Member Briefing September 24, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

S&P Global US Flash PMI: Manufacturing And Services Growth Surges To Fastest For Over Five Years And Job Gains Accelerate

US business activity growth accelerated for a fourth successive month in September to reach the fastest rate for over five years. A further surge in service sector business activity was accompanied by a renewed improvement in manufacturing output growth. Employment also rose sharply, with jobs added at a pace not seen for over four years, as firms sought to meet rising demand. However, backlogs of work continued to rise at an increased rate and supply chain delays intensified, pointing to a lack of operating capacity which fed through to higher prices. Input costs meanwhile surged higher on the back of the recent spike in energy prices, adding to a worsening inflation picture.

  • Flash US Composite PMI Output Index: 58.4 (August: 56.0). 62-month high.
  • Flash US Services PMI Business Activity Index: 58.7 (August: 56.5). 59-month high.
  • Flash US Manufacturing Output Index: 56.7 (August: 53.1). 53-month high.
  • Flash US Manufacturing PMI: 57.0 (August: 53.9). 52-month high.

Read more at S&P Global

September Key Manfuacturing Indicators Show Sector in Continued Expansion

U.S. manufacturing has sustained expansion for an eighth consecutive month, with hiring accelerating and new orders rebounding, though the trade deficit widened sharply and output pulled back in August. Here's the summary:

  • Manufacturing output declined modestly in August as overall industrial production was unchanged, with utilities and mining offsetting a pullback in factory output (Federal Reserve)
  • U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for an eighth consecutive month in August, though momentum eased slightly from July's four-year high (Institute for Supply Management)
  • The U.S. trade deficit surged to its widest level of the year in July, as exports fell and imports climbed across multiple categories (U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)
  • New orders for manufactured goods rebounded in July after two consecutive monthly declines, with shipments and unfilled orders also rising (U.S. Census Bureau)
  • Manufacturing added 16,000 jobs in August, its strongest monthly gain in recent months, with both durable and nondurable goods contributing (U.S. Department of Labor)
  • Producer prices rose in August, reversing a brief June decline and pushing the 12-month gain to 5.4 percent (U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics)
  • Regional manufacturing conditions remained broadly positive, with Texas surging to its highest reading since early 2025, while New York and Philadelphia eased from recent elevated levels but held firmly in expansion territory (Federal Reserve regional surveys)

Read more at IndustryNet

Borrowers Opted For Riskier Mortgages Last Week, As Rates Soared Over 7%

Mortgage rates soared to the highest level since 2024 last week, causing loan demand to fall back again and more borrowers to opt for riskier loans. Total application volume decreased 1.5% from the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances, $832,750 or less, increased to 7.12% from 6.97%, with points rising to 0.73 from 0.72, including the origination fee, for loans with a 20% down payment.

Applications to refinance a home loan dropped 3% for the week and were 62% lower than the same week one year ago. That was the lowest level since February 2025.  Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home fell 1% for the week and were 11% lower year over year. Buyers and current homeowners are also searching for savings anywhere they can find them, even in riskier, adjustable-rate loans. “With fixed rates much higher, more borrowers opted for ARMs, with the ARM share reaching 9.8%, as rates for 5/1 ARMs were more than a percentage point lower than those for fixed rate loans,” said Mike Fratantoni, senior vice president and chief economist at the MBA.

Read more at The WSJ

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Siena University Poll Shows Gov. Kathy Hochul Leading Republican Gubernatorial Candidate Bruce Blakeman By 9 Points

Governor Kathy Hochul (D) leads Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman (R) in the race for governor 50-41%, little changed from 49-39% in August, according to a new Siena Poll of likely New York State voters released today. While only half of likely voters say they are supporting Hochul, two-thirds of likely voters think Hochul will win, including 37% of Republicans. As for endorsements, voters say, 51-30% that President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Blakeman will be a negative for his campaign and, by a 50-30% margin, they say Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement of Hochul will be a positive for her campaign. Other Interesting Findings:

  • New Yorkers oppose new large data centers in their area of the state after the state’s one-year moratorium on new large data centers expires, 63-25%.
  • On the generic Congressional ballot, likely voters favor Democrats 51-40%, down from 54-38% last month.
  • Neither party in Congress is viewed favorably by voters, who give Republicans in Congress a negative 32-62% favorability rating, and Democrats a negative 38-55%.
  • Voters say the state is headed in the wrong direction (not the right track) 49-38%, up from 47-43% in August. An even larger majority, 66-28%, say the U.S. is headed in the wrong direction, up from 62-31% in August.
  • Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is viewed favorably by 43% of voters and unfavorably by 44%. Last November, she had a 42-37% favorability rating.
  • Trump has a 34-63% favorability rating, down from 38-60% in August.
  • Voters oppose Trump’s renaming of Lake Ontario as Lake America 74-19%.
  • Mamdani has 46-44% favorability rating, little changed from 47-44% last month. He remains very popular with Democrats, 73-18%, and is still two-to-one favorable in New York City, 60-31%.

Read more at Siena

Trump Welcomes Xi For State Visit As US-China Trade Truce To Be Extended

Chinese President Xi Jinping arrived in Washington Wednesday evening, where he received a rare greeting from President Donald Trump, who met his counterpart at Joint Base Andrews instead of waiting for him to drive to the White House. Trump’s decision to greet Xi shows how far the U.S. president is going to honor China’s leader as he made his first state visit to the U.S. capital in more than a decade.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Fox News Channel Wednesday that the two countries would extend their trade truce to Jan. 10. It had been set to expire in November. “I don’t know whether a bigger deal can be done. I don’t know whether we will just roll the current deal,” Bessent said in the interview, noting the extension would give the leaders more time to talk about the issues at upcoming meetings in China in November and Florida in December.

Read more at The AP

Trump - Xi Summit

November Election Headlines

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Can Stress Scramble the Signals Between Your Gut and Brain?

Feeling full seems as though it should be one of the body’s clearest messages. Food enters the stomach, the stomach fills, and the brain tells us when to stop. Yet some days fullness seems to arrive late—or becomes tangled with the desire to keep eating. Stress may be one reason why. We often explain stress eating through cortisol, cravings, or a weakened ability to resist the siren call of comfort food. But a recent study suggests stress may sometimes act one step earlier, changing how clearly some people perceive signals coming from inside the body.

The effect was not universal. Instead, fullness may be less like a fixed gauge and more like a conversation among the gut, the brain, and the circumstances surrounding a meal. Stress may make that conversation harder to hear. Overall, acute stress did not blunt fullness perception for everyone. But under stress, people who reported greater difficulty regulating emotions, as well as more restrained or uncontrolled eating, consumed more before feeling full. The difference emerged at complete fullness, not at the first hint of satiation. Curiously, self-reported emotional eating did not predict the effect.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Annual Luncheon and Expo - Friday November 20, 11:00 AM - 2:00 PM. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

The Orange County Foreign Trade Zone (FTZ): Duty Elimination, Reduction Deferral - Presented by Steve Gross, Orange County Economic Development

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

AI Without the Hype: A Practical Roadmap for Growing Businesses In Person at Marist University.  September 24, 8:30 -11:00 AM. (Manufacturers Only Please)

Human Resources Management Issues, (A CML Course) October 7, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15. 8:30 - 4:30.

Effective Business Communication, (A CML Course) October 21, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Making a Profit in Manufacturing, (A CML Course) October 28, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Lean Overview and Simulation, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Risk Management: Enviroment Health and Safety, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Strategies for Motivation, Coaching and Managing Difficult People, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Trade Wars

US Steel Begins Work On $475 Million Alabama Expansion

U.S. Steel on Monday held a groundbreaking for a $475 million expansion of its tubular operations in Fairfield, promising up to 250 full-time jobs and 600 jobs during its two-year construction timeline. The expansion will add a new quench and temper line to the plant, along with a larger change house, and a new engineering building as well as a training facility. It is an expansion of U.S. Steel’s only manufacturing facility for tubular goods, which has been in use since the early 1980s. All these changes will be geared toward producing tubular products for the energy industry.

Company officials said these upgrades were 12 years in the making. Scott Bogardus, U.S. Steel’s project manager for strategic capital projects, said the products produced will support oil and natural gas exploration. “Manufacturing in Fairfield has been going in the wrong direction for decades, and this investment will turn that around,” he said. “We are part of the energy industry and the security of the country.”

Read more at Alabama.com  

U.S. Needs Another $30 Billion To Fix Aging Aviation Infrastructure

The U.S. needs another $30 billion to modernize aging aviation infrastructure, according to Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy. The call for more funding comes just days after a telecommunications failure disrupted thousands of flights across the Northeast. Duffy said the administration will ask Congress for the additional funding for air traffic control technology and airport improvements. Congress has already provided $12.5 billion toward rebuilding the Federal Aviation Administration’s air traffic control system.

The new request includes $10 billion for airport improvements and comes as the FAA works to replace decades-old communications, radar and air traffic management equipment. Congress approved $12.5 billion for the administration’s new air traffic control system last year. The money pays for more than 10,000 modernization projects across the country. The FAA is replacing copper telecommunications lines with fiber, wireless and satellite connections. It is also replacing aging radars and radios, installing digital voice switches and electronic flight strips, and upgrading airport surface surveillance.

Read more at Forbes

Transformer Demand Surge Challenges Supply Chain

ransformers are one of the most critical components of the power system. Because they are so critical, any shortfall in transformer supply reverberates across the grid. An unavailable transformer can stall interconnection queues, delay new capacity additions, and push back grid build-out timelines. For most of the past two decades, this risk was mostly theoretical. Annual power demand was largely flat in Europe and North America, with North America recording modest growth of less than 2 percent per year in the early 2020s. Few new power plants were built, and grid expansion proceeded at a measured pace. Transformer demand was predictable, with steady order backlogs and utilization rates.

However, the market has changed. A structural rise in electricity demand, driven largely by increasing electrification across industries and data center expansion, has led to a global surge in grid investment. At the same time, the shift toward renewable energy sources is increasing transformer demand compared with traditional energy sources. The transformer industry has absorbed the excess demand by stretching its capacity, but there are limits to what can be done to extend supply. The market has roughly doubled, tipping the industry into a supercycle, which has implications for the transformer value chain. Now, a second phase of the supercycle is beginning, with global transformer demand expected to grow at about 3.5 percent annually, resulting in a 40 percent increase by 2035. 

Read more at McKinsey

Pirelli to invest $1.2B, create 1K jobs in Georgia

Italian tire manufacturer Pirelli will add 1,000 jobs and invest $1.2 billion in Georgia as part of an agreement announced by Gov. Brian Kemp on Tuesday.“This historic investment will expand Pirelli's footprint with roughly five times more positions than they currently employ across the region, and we wish them continued success here in the No. 1 state for business," Kemp said in a statement about the plant in Rome about 70 miles northwest of Atlanta. The company employs 234 Georgians, according to Kemp.

“The U.S. is one of Pirelli’s most important markets and offers significant opportunities for growth,” said Claudio Zanardo, CEO of Pirelli North America in a statement. “The expansion of our Rome facility strengthens our ‘local for local’ strategy, increasing our manufacturing capacity in the U.S. while introducing the latest-generation technologies, such as the Cyber Tyre, and advanced robotics."

Read more at The Center Square

Marist University And IBM Launch Innovation Incubator

Marist University and IBM are launching an innovation incubator designed to give students and faculty hands-on experience with artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies, the university announced. The Innovation Incubator, the latest development in the institutions’ more than 50-year partnership, will include an IBM z17 mainframe that will provide high-performance computing capabilities on campus for research projects involving students and faculty. The initiative will bring together students, faculty researchers and IBM experts to work on projects spanning business, finance, polling and civic engagement.

Marist and IBM said their partnership historically focused on enterprise computing and computer science education but is expanding to include university-wide artificial intelligence research, interdisciplinary projects and experiential learning opportunities. The IBM z17 system is designed for enterprise computing and is intended to provide students with experience developing and testing applications using technology designed for large organizations. Among the initial projects is an effort involving Marist’s schools of Computer Science and Mathematics and Management to test autonomous artificial intelligence agents in simulated marketing campaigns.

Read more at Mid-Hudson News  

Toyota Estimates Factory Automation Could Require 400,000 Robots

Toyota Motor Corp. estimates that modernizing factories across its manufacturing network could require approximately 400,000 robots and cost about $6.4 billion annually beginning in 2028, according to Reuters. The estimate covers Toyota, group companies and major suppliers and includes both replacements for existing equipment and new robot installations. The total includes a mix of humanoid and non-humanoid robots, according to the report.

The potential investment would encompass industrial robots, automated material handling and future applications involving collaboration between people and robots on the factory floor. Automakers are increasingly looking to robotics and automation to address labor shortages, aging factory infrastructure and production costs. Toyota's plans come as other automakers prepare to expand the use of humanoid robots in production. Hyundai Motor Group, which owns Boston Dynamics, has said it plans to deploy humanoid robots at its manufacturing plant in Georgia beginning in 2028.

Read more at Assembly Magazine

HII Expands Maritime Drone Operation

Defense contractor Huntington Ingalls Industries completed a 25% expansion of a Massachusetts plant where it builds, develops, and integrates unmanned maritime systems. The Pocasset, Mass., operation now covers 50,000 square feet, with additional production capacity for the U.S. Navy’s Lionfish small unmanned undersea vehicle, which is based on HII’s Remus 300 UUV (unmanned undersea vehicle) platform. Along with the Remus UUVs, the plant builds HII’s Romulus unmanned surface vehicles (USVs.) HII employs about 300 people at Pocasset, having added 50 since the start of this year.

The USN renewed its order for the Lionfish vehicles, the second option year in a five-year program that could total up to 200 units and exceed $347 million in total value. Lionfish is the first uncrewed undersea platform that the USN has transitioned from rapid prototyping to full-rate production. It is built on the commercial-grade Remus 300 platform, and has a modular, open-architecture design that allows operators to update the payload according to the mission requirements. Lionfish drones are used for mine countermeasures; intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; anti-submarine warfare; and electronic warfare operations.

Read more at American Machinist  

Cobots Growing More Collaborative, Gaining Intelligence

Collaborative robots earned their classification by being compatible with and adaptable to almost any working condition that a manufacturer could identify. They collaborate with machinists and welders, and fabricators of all sorts. Now, artificial intelligence has entered the collaboration, and its no surprise that cobot pioneer Universal Robots has placed those emerging capabilities precisely at the point where intelligence may be gathered and put to use: in the cobot’s control box, through the teach pendant, and in the tool flange.

Artificial intelligence is the coordinating principle guiding Universal Robot’s new platform. Gen 7 introduces three new cobot arms with progressively higher payloads and reaches, all outfitted with an AI-capable tool flange. The g-Series tool flange makes it possible to deploy vision and sensing capabilities that coordinate with AI in real time with the robot, bringing data, power, and safety control to the business end of the cobot. There is no complex cabling required, opening the possibilities for cameras and high-bandwidth sensors to coordinate with advanced automation programs.

Read more at American Machinist

New York Regulators Approve 90-Mile Propel Transmission Line

The New York Public Service Commission on Thursday approved a 90-mile transmission line that aims to increase power flows, including from offshore wind, between Long Island and the rest of the state. The $3.26 billion project is being developed by New York Transco and the New York Power Authority. Opponents argued the project was no longer necessary due to the cancellation of several offshore wind projects. Regulators, however, pointed out that the state’s renewable energy goals remain unchanged despite project headwinds, and New York has more than 1,800 MW of offshore wind either operating or under construction.

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and the state Legislature made changes to the state’s Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act earlier this year, altering greenhouse gas reduction targets but maintaining a 9 GW offshore wind goal by 2035. The project includes new underground transmission lines at both 138 kV and 345 kV levels, connecting to nine existing or new substations and running through Suffolk, Nassau, Queens, Bronx and Westchester counties.

Read more at Utility Dive

Daily Market Update Sept 23, 2026

The October ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.08 at $3.05. The October ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.68 at $91.20.  

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“I'm not sentimental--I'm as romantic as you are. The idea, you know, is that the sentimental person thinks things will last--the romantic person has a desperate confidence that they won't.”

F. Scott Fitzgerald - American Author from his Novel 'This Side of Paradise.' He was born on this day in 1896.

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