Member Briefing March 9, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

U.S. Productivity Remains Solid In Fourth Quarter

Nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today, as output increased 2.6 percent and hours worked decreased 0.2 percent. From fourth quarter 2024 to fourth quarter 2025, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.8 percent. Annual average productivity increased 2.2 percent from 2024 to 2025.

  • Unit labor costs in the nonfarm business sector increased 2.8 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, reflecting a 5.7-percent increase in hourly compensation and a 2.8-percent increase in productivity. Unit labor costs increased 1.3 percent over the last four quarters.
  • Real hourly compensation, which takes into account consumer prices, increased 3.1 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, and increased 1.3 percent over the last four quarters.
  • Manufacturing sector labor productivity decreased 1.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025, as output decreased 2.2 percent and hours worked decreased 0.3 percent.
  • In the durable manufacturing sector, productivity decreased 3.0 percent, reflecting a 2.3-percent decrease in output and a 0.7-percent increase in hours worked.
  • Nondurable manufacturing sector productivity decreased 0.2 percent, as output decreased 2.1 percent and hours worked decreased 2.0 percent.
  • Total manufacturing sector productivity increased 2.3 percent from the same quarter a year ago.

Read more at BLS.gov

U.S. Payrolls Fell By 92,000 In February; Unemployment Rate Rises To 4.4%; Manufacturing Drops 12,000 Jobs

The U.S. economy lost jobs in February, a month marred by severe winter weather and a strike at a major health care provider, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Nonfarm payrolls fell by 92,000 for the month, compared to the estimate for 50,000 and below the downwardly revised January total of 126,000. February marked the third time in the past five months that payrolls declined, following a sharp revision showing a drop of 17,000 in December. In the report:

  • The unemployment rate edged higher to 4.4% as jobs declined across key areas.
  • A broader measure of unemployment that includes discouraged workers and those holding part-time positions for economic reasons moved lower, to 7.9% or 0.2 percentage point below the January level.
  • While the jobs picture was weak, wages rose more than expected. Average hourly earnings increased 0.4% for the month and 3.8% from a year ago, both 0.1 percentage point above forecast.
  • Manufacturing saw a loss of 12,000, despite tariffs aimed at reshoring jobs from overseas.
  • Health care, the primary growth driver in payrolls for at least the past year, saw a loss of 28,000 due largely to a strike at Kaiser Permanente that sidelined more than 30,000 workers in Hawaii and California.
  • Information services, a sector hit by artificial intelligence-related cuts, also lost jobs, down 11,000 as part of a 12-month trend in which the sector has lost an average of 5,000 per month.
  • Federal government employment also fell, off 10,000 for the month.

Read more at Wells Fargo

Siena Survey: Upstate CEO Confidence Lowest Since Financial Crisis

CEOs in upstate New York hold a dim view of the prospects for the economy in 2026 according to the Siena Research Institute’s 2025 Upstate CEO Survey. The survey’s busieness confidence index was 54.8, the lowest since 2008 when it reached 39. Dr. Don Levy, Director of the Research Institute, presented the results at a breakfast at the Wallace Center in Hyde Park sponsored by HVEDC and Survey sponsor UHY. Other survey highlights include:

  • 59% expect to invest in fixed assets, similar to the 58% in 2024
  • Only 26% expect to invest in fixed assets related to artificial intelligence.
  • Health care costs were the main concern of CEOs with 60% citing it as a major issue. Government regulation (58%) taxation (56%) and Energy costs (51%) were also areas of concern.
  • 1% of respondents believe the state government is doing an excellent job creating a business climate where firms can succeed. 52% say it is doing a poor job.
  • 8% of respondents believe the federal government is doing an excellent job creating a business climate where firms can succeed. 41% say it is doing a poor job.
  • 15% say there is an ample supply of local workers that are appropriately trained for your employment needs, 79% say there is not.

Read more at Siena University

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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Customs And Border Protection Tells Court Of International Trade Judge It Can’t Comply With Refund Order

U.S. Customs and Border Protection told a Court of International Trade judge on Friday that it is not able to comply with his order to begin refunding reciprocal tariffs imposed last year by President Donald Trump, which the Supreme Court recently ruled are illegal. CBP in the same court filing told Judge Richard Eaton that the total amount of so-called IEEPA duties collected as of Tuesday by the agency and estimated duty deposits related to such tariffs “is approximately $166 billion.”

CPB in a court filing cited its existing technology, processes and manpower requirements as the reasons it could not immediately comply with the conditions of Judge Richard Eaton’s order. But the agency also suggested it could begin issuing refunds by late April after revamping its technology. CBP in the filing said it “confident that it can develop and implement” new functionality in its Automated Commercial Environment —the system for tracking imported merchandise – “that will streamline and consolidate refunds and interest payments on an importer basis,” instead of issuing more than 54 million separate refunds. “CBP is making all possible efforts to have this new ACE functionality ready for use in 45 days,” the agency said. “This new process will require minimal submission from importers.”

Read more at CNBC

US Says Surging Energy Prices Will Be Short-Lived As Investors Brace For Volatility

US Energy Secretary Chris Wright made the morning show rounds on Sunday to downplay concerns about surging gas and oil prices, assuring Americans that the war with Iran isn't long term. "What you are seeing is emotional reactions and fear that this is a long-term war," Wright told "Face the Nation" on CBS News. "This is not a long-term war. This is a temporary movement. The run-up on prices doesn't have anything to do with any shortage of barrels of oil or natural gas. It's just fear and perception, the unknown that this could be some long, drawn-out crisis, but it won't be," Wright said.

After the US and Israel launched airstrikes on Iran on February 28, the Islamic Republic moved quickly to shut down the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway critical to the movement of oil around the world. About 20% of the globe's petroleum liquids pass through the Strait. Although there are storage tanks across the Gulf, they are already nearing capacity after a week of conflict and limited shipping options, forcing producers to reduce operations. Iraq's oil output has shrunk by 60% since last week, Bloomberg reported. Other countries, like Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, have also reduced output. All of this means higher gas prices for Americans. The US Energy Information Administration says gas prices averaged $2.93 on February 23. By March 2, they were at $3.15. On Sunday, they were $3.40.

Read more at Business Insider

White House Mulls Defense Production Act For Munitions

In private briefings with Congress, Trump administration officials have discussed the prospect of invoking the Defense Production Act to accelerate the production of munitions as the U.S. carries out a war with Iran, known as Operation Epic Fury, these people said. Such a move would go beyond President Donald Trump’s public urging that defense companies manufacture more weaponry. Trump also said Tuesday in an interview with Politico that defense companies are “under emergency orders” and “are on a rapid tear to build the various things we need.” The White House official said Trump was referring to his urging companies to move faster.

Discussions about potentially invoking the Defense Production Act underscore heightened concerns within the administration and in Congress about U.S. stockpiles amid a war that Trump has said could take at least a month to achieve his objectives and that he has suggested could stretch on indefinitely. It is also putting a spotlight on the sheer volume of munitions the U.S. is using to attack Iran — and to defend itself from Iran’s retaliatory attacks across the Middle East. A senior White House official said that Trump himself has not discussed invoking the Defense Production Act but that he wants defense contractors to manufacture munitions as quickly as possible.

Read more at NBC News

More Policy and Politics Headlines

High Schools Are Losing the Struggle to Block Pot

Legalization has shifted how cannabis is perceived, from a way for stoners to get high to a mainstream health and wellness tool. Cannabis companies now market their wares as treatments for anxiety, pain and sleep problems. Edibles in cute packaging and THC vapes in flavors like “strawberry cough” and “Zkittles” (a play on the candy) can make marijuana seem safe, stylish and fun. About 26% of 12th-graders and 8% of eighth-graders said they’d used cannabis in the past year, according to data from a 2025 University of Michigan survey. That is down from about 36% and 12% reported in the 2019 survey.

But principals say they are seeing more of the drug on campus, and it is creating health and safety problems. “It’s just everywhere in the community. That’s really, really hard for schools,” said Chris Young, principal at North Country Union High School in Newport, Vt. Marijuana, he said, used to be something that kids did at parties on the weekend, but that changed after recreational sales began in Vermont in 2022. The schools’ battle against cannabis is happening as a growing body of scientific research reveals how dangerous THC, the main psychoactive component of marijuana, can be for the teenage brain. Studies have found that the regular use of marijuana by teens is linked to poor performance in school and deficits in attention and memory. The commercial products now sold in states that have legalized cannabis are much stronger than the marijuana commonly used in decades past, researchers said.

Read more at the WSJ

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast and Workforce Developers Expo - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, March 24, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Location TBD

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

Training

Strategies for Motivating, Coaching and Managing Difficult People A Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Course. March 10 & 11, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

TOMORROW! 3 SEATS LEFT Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - March 9,10 & 11 - DCC Fishkill.

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Spring Session, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (8 full day sessions) April 29 - July 15.

Tariff and Trade War Headlines

Retail Sales Fall Modestly In January on Slower Auto Sales

American consumers pulled back their spending to start 2026, extending the malaise in retail sales that began late last year. Retail sales fell 0.2% in January, following a flat reading in December, according to the Commerce Department’s report issued on Friday. January’s figure came in below the forecasts of economists, who were expecting another flat reading, The report was delayed because of the 43-day government shutdown.

January sales were weighed down by a decline at motor vehicle and auto parts dealerships. Gas stations also saw a drop in business, reflecting lower gas prices in January, though the intensifying war in the Middle East is driving up prices in recent days. The national average price for a gallon of unleaded gasoline was $3.32 Friday; a week ago, it was $2.98, AAA said. Excluding business at gas stations and auto dealers, retail sales rose 0.3% in January, according to the Commerce Department.

Read more at The AP

Airbus Tasked to Devise New Drones

Airbus Helicopters will research and develop an unmanned aircraft for deployment in various missions under a new contract from the European Defence Agency for its Multi Mission Unmanned Aircraft System (M2UAS) project. The estimated €1.1 million ($1.3 million) assignment will have a 48-month schedule, and will proceed from Airbus’s ongoing Capa-X uncrewed aerial system for civilian and military use.

Through M2UAS, the EDA is seeking to reduce its reliance on non-EU suppliers for drone systems that are cost-effective and adaptable for high-intensity warfare. Airbus stated its developments through the M2UAS project will contribute to defining new drone architectures capable of performing a wide range of missions, such as surveillance and reconnaissance, electronic warfare, aerial effects deployment, and automated in-flight refueling.

Read more at American Machinist

Global New York To Sponsor NY Firms on Trade Mission to ASEAN Nations

Join Global NY on their upcoming Trade Mission to ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) May 5 -15, 2026 Vietnam, Singapore, and Malaysia. Participants will receive a customized schedule of B2B meetings to discuss export and business opportunities with prospective customers and business partners and benefit from networking events and logistical support provided by our Global NY’s ASEAN Trade Office. Major Industries and Opportunities:

  • Food and Beverage
  • Consumer Goods
  • Agribusiness & Agri-food Tech
  • Healthcare & Life Sciences
  • Advanced Technology & Manufacturing
  • Digital Economy & Information & Communication Technology (ICT)
  • Green Economy and Energy Transition

Global NY State Trade Expansion Program (STEP) grant funding is available to offset 50 percent of the total eligible costs. Learn more here as funds are allocated on a first-come, first-served basis.

Read more at Empire State Development

U.S. To Scramble To Replenish Supplies Of Smart Munitions And Guided Weapons Expended In Iran War

The Iran war started Saturday morning with a barrage of advanced weapons from land, sea, and air, including warship-launched Tomahawk cruise missiles, Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM), Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAMs), Joint Standoff Weapons (JSOWs), and uncrewed weapons such as Low-Cost Unmanned Combat Attack System (LUCAS) drones and the MQ-9 Reaper uncrewed aircraft. Air-to-air weapons used over the weekend included the AIM-9X Sidewinder infrared-guided missile and the radar-guided AIM-120 Advanced Medium-Range Air to Air Missile (AMRAAM) for air defense.

Smart weapons are expensive, however, and their stockpiles don't last forever. U.S. military leaders estimate that strikes on Iranian targets could last much longer than through the weekend. Attacks might last over the next four or five weeks. It's a cinch that over the next several months, one of the Pentagon's top priorities will be to ramp-up smart munitions production. Just last week -- before the war even started -- the Air Force let a $61.5 million contract to Boeing for about 17 more GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator bunker-busting super bombs.

Read more at Military Aerospace Electronics

Honeywell Takes Next Step In Aerospace Spinoff, Offers More Details

Honeywell is looking to spin off its aerospace division later this year to focus more on its core industrial automation and technology segments as artificial intelligence demand grows across manufacturing. The company split from its advanced materials business, known today as Solstice Advanced Materials, last October. Honeywell Aerospace, if approved by regulators, would become one of the largest U.S.-based aerospace and defense suppliers.

As a standalone company, according to the filing, Honeywell Aerospace will be divided into three operating segments: electronic solutions; engines and power systems; and control systems. Form 10 filings are used to register securities and provide transparency to investors about the finances and growth potential of prospective companies, according to Donnelley Financial Solutions. Honeywell said its offshoot will continue to grow across commercial air transport, business aviation and defense and space, with a focus on efficiency, safety and connectivity of customer fleets.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

IBM Scientists Unveil The First Ever “Half-Möbius” Molecule, With The Help Of Quantum Computing

Scientists have just created a new, strange type of molecule. It’s made of a bunch of atoms bound together in a ring, like many other, simpler molecules. But if you could somehow zoom in on the electrons zipping about the atoms, you’d see that their motion around the ring had become weird and twisty. Those twists form a new structure akin to the famously mind-bending one-sided, one-edged Möbius strip but even more complicated.

The team, based at IBM Research in Yorktown Heights, engineered this molecule by manipulating individual atomic bonds and then imaged it with high-powered microscopy. The researchers also confirmed what they were seeing with the power of IBM’s state-of-the-art quantum computers. Their work was published today in Science. It’s the latest breakthrough in “topological” chemistry, the study of strangely shaped molecules and the bizarre quantum behaviors they exhibit. And it shows how quantum computers can help study and simulate such subatomic mayhem. Until the new study, no one had even imagined this as a theoretical possibility—and now it’s real. “The fact that such a molecule has not only been theoretically proposed but has actually been synthesized will have a major impact on the field of molecular science,” says Yasutomo Segawa, a researcher at the Institute for Molecular Science in Japan, who was not part of the team’s work.

Read more at Scientific American

Nucor Partner Selects Rural North Carolina For Steel Mill

US Forged Rings, a startup that plans to make steel piping, cylinders and other industrial components, said it will build a major production facility in Hertford County, North Carolina.The project is part of a broader three-phase development valued at $875 million by the company. Its first two phases are expected to create 625 jobs for the state. US Forged Rings was founded in 2022 and is part of the Sozzi family’s group of industrial companies, which has more than 40 years of experience in steel forging.

The Hertford County site, once completed, will produce specialty tubulars and forgings used in power generation, as well as industrial components like rings, shafts and cylinders. It is adjacent to a steel plant owned and operated by Charlotte-based Nucor Steel, one of US Forged Rings’ supply chain partners. CSX Transportation has agreed to provide long haul rail services for the planned facility. Phase 1 and 2 production is scheduled to begin in 2028, according to US Forged Rings’ website.

Read more at The Daily Advance

Novartis To Build Cancer Treatment Factory In North Texas

Pharmaceutical giant Novartis said it plans to establish a 46,000-square-foot radioligand therapy manufacturing site in Denton, Texas, as part of a broader U.S. investment effort. It will be the company’s fifth facility in the United States that makes targeted treatments for patients with advanced cancers, according to a news release. Construction is scheduled to begin this year, with production set to start by 2028. The investment is valued at $280 million and is eligible for nearly $9 million in state and local tax incentives, the Denton Record-Chronicle reported.

Novartis has broken ground on four U.S. facilities over the past ten months, making progress on its $23 billion commitment last year to expand its manufacturing and research and development footprint across the country. The company in January announced plans to build its fourth RLT manufacturing facility in Winter Park, Florida, with the goal of ramping up production by 2029. The Denton site will create jobs in bioengineering, advanced manufacturing, quality and operations for the city and surrounding communities, according to a news release.

Read more Manufacturing Dive

Battery, Supply Chain, And Power Generation Innovations Strengthen An Energy-Secure Future

While electricity can travel very long distances, very quickly, it must be consumed just as fast. The infrastructure for storing electricity is much less developed than that for generating and transporting it. To that end, researchers are creating stronger and safer battery materials and production processes. At the same time, rare earth elements—essential for batteries, motors, semiconductors, and more—remain largely sourced overseas, and this has prompted U.S. investment and research in domestic recovery and processing.

To meet the future energy needs of an electrified world, researchers are also exploring alternative power sources, from modular nuclear microreactors for on-site industrial power to advanced materials for fusion power production. These projects could provide low-carbon energy and drive advances in high-temperature and high-stress materials. Research in The Industrial Science Report from Plant Services last week traces the full arc of energy innovation—sustainability, resilience, and advanced technologies. All of these contribute to an energy-secure future, which will be deliberately engineered in the translation of laboratory science into industrial practice.

Read more at Plant Services

Daily Market Update March 6, 2026

The Apr ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.14 at $3.14. The Apr ‘26 crude oil contract is up $6.50 at $87.51

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“On the chessboard lies and hypocrisy do not survive long. The creative combination lays bare the presumption of a lie; the merciless fact, culminating in a checkmate, contradicts the hypocrite.”

Bobby Fischer, - American Grand Master and World Champion Chess Player who was born on this day in 1943.

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