Member Briefing November 10, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

NFIB: Job Openings Slowing but Remain Solid

NFIB’s October jobs report found that 32% (seasonally adjusted) of small business owners reported job openings they could not fill in October, unchanged for the second consecutive month. Before August, the last time unfilled job openings hit 32% was in December 2020. Twenty-eight percent have openings for skilled workers (unchanged from September), and 11% have openings for unskilled labor (down 2 points).

  • 15% of owners plan to create new jobs in the next three months, down 1 point from September. This marks the first decline since hiring plans started to increase in May 2025. Firms remain interested in hiring but are finding it difficult to fill openings.
  • Overall, 56% of small business owners reported hiring or trying to hire in October, down 2 points from September.
  • Forty-nine percent (88% of those hiring or trying to hire) of owners reported few or no qualified applicants for the positions they were trying to fill (down 1 point).
  • 27% of small business owners cited labor quality as their single most important problem, up 9 points from September and the highest level since the record high of 29% in November 2021.
  • Labor costs reported as the single most important problem for business owners fell 3 points from September to 8%.

Read more at the NFIB

Challenger: Job Cuts In October Hit Highest Level For The Month In 22 Years

Layoff announcements soared in October as companies recalibrated staffing levels during the artificial intelligence boom, a sign of potential trouble ahead for the labor market, according to outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas. Job cuts for the month totaled 153,074, a 183% surge from September and 175% higher than the same month a year ago. It was the highest level for any October since 2003. This has been the worst year for announced layoffs since 2009. In total, companies have announced 1.1 million cuts this year, a 65% increase from a year ago and the highest level since the Covid pandemic year of 2020. October saw the highest total for any month in the fourth quarter since 2008.

Challenger reports the highest level of layoffs coming from the technology sector amid a time of restructuring due to AI integration. Companies in the sector announced 33,281 cuts, nearly six times the level in September. Consumer products also saw a sharp gain to 3,409, while nonprofits, an area hit hard by the shutdown, listed 27,651 cuts year to date, up 419% from the same point in 2024. “Some industries are correcting after the hiring boom of the pandemic, but this comes as AI adoption, softening consumer and corporate spending, and rising costs drive belt-tightening and hiring freezes. Those laid off now are finding it harder to quickly secure new roles, which could further loosen the labor market,” Challenger said.

Read more at CNBC

Consumer Sentiment Falls Toward Record-Low Levels

U.S. consumer sentiment slumped to near a 3-1/2-year low in early November as households across the political spectrum worried about the economic fallout from the longest government shutdown in history, which has caused disruptions ranging from food benefit payments to grounded flights. Still, the University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers on Friday confirmed what economists describe as a K-shaped economy, where the higher-income households are doing well and lower-income consumers are struggling. Sentiment increased among consumers with large stock holdings, which the University of Michigan attributed to "continued strength in stock markets."

"The top 20% of households by income drive 40% of consumer spending, and we think the wealth effect from the buoyant stock market has strengthened this year," said Michael Pearce, deputy chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics. "We also think that reflects the increasing bifurcation of the U.S. consumer." The survey's measure of consumer expectations for inflation over the next year increased to 4.7% this month from 4.6% in October. Consumers' expectations for inflation over the next five years eased to a still-high 3.6% from 3.9% last month.

Read more at Reuters

Middle East

Ukraine

Other Headlines

Senate Clears Key Hurdle Toward Ending Government Shutdown

The Senate late Sunday cleared a critical procedural hurdle in its drive to end the record-long government shutdown, after Democrats provided enough votes to advance a measure designed to end the more than monthlong impasse.The vote was 60-40 on a measure to take up House-passed spending legislation that required 60 votes under the Senate’s filibuster procedures. Eight members of the Democratic caucus joined almost all Republicans in voting in favor, allowing the bill to move forward after more than a dozen failed votes since September. The Senate’s next big step is to amend the measure and send it back to the GOP-led House—but that can’t happen unless the Senate unanimously agrees to dispense with other procedural steps that would delay action.

Earlier Sunday, the Senate Appropriations Committee released three full-year funding bills, covering veterans’ programs and the construction of military housing as well as the Agriculture Department and the legislative branch. Republicans have guaranteed a vote on extending the healthcare subsidies by the second week of December. A key development that appeared to break the logjam in the negotiations was that Senate Republicans proposed that some healthcare funding be provided directly to households rather than be used to pay for a one-year extension of enhanced ACA subsidies. Any deal will still need approval in the House of Representatives, which has been out of session since Sept. 19. House Speaker Mike Johnson (R., La.) has put members on notice that he would give them 48 hours to return in the event the Senate passed a spending bill.

Read more at the WSJ

Rep. Elise Stefanik Launches Bid For New York Governor

Representative Elise Stefanik, a conservative upstate New York Republican with close ties to the White House, announced on Friday that she will run for governor next year. The move, which she announced in a video, sets up a ferocious political battle between one of President Trump’s fiercest allies and Gov. Kathy Hochul, a moderate Democrat. The contest is likely to be one of the key races in next year’s crucial midterm elections.

Ms. Stefanik, 41, began her career as a Harvard-educated moderate, working in the White House of former President George W. Bush and for Paul Ryan, the 2012 Republican vice-presidential nominee. As the news broke Thursday night, Ms. Hochul was more than 1,600 miles away in San Juan, P.R., where Democrats hosted an annual post-election political conference. She stood onstage beside the ocean and celebrated Democratic victories on Tuesday, including Mr. Mamdani’s.

Read more at The NYT

Defense Tech Companies Will Weather The Shutdown. But What Happens Next?

From DOGE’s initial descent to the longest government shutdown in U.S. history, defense contractors are weathering policy changes at different rates during the first leg of the second Trump administration. But while larger companies are thriving, smaller companies—the very ones the White House and Pentagon want to court—have a bumpier ride. Big defense contractors—Leonardo DRS, General Dynamics, RTX—noted positive third-quarter results in the latest rounds of earnings calls. But some executives said the shutdown had put contracting talks on hold, which could become a problem if the shutdown—already the longest ever—stretches into the coming months.

Some defense tech company founders cast the shutdown as an irritation or frustration, while others see it as disruptive to ongoing contract talks or awards that were in progress. There’s also the threat of missed or late payments, which could be critical for a company new and unfamiliar with the fits and starts of government funding. Even when the government reopens, it’ll be under a continuing resolution unless Congress is able to pass a full year budget. And CRs bring their own brand of worries. And in the near-term, there’s concern that companies new to defense haven’t yet built up the knowledge or resilience to weather fickle U.S. government funding. 

Read more at Defense One

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More Drugs to Fight High Cholesterol Are Emerging

A statin isn’t the only answer anymore to lowering cholesterol. The lipid-reducing medicines, among the most widely prescribed drugs in the U.S., have been a mainstay of heart-disease prevention and treatment for decades. But they don’t work for everyone, and can only reduce harmful “bad” cholesterol so much.  Now some patients have other cholesterol-busting medicines available as options—and even more alternatives are on the horizon.

Certain patients already can take a twice-yearly injection, sold by Novartis as Leqvio, that uses an RNA-based technology, or a more frequent injection that targets a protein called PCSK9 that interferes with the body’s ability to clear the bad form of cholesterol. Biotech Amgen has been doing testing to expand use of its PCSK9 drug Repatha to more patients, while Merck is developing an easier-to-take pill version. Biotechs are working on therapies that use gene-editing technology to lower people’s cholesterol, perhaps permanently.

Read more at The WSJ

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Networks

Environment Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, November 13, 2025, 8:30 - 11:00. MPI, Poughkeepsie.

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

Check back soon

Training

Starts Wednesday! 2 Seats Left Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

China’s Exports Fall In October As Trade War Takes Toll

Chinese exports unexpectedly fell in October after months of front-loading U.S. orders to beat President Donald Trump's tariffs, in a stark reminder of the manufacturing juggernaut's reliance on American consumers even as it woos buyers elsewhere. The world's second-largest economy has pushed hard to diversify its export markets since Trump won last November's presidential election, bracing for a resumption of the trade war that dominated his first term in office, and seeking closer trade ties with Southeast Asia and the European Union. China's exports shrank 1.1%, the worst performance since February, reversing from an 8.3% rise in September, and missing a forecast for 3.0% growth in a Reuters poll.

Chinese shipments to the U.S. tumbled 25.17% year-on-year, the data showed, while those to the European Union and Southeast Asian economies - big trading partners with whom policymakers have sought to bolster ties amid tariff tensions with Washington - grew by just 0.9% and 11.0%, respectively.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

US Steel Details Plans To Invest $11 Billion By 2028 Across All Business Segments

United States Steel last week detailed its billion-dollar multiyear growth plan with new owner Nippon Steel that includes modernizing the century-old steelmaker. The announcement comes just five months after Nippon Steel finalized a “ historic partnership ” with the Pittsburgh steelmaker in a deal worth nearly $15 billion. That deal included a “golden share” provision that gave the federal government the power to appoint a board member and a say in some company decisions. The combined company became the world’s fourth-largest steelmaker, and Nippon agreed to invest $11 billion to upgrade U.S. Steel's facilities.

the company said it will make the investments by the end of 2028. The plan targets unlocking $2.5 billion in savings from capital investments and another $500 million from operational efficiencies. U.S. Steel says it has identified more than 200 initiatives to save money across all business segments, assisted by nearly 50 professionals from Nippon Steel. The company is modernizing and expanding its manufacturing operations and expanding research and development to feature “higher value, lower emission steel."

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

DuPont’s Q3 Sales Exceed Expections, Generating $3.1B

DuPont de Nemours’ third quarter earnings exceeded the chemical manufacturer’s expectations as net sales hit $3.1 billion, up 7% year over year, per a release Thursday. The increase was attributed to sales growth in its electronics, healthcare and water end-markets as well as its cost-effective operational strategy announced at DuPont’s investor day in September, CEO Lori Koch said in the release. Q3 income fell 32% YoY to $308 million.

Looking ahead, the company updated its “New DuPont” full-year guidance to $1.6 billion, up from $1.575 billion. The guidance also reflects the discontinued operations of DuPont’s aramid fiber business, which is in the process of being sold, and the electronics business separation, Qnity Electronics, which was completed Nov. 1. Part of the growth strategy includes innovation. On Monday, DuPont introduced a new disposable chemical garment fabric, meant to be an improvement of its Tyvek brand. The protective coverall is supposed to be more comfortable and breathable, while also preventing workers from overheating.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Ford Considers Scrapping Electric Version of F-150 Truck

Ford Motor F 0.15%increase; green up pointing triangle executives are in active discussions about scrapping the electric version of its F-150 pickup, according to people familiar with the matter, which would make the money-losing truck America’s first major EV casualty.  The Lightning, once described by Ford as a modern Model T for its importance to the company, fell far short of expectations as American truck buyers skipped the electric version of the top-selling truck. Ford has racked up $13 billion in EV losses since 2023. A turn away from electric full-size trucks would align with Ford CEO Jim Farley’s more recent comments about the market: that EVs are great for commuting and other local driving, while hefty trucks will continue to need hybrid or all-gasoline powertrains.

No final decision has yet been made, according to people familiar with the discussions, but such a move by Ford could be the beginning of the end for big EV trucks. Ram truck-maker Stellantis earlier this year called off plans to make an electric version of its full-size pickup. General Motors executives have discussed discontinuing some electric trucks, according to people familiar with the matter. Sales of Tesla’s angular, stainless steel Cybertruck pickup tanked this year. And EV truck-maker Rivian has been cutting jobs to conserve cash.

Read more at the WSJ

National Retail Federation: Holiday Sales To Increase 3.7% To 4.2% Despite Concerns Over Inflation

American shoppers are expected to spend more during the holiday shopping season this year, compared with a year ago, despite uncertainly over tariffs and the overall economy. The 2025 forecast from the National Retail Federation on Thursday estimates that shoppers will make $1.01 trillion to $1.02 trillion worth of purchases in November and December, an increase of 3.7% to 4.2% over the same two-month period a year ago.

However, holiday spending was up 4.3% during last year's holiday period compared with 2023. The trade group makes its calculations based on government figures. The numbers exclude sales at automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants. The forecast this year, however, arrives during the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. There has been no data released on the jobs market or retail sales since the shutdown began 37 days ago.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Micron Chip Factories In Upstate NY Will Be Delayed By 2-3 Years, Company Says

Micron Technology will delay opening its first two chipmaking factories in Clay by two to three years, the company said in a report made public today. That would mean the first factory wouldn’t open until eight years after Micron announced in 2022 it planned to build in Central New York. Micron said earlier this year that the first fabrication plant, or fab, was scheduled to open in mid-2028. The opening has now been moved back to late 2030. Completion of the second fab has been pushed back from late 2030 to late 2033, the company said in the final environmental report on the project, released Friday.

Micron did not explicitly give reasons for the delays in the report. A company spokeswoman did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Micron did note in the report, however, that the requirements under its agreement for $6.1 billion funding deal with the U.S. Department of Commerce had recently changed. The revised agreement with the commerce department also called for Micron to build a second fab at its headquarters in Boise, Idaho. That fab, and one already under construction in Boise, would open before any of the fabs in Clay. That agreement also allowed Micron to shift part of its federal grant from the Clay to the Boise project. The company said a year ago it would spend $4.6 billion of that grant in Clay; now, that number has dropped to $3.4 billion.

Read more at Syracuse.com

Yellow’s $137M-Plus Lawsuit Against Teamsters Revived

A federal appeals court has reinstated defunct Yellow Corp.’s $137-million-plus lawsuit against the International Brotherhood of Teamsters. The decision overturns a previous dismissal by a lower court, allowing the former less-than-truckload carrier to pursue its breach-of-contract case. A Wednesday decision from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Tenth Circuit remanded the case back to a federal district court in Kansas. Yellow can now amend its complaint against the union, which it claims deliberately blocked a restructuring dubbed “One Yellow,” a plan the company aserts was required for its survival. The Teamsters called the suit “unfounded and without merit.”

Running out of cash, Yellow sued the union in June 2023, saying the labor organization didn’t have the authority to stop a proposed change of operations. Phase 2 of One Yellow would have allowed the company to merge its four LTL operating companies, consolidate terminals and alter work rules. The union agreed to Phase 1 of the plan in 2022, which Yellow hailed as a success. Yellow, however, blamed the union’s “stonewalling” of Phase 2 as the cause of its “death spiral.” The suit alleged Sean O’Brien, Teamsters general president, used the blockade as leverage to “extract wage increases,” and that he was willing to let the company fail “as a show of strength” ahead of labor negotiations with larger companies like UPS.

Read more at Freight Waves

Judge Dismisses Boeing Criminal Case Over 737 Max Crashes At DOJ Request Despite Skepticism

A federal judge in Texas on Thursday dismissed a criminal conspiracy case against Boeing over two crashes of its 737 Max jetliner that killed 346 people, despite expressing sharp skepticism about the wisdom of the Department of Justice’s request that he toss the case. Some families of victims of the crashes had strongly opposed the DOJ’s move in May asking Judge Reed O’Connor to dismiss the case in U.S. District Court in Fort Worth.

The DOJ, which had accused Boeing of deceiving federal regulators about a flight-control system implicated in the crashes, at the time of the dismissal request said Boeing had agreed to pay or invest $1.1 billion in fines and compensation for victims’ families. The dismissal comes more than a year after Boeing and the DOJ said they had reached an agreement that required the company to plead guilty and serve a term of probation. In a statement Thursday about the dismissal of the criminal case, Boeing said, “We are committed to honoring the obligations of our agreement with the Department of Justice.”

Read more at CNBC

Tesla Shareholders Approve Elon Musk’s $1 Trillion Pay Package – What’ In It?

Tesla shareholders approved a record-setting pay package for Chief Executive Elon Musk, a plan designed to motivate the world’s richest man with as much as $1 trillion in additional stock. Flanked by dancing humanoid robots on a stage bathed in pink and blue light at the electric vehicle maker’s Austin, Texas, headquarters, Musk thanked the crowd of shareholders who supported the pay package with more than 75% of the votes cast. The voting was largely seen as a referendum on the company’s longtime leader and his vision to shift Tesla’s focus to humanoid robots and artificial intelligence.

Musk’s new package is divided into 12 tranches. He could reach the first tranche if Tesla’s market cap grows to $2 trillion from around $1.5 trillion today, combined with an operational goal such as selling 11.5 million new vehicles, on top of the 8.5 million vehicles on the road. More challenging milestones include selling one million robots to paying customers and maintaining an adjusted Ebitda of $400 billion. Last year, Tesla posted an adjusted Ebitda of $16 billion. For each tranche he unlocks, Musk would receive equity equivalent to about 1% of Tesla’s current shares. Once he earns a tranche, he could vote those shares but wouldn’t be able to sell them until they vest, in either 7.5 years or 10 years.

Read more at the WSJ

Quote of the Day

“...not for nothing had Lenin pointed out that there were ten years which passed like an uneventful day, but there was also the revolutionary day which was like ten years.”

Norman Mailer - Americna Writer from his book The Armies of the Night: History as a Novel, the Novel as History who died on this day in 2007.

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