Member Briefing October 13, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

All Living Hostages Freed From Gaza After Two Years Of War – Trump Will Address Israeli Knesset

All of the remaining living hostages in Gaza have been freed from Hamas captivity and are back in Israel after two years of war. A group of 13 hostages has just been escorted across the border by the Israeli military, after a group of seven hostages was released earlier. US President Donald Trump has arrived at Israel’s parliament, where he has met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Later, he will address members of the Knesset as well as meeting some of the families of the hostages.

The release was a requirement of the current cease-fire and a step that could push forward Trump's broader proposal to end the war and rebuild the enclave. Following the release, Israel and Hamas are expected to begin negotiating a peace deal that would see the U.S.-designated terrorist group disarm and give up power in Gaza. The bodies of around 28 hostages who have died are to be handed over later in what could be a drawn-out process. Once all the hostages are returned to Israel, it is expected to release 250 Palestinians from Israeli prisons and 1,700 who have been detained in Gaza.

Read more at CNN and the WSJ

NAM’s Timmons: Manufacturing Depends On Certainty To Make Investment Decisions

National Association of Manufacturers President and CEO Jay Timmons shares thoughts on the health of the manufacturing sector and the impact of the government shutdown. Manufacturers and other businesses rely on certainty, Timmons said, and the government shutdown has fueled uncertainty that is a problem for investment and hiring decisions. "Manufacturers overall are pretty optimistic," Timmons said, pointing to positive trends such as tax changes and regulatory modernization. "But there are some concerns, especially when it involves the workforce and trade policy."

Timmons reiterated the need for workforce development pointing out that there are 400,000 job openings in the sector with as many as 2 million possible by 2033. He add that a working immigration system that is “focused on the economic needs of this country” is going to be critical to manufacturing’s growth in the coming years.

Watch at CNBC

Consumer Sentiment Virtually Unchanged In October, Better Than Expected

U.S. consumer sentiment inched down to 55.0 in October's preliminary estimate, better than the 54.1 expected and slightly lower than the prior month's 55.1, according to a University of Michigan survey released Friday. "Improvements this month in current personal finances and year-ahead business conditions were offset by declines in expectations for future personal finances as well as current buying conditions for durables," Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said in a statement.

  • Consumers' outlook for the economy was little changed from last month, with "high prices and weakening job prospects remain at the forefront of consumers’ minds."
  • Current conditions index: 61.0 in October vs. 60.0 expected and 60.4 in September.
  • Consumer expectations: 51.2 vs. 51.7 consensus and 55.1 prior.
  • Year-ahead inflation expectations slipped to +4.6% in October from +4.7% in the earlier month.
  • Meanwhile, implied inflation at the five-year horizon remained unchanged at +3.7%.

Hsu noted that the ongoing government shutdown has yet to move consumers' economic views, citing interviews.

Read more at Seeking Alpha

Fed Minutes Reveal Divide Over Outlook for Interest-Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve officials were divided over how much farther they should lower interest rates when they approved their first reduction of the year last month, according to a written record of their meeting released Wednesday afternoon. Officials largely agreed that a recent slowdown in job growth outweighed lingering concerns over sticky inflation when they cut their benchmark rate by a quarter-point last month, to a range between 4% and 4.25%.

The minutes of the Sept. 16-17 meeting indicated that support for a larger half-point cut was limited to one official, Fed governor Stephen Miran, who dissented from the decision. Miran was appointed by President Trump and sworn in on the morning of the first day of the meeting. A narrow majority of 19 officials who participated in the meeting penciled in at least two additional cuts this year, implying a tentative base case for consecutive reductions at the Fed’s meetings this month and in December. But a substantial minority of seven officials penciled in no further reductions this year, highlighting a thorny consensus-building exercise facing Fed Chair Jerome Powell.

Read more at the WSJ

Middle East

Ukraine

Other Headlines

Senate Passes Defense Policy Bill Amid Shutdown, Troop Pay Standoff

The Senate united to pass its $925 billion defense policy bill Thursday — a bipartisan breakthrough that came despite an ongoing government shutdown fight that could soon cause all active-duty troops to miss a paycheck for the first time in U.S. history. The annual National Defense Authorization Act cleared easily Thursday in a blowout vote, after Senate leaders struck a deal to break a monthlong impasse on the measure. Leaders of the Senate and House Armed Services committees will now attempt to negotiate a compromise bill that can pass by the end of the year.

The defense legislation — which sets military policy and the broad outlines of the Pentagon budget — was clinched in an 77-20 vote despite a shutdown that’s paralyzed Congress and kept most substantive legislation off the agenda. And when it comes to ensuring troops get paid on time, Congress remains deadlocked, with little indication that either party will relent to reopen the government. Top GOP leaders have also ruled out standalone legislation to continue paying military personnel, despite increasing bipartisan pressure.

Read more at Politico

How Federal Cuts Could Impact N.Y. Economic Development Programs

State assemblymembers held a public hearing in Albany on Thursday to examine economic development programs that could be on the chopping block. But the impact on those programs remains unclear with the ongoing federal government shutdown, and Congress's passage this summer of HR-1, or the Big Beautiful Bill. Empire State Development President and CEO Hope Knight defended the state’s workforce development programs to lawmakers. "We see some reductions in some of our programs, but are just awaiting more discussion with our state and federal partners to better understand what the impact will be," Knight said.

Empire State Development and other agencies are waiting on clarity from Washington to understand the magnitude of federal cuts, but programs that are set to expire could be among the first to see reductions. That includes millions of dollars for the federal Manufacturing Extension Partnership, which sunsets at the end of the year.

Read more at NY State of Politics

Venezuela's Opposition Leader María Corina Machado, An Industrial Engineer, Wins 2025 Nobel Peace Prize

Venezuela's opposition leader María Corina Machado has won this year's Nobel Peace Prize for "her struggle to achieve a just and peaceful transition from dictatorship to democracy. "The announcement of Machado as winner of the prestigious award came as a surprise after intense speculation that President Trump could be a wildcard winner after negotiating a Gaza ceasefire this week. But the Norwegian Nobel Committee said on Friday that Machado's tireless work promoting democratic rights for the people of Venezuela was "one of the most extraordinary examples of civilian courage in Latin America in recent times."

The 58-year-old has been one of the staunchest critics of Maduro's powerful United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV), which first came to power in the late 1990s under founder Hugo Chávez. Maduro succeeded Chávez in 2013. An industrial engineer by profession and a former legislator in the Venezuelan National Assembly, Machado has been shot at and targeted by federal prosecutors. Last year she was meant to be the opposition's presidential candidate in July elections but was banned from contesting the vote.

Read more at NPR

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CDC Approves New Covid-19 Vaccine Guidelines. How to Get a Booster Shot.

The CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices—a panel handpicked by Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.—no longer universally recommends the Covid vaccine, advising a more limited guidance than advised by medical groups. Instead the panel recommended “individual decision-making” for all Americans ages 6 months and older, where patients speak with a healthcare provider, such as a doctor, nurse or pharmacist, about whether they should get the latest Covid vaccine.  The CDC previously recommended the Covid vaccine for all Americans ages 6 months and older. A number of medical groups and state coalitions released separate Covid vaccine recommendations this year.

In practice, Americans ages 6 months and older should be able to get an updated Covid vaccine if they want it, according to doctors, medical groups and pharmacy chains. The Food and Drug Administration approved three new Covid vaccines this year for everyone 65 and older, as well as at-risk people in younger populations. The vaccines can be administered off-label.  People likely won’t need to obtain a prescription or prove they are at risk for severe infection to get a vaccine, according to experts. That should apply for young children, too. Most American adults have been receiving their Covid vaccines at pharmacies—and large pharmacy chains are still administering them. Its also likely that your insurance carrier will cover the cost. AHIP, a group representing insurers, said its members will cover vaccines, including the updated Covid shot, recommended by ACIP through Sept. 1—before the panel’s latest meeting—through the end of 2026. Insurers typically handle coverage decisions yearly.

Read more at The WSJ

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Networks

Safety & Health Sub Council Discussion of best practices and tour of Howmet Aerospace. November 6, 2025, 8:30 - 11:00 Howmet Aerospace, Kingston.

HR Sub Council Meeting  Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

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Training

FILLING FAST Introduction to Lean with Simulation - This full-day Lean Foundations course, led by Vin Buonomo from RIT CQAS, is designed as a starting point for those interested in Lean certification—including Yellow Belt and Green Belt. October 28, 2025 - Location TBD.

FILLING FAST Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

 

Americans Are Falling Behind on Their Car Payments

Since the pandemic, buyers on auto-dealer lots have encountered surging sticker prices and smaller incentives from automakers to lessen the blow. To afford an automobile, more consumers, especially lower-income families, have resorted to buying used cars and taking out longer loans. Now, more are falling behind on their loans, signaling that lower-income consumers are struggling to afford payments as wages stagnate and unemployment ticks higher. While the economy has remained strong, and Wall Street has kept buying subprime auto loans, the auto market is evidence that not all is well under the hood.

The percentage of new-car buyers with credit scores below 650 was nearly 14% in September, roughly one in seven people, J.D. Power said last month. That is the highest for the comparable period since 2016. And the portion of subprime auto loans that are 60 days or more overdue on their payments hit a record of more than 6% this year, according to Fitch Ratings, while delinquency rates for other borrowers have remained relatively steady. An estimated 1.73 million vehicles were repossessed last year, the highest total since 2009, according to data from Cox Automotive, an industry-research firm.

Read more at the NYT

How Sharpie Bucked the Trend of Outsourcing to China

Inside a Tennessee factory, Sharpie has reimagined American manufacturing—producing its iconic markers faster and more cheaply in the US than overseas, all while keeping jobs at home. The Maryville factory, nestled in the Smoky Mountains, now produces the bulk of Sharpies sold in America, following nearly $2 billion in investments and a comprehensive redesign of its processes by parent company Newell Brands. Back in 2018, Sharpie was still relying on overseas manufacturing for much of its production. That's when Chris Peterson, now CEO, challenged his team to figure out if they could beat Asian factories at their own game—and do it stateside. The answer: an ambitious push toward automation, staff training, and supply chain consolidation.

Today, robots handle much of the packing, while longtime employees have transitioned into roles like automation engineering, supported by company-funded training and even college tuition. The result: wages at the plant are up by about 50% in five years, and no jobs were cut. Production is now three to four times faster, and quality has improved, with robots even catching printing errors on marker barrels. The move hasn't just sped up deliveries and cut shipping costs—it's let Newell keep prices stable despite inflation.

Read more at The WSJ

No Survivors From Blast At Tennessee Explosives Factory, Sheriff Says

The blast in rural Tennessee that leveled an explosives plant and was felt for miles around left no survivors, authorities said Saturday. The total number of dead was unclear, as was the cause of the Friday blast. By the weekend the devastation came into focus, with officials saying they’d found no survivors. “There’s a gauntlet of emotions there,” Humphreys County Sheriff Chris Davis said during a news conference, pausing to clear his throat before he asked for prayers for the families of the victims in a shaky voice. “We’ve recovered no survivors,” he added.

The explosion Friday morning at Accurate Energetic Systems scattered debris over at least a half-mile (800-meter) area and was felt by residents more than 15 miles (24 kilometers) away, Davis said. Aerial footage showed the company’s hilltop location smoldering and smoky Friday, with just a mass of twisted metal, burned-out shells of cars and an array of debris left behind. The company’s website says it processes explosives and ammunition at an eight-building facility that sprawls across wooded hills in the Bucksnort area, about 60 miles (97 kilometers) southwest of Nashville. It’s not immediately known how many people work at the plant or how many were there when the explosion happened.

Read more at CNBC

CEO: AI and Defense Demand Are Remaking The Space Economy

The space economy is experiencing a kind of growth in 2025 that looks nothing like the speculative frenzy of 2021 — and that's exactly why it matters. The data from Space Capital's latest Space Investment Quarterly reveals a market that has fundamentally matured. With another $5.8 billion invested across 115 companies in Q3, this year has already surpassed 2024 in overall investment and is on track to rank among the top three funding years on record. The center of gravity has shifted from speculative narratives to funded, dual-use capability, and investors are backing companies with customers, contracts, and clear profitability paths.

Space infrastructure investment reached a five-quarter high of $4.4 billion in Q3, fueled by a breakout year in US satellite manufacturing and record activity in the Chinese launch sector. While defense spending dominates headlines, the integration of artificial intelligence with space-based data is quietly revolutionizing the applications layer of the space economy. Big Tech's race to develop "World Models" — AI systems that understand and navigate physical space — depends fundamentally on petabytes of satellite, aerial, and camera data. AEF represents a critical architectural shift from "pixels to embeddings," replacing brittle, bespoke models with a queryable representation of Earth itself.

Read more at YahooFinance

Parker-Hannifin Completes Curtis Instruments Acquisition

Parker-Hannifin Corporation, the global leader in motion and control technologies, last month announced that it has completed its transaction to acquire Curtis Instruments, Inc. from Rehlko, for approximately $1 billion in cash. Curtis designs and manufactures motor speed controllers, instrumentation, power conversion and input devices that complement Parker’s capabilities in electric and hybrid vehicle motors and controls, as well as hydraulic and pneumatic technologies for the mobile machinery market. Curtis expects calendar year 2025 sales of approximately $320 million. Curtis has a location in Mt. Kisco, Westchester County.

“Curtis is a high-performing, innovation-driven business and we are excited to have them join Parker’s Motion Systems Group,” said Berend Bracht, President of Parker’s Motion Systems Group. “Curtis adds complementary technologies to our existing electrification platform, better positioning us to serve our customers as they continue the adoption of more electric and hybrid solutions. We are confident Curtis will benefit from Parker’s increased scale, focus, and investment.”

Read the press release from Parker

AstraZeneca Increases Stake, Breaks Ground On $4.5 Billion Virginia Pharmaceutical Plant

AstraZeneca held a groundbreaking ceremony for a new pharmaceutical factory in Albermale, Virginia October 10. In statements, the pharmaceutical giant also said it would spend a total of $4.5 billion, $500 million more than its initial July announcement had accounted for, and the largest such investment in company history. The new factory is expected to directly create 600 jobs, the company said. “With our $4.5 billion investment in Virginia, the largest in AstraZeneca’s history, we are not only building a state-of-the-art manufacturing facility, but also driving life sciences innovation and economic growth,” said AstraZeneca CEO Pascal Soirot.

Workers at the new factory will produce weight-loss drug compounds as well as cancer treatments. Initial plans for the factory included plans to produce drug substance for AstraZeneca’s weight-loss drugs, including an oral GLP-1 drug similar to Ozempic: In its October 10 announcement, the company said the extra $500 million added to previous plans would let the factory also produce AstraZeneca’s antibody drug conjugate cancer treatment.

Read more at Plant Services

EV Demand Isn’t Falling Off A Cliff

Yes, the $7,500 federal tax credit for an electric vehicle purchase has ended and yes, EV sales are slowing. But demand won’t collapse, according to Urban Science. Several pillars of support for the EV market aren’t going away, and those will create a floor to any sales slowdown, Tom Kondrat, global lead for advanced analytics at Urban Science, told Wards Auto. The five pillars Kondrat named include:

  • Current BEV owners like their vehicles and will continue to buy electric vehicles
  • More market entries at lower price points
  • Rising consideration of BEVs as consumers see more on the road
  • Continued manufacturer purchase incentives
  • Expanding public charging infrastructure

Longer term, Urban Science projects demand for electric vehicles to grow gradually, Kondrat added.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Ferrari Trims EV Target Even As They Aim To Rev Up Investors With An EV Like No Other

Ferrari has set out new long-term financial goals, forecasting net revenues of around €9bn ($10.42bn) by 2030 as the sports car maker halved its electric vehicle target. With a compound annual growth rate of roughly 5%, the company said growth will be largely supported by sports cars and related activities underpinned by its order book. The company said the projected revenue growth reflects a richer product mix and increased personalisation.

Ferrari outlined a revised 2030 sports car line-up comprising 40% internal combustion engine models, 40% hybrids and 20% fully electric vehicles. The company also presented the production-ready chassis and powertrain for the “elettrica” at a technology and innovation workshop, stating it plans to begin deliveries in late 2026. Ferrari executive chairman John Elkann said: “With the new Ferrari elettrica, we once again affirm our will to progress by uniting the discipline of technology, the creativity of design and the craft of manufacturing.”

Read more at YahooFinance

Quote of the Day

“Watch your thoughts, for they will become actions. Watch your actions, for they'll become... habits. Watch your habits for they will forge your character. Watch your character, for it will make your destiny.”

 

Margaret Thatcher - British Politician and Prime Minister who was born on ths day in 1925.

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