Member Briefing November 11, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

On this Veteran's Day the Council of Industry thanks all those who served in our country in its Armed Forces.

J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI: Output And New Orders Edge Higher In October

The upturn in the global manufacturing sector continued in October, with growth of both production and new orders registered for the third successive month. The expansion was broad-based by sub-sector, with output and new work rising across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods industries. The J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI® – a composite index produced by J.P.Morgan and S&P Global Market Intelligence in association with ISM and IFPSM – rose to 50.8 in October, up a pip from 50.7 in September and just shy of August's 14-month high of 50.9.

Four of the PMI components (new orders, output, stocks of purchases and suppliers' delivery times) were at levels consistent with improved operating conditions in October. Staffing levels were unchanged compared to one month ago. The rate of expansion in manufacturing production remained modest in October. The Asia (excluding China and Japan) region and the US remained among the brighter growth spots. Growth in the US and the euro area also gathered pace, while the UK returned to expansion after an 11-month sequence of contraction. Growth slowed in China, while Japan and Brazil were among the nations to register downturns.

Read more at S&P Global

From An AI-Fueled Stock Rally To Record-High Gold, Are Nearly Every Asset Class Due For A Reckoning? In Charts.

Asset bubbles give off a scent. Stocks far outpace earnings. Junk debt looks gold-plated. But, no matter how good the rally feels, eventually skepticism arises. The question is whether the smoke alarm is chirping from a dead battery or fire? It’s not just frothy stocks. Gold is near record highs as is coffee. Bitcoin, the ultimate risk-on asset, is up more than 130% since it was packaged into exchange traded funds in Jan. 2024. Amid bidding wars, home prices rise further out of reach for buyers. Even junk bonds trade as if nothing can go wrong.

Economist John Kenneth Galbraith wrote that bubbles form the same way every time. A new idea casts a spell. Credit expands. Prices rise. Everyone feels smarter. Then crack, reality bites and it all comes crashing down. Galbraith argued the real fuel isn’t credit, it’s boundless hope and fleeting memory. Each generation convinces itself that this time is different. Here are some of the Smoke Alarms from Forbes.

Read more at Forbes

U.S. Imports Forecast to Fall Through Early 2026

U.S. monthly imports are forecast to fall through the beginning of next year after retailers rushed in goods to get ahead of tariffs and stock up for the holidays. The National Retail Federation’s Global Port Tracker estimates that imports will fall through the rest of the year to 1.75 million loaded containers, measured in 20-foot equivalent units, in December, the lowest level since March 2023. January imports are forecast at 1.98 million boxes, down 11% year over year; February at 1.85 million containers, down 9%; and March at 1.79 million containers, down nearly 17%.

Jonathan Gold, NRF’s vice president for supply chain and customs policy, said retailers expect to have stocked shelves for the upcoming holiday season after bringing in extra merchandise earlier this year to get ahead of tariffs. “We’ve spent most of the year worried about the impact of tariffs on both inflation and the supply chain but the holiday season is here and mitigation efforts appear to have paid off,” Gold said. “Consumers should be able to find the products they want at prices they like.” NRF forecasts holiday sales this year will climb to roughly $1 trillion, up between 3.7% and 4.2% from last year.

Read more at Reuters

Middle East

Ukraine

Other Headlines

Senate Passes Bill To Reopen Government; House Set To Return To DC

The Senate voted Monday evening to end the 41-day government shutdown, setting the stage for the House to reconvene later this week to pick up the legislation and send it to President Trump’s desk. The Senate voted 60-40 to pass a bill to fund military construction, veterans’ affairs, the Department of Agriculture and the legislative branch through Sept. 30, 2026, and the rest of government through Jan. 30.

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) said he would give House colleagues 36-hour notice to reconvene after the Senate approved the package. House leaders on Monday night called members back and said the lower chamber would vote as early as 4 p.m. on Wednesday on the bill. They also asked members of the House Rules Committee to be ready to meet as soon as Tuesday evening to lay the groundwork for the bill. President Trump said Monday he would “abide by the deal.” “The deal is very good,” he said, and predicted, “we’re going to be opening up our country very quickly.”

 Read more at The Hill

What Democrats Are — And Aren’t — Getting In The Deal That Could End The Government Shutdown

The Senate took a major step toward ending the shutdown on Sunday night, when eight Democrats in the narrowly divided chamber voted for a procedural motion that paves the way for approval of a negotiated funding bill. Democrats had demanded that any funding bill must include significant additional spending on health care protections and other key measures. The text of the funding deal that helped spur Sunday’s breakthrough leaves many of those priorities unaddressed. The 31-page bill makes no mention of the expiring Obamacare tax credits.

Instead, the agreement includes a guarantee from Republican leadership that the Senate will vote on a health care bill drafted by Democrats before the second week of December. “That is a big step, because otherwise there’s no way for the minority to get a bill onto the floor of the U.S. Senate,” Sen. Angus King of Maine, an independent who caucuses with the Democrats, said Sunday night after helping to broker the deal. Even if a bill to extend the tax credits passes the Senate, it would have to be taken up and passed through the GOP-led House, and then signed by President Donald Trump. House Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La., has not promised to bring such a bill to a vote in his chamber. The deal currently moving through the Senate also reportedly does not challenge Trump’s ability to make rescissions of congressionally appropriated funds. It does include a “minibus” that funds three of the 12 annual appropriations bills, and it would resume funding for the rest of the government through Jan. 30.

Read more at CNBC

Trump Suggests $2,000 Payouts to Americans as He Defends Tariffs

President Trump suggested tariff revenue could be used to fund payments of at least $2,000 to most Americans. Days after the Supreme Court appeared skeptical of the legal backing for many of his tariffs, the president on social media Sunday lauded the revenue they have brought in and said the government would soon begin paying down the country’s debt. He also said a payment of at least $2,000 would be made to everyone but high-income earners. The U.S. has collected tens of billions of dollars from the tariffs, the president’s signature economic policy.

The president previously has floated the idea of returning savings from his agenda to Americans. He suggested earlier this year that the government could give payouts from savings carved out by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency. DOGE implemented budget cuts and workforce reductions at federal agencies. Trump in his first term signed stimulus checks to Americans during the Covid-19 pandemic when the economy cratered. Trump didn’t offer further details about the payouts or who would qualify for them.

Read more at the WSJ

100 days

Advertisement

Since 2004, the Council of Industry has been helping our members navigate complex retail energy markets. 

We work with NRG/Direct Energy to help our members manage their energy risks.

Contact Us to learn more.

Your ad here! Contact Harold King to learn more

FDA ‘Liberates’ Hormone Therapy For Menopause

Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Marty Makary announced on Monday that his agency is deregulating hormone replacement therapies for menopause patients by calling for manufacturers to remove black box warnings from their products. Black box warnings are the highest level of caution that the FDA requires for certain potentially dangerous products. The products affected by this change include medicines containing both estrogen and progesterone, systemic estrogen and topical estrogen. The "black box" warning labels were based on what many experts now consider flawed research on HRT from more than 20 years ago.

Part of the criticism is that back in 2002, researchers on the Women's Health Initiative study overstated the risks of breast cancer because the data focused on older women. More recent studies have shown the benefits outweigh the risk for many women if hormone therapy is used in the early years of menopause, before the age of 60. In addition to heart health, those benefits include lowering the risk of cognitive decline or Alzheimer's and preventing osteoporosis, a major factor in hip fractures. Hormone therapy can help ease menopause symptoms, which can be debilitating, taking both a mental and physical toll. There are a wide range of symptoms, including hot flashes, insomnia, night sweats, mood swings, joint pain, weight gain and more — with some experiencing more intense effects than others.

Read more at CBS News

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Networks

Environment Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, November 13, 2025, 8:30 - 11:00. MPI, Poughkeepsie.

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

Check back soon

Training

Starts TOMORROW! 1 Seat Left Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

Pentagon Begins Enforcing CMMC Compliance, But Readiness Gaps Remain

An amendment to the Defense Federal Acquisition Regulation Supplement went into effect Monday, officially mandating that all Defense Department solicitations and contracts include requirements for Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification 2.0 (CMMC 2.0). And while the road to get CMMC 2.0 across the finish line has been six years in the making, there are still disparities among the defense industrial base’s readiness to validate the cybersecurity controls required by the program. Experts told DefenseScoop that those gaps are largely fueled by CMMC’s controversial history, misconceptions of what the rule change means and challenges in proving compliance.

CMMC 2.0 is a three-tiered cybersecurity framework that requires defense contractors working with federal contract information (FCI) or controlled unclassified information (CUI) to have proper security controls based on how sensitive the data they’re handling is. When bidding on new contracts, companies will have to prove that their networks — as well as those of their entire supply chain — meet one of the three levels of compliance outlined by CMMC. That rule change was enacted Monday, beginning phase 1 of a three-year implementation plan to incrementally introduce CMMC requirements.

Read more at Defense Scoop

Pfizer Wins $10 Billion Bidding War For Metsera As Novo Nordisk Exits

U.S. drugmaker Pfizer has clinched a $10 billion deal for obesity drug developer Metsera capping a fierce biotech bidding war between the New York-based pharma giant and Danish rival Novo Nordisk. Metsera accepted a sweetened offer from Pfizer late on Friday, citing U.S. antitrust risks in Novo's bid that it had previously called superior. The Danish obesity drug behemoth said on Saturday it would exit the race.

The bidding war win hands Pfizer a way into the lucrative obesity drug market, even if Metsera's treatments remain years from hitting the market. It marks a blow for Novo as it tries to claw back lost ground against U.S. rival Eli Lilly. Metsera's experimental obesity drugs, MET-097i, a GLP-1 injectable, and MET-233i, which mimics the pancreatic hormone amylin, are projected to reach $5 billion in combined peak sales, according to Leerink Partners analyst David Risinger.

Read more at Reuters

FAA’s Air Traffic Cuts Aren’t Hampering Cargo Flows — Yet

A reduction in air traffic ordered by the Federal Aviation Administration will have limited short-term impact on cargo flows, but shippers should still map out contingency plans, experts told Supply Chain Dive.  The FAA last week ordered a 10% cut in air traffic at 40 major airports across the United States due to an ongoing government shutdown. The agency told airports to reduce traffic by 4% by Nov. 7 and scale up to 10% by Nov. 14, per an emergency order.

On Sunday, several outlets reported that the U.S. Senate voted to move forward with a bill that would end the shutdown. However, the timetable remains unclear, with the resolution still needing passage in the Senate and the House of Republicans, as well as President Donald Trump’s signature. Most of the traffic cuts thus far have targeted short-haul regional flying, which doesn’t typically include large amounts of air cargo demand, according to Derek Lossing, senior industry advisor for e-commerce and transportation at Cirrus Global Advisors. Carriers such as FedEx, UPS and Delta Cargo have not seen severe impact to their operations, particularly because the order requires traffic cuts to be made to flights between 6 a.m. and 10 p.m. local time.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

New U.S. Nuclear Power Boom Begins With Old, Still-Unsolved Problem: What To Do With Radioactive Waste

The Trump administration aims to quadruple the current nuclear energy output over the next 25 years through construction of conventional reactors and next-gen small modular reactors, but a clear solution has yet to emerge for the old issue of radioactive waste. More than 95,000 metric tons of spent nuclear fuel (with a minority from weapons programs) sits temporarily stockpiled in special water-filled pools or dry casks at 79 sites in 39 states.

The Department of Energy has no permanent disposal facility for nuclear waste, leaving taxpayers on the hook for payments to utilities of up to $800 million every year in damages, a bill that has reached $11.1 billion since 1998, and could grow to $44.5 billion in the future.

Read more at CNBC

Advanced IoT And AI Solidify KONE’s Elevator And Escalator Predictive Maintenance Services

KONE is a leader and innovator in the building technology industry. Long a proponent of preventive maintenance, KONE quickly grasped the potential of intelligent predictive maintenance technologies for identifying equipment issues before they become a problem. KONE’s experiences on its IoT and AI journey offer lessons for others seeking connectivity and optimization for their products and services. The advanced IoT and AI solutions are significantly reducing the time and effort to resolve outages, lowering maintenance costs, improving sustainability metrics, and increasing operational efficiency for KONE and its customers. The new architecture also facilitates seamless scaling of fleet operations and the creation of new, innovative products. Realized benefits include:

  • 70% increase in proactive fault identification
  • 40% fewer customer-reported elevator and escalator issues (“callouts”)
  • 40% fewer entrapments (e.g., elevator door fails to open with passengers inside)
  • 99.9% provisioning success rate
  • 5x increase in the scale of connected IoT devices

Read more at Plant Services

Nestlé Leaves Climate Alliance Focused On Reducing Dairy Methane Emissions

Food group Nestle said on last week that it had withdrawn from a global alliance for cutting methane emissions that aims to reduce the impact of dairy farming on global warming. The Dairy Methane Action Alliance was launched in December 2023, with members, which include Danone, Kraft Heinz and Starbucks committing to publicly measure and disclose methane emissions from their dairy supply chains and publish plans to reduce those emissions over time. "Nestle regularly reviews its memberships of external organizations," the Swiss company said. "As part of this process, we have decided to discontinue our membership of the Dairy Methane Action Alliance."

Nestle did not say why it was pulling out of the alliance but said it would continue working towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions, including methane, throughout its supply chains and was sticking to its net zero commitment by 2050. On Thursday, Nestle said it was partnering with the World Farmers' Organisation to join efforts to help make food systems more resilient to climate change. By the end of 2024, Nestle had reduced methane emissions by almost 21% compared to 2018 levels, the company said in its 2024 non-financial statement.

Read more at Reuters

Boeing’s $1B Expansion in South Carolina Will Double 787 Production Rate

Boeing has started a more than $1-billion expansion of its assembly complex in North Charleston, S.C., as it aims to increase the production rate for its 787 Dreamliner program to 10 aircraft/month. Lately, Boeing has been producing 787s at a up seven jets/month, though its current target is four to five jets/month. The plant adjacent to Charleston International Airport opened in 2009, and Boeing has more than 7,800 employees working there and at a satellite location in Orangeburg, S.C. It has projected another 1,000 workers will be employed at the expanded plant.

The expansion project announced last year involves constructing a new, 1.2-million sq.ft final assembly building comparable in size to the existing assembly operation, which will include airplane production positions, production support areas, and office space. The 787 Dreamliner is a twin-engine, long-range wide-body jet in service since 2011 and offered in three variants, with carrying capacity for 210 to 330 passengers. Boeing has collected a total of 2,270 orders for the 787 series jets, with 1,222 orders still to be filled.

Read more at American Machinist

Hegseth Says He Wants the Pentagon to Prioritize Speed Over Cost When Buying Weapons

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Friday the Pentagon is revamping how the military buys weapons, shifting the focus away from producing advanced and complex technology and toward products that can be made and delivered quickly. Hegseth, speaking to military leaders and defense contractors in Washington, said the "objective is simple: transform the entire acquisition system to operate on a wartime footing, to rapidly accelerate the fielding of capabilities and focus on results.”

The defense secretary argued his changes are meant to move the military away from the more traditional process that prioritized delivering a perfect, if expensive and late, product in favor of something that is less ideal but delivered quickly. Some experts say the changes could mean less transparency and the military ending up with systems that may not function as expected. The shift is coming as Russia’s grinding war has seen an underfunded Ukraine using cheap, mass-produced drones to effectively hold off a technologically superior Moscow, which is armed with advanced missiles and hundreds of tanks.

Read more at Military.com

Quote of the Day

 “Hello, babies. Welcome to Earth. It’s hot in the summer and cold in the winter. It’s round and wet and crowded. At the outside, babies, you’ve got about a hundred years here. There’s only one rule that I know of, babies — ‘God damn it, you’ve got to be kind.”

Kurt Vonnegut - American Author from his novel God Bless You, Mr. Rosewater. He was born on this day in 1922.

If you’re part of a Council of Industry member company and not yet subscribed, email usIf you’re not a Council member, become one today

Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn  X  Youtube