Member Briefing August 3, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Q2 GDP = 1.5% - Imports Hold Back US Economic Growth In Q2, But Domestic Demand Robust

Gross domestic product increased at a 1.5% annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its advance estimate of second-quarter GDP. US. Growth slowed in the second quarter as imports widened the trade deficit, but robust consumer spending and business investment related to the buildout of artificial intelligence infrastructure underscored ​strong domestic demand. The moderation reported by the Commerce Department in its snapshot of gross domestic product on Thursday also reflected continued inventory drawdown to meet the strong demand as well as the reduction of the Strategic ‌Petroleum Reserve, which weighed on federal government expenditures. The report suggested the economy weathered the initial oil price shock from the Middle East conflict.

Consumer spending, which ​accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, surged at a 3.2% rate after abruptly slowing to a 0.5% growth pace in the January-March quarter. In addition to larger tax refunds, spending was boosted by higher-income households that are benefiting from strong growth in asset prices. The recently ended FIFA World Cup tournament also likely added to the strength as did midterm election-related spending by nonprofits. The AI investment boom helped to boost underlying demand. Business spending on equipment increased at ​a 15.2% pace, notching a second straight quarter of double-digit growth. But the AI buildout is heavily reliant on imports, contributing to a widening in the trade deficit. The trade shortfall sliced off 1.01 percentage points from GDP growth, the most ​since the first quarter of 2025.

Read more at Reuters

PCE = 3.7 - Fed's Favored Inflation Gauge Showed Prices Pulled Back In June

Overall inflation fell in June for the first time in six years. The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index – the gauge used by the Federal Reserve for its target inflation rate – dropped 0.1% from May, bringing the annual rate to 3.7% from 4.1%, Commerce Department data showed. That reprieve helped to buoy household finances. Inflation-adjusted consumer spending rose 0.4% last month, matching an 11-month high, according to new data released Thursday by the Commerce Department.

The inflation slowdown was largely driven by energy prices, particularly those at the fuel pump, which tumbled amid a false dawn in the Middle East war: In mid-June, the US and Iran reached a Memorandum of Understanding and ceasefire that later fell apart. When stripping out energy and food prices, the “core” PCE index rose 0.1% on a monthly basis and was up 3.3% from a year ago. It’s been at or above 3.3% for four months running, the longest such stretch in that range since the fall of 2023. A “supercore” services index that excludes energy and housing rose just 0.1% but is still up 3.8% from a year ago.

Read more at CNN

Q2 Industrial Planned Projects Decreased by 2.7%

Industrial SalesLeads announced today the June 2026 results for its planned industrial capital project spending report, tracking North American facility expansions, new plant construction, and significant equipment modernization projects across all major industrial sectors. The firm's industrial market research team confirmed 397 new planned industrial projects during the month of June. Q2 projects showed April 2026 with 408 projects, May 2026 with 400 projects and June with 397 projects. Although projects only decreased by 11 projects, it still signifies a 2.7% consistent drop in the past 3 months.

Planned Industrial Construction - By Project Type:

  • Manufacturing Facilities - 159 New Projects
  • Processing Facilities - 76 New Projects
  • Distribution and Industrial Warehouse - 184 New Projects
  • Power/Energy/Oil and Gas - 33 New Projects
  • Laboratory Facilities - 7 New Project

Planned Industrial Construction - By Location (Top 10 States)

  • Texas - 30
  • California - 24
  • Indiana - 21
  • Ohio - 20
  • Florida - 19
  • New York - 19
  • Michigan - 16

Read more at Smart Industry

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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As New York's Medical Aid in Dying Act Is About To Take Effect, Questions Remain About Access

New York's Medical Aid in Dying Act takes effect Aug. 5. As hospitals and healthcare providers develop their policies, access may vary across New York. Here's what patients and families should know. Under the MAID Act, mentally capable adults with a terminal illness and a prognosis of six months or less can request medication to peacefully end their lives. Since participation is voluntary, access to Medical Aid in Dying may depend on where patients receive their care, and whether their medical provider is willing to participate.

With the law going into effect next week, healthcare providers are developing policies, educating staff, and deciding what implementation will look like for patients and families. Vice president of clinical education and patient advocacy at Buffalo Hospice & Palliative Care, Kelley Clem, said questions remain about who will participate. While the law gives eligible patients a new option, it doesn’t require physicians or hospitals to participate. Leaders with local health systems like Kaleida Health said they’re reviewing the new law and are awaiting guidance from the New York State Department of Health. "Kaleida Health, like many healthcare providers across New York, is eagerly awaiting guidance from the Department of Health on this new law in order to best determine how we could comply," said Kaleida Health Director of Communications Jacquiline A. Bett.

Read more at NY State of Politics

Commerce Department Quietly Announces 7 New Equity Stakes In Private Companies

In a blog post Wednesday, the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) said Commerce’s CHIPS Research and Development Office signed letters of intent with seven companies to provide a combined $874 million in federal funding under the landmark CHIPS and Science Act. The financial awards will be used to conduct research and development on critical technologies and advanced integrated photonics — a microchip technology that uses light instead of electricity to transfer and process data. It will also be used for research and development on compute architectures and memory for computing and artificial intelligence systems, according to NIST. “The Department will receive a minority, non-controlling equity stake in each company as a condition for receiving the funds to enhance the return for the U.S. taxpayer,” NIST wrote.

Up to $300 million will go to GlobalFoundries, a semiconductor manufacturer, while Kepler, which is developing AI memory and logic technologies, will receive up to $245 million. Multibeam Corp. will get up to $140 million for the company’s semiconductor equipment manufacturing, NIST said, with remaining funds going to equipment makers Extropic, Thintronics, Obsidia Semiconductors and Aeluma Inc.

Read more at The Hill

Senate GOP Close To Cutting Deal To Avoid Shutdown

Senate Republicans are close to cutting a deal with their Democratic counterparts to avoid a government shutdown and rein in a proposed rule from the White House budget office that would give Trump appointees more power to withhold congressional appropriations, according to senators familiar with the negotiations. GOP lawmakers are desperate to avoid another shutdown before the election but any proposal to quash President Trump’s ability to hold up federal money from going to programs the administration deems “woke” could draw the president’s opposition and scuttle a funding deal.

The proposal would fund the government through Dec. 4, and some Democrats believe that if it passes, there would be a tacit agreement from Senate GOP colleagues to postpone Trump’s demanded budget reconciliation package until after the election. Several Democrats told The Hill that they hope to get the stopgap passed before the August recess, which would take another possible shutdown off the table for the fall. Other Republican senators are backing the effort to stop Trump’s initiative to put political appointees in charge of releasing grants appropriated by Congress.

Read more at The Hill

November Election Headlines

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Can Furry Coworkers Improve Mental Health at Work?

In a world where workplace stress is sky-high, some employers are turning to an unusual remedy: dogs. At a veterinary college in the Midwest, a long-running "Dogs at Work" program has been letting faculty and staff bring their pet dogs into the office. But do these four-legged companions actually improve work life—or do they just add another layer of distraction? A recent study from Purdue University digs into this question, using in-depth interviews with employees who participate in the program. Dogs were found to be intuitive companions, offering comfort during tough times without judgment. They helped employees:

  • Decompress after emotional situations, like difficult client interactions or euthanasia cases.
  • Take needed breaks, acting as a healthy excuse to step away.
  • Feel supported through simple acts like cuddling or just being present.
  • Dogs didn’t just help individuals—they helped build community:
  • They served as conversation starters, breaking down social barriers between coworkers and even students.
  • Employees felt their presence made the workplace friendlier and more connected.

Read more at Purdue University

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

SOLD OUT! TEE SIGNS STILL AVAILABLE Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership (CML), In Person at Orange Community College , Newburgh.  Sept 16 - Dec 9. 8:30 - 4:30. (7 Courses)

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15. 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

China’s Factory Activity Unexpectedly Contracts In July On Demand Slump, Typhoons

 China’s factory activity unexpectedly contracted in July for the first time since February, as domestic orders slumped and typhoons disrupted production, while part of the front-loading momentum began to unwind, piling pressure on Beijing to boost domestic demand. The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index fell to 49.2 from 50.3 in June, National Bureau of Statistics data showed Friday, dropping below the 50-point threshold that separates expansion from contraction. Economists’ median forecast had pegged PMI at 50. The gauge — the weakest since February — ended a four-month run at or above 50, a stretch propped up by exporters rushing shipments ahead of U.S. tariff increases.

The headline figure was dragged down by the new orders sub-index, which fell to 48.5, the lowest in 38 months, according to official data accessed via Wind. The sub-index for factory-gate prices extended its decline after a brief war-driven energy spike earlier this year, signaling producer price weakness. Weakness spread well beyond manufacturing. The construction PMI slumped to a record low of 47.0, the services gauge fell to its weakest since the initial Covid-19 lockdowns, and the composite PMI dropped to 49.3, the lowest since the pandemic ended in 2022, Wind data showed. A statistics bureau spokesperson attributed part of the PMI weakness to a recent spate of typhoons that halted work on many projects.

Read more at CNBC

IBM CEO Says Quantum Computing Will Have A ‘Measurable Impact’ On Earnings By 2028 Or 2029

IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said Thursday investors won’t have to wait much longer for quantum computing to become a meaningful business for the technology company known for its mainframes and enterprise software. “I think that in 2028 or 2029, you’ll see it have a measurable impact on our top line and bottom line,” Krishna said on CNBC’s “Mad Money.” “By the end of the 2030s, we are now pretty convinced this is a trillion dollars of value.” On Thursday, IBM and startup Algorithmiq unveiled new research demonstrating what the companies described as quantum advantage, showing a quantum computer could solve certain computational problems more efficiently than today’s leading classical computers while also verifying the results.

While skeptics argue quantum computing remains years away from practical commercialization because of challenges including high error rates, hardware complexity and scalability, Krishna said IBM is already seeing meaningful progress toward real-world applications. In May, the company announced plans to develop a standalone quantum chip foundry backed by a $1 billion commitment from the U.S. Department of Commerce through the CHIPS incentive, along with a matching $1 billion investment from IBM.

Read more at CNBC

Key Earnings Reports

Stellantis reported operating income more than tripled year-on-year for the second quarter of 2026, driven by strong revenue growth in North America. The automaker’s July 30 report shows adjusted operating income for the April to June period was 773 million euros ($882 million) compared to just 213 million euros for the same period in 2025. The group’s net revenues for Q2 2026 increased to 43.5 billion euros, up 13% YoY, with North America up 32% and South America up 6%. Enlarged Europe was flat while both the Middle East & Africa and Asia Pacific regions were down. – Ward’s Auto

Amazon reported surging cloud growth during the second quarter, pointing to strong artificial intelligence demand, and the company boosted its capital spending forecast for the year. Earnings per share were $1.97 adjusted vs. $1.82 estimated and revenue was $200.61 billion vs. $196.47 billion estimated. Amazon Web Services earned $42.2 billion vs. $40.54 billion expected, according to StreetAccount, and advertising was: $19.81 billion vs. $19.43 billion expected, according to StreetAccount. Amazon said it expects to spend even more on AI, with capital expenditures projected to hit $220 billion this year, CEO Andy Jassy said on a conference call with investors. In February, the company said capex would hit $200 billion this year, and it held steady on that forecast in April. - CNBC

Corning reported earnings per share before the bell on Tuesday of 78 cents versus estimates of 76 cents. Revenue came in at $4.74 billion, also topping the Street’s estimates of $4.61 billion. Despite the company posting a beat on the top and bottom lines, revenue forecasts for the current quarter fell below Wall Street’s consensus. The company expects core revenue to grow 16%, a range of $4.9 billion to $5 billion. Factset expected $5 billion. CNBC

L3Harris Technologies posted EPS of $3.63, beating estimates of $2.78 by $0.85, while revenue of $5.88B topped consensus by approximately $58M, compared with $5.43B in the year-ago quarter, supported by solid demand across its defense portfolio. Seeking Alpha

General Dynamics reported EPS of $4.24, beating estimates of $3.74 by $0.50, while revenue of $14.09B exceeded expectations by about $550M, up from $13.04B in the prior-year quarter, helped by growth across its aerospace and defense businesses. Seeking Alpha

Pentagon Expands Patriot Missile Order to $58B

The Pentagon will award up to $58.6 billion to Lockheed Martin to manufacture and supply of PAC-3 Missile Segment Enhancement (MSE) interceptors over a seven-year period, 2026 through 2032. The assignment is modification to an April contract, in line with the Acquisition Transformation Strategy that the U.S. Dept. of War implemented earlier this year. The ongoing war with Iran has precipitated a shortage of critical missile systems, including the Patriot interceptors, according to various reports citing Pentagon and White House sources. The missile inventory has also been affected by U.S. supplying Ukrainian forces since the Russian invasion of that country in 2022.

The PAC-3 MSE missiles and their critical components, like rocket motors and guidance systems are among the Pentagon purchases included in the new framework agreements it coordinated with several major defense contractors, to incentivize them to accelerate production and increase investments in new manufacturing capacity for missile systems. According to Lockheed, the contract modification will mean it is able “to supercharge PAC-3 MSE production and triple capacity by the end of 2030.” The manufacturer further highlighted its plan to increase employment by 50% (from 1,200 to approximately 1,850) at the Camden, Ark., where it produces the PAC-3 MSE interceptors.

Read more at American Machinist

F-47 Program Producing Test Aircraft, On Schedule For 2028 Flight

The U.S. Air Force’s F-47 program has begun its engineering and manufacturing development phase and will fly in the coming years, a service official said. The first Boeing F-47 is on track for its first flight in 2028. The Air Force plans to buy at least 185 F-47s, matching the size of the F-22 Raptor fleet it intends to replace. The program, described as “extreme teaming” with industry partners, entered the phase with “unprecedented maturity,” Gen. Dale White, director of Critical Major Weapon Systems, said in a Wednesday keynote address at an event in Dayton, Ohio.

The engineering and manufacturing phase includes maturing, integrating and testing all parts of the F-47. It will produce a small number of test aircraft for evaluation and includes priced options for low-rate initial production. White did not specify the number of test aircraft being produced. The F-47 program was allotted $3.45 billion in fiscal year 2026 funding and over $5 billion in the fiscal 2027 budget request.

Read more at Defense News

Caterpillar Announces $10M Workforce Commitment In Illinois

Caterpillar has announced an up to $10 million workforce commitment in Illinois, part of its five-year Building the Future Workforce Initiative. The funding aims to prepare workers across the state for the modern manufacturing and industry technician jobs of the future, the company said. The effort will extend across multiple communities where ‘Big Yellow’ has a manufacturing footprint, including East Peoria, Mapleton, Morton, Pontiac and Decatur.

Caterpillar outlined four areas the funds will target: generating interest in manufacturing careers, leveraging resources to strengthen local learning institutions, improving access and affordability to training programs, and sharing the results of the investments with the public. “Caterpillar’s roots run deep in Illinois, and so does our commitment to building a strong and skilled workforce,” said Christy Pambianchi, Caterpillar’s chief human resources officer. “This investment builds on that legacy, helping ensure people have a clear path to manufacturing careers today while equipping the next generation of Illinoisans with the skills they need to succeed.”

Read more at News 25

Has Physical AI Gone ‘Mainstream’? One New Survey Says Yes

Newly released TCS report claims manufacturers have begun to substantively scale the kind of AI that doesn’t stay behind a screen but that interacts with sensors and physical processes and parts like automation and robotics. Broadly, according to Mumbai-headquartered Tata Consultancy Services from its Future-Ready Manufacturing: TCS Physical AI Readiness Report, these manufacturers are using physical AI in people-first digital transformations, meaning that instead of the processes replacing the workforce, “manufacturers are using intelligent systems to help employees work more safely, efficiently, and productively while supporting workforce redeployment where needed in a human plus AI operating model.”

No organization surveyed plans to reduce physical AI investment, while 26% plan to increase spending.

68% of manufacturers remain in non-deployment or experimental stages.

A high impact is expected in warehouse operations. Of the respondents, 77% anticipate significant or transformational impact, followed by assembly and manufacturing operations at 75% and logistics and material movement at 72%.

C-suite-level people and VPs from 300 manufacturing companies across North America and Europe were surveyed in March and April.

Read more at Smart Industry

Resilience And Lilly Invest $750M To Scale Cincinnati Medicine Output

Resilience and Eli Lilly are investing $750 million to increase domestic medicine production in the Cincinnati region, including additional capacity for GLP-1 weight-loss injectables, the companies said Thursday. Their joint investment allows contract manufacturer Resilience to produce Lilly’s KwikPen injectable device for medicines that treat diabetes and obesity, according to a news release. The expansion will create at least 400 jobs, bringing Resilience’s total headcount to more than 1,400 across its two facilities.

Since their partnership began in 2023, the companies said they have produced more than 150 million doses of medicines for U.S. patients in vial and pre-filled syringe formats. Site preparation for the expansion is underway with full operations expected to begin in early 2027. The investment comes amid growing demand for GLP-1 medications that treat diabetes, obesity and other conditions. Lilly and other biopharmaceutical giants are pouring billions of dollars into their operational footprints to ensure they have enough capacity to meet demand. Resilience has become a key partner in helping Lilly address its supply needs in recent years.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Commonwealth Fusion Secures $1B Capital Raise To Set Stage For Chesterfield Virginia Power Plant

An MIT-born startup’s plan to build the world’s first nuclear fusion power plant in Chesterfield just got a 10-figure jolt. Commonwealth Fusion Systems announced Thursday it has secured $1 billion in financing to fuel its efforts to open a Chesterfield-based commercial-scale power plant, which the company calls ARC, in the coming years. The local project comes as the company eyes completion of its prototype fusion machine, known as SPARC, at its Massachusetts headquarters.

The 400-megawatt fusion plant would be built on 25 to 40 acres of an overall 94-acre property owned by Dominion Energy in the Chester area. CFS has previously said it has signed a lease option for the site and would pay for and own the facility. Nuclear fusion, which involves the collision and fusion of atomic nuclei, is how the sun generates energy. Replicating the process at a commercial scale with man-made technology has been studied for decades but hasn’t yet been achieved. Fusion is considered a renewable energy source and safer than today’s nuclear fission, which involves the splitting of atoms and results in long-lasting, highly radioactive waste. Fusion doesn’t cause meltdowns or the create greenhouse gases.

Read more at Richmond Biz

Daily Market Update July 31, 2026

The September ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.01 at $2.77. The September ‘26 crude oil contract is up $2.02 at $85.61. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“I don't like work--no man does--but I like what is in the work--the chance to find yourself. Your own reality--for yourself not for others--what no other man can ever know. They can only see the mere show, and never can tell what it really means.”

Joseph Conrad - English/Polish Writer from his novel 'Heart of Darkness.'He died on this day in 1924.

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