technology earlier this year. The company also said that it will begin full-scale research and development on the node starting next year.

The company is backed by several Japanese companies, including giants such as Toyota and Sony, as well as private financing institutions. Aside from this, the Japanese government has also invested heavily in the startup through subsidies and direct fiscal support. Rapidus has already received a commitment of JPY 1.7 trillion, or more than US$10 billion, with several hundred billion Yen expected to be infused into the company in the coming months.Despite these massive inflows, Rapidus is still facing an uphill battle as it competes with established fabs like TSMC, Samsung, and Intel.

Read more at Tom’s Hardware

GE Aero Expanding for Jet Engine Demand

GE Aerospace is beginning a three-year project to expand its West Jefferson, N.C., aircraft engine parts operation by more than 35,000 sq. ft to meet rising demand for engines to power narrow-body aircraft. The nearly $53-million investment will also cover the cost of new equipment, and result in 40 new jobs there. Among the personnel roles GE will be filling are apprentice machinists and inspectors, as well as engineers.

The same plant is among those listed by GE Aerospace in March when it outlined 2025 projects valued at nearly $1 billion for its U.S. manufacturing operations. The $13-million program announced earlier this year was directed at increasing production of engine components for narrow- and wide-body commercial jets, as well as military aircraft. New manufacturing equipment identified with that investment includes precision machines, 3D printers, and other specialized capabilities.

Read more at American Machinist

Tyson To Shutter Major Beef Plant In Nebraska Amid US Cattle Shortage

Tyson Foods is closing one of its largest beef processing plants and laying off more than 3,200 workers as U.S. cattle shortages pressure operations for major meatpackers. The meat giant disclosed in a statement it would end operations at its meatpacking facility in Lexington, Nebraska. It will also lower production at its Amarillo, Texas, beef facility to a single, full-capacity shift.

Tyson said the move was necessary to “right size its beef business and position it for long-term success.” It will increase production at other beef facilities to meet customer demand and offset volume losses from the closed plant. While Tyson’s beef sales have risen due to rising prices, executives acknowledged to investors earlier this month that higher cattle costs outpaced the higher sales. To address those challenges, the company plans on “prioritizing efficiency, reducing cost and introducing innovative products,” according to CEO Donnie King.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Maersk To Return To Red Sea Route As Soon As Conditions Allow, CEO Says

Shipping group Maersk (MAERSKb.CO), opens new tab will take steps to resume navigation through the Red Sea via the Suez Canal as soon as conditions allow, CEO Vincent Clerc said on Tuesday. The Suez Canal Authority said in a statement that Maersk container ships will resume transit via the canal on a partial basis from the beginning of December prior to a full return but a Maersk spokesperson said the company had not set a date.

The potential return of Maersk to the Suez Canal could ripple through the shipping sector, where freight rates have been supported by the route being snarled by regional conflict and attacks on commercial shipping in the Red Sea. Maersk began diverting vessels away from the Gulf of Aden and Red Sea towards the southern tip of Africa in January 2024 after an attack on one of its ships by Yemen's Houthi militants, who attacked ships in solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza.

Read more at Reuters

Front-Line Workers Are More Difficult To Find, Train And Retain, Study Says

Front-line workers make up 70% of the U.S. workforce, but they are increasingly difficult to find, train and retain, according to an analysis by HR advisory firm The Josh Bersin Co. in collaboration with UKG. Three-quarters of front-line workers feel burned out, and 51% say they “feel like a number, not a person,” fueling their sense of feeling overworked, underappreciated and disconnected, the Nov. 5 report found.

Additionally, employers are increasingly realizing that essential workers — including those in logistics, healthcare and leisure — cannot be hired or replaced with ease due to various economic pressures, the report said. The report urged CHROs to embrace and prioritize the needs of front-line workers and consider revisiting HR systems traditionally designed for office-based staff. For example, by standardizing its workforce management processes, a major hotel chain enabled front-line workers to share and trade shifts easily, Josh Bersin said.

Read more at Supply Chain Dive

EIA Outlook: Prices, Production, and Trends

The US Energy Information Administration’s November Short-Term Energy Outlook signals a notable shift in global energy dynamics. Renewables, led by solar and wind, continue their upward trajectory, projected to account for 26% of U.S. electricity generation by 2026, underscoring the sector’s long-term transition. EIA expects U.S. electricity demand to grow by 2.4% in 2025 and 2.6% in 2026, led by growth in the West South Central region as electricity demand from data centers and cryptocurrency mining facilities increases in that region—particularly in Texas.

Brent crude is projected to average $69 per barrel in 2025, falling to $55 by 2026, as global inventories swell and supply growth outpaces demand. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil output is expected to hold at 13.6 million barrels per day, reinforcing America’s position as a leading producer. Natural gas tells a different story: Henry Hub prices are forecast to rise from $3.50/MMBtu in 2025 to $4.00/MMBtu in 2026, driven by winter heating demand and steady LNG export growth.

Read more at The EIA

Thanksgiving Air Travel Plans Cut By US Government Shutdown

A record number of Americans had been expected to fly during Thanksgiving, but a 43-day government shutdown dampened demand for one of the year's busiest travel seasons. Many skittish travelers rethought their plans as cancellations and delays mounted while the shutdown wore on. Some airlines, however, still anticipate record travel as consumers regain confidence after the shutdown and book flights at the last minute.

About 6 million U.S. travelers were expected to take domestic flights during the holiday, up 2% from 2024, according to the AAA. But bookings slowed after the shutdown hit the one-month mark. The steepest drop came during the final week when the Federal Aviation Administration ordered flight cuts at 40 major airports. As of November 24, flight bookings for the five-day holiday period were down 4.48% from a year ago, according to data from aviation analytics firm Cirium. Bookings were up 1.56% on October 31, but have steadily declined.

Read more at Reuters

Quote of the Day

"...Someday, somewhere

We'll find a new way of living,

We'll find a way of forgiving,

Somewhere.

There's a place for us,

A time and place for us.

Hold my hand and we're halfway there

Hold my hand and I'll take you there,

Somehow, someday, somewhere...."

Stephen Sondheim - American Composer and Lyricist from the song 'Somewhere' in his 1957 Broadway Musical 'West Side Story.' He died on this day in 2021.

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