Member Briefing October 15, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

CPI = 3.7% - Inflation Higher Than Expected In September As Gas Prices Skyrocket

The consumer price index, a broad measure of goods and services costs across the U.S. economy, rose a seasonally adjusted 0.6% for the month, putting the 12-month rate at 3.7%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Wednesday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expected respective gains of 0.6% and 3.6%. Stripping out volatile food and energy costs, the so-called core CPI rose 0.3% for the month and was up 2.6% on an annual basis, compared with respective estimates for 0.2% and 2.5%. The annual rate for headline inflation was 3.4% in August while the core rate was 2.4%.

  • Gasoline prices soared 9.1%, accounting for about half the gain in headline CPI, according to the BLS. Over the past year, gas has posted a 34.2% rise while fuel oil has roared higher by 74.2%.
  • Food prices were flat on the month and up 2.5% from a year ago.
  • Shelter prices increased 0.4%.
  • used car and truck prices jumped 0.7%.
  • Apparel prices, which are sensitive to tariffs, increased 0.3% and are up 3.4% on an annual basis.

Read more at CNBC

GlobalFoundries Building $21B New York Fabs Under US-Japan Trade Deal

GlobalFoundries plans to build two chip plants in New York using up to $20 billion in funding from Japan and money from the CHIPS Act as the U.S. Commerce Department plans to take a 4% stake in the company. The chip manufacturer said Wednesday that Japan would provide about $10 billion as an investment for each fab, which it said was enabled by President Trump’s trade-and-investment agreement with the country. As part of a trade deal reached last year, Japan agreed to invest $550 billion in projects across strategic U.S. industries, including energy, semiconductor manufacturing and shipbuilding.

Under the plans, Japan would make an initial investment of about $10 billion for the first fab, which GlobalFoundries expects to break ground on later this year. An additional investment of about $10 billion would fund a second fab. Both facilities would be at GlobalFoundries’ site in Malta, N.Y., where the company is based. The company said the fabs aim to grow U.S. manufacturing capacity and meet rising demand across the automotive, industrial and connected infrastructure markets. Each fab is expected to add about 900,000 300-millimeter wafers annually when fully operational, and the first fab is expected to come online in 2029.

Read more at The WSJ

Thousands Of Manufacturing Layoffs Announced In September

During September, multiple manufacturing companies in the U.S. sent notices to state governments about job cuts and closures, many of which are set to begin this fall and throughout the first half of 2027. The manufacturing industry added 9,000 jobs in September, a 40% drop from August, according to U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Oct. 2. Meanwhile, manufacturing the number of unemployed manufacturing workers decreased by nearly 26% to 423,000 n September, compared to 571,000 a year ago.

Avid Medical, Bristol Myers Squibb, Dreyer’s, MasterBrand Cabinets, Wonder Group and Carry-On Trailer were among dozens of companies that announced facility closures or changes last month. The list comprises notices state governments posted or received throughout the month. Not included are company WARN Act updates. Wonder Group’s 533 people were the most on the list.

Read more and see the complete list at Manufacturing Dive

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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Social Security Administration Announces 3.6% Cost-Of-Living Adjustment For 2027

The Social Security Administration’s announcement Wednesday of the 2027 COLA amount follows the Bureau of Labor Statistics‘ release of the September Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W). About 76 million Americans, including retirees and individuals with disabilities, receive an annual COLA added to their Social Security benefits.

It’s a larger adjustment than what retirees and beneficiaries saw for 2026. Most annuitants received a 2.8% COLA this past January. It’s also slightly higher than the Senior Citizens League’s projection of a 3.5% COLA, but on par with AARP’s forecast of a 3.6% adjustment. The annual COLA is meant to keep federal retirees’ and Social Security recipients’ benefits on pace with rising inflation. But not every beneficiary receives the same amount.

Read more at Federal News Network

NY Gov. Kathy Hochul, Bruce Blakeman Spar Over Immigration, Cost Of Living In Debate

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman sparred over immigration policy, President Donald Trump and who deserves blame for the rising cost of living during a 60-minute debate Tuesday night. Both candidates repeatedly fell back on their campaign talking points during their 60-minute debate at Spectrum News NY1’s studios above Chelsea Market. The debate seemed to lack any major gaffes or viral moments that could meaningfully shift the race.

Hochul, the incumbent Democrat, touted her record in office while bringing up Blakeman’s support for Trump no fewer than 10 times, a move she hopes will resonate in a state where polls show most voters have a low opinion of the Republican president. Blakeman, the Nassau County executive, repeatedly blamed Hochul for rising gas and electric bills across the state. He said Hochul had made the state less safe through New York’s sanctuary policies for migrants.

Read more at The Gothamist

Pentagon, SBA Sign Agreement Expanding Capital Access For Defense Industrial Base

The Pentagon and the Small Business Administration (SBA) signed a new agreement on Monday that will expand access to strategic capital for small businesses in the U.S. defense industrial base. The agreement is building on the Smaller War Plants Commission (SWPC), which was announced in late August, and will aid suppliers, innovators and manufacturers in gaining access to more capital to strengthen domestic supply chains and expand production.

The agreement aligns the Pentagon’s Economic Defense Unit (EDU) with the SBA Office of Investment and Innovation and Office of Capital Access. The EDU will identify firms with financing needs through its Business Operators for National Defense efforts and refer potential companies to SBA, which will leverage its existing lender networks to help connect those firms with SBA-backed funds. The agreement also will allow SBA to back EDU’s investments in small and medium-sized businesses that work on restoring and expanding the industrial capacity necessary for national security, including essential materials, mining of strategic and critical metals and minerals and munitions.

Read more at the Hill

November Election Headlines

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Why Fertility Doctors Are Addressing Men’s Mental Health

Fertility doctors have long recognized the emotional and physical toll of fertility treatment on female patients as they endure the effects of hormone medications, egg retrieval surgeries, and embryo transfers. Yet recently, the field is paying more attention to the male partner’s role—not only as a contributor of half a child’s DNA, but also as a hopeful future parent with his own complex emotions who can influence the success of IVF.

In a July 2025 study of 718 men visiting a fertility clinic, researchers at Harvard Medical School found those who reported the highest levels of psychological stress were more likely to have a lower sperm count, with a higher percentage of the sperm showing abnormal shapes and DNA damage. Another study published in September 2025 found poor sperm motility in men in China experiencing depression, anxiety, and stress. As such, doctors and psychologists are experimenting with new mental health interventions—from offering empathy training for health care workers to finding creative ways to include men in counseling—at a time when an estimated one in six people are struggling to conceive.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Annual Luncheon and Expo - Friday November 20, 11:00 AM - 2:00 PM. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

The Orange County Foreign Trade Zone (FTZ): Duty Elimination, Reduction Deferral - Presented by Steve Gross, Orange County Economic Development

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Effective Business Communication, (A CML Course) October 21, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Making a Profit in Manufacturing, (A CML Course) October 28, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Lean Overview and Simulation, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Risk Management: Enviroment Health and Safety, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Strategies for Motivation, Coaching and Managing Difficult People, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Trade Wars

China’s Trade Surplus Hits $938 Billion For Jan-Sep

China's trade surplus widened more than expected in September as exports surged, keeping the country on track to ​surpass last year's record surplus and likely intensifying trade tensions with major partners. Global demand for semiconductors and green-tech products has helped keep China's ‌factories humming, easing pressure on policymakers to shore up economic growth against subdued domestic demand and investment. China's trade surplus topped $1 trillion in ​November last year and posted a record $1.189 trillion for the whole year.

Exports soared 36.3% from a year earlier, outstripping August's 25.0% rise and far exceeding expectations for 25.5% growth, customs data showed on Wednesday. September's growth was the fastest since February when exports expanded 39.6%. Imports also remained robust, up 31.0% compared with 28.2% growth in August and economists' forecasts of a ​24.5% gain. With the ​global build-out of AI infrastructure showing little ⁠sign of slowing, analysts expect demand for Chinese-made technology products, including semiconductors, to remain robust.

Read more at Reuters

United Auto Workers Chief Re-Elected, Now Faces Tough Negotiations And US Probe

United Auto Workers President Shawn Fain’s re-election last week was a breeze. His second term leading the 400,000-member ​labor group might not be as easy. Fain became a labor-movement celebrity in 2023, when he took over the UAW and ‌won record contracts after staging multi-week strikes against General Motors, Ford Motor, and Chrysler-parent Stellantis. His next four-year term presents tough challenges. The Detroit Three will be focused on cutting costs in the next round of contract talks, labor experts said. Faced with higher costs from President Donald Trump's tariffs and elevated commodity prices, ⁠the Detroit automakers want to cut labor costs to compete with low-cost Chinese automakers grabbing market share in Europe, Latin America and other regions.

Fain also is the subject of a federal investigation centered on allegations of nepotism, and he has ​had an increasingly frayed relationship with the federal monitor overseeing UAW activities. Since summer, tensions have ‌escalated between ⁠Fain and Neil Barofsky, a New York attorney the US government appointed to oversee the UAW. The Department of Justice has launched an investigation into allegations that Fain took actions to benefit his fiancée and retaliated against top union officers.

Read more a Reuters

TSMC Posts Record Profit For A Sixth Straight Quarter, Beating Estimates On AI Boom

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported a record third-quarter profit that beat estimates, powered by an unrelenting global appetite for AI chips. TSMC’s third-quarter revenue was 1.49 trillion new Taiwan dollars ($46.36 billion) vs. NT$1.47 trillion expected and net Income was NT$763.1 billion vs. NT$746.34 billion expected. The world’s largest contract chipmaker posted a record net profit for a sixth straight quarter, reporting 68.7% surge in the reported quarter from a year earlier.

TSMC forecast fourth-quarter revenue between $52.3 billion and $54.3 billion, representing a 14% sequential increase and a 58% jump from a year earlier at the midpoint of its guidance range, according to the company’s earnings call. The chipmaker expects its capital expenditure from 2026 to 2028 to be significantly higher than in the previous three years, as it continues to ramp up investments to support growing customer demand.

Read more at CNBC

Behind OpenAI’s First Chip

To satisfy its insatiable appetite for computing power, OpenAI decided to build its own hardware. Two years later, the firm announced its first semiconductor, an inference chip named Jalapeño. In June, OpenAI said it plans to start putting them into data centers by the end of the year.

In an interview with Forbes, VP of hardware Richard Ho says the move to build a chip is about “owning the full stack of that infrastructure”—even if that puts them in friendly competition with semiconductor giant Nvidia.

Read more at Forbes

Honda Plans 15 Next-Generation Hybrids By 2030

Honda will differentiate its next-generation hybrid system, which is set to be introduced globally in 2027, with the Honda Hybrid name, the automaker revealed in an Oct. 9 press release. In support of its new product roadmap favoring hybrids over EVs, Honda is planning to launch 15 next-generation Honda Hybrid models globally through March 2030, primarily in North America. Honda Hybrid will offer “a newly-developed electric all-wheel-drive system,” according to the automaker, and will be built on a new platform offering reduced weight and better roadholding.

Honda Hybrid is “based on the technologies amassed through the development of e:HEV, the original Honda two-motor hybrid system,” according to Honda, but it adds “a newly-developed electric all-wheel-drive system.” Honda’s current two-motor hybrid system operates as a series hybrid most of the time, using the gas engine primarily as a generator, although the engine is coupled to the drive wheels during light highway cruising to improve fuel economy. Based on technology Honda has already previewed, it’s likely that Honda Hybrid will add a third motor at the rear wheels for AWD models.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

GSK to Invest $800M In Pennsylvania Expansion

Biopharmaceutical manufacturer GSK will invest more than $800 million to expand its operations in Upper Merion Township, Pennsylvania, Gov. Josh Shapiro and the state’s economic development agency announced last week. London-based GSK plans to establish a biopharmaceutical and manufacturing hub with its latest investment, housing production, research and development and advanced digital capabilities at a single site. The expansion is expected to create more than 300 jobs over the next five years.

As part of the project, GSK said it will demolish existing buildings to make way for “new and enhanced facilities,” including a quality control lab and pilot plant for technology and process development. Construction is scheduled to begin next year. This is GSK’s second Pennsylvania investment in the past two years. The company pledged $800 million to increase its manufacturing and R&D footprint in Lancaster County in October 2024. That investment created 200 jobs and was considered to be the company’s largest U.S. manufacturing investment at the time.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive  

ASML Warns AI-Driven Demand Could Outstrip Production Capacity Into 2028

ASML has warned that demand for its semiconductor manufacturing equipment is exceeding its planned production capacity, with customers already seeking machine deliveries well into the next decade as the artificial intelligence boom continues to drive investment across the chip industry. ASML supplies the advanced lithography systems used to manufacture leading-edge semiconductors and counts companies such as TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix and Micron among its customers. The company is also evaluating the potential demand from Elon Musk's TeraFab project. Chief financial officer Roger Dassen said ASML was still assessing the scale of that opportunity.

The Dutch lithography specialist said orders are now stretching beyond 2027, with some customers expressing interest in securing capacity for 2029 and even 2030. The surge in demand is being fuelled by rapid growth in AI infrastructure and data centre construction, prompting major semiconductor manufacturers to expand production plans.

Read more at New Electronics

US Panel Approves PJM's Registry Of Data Centers, Rejects Plan To Curtail Power To Them

US energy regulators said the country's biggest power grid -- PJM Interconnection -- can ‌begin developing a database on Monday to track data centers, whose rapid expansion has driven up prices and threatened the reliability of the grid covering 67 million people, according to a regulatory filing. The Federal Energy Regulatory ​Commission, in an order filed on Friday, rejected other central parts of a plan ​by PJM to manage data centers by temporarily shutting off grid power ⁠to the server warehouses to avoid blackouts in times of high energy demand.

The database approved ​by FERC could help the grid plan for the growth of data centers by revealing details ​about facilities like energy providers, in-service dates and power ramping-up schedules, as well as backup generation, fuel sources and location. FERC said that PJM could submit a revised curtailment plan but would need to address various issues, including ​why data centers would be temporarily shut off from the grid before other large energy ​users.

Read more at Reuters

Daily Market Update Oct 14, 2026

The November ’26 natural gas contract is trading down $0.05 at $3.23. The November ‘26 crude oil contract is up $1.36 at $95.50

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“You have your way. I have my way. As for the right way, the correct way, and the only way, it does not exist.”

Friedrich Nietzsche - German Philosopher who was born on this day in 1844.

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