Member BriefingAugust 19, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Empire State Manufacturing Survey – ‘Strong Growth’ in August

Business activity grew strongly in New York State in August, according to firms responding to the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. The headline general business conditions index rose five points to 20.6, its highest reading in more than four years.

  • The new orders index came in at 17.3, and the shipments index printed at 11.7, pointing to continued solid increases in orders and shipments.
  • The unfilled orders index rose eleven points to 15.5 and the delivery times index rose eight points to 20.6, suggesting an increase in unfilled orders and significantly longer delivery times.
  • Inventories declined. The supply availability index dipped three points to -13.4, pointing to worsening supply availability.
  • The index for number of employees came in at 9.3, and the average workweek index rose to 6.9, suggesting an ongoing expansion of employment levels and hours worked.
  • The prices paid index rose six points to 58.6, pointing to a pickup in input price increases, and the prices received index dipped five points to 22.7, suggesting that selling price increases moderated but remained elevated.
  • The index for future business conditions rose four points to 32.1, suggesting firms remained optimistic about future conditions.
  • Capital spending plans remained modest.

Read more at The NY Fed

Manufacturing Revenue, Income Hold Steady According to IndustryWeek Index

The U.S. manufacturing sector, after bumping along since the shock of 2020, is showing signs of a sustained upturn. The results of the 2026 IndustryWeek U.S. 500 list of the largest U.S. public manufacturing companies based on revenue show a definite performance improvement from the previous year:

  • Revenues: $6.33 trillion, up 3.49% from 2024
  • Net income: $506 billion, up 6.78% from 2024

In sum, manufacturing data showed that actual physical output and factory employment remained relatively flat, and that revenue growth was driven primarily by price increases and/or cost-pass-throughs (including $264 billion in tariffs) rather than expanding physical sales volume. Aerospace and Defense led the Index with sales up 12.6% and earnings up 91.5%. The story of this sector is steady growth in both sales and profitability in 2025, led by the remarkable recovery of Boeing which posted a 34.5% increase in sales, and is back in the black in terms of net income.

Read more at Industry Week

Bond Markets From US To Japan Whacked As Inflation And Fiscal Worries Take Hold

Long-term borrowing costs from the United States to Japan and Germany hit their highest levels in decades on Tuesday, as renewed inflation worries added to ​nagging concerns about the fiscal pressures facing some of the world's biggest economies. Thirty-year bond yields in the United States, the world's most systemically crucial government bond market, ‌hit their highest since 2007 as oil prices -- up 50% so far this year -- rose back above $90 a barrel, fanning inflation worries as U.S.-Iran peace hopes faded. The selloff in government bond markets ripples through economies, as sovereign debt sets the benchmark for borrowing costs for companies and other loans such as mortgages. Rising borrowing costs also tighten financial conditions in general, threatening to curb the economic growth that has helped drive stock markets to record highs.

In Japan, inflation angst and expectations that Japan could hike interest rates as early as September pushed 10-year borrowing costs to a three-decade high just under 3%. In Europe, Germany's 10-year Bund yield touched its highest since 2011 , French yields were at their highest since 2009 and Britain's 30-year borrowing costs neared peaks hit in ​May that marked the highest levels since 1998. When a bond's yield rises, its price falls.

Read more at Reuters

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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Pattern Report: Housing in the Hudson Valley "Out of Reach”

After several years of dramatic shifts in rents, wages, migration, and home prices, the Hudson Valley housing market is entering a new phase. While pandemic-era volatility has moderated, the gap between regional earnings and housing costs remains firmly entrenched. Pattern for Progress’s Out of Reach 2026 report draws on data from the National Low Income Housing Coalition (NLIHC), the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, and regional sources to examine housing affordability across the nine counties we serve.

The 2026 data show that rents increased throughout the Hudson Valley, with Greene County experiencing the largest percentage increase. Wage growth provided limited relief in some counties, but those gains were not sufficient to close the affordability gap. Conditions deteriorated most sharply in Putnam and Rockland, where renter wages declined as rents continued to rise. In Rockland County, a worker earning the average renter wage would need to spend approximately 100% of their gross income to afford a modest one-bedroom apartment at Fair Market Rent. In both Putnam and Rockland, an average-wage renter would need to work more than 130 hours per week to afford that home.

Read more at Pattern for Progress

FERC Review Highlights Growing Focus on Large Electricity Loads

The US electricity grid has spare capacity. It can generate 1,250GW of power, yet peak demand is closer to 750GW. Hundreds of gigawatts are unused—and data centres are hungry for them. Some 1,000GW in “large-load” requests—single sites requesting more than 50MW (about as much as a big factory)—are reportedly queuing to hook up. Not all of these projects are real (many are speculative). But large loads were once rare and rules around them are improvised. Connecting this backlog could take years.

Or maybe not. In June America’s grid regulator issued an order to six big grid operators: defend your rules for large loads or write new ones, within 60 days. That deadline is on Monday. The regulator has suggested that operators devise formal processes, that large loads pay extra and that data centres be allowed to hook up quickly only if they power down when the grid reaches capacity. These rules could speed up their “path to power”. But developers face another obstacle: a growing and bitter backlash from locals.

Read more at FERC.gov

Meta Heads To Court In A Landmark Trial About Kids And Social Media Addiction

Meta was in federal court on Tuesday to fend off accusations from a group of state attorneys general that it designed its social media platforms to hook children, lied to the public about the risks those platforms posed and gathered data on kids in violation of the law. Four states — California, Colorado, Kentucky and New Jersey — are seeking up to $1.4 trillion in penalties and product changes under consumer protection laws that they allege were broken by Meta Platforms, the parent company of Facebook and Instagram. They say Meta also violated the Children's Online Privacy Protection Act (COPPA) by hoovering up data about children.

The case is the latest in a wave of suits against social media companies, meant to hold them accountable for the way they design their products. Legal experts compare it to landmark litigation against tobacco and opioid manufacturers that changed those companies' behaviors as well as the public discussion about the risks of cigarettes and prescription painkillers. In a statement emailed to NPR, a spokesperson for Meta said that the states' claims are limited and unsubstantiated and that the financial demands are "vastly disproportionate."

Read more at NPR

November Election Headlines

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AI Is Helping Patients Solve Medical Mysteries

Patients with rare diseases often spend five years or more searching for a diagnosis. Now artificial intelligence is helping some get answers faster.Rachel Hinken long wondered why her son, Oliver, seemed to be missing key growth milestones, including speech and walking delays. He consistently tracked between the zero and first percentile for height. At age 10, he wasn’t more than 4 feet tall. Doctors said he was fine. He would catch up. Hinken wasn’t convinced.

Last year, she uploaded Oliver’s picture into Face2Gene, an AI-assisted app designed for healthcare professionals that uses facial analysis to flag rare genetic disorders. A strong match came up for Oliver: a type of Trichorhinophalangeal syndrome, or TRPS. The condition can cause bone or joint issues that lead to pain and problems with movement. Genetic testing and clinical consultations confirmed the tool’s result, and revealed that Hinken had TRPS, too. “I screamed, I was like, ‘Holy crap! We finally have an answer!’” said Hinken, who lives on New York’s Long Island.

Read more at The WSJ 

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Industry News

Trade Wars

Ford and GM Are Locked in a New Battle Over Who’s the Most American Carmaker

General Motors and Ford Motor are clashing as they jockey for tailored tariffs and policies, while talks intensify around overhauling a North American trade deal crucial to each company’s business model. Ford, for instance, wants higher tariffs on imports from South Korea, where GM builds its most inexpensive cars. GM is targeting aspects of Ford’s electric-vehicle battery strategy. The friction reflects how fundamentally different the two Detroit giants have become as diverging manufacturing footprints and supply chains have led them to seek contrasting favors in Washington.

 GM, in a statement, said vehicles made with North American labor and parts should receive preferential tariff treatment, while Ford touted its position as the country’s top vehicle manufacturer and employer of hourly auto workers. “The Administration and Congress continue to be collaborative partners to ensure that Ford’s massive investment in America continues,” the automaker said in a statement.

Read more at the WSJ

Navy Awarded $22.9B Contract To Raytheon To Accelerate Tomahawk Missile Production

​On Monday, acting Navy Secretary Hung Cao announced that the U.S. Navy awarded a $22.9 billion contract to Raytheon to accelerate production of Tomahawk missiles amid a munitions shortage in the months after the start of the Iran war. The contract “reinforces the Department’s commitment to rebuilding the defense industrial base and ensuring Navy and Marine Corps forces remain equipped with the advanced weapons required to maintain maritime superiority,” the Navy said in a statement.

The Navy stated that by reducing procurement lead times, the contract will go directly toward supporting the Defense Department’s “rapid capability fielding goals.” Raytheon, in its own statement, said that the seven-year contract allows the annual Tomahawk production to increase to more than 1,000 missiles, as the company currently makes 60 missiles a year.

Read more at The Hill

GE Aerospace, Kratos’ GEK800 Engine Awarded Contract With United States Air Force

GE Aerospace and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions announced one of their engines has been awarded a contract with the United States Air Force. The GEK800 received the contract for development of the turbofan as a second-source propulsion system for the Joint Air-to-Surface Standoff Missile, and a U.S. Military Engine Type Designation of F143. Officials with GE Aerospace said the contract marks advancement of the program that is designed to provide small, low-cost and high-performance engines for cruise missiles, collaborative combat-type aircraft and other uncrewed aerial vehicles.

“The F143 designation and EMD award are a testament to the strong performance and capability of the GEK800 engine and the strength of our partnership with Kratos. This reflects years of disciplined engineering to deliver propulsion systems that meet the evolving, mission-critical requirements of our military customers,” Amy Gowder, President and CEO of GE Aerospace Defense & Systems, said.

Read more at WLWT Ohio

PepsiCo Inc. Cut Virgin Plastic Use By 6 Percent In 2025, Outpacing A Goal Of An Annual 2 Percent Reduction.

PepsiCo has published its 2025 ESG reporting, detailing progress against certain 2030 goals under its pep+ (PepsiCo Positive) strategy. The food and beverage company reported developments spanning its agricultural supply chain, manufacturing operations, logistics, packaging and product portfolio. Jim Andrew, Chief Sustainability Officer, PepsiCo, said: “… We’re making significant progress — from expanding regenerative, restorative and protective practices to 4.7 million acres, reducing emissions of our operations, to evolving our product portfolio to offer more choices — and we’re doing it in ways that we believe will strengthen our business for the long term.”

Against its 2022 baseline and including system contributions, PepsiCo reported reductions of 24 per cent for its Scope 1 and 2 goal, 12 per cent for its Scope 3 Energy and Industry goal and 18 per cent for its Scope 3 Forest, Land and Agriculture goal. The company also sourced 96 per cent, or approximately 4,300 GWh, of electricity requirements for its company-owned operations from renewable sources, including through renewable energy credits. PepsiCo reported in July that regenerative, restorative and protective practices had expanded to 4.7 million acres. Since 2021, approximately 224,000 people across its agricultural supply chains and communities have also been supported through programmes designed to improve economic prosperity and farmer and farm worker security.

Read more at Food & Beverage Outlook

L3Harris Ousts Chairman, CEO After Investigation Into Conduct

L3Harris Technologies has replaced Christopher Kubasik as chairman and chief executive after an investigation into an alleged violation of the defense contractor’s code of conduct. Kubasik’s alleged conduct didn’t involve and has no impact on the Melbourne, Fla., company’s financial reporting, controls, customer relationships or operational performance, L3Harris LHX -3.00%decrease; red down pointing triangle said Monday. Kubasik is an aerospace and defense sector veteran who was set to take the top job at rival defense contractor Lockheed Martin in 2012 before that company ousted him for engaging in a “lengthy, close personal relationship” with a subordinate.

The defense contractor named Sam Mehta, the head of its space and communications systems business, as president and CEO. The two units that Mehta ran account for more than 80% of the company’s revenue. Lewis Hay III, who had been lead independent director, will now serve as chairman. Despite the leadership change, the company affirmed its previously disclosed 2026 financial targets. 

Read more at The WSJ

Amazon Strikes Global Warehouse Automation Deal With Autostore

Amazon has struck a strategic global supply agreement with AutoStore to step up investment in robotics and automated fulfilment. he deal establishes a framework for AutoStore to supply its warehouse automation products and solutions to Amazon around the world, the Norwegian technology group confirmed on Thursday. However, AutoStore stressed that the agreement does not currently contain any purchasing commitments, meaning Amazon has not disclosed how many systems it could ultimately deploy or how much the partnership could be worth.

The agreement comes as Amazon continues to make robotics a central part of its efforts to make deliveries faster and lower the cost of fulfilment. Amazon chief executive Andy Jassy revealed earlier this year that Amazon now has more than one million robots operating across its fulfilment centres, carrying out tasks spanning picking, stowing, sorting and moving goods around its warehouses. Jassy said it remained in the “early stages” of how it intended to use robotics, with the business continuing to invest in new robot formats, greater intelligence and a wider variety of use cases.

Read more at Retail Gazette UK

Boeing Picked for Army Helicopter Updates

Boeing has drawn $636 million in a three-year U.S. Army award for complex component repair, system component support, and consumable items supply for AH-64 Apache helicopters. The award, which is a modification to a 2024 contract, also covers: test equipment support; supply/retrograde transmission infrastructure management; a comprehensive obsolescence management program; and supply chain management for the Apache airframes. The new award is scheduled to run through April 2029.

Boeing has manufactured the Apache since it acquired McDonnell Douglas in 1997. Its Apache program operations are centered in Mesa, Ariz., where it assembles helicopters and also produces advanced composite aerostructures. More than 2,700 Apache helicopters have been produced since the program launch in 1975, and more than 800 are in service now with the U.S. Army. Other allied defense forces have an estimated total of 500 in service.

Read more at Nikkei Asia

Carvana Flourishing As Used-Car Inventory Grows

Giant used-car retailer Carvana continues to add used-car inventory — a first step in a virtuous circle, according to CEO Ernie Garcia III. The short version goes like this: Provided Carvana delivers “great experiences” for customers, more inventory creates more sales. More sales make marketing more efficient, and therefore more affordable. More advertising and marketing create more demand. More demand necessitates more inventory. Repeat.

Carvana set all-time records in the second quarter for revenue, net income and retail units. Total revenue was about $7.4 billion, an increase of 52% compared with the second quarter of 2025. Net income was $513 million, up 66.6%. Retail units sold were 197,325, up 38%. On the downside, gross profit per unit was $7,014, down 5.4%. Driving the top-line improvement was used-vehicle inventory of about 77,000 units offered for sale online as of June 30, up from about 75,000 units as of Dec. 31, 2025. It was 53,000 a year earlier and 33,000 at the end of 2023. Carvana acquires used-vehicle inventory directly from customers, from used-car auctions and from wholesale used-vehicle suppliers, according to its quarterly report.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Did You Know Most Of Your Daily Online Activities Rely On Data Centers? Here’s How It Works

While data centers are not new, growing numbers of them have been built around the country in the last few years, increasing locals’ concerns about the sites raising electric bills and depleting water sources. Some hopefuls for elected office have called for regulations while others have boasted about the potential economic boon. The term “data center” generally refers to the physical building that houses powerful computers (usually thousands of them), data storage systems and networking equipment. These facilities are active 24/7 storing and managing the data associated with different web applications and services.

  • The average data center is about 100,000 square feet, comparable to the average Walmart Supercenter or Costco warehouse.
  • Data centers have been around for decades; the first one in 1945 housed the world’s first programmable computer designed to calculate U.S. Army artillery fire during World War II.
  • A typical AI data center can consume as much electricity annually as 100,000 households; the largest data centers under construction will demand 20 times that amount, the International Energy Agency estimated in 2025.
  • The facilities use freshwater, usually from local municipal water systems, to cool the computers.
  • The centers have large air conditioning units, fans and chilled water pipes that cool the computers, which generate a lot of heat while continuously running.

“Every day digital communications like the internet, banking, healthcare systems, cloud computing/gaming, and websites all use remote servers and therefore data centers,” said via email Ke Xu, a Rochester Institute of Technology professor who develops energy efficient AI hardware. “AI changed the scale and type of computing, and the intensity normal people use them.”

Read more at WBAL Maryland

Daily Market Update Aug 18, 2026

The September ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.03 at $2.71. The September ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.61 at $85.11. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“I don't like work--no man does--but I like what is in the work--the chance to find yourself. Your own reality--for yourself not for others--what no other man can ever know. They can only see the mere show, and never can tell what it really means.”

Joseph Conrad - English/Polish Writer from his novel 'Heart of Darkness.'He died on this day in 1924.

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