Member Briefing December 3, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

OECD Expects Global Economy Will Grow 3.2% This Year

The world economy has proven surprisingly durable in the face of President Donald Trump’s trade wars, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said Tuesday, upgrading its outlook for global and U.S. economic growth this year. The 38-country OECD now forecasts that the world economy will grow 3.2% this year, down a tick from 3.3% in 2024 but an improvement on the 2.9% it had predicted for 2025 back in June. The organization, which does economic research and promotes international trade and prosperity, expects global growth to slow to 2.9% next year.

The OECD also raised its forecast for U.S. growth this year – to 2%, up from the 1.6% it had forecast in June. Still, even with the upgrade, the American economy – the world’s largest -- would have grown considerably more slowly than it did in 2024 (2.8%). The OECD expects China, the world’s No. 2 economy, to grow 5% this year, same as in 2024. It sees the 20 economies that share the euro currency collectively expanding 1.3% in 2025, lackluster but up from 0.8% in 2024. India, which has supplanted China as the world’s fastest-growing major economy, is expected to generate 6.7% growth this year, up from 6.5% in 2024.

Read more at The AP

NRF: Holiday Shopping Turnout Jumps To 202.9 Million People During Thanksgiving Weekend

A desire for deep discounts inspired 202.9 million U.S. consumers to shop during the five-day stretch from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday, according to a survey by the National Retail Federation and Prosper Insights & Analytics released on Tuesday. That estimated total surpassed the major trade group’s forecast that 186.9 million people would shop during the five-day period. It also increased from last year’s turnout of 197 million shoppers during the same period.

Retailers and economists are closely watching spending during the peak shopping season while trying to make sense of conflicting indicators about the country and U.S. households’ outlook. While consumer sentiment has tumbled and a growing number of major companies have laid off thousands of employees, retail sales data remains solid. Even during a time of year that typically brings higher store traffic, retailers have looked for ways to manage one of their top costs: labor. Holiday hiring by retailers is expected to total between 265,000 and 365,000 roles this year, the lowest number of seasonal workers in at least 15 years, according to the NRF.

Read more at CNBC

Workplace Injuries Could be Avoided by Increased Automation

Automation can be an important tool in reducing injuries, according to a new report from Lamber Goodnow, a legal firm. The report examined industries with the highest rates of workplace injuries and those that could most benefit from increased automation, leading to reductions in workplace injury rates. Data came from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics workplace injury data for 2020-2024, along with 2030 forecast data from the World Economic Forum and sector-level automation levels as of 2025.

Historically, studies have found that a 10% increase in automation has been associated with a roughly 2% reduction in workplace injuries.  Analysis of both predicted automation development and current workplace injury rates, by Lamber Goodnow, found that workplace injuries are forecast to decrease by 5.9% by 2030, preventing approximately 161,000 injuries annually within five years. Prediction models revealed that automation and AI use in the Private Healthcare sector will lead to the most significant drop in injury numbers of any sector, with the injury incidence rate expected to fall by 6.3%, preventing nearly 30,000 injuries annually. Goods Manufacturing (18,143) is predicted to have the second largest drop in injury numbers at the sector level, representing a 5.5% improvement.

Read more at EHS Today

Middle East

Ukraine

Other Headlines

Advertisement

Your ad here! Contact Harold King to learn more

GOP Pessimism Grows Over Any Deal To Extend Expiring Health Care Subsidies

Senate Republicans don’t see a bipartisan deal to extend enhanced health insurance premium subsidies coming together before the Christmas deadline, given the complexity of the issue and a growing fight over abortion, an issue that deeply divides both parties. There is a solid group of Republican lawmakers in both the Senate and House who don’t want to see the enhanced subsidies under the Affordable Care Act (ACA) expire at the end of the month.

Many more, however, view ObamaCare as irretrievably broken, and an extension of beefed-up subsidies as policy heresy. That fracture within the party makes it very difficult to move legislation and is a reason for the GOP pessimism. Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) acknowledged the lack of progress Monday. Thune said the “conversations are still active on a solution,” but he warned “there are some significant sticking points.”

Read more at The Hill

'Did We Do a 5 Why to Figure This Out?' IndustryWeek Readers Respond to MEP Cuts

IndustryWeek's Nov. 17 story on the Trump administration's plan to eliminate federal funding for Manufacturing Extension Partnerships struck a chord with readers. Some highlighted the positive impact of MEPs on both individual smaller manufacturers and the U.S. manufacturing economy, while others felt the MEP organizational and funding structures could use re-evaluating. Two examples:

Rich Brown, executive vice president of staffing firm Compass Tech International, said IndustryWeek should have spent more time gathering the perspective of the Trump administration and “evaluating program accomplishments—spending versus achievements and the realities of a massive federal budget deficit.” IndustryWeek, he wrote, “painted the Trump administration as adversarial and non-supportive of smaller manufacturers,” when “the trillions of new investments, lower taxes, improved depreciation schedules and reduced bureaucracy and regulatory burden” say otherwise.

Dennis Goldensohn, a retiree who spent 45 years in manufacturing operations, wrote that the administration’s funding cuts smacks of “If someone doesn’t like something, they just cut the legs out from under the program.” “This approach never worked in the past and will never work going forward,” he adds. “If the MEPs are either too expensive and are not working, why? Did we do a '5 Why' to figure this out? If something doesn’t meet our expectations, then there should be a program designed to improve on the performance while reducing costs.

Read more at IndustryWeek

Doctors Call Ozempic A Miracle Drug. Medicaid Officials Aren’t So Sure.

Breakthroughs in weight-loss medicine are presenting state Medicaid officials with what looks like a sure bet: Spend big now to cover the drugs and reap savings when diabetes, heart disease and cancer rates drop. States, however, are hesitating to take it and the few states that have decided to cover drugs like Ozempic and Wegovy to help the nearly 40 percent of patients who are obese in the state-federal program for low-income people are finding they’re blowing holes in their budgets.

The White House is touting a deal it reached last month with the makers of some of the most popular weight-loss treatments, reducing the price to state Medicaid programs to $245 a month. But how much that’ll save states and whether they take the offer is far from certain. That’s because it’s unclear whether the price point is lower than what states are currently paying when rebates and discounts are taken into account. In Michigan, where Medicaid covers the obesity medications, the new price “doesn’t look too different” than what the state currently pays with a rebate, said Medicaid Director Meghan Groen.

Read more at Politico

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Be Aware Of These COVID Symptoms During The Holidays

COVID-19 emergency room visits are surging nationwide according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, so you'll need to be aware of COVID symptoms and preventative measures, particularly if you plan on attending any holiday gatherings. Here's the COVID symptoms to look for this holiday season, and best ways to prevent infection and spread. According to The Mayo Clinic, COVID-19 symptoms include acute headaches; muscle aches; tiredness; nausea/vomiting, shortness of breath/trouble breathing, and losing sense of taste and smell.

The American Red Cross warns you could possibly misdiagnose early COVID-19 symptoms. They remind us that "COVID is very contagious, spreads quickly and may attack more than your lungs and respiratory system." Most people with COVID-19 have mild symptoms, but some people become severely ill. Symptoms are similar to flu. "Quick testing for both flu and COVID-19 viruses allows for faster diagnosis and treatment."

Read more at NorthJersey.com

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast - Friday May 8, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. The DoubleTree Poughkeepsie.

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, February 12, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Location TBD

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

Check back soon

Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Winter Session, Virtual. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (15 half day sessions) January 6 - March 11 Via Zoom.

Lean Six Sigma Green Belt This program combines online coursework, with live Zoom sessions, to deliver a flexible and effective learning experience in Lean Six Sigma methodologies. Most Mondays March 2 - June 8 Via Zoom.

(Special Info session for those who are 'Green Belt curious' February 23rd)

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - March 9,10 & 11 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

Nippon Steel to Shortlist Two or Three States for New US Plant

Japan's Nippon Steel Corp. hopes to narrow down a list of candidate sites by next summer and make a final decision by the end of 2026 on a location for its United States Steel Corp. subsidiary to build a plant in the U.S. market, Takahiro Mori, vice chairman of the Japanese maker, said in a recent interview. Nippon Steel, which acquired U.S Steel in June, plans to set up two electric furnaces that mainly use scrap iron as raw material, investing 4 billion dollars. The two electric furnaces at the new plant are expected to have a combined annual capacity of some 3 million tons of crude steel.

Referring to criteria for picking the plant site, Mori cited factors such as land, electricity, and railroad and road networks as well as human resources and policies to be taken to host the plant. "Various states have shown their interest" after Nippon Steel explained its demands to them, he said. To narrow down the candidate site list, Nippon Steel also plans to consider such conditions as steel demand in neighboring areas and the ease of procuring materials.

Read more at Bloomberg

XLight, Commerce Department Ink $150M CHIPS Act Incentives for Electron Laser To be Built at Albany NanoTech

Silicon Valley startup XLight announced on Monday that it has signed a letter of intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce for $150 million in proposed federal incentives under the CHIPS and Science Act. The incentives would go toward construction, expansion and demonstration of a free-electron laser, or FEL, prototype as an alternative light source for extreme ultraviolet lithography, according to the National Institute of Standards and Technology’s press release. Additionally, the Commerce Department would receive $150 million of equity in XLight, making the agency one of the semiconductor startup’s stakeholders.

XLight will build its first FEL system at the NY Creates’ Albany NanoTech Complex, CEO and CTO Nicholas Kelez said. He added that the facility’s “lithography capabilities will enable the research and development that will define the future of chip manufacturing.” The Albany NanoTech Complex is one of the flagship CHIPS Act research and development facilities that the Commerce Department opened in July. Dubbed the National Semiconductor Technology Center, the facility houses the CHIPS for America Extreme Ultraviolet Accelerator that provides dedicated space and resources to enhance EUV technology and scale up chip manufacturing.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

UPS, FedEx Up Fuel Surcharge Rates For Domestic, Ground Deliveries

UPS and FedEx announced increases to their fuel surcharge calculations in the midst of the holiday shipping rush, building upon continued pricing pressures for customers. On Monday, FedEx implemented an increase to its fuel surcharge calculations for domestic package and express freight services, along with ground and home delivery offerings. Starting Jan. 5, UPS’ fuel surcharge calculations will increase for similar services such as UPS Ground domestic, Ground Saver and domestic air offerings.

The increases amount to a 1.5% fuel surcharge hike for FedEx and a 1% jump for UPS, according to experts. For parcel carriers, such adjustments can benefit their financial performance. FedEx EVP and Chief Customer Officer Brie Carere said during a Q1 earnings call on Sept. 18 that fuel surcharge index increases have benefited the company’s per-package revenues within a “competitive but rational” pricing environment. “Fuel was very helpful in the first quarter, and that will continue through the year,” Carere said.

Read more at Supply Chain Dive

Trump Administration Backs Bayer's Bid To Curb Roundup Lawsuits

President Donald Trump's administration urged the U.S. Supreme Court on Monday to take up Bayer’s bid to curtail thousands of lawsuits claiming its Roundup weedkiller causes cancer, pushing the group's shares to their highest in almost two years. In a brief filed at the court, U.S. Solicitor General D. John Sauer bolstered Bayer’s effort to limit the lawsuits and potentially avert billions of dollars in damages, saying the company was correct that the federal law governing pesticides preempts lawsuits that make claims over the products under state law.

Bayer has asked the justices to hear its appeal of a lower court's decision to uphold a $1.25 million verdict awarded by a St. Louis jury in a Missouri state court case in which a plaintiff named John Durnell sued after being diagnosed with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma he attributed to his exposure to Roundup. Bayer is facing more than 67,000 such lawsuits in U.S. state and federal courts. The German pharmaceutical and biotechnology company, which acquired Roundup as part of its $63 billion purchase of Monsanto in 2018, has said that decades of studies have shown Roundup and its active ingredient, glyphosate, are safe for human use.

Read more at Reuters

Boeing CFO Says Company Expects Higher 737, 787 Deliveries Next Year

Boeing is continuing to express optimism about its business as the company wraps up the year and looks at 2026. Chief Financial Officer Jay Malave said Tuesday at a UBS conference that the company expects deliveries of both its 737 and 787 jets to be up next year. “When you now fast forward to 2026, we’re going to be increasing our deliveries,” Malave said. He added that he expects the certification for the 737-10 aircraft, which is years behind schedule, to come later in 2026.

In July, CEO Kelly Ortberg said the company was beginning to see changes in its business, including slashing its quarterly losses. Boeing saw a strong delivery pace in October, putting it on track for its highest annual delivery total since 2018. The company said its jetliner deliveries drove it back into cash-positive territory for the first time in nearly two years in October. Those deliveries follow a lifting of restrictions by the Federal Aviation Administration, allowing the company to sign off on some of its 737 Max and 787 Dreamliner planes before they reach customers.

Read more at CNBC

Airbus to Inspect Hundreds of A320 Jets for Defective Panels

Airbus is inspecting panels on its bestselling A320 passenger jets after quality control problems surfaced, days after it reported that it was scrambling to fix a separate software problem affecting about 6,000 of the popular planes. The European planemaker said Monday that it “identified a supplier quality issue affecting a limited number” of metal panels on the single-aisle A320 aircraft. “The source of the issue has been identified, contained and all newly produced panels conform to all requirements,” Airbus said in a brief statement.

Airbus sources parts and components from thousands of outside suppliers. The announcement came just hours after it said that the software glitch had been mostly resolved with an update. Travelers had faced minor disruptions heading into the weekend as airlines around the world scrambled to push the software updates out to the widely used commercial jetliner. The European planemaker said the “vast majority” of the short-haul passenger jets in service “have now received the necessary modifications.”

Read more at The AP

Ford U.S. Sales Down Slightly In November As EVs Drag

Ford Motor on Tuesday reported a marginal drop in its U.S. auto sales in November, as sales of its electric vehicles fizzled following the end of tax credits. Demand for electric vehicles has taken a hit after U.S. President Donald Trump’s tax and spending bill ended the $7,500 tax credits for new EV purchases in October.

The automaker also had to contend with the impact of a fire at one of the plants of a key aluminum supplier, hitting production of its F-150 Lightning electric pickup.

Sales of Ford’s EVs, such as the Mustang Mach-E and the F-150 Lightning, were down about 61% to 4,247 vehicles in November from last year. Overall sales of the Detroit automaker in the month slipped nearly 1% to 164,925 units from a year earlier.

Read more at CNBC

OpenAI Is Under Pressure As Google, Anthropic Gain Ground

The OpenAI CEO sent a memo to his staffers on Monday outlining a “code red” effort to improve its chatbot ChatGPT, according to multiple reports. Altman said OpenAI will be pulling back on investments in areas like health, shopping and advertising as it works to prioritize ChatGPT, the reports said. “Our focus now is to keep making ChatGPT more capable, continue growing, and expand access around the world — while making it feel even more intuitive and personal,” Nick Turley, head of ChatGPT at OpenAI, wrote in a post Monday on X. More than 800 million people use ChatGPT each week, but the company is facing increasingly stiff competition from rivals like Google and Anthropic.

Google announced its latest artificial intelligence model, Gemini 3, last month, which topped industry benchmarks and was widely lauded by users, researchers and developers across social media. The company said its Gemini app has 650 million monthly active users while AI Overviews, which appear at the top of search results, have 2 billion monthly users. Anthropic, meanwhile, has shown strong momentum with enterprises. As of September, the startup said it has more than 300,000 business customers, up from less than 1,000 just two years ago. Large accounts, which Anthropic defines as customers that each represent more than $100,000 in run-rate revenue, grew more than seven times in the past year, the company said.

Read more at CNBC

Quote of the Day

“I don't like work--no man does--but I like what is in the work--the chance to find yourself. Your own reality--for yourself not for others--what no other man can ever know. They can only see the mere show, and never can tell what it really means.”

Joseph Conrad - English/Polish Author from his novel "Heart of Darkness." He was born on this day in 1857.

If you’re part of a Council of Industry member company and not yet subscribed, email usIf you’re not a Council member, become one today.

Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn  X  Youtube