Member Briefing May 27, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Conference Board: Consumers Remain Gloomy About Economy, But See Some Hope Ahead

The Conference Board’s consumer confidence index fell 0.7 points to 93.1 (1985=100) in May, down from an upwardly revised 93.8 in April. The present situation index – a measure of how consumers see the current economy – declined by 3.2 points. But the expectations index – a forward-looking assessment of income, business and labor market conditions – rose by 1 point to 74.4.

Confidence moved up among those aged 35-54 but trended downward for older and younger consumers, both month over month and on a six-month moving average basis. By income, confidence among higher income groups trended upward on a six-month moving average basis. Politically, Republicans remained the most optimistic, while independent voters were the only group that saw confidence tick up on a month-over-month basis. Additionally, two-thirds of consumers said they were cutting back on spending in May, either buying fewer items or delaying expensive purchases.

Read more at US News and World Report

Global Steel Output Continues to Shrink

Global raw steel production continued to decline during April 2026, down 6.5 million metric tons or -4.2% from March to 153.4 million metric tons. It represents a -1.9% from April 2025, and 613.3 million tons produced during January-March are a -2.0% drop compared to the comparable period of last year. The April data is the first to offer a year-over-year comparison with results involving the import tariffs put in place by the Trump administration in mid-March 2025. Unlike most of the tariffs implemented at that time, 50% penalties continue to be assessed on commodity-grade steel and raw articles made entirely or almost entirely of steel (e.g., steel coils and sheets); 25% charges are fixed to finished downstream products substantially made of imported steel; and a 10% tariff is attached to imported products made entirely of U.S.-melted and poured steel.

While steel production is down in aggregate, there is no apparent effect from the tariffs on the largest steelmaking nations - though U.S. steel production has increased markedly during the past 12 months.

  • China produced 83.6 million metric tons during April, over 55.0% of the world’s total for that month.
  • Indian steel production totaled 12.8 million metric tons during April, a -10.9% cut in output from March but 3.9% more than those producers delivered for April 2025.
  • The U.S. steel industry has risen from the world’s fourth to third-largest producer since the imposition of tariffs, and it’s April production total drew even with the March total at 7.2 million metric tons.
  • Japanese steel output for April was 6.6 million metric tons, a -4.5% drop from March and essentially even (+0.3%) with the April 2025 total.
  • Steelmaking in the European Union (27 nations) totaled 11. million metric tons of raw steel during April, down -1.8% from April 2025, and the January-April total of 42.8 million metric tons is -2.2% off last year’s total.

Read more at American Machinist

Despite Headlines, ‘Peanut Butter’ Pay Raises Remain Rare: Mercer

Employers in the U.S. appear to have delivered on their compensation promises in 2026, according to new data from Mercer. However, a deeper look shows that a narrative about a wave of across-the-board pay increases doesn’t hold up under scrutiny. The mean merit increase paid out this spring was 3.1%, just below the 3.2% employers projected back in October 2025, according to Mercer’s new QuickPulse US Compensation Planning Survey, which drew responses from 756 organizations. Average total increases, which include all pay adjustments beyond merit, came in at 3.4%, also one-tenth of a point below the fall forecast.

Recent headlines suggest that many employers plan to distribute salary‑increase budgets equally across the organization. This is sometimes called the peanut butter approach, in which a budget gets spread evenly regardless of performance or contribution. Flashy headlines aside, Mercer’s survey found that only 4% of survey participants said they gave equal raises to everyone. The majority of employers still use some combination of individual performance, market positioning and peer comparisons to determine increases.

Read more at HR Executive

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

Advertisement

Since 2004, the Council of Industry has been helping our members navigate complex retail energy markets. 

We work with NRG/Direct Energy to help our members manage their energy risks.

Contact Us to learn more.

Your ad here! Contact Harold King to learn more

Bill Changing NY’s Climate Act Adds More Scrutiny Of Utility Corporations

Legislation that will change the emissions mandates enacted by New York’s 2019 Climate Act will include empaneling a new commission to study the causes and origins of New York’s rising utility rates and recommend ways to reduce them. The formation of the “temporary blue ribbon commission on residential affordability through energy savings” is among a multitude of legislative measures that are itemized in the budget bill that was being circulated among lawmakers and lobbyists over the holiday weekend. It’s expected to be voted on this week by the state Legislature.

The legislation has drawn the ire of environmental advocates because its most notable proposals will change the mandates of the 2019 Climate Act that established New York’s requirements for 70% renewable electricity sources by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2040. Energy and business sector stakeholders have for years said those mandates would be unattainable, cause electricity costs to soar and could lead to energy shortfalls. In an apparent effort to appease critics of those changes, the legislation is imposing increased scrutiny on utility companies and making it harder for them to raise delivery or electricity charges. The legislation also would prohibit utility companies from passing any expenditures for their lobbying efforts onto consumers' bills.

Read more at The Times Union

New York Labor Unions Warn Packaging Bill Could Cost Jobs, Disrupt Supply Chains, Raise Prices

The New York State AFL-CIO joined with other labor groups, including the New York State Conference of Teamsters and the United Steelworkers, in opposing the Packaging Reduction and Recycling Infrastructure Act, known as S.1464A/A.1749A. The measure would create a new producer responsibility program for packaging and impose new reduction, recycling and material-restriction requirements on companies that sell packaged goods in New York. The labor unions, representing thousands of New York workers, are urging state lawmakers to reject a sweeping packaging bill they say could cost jobs, disrupt supply chains and drive up prices for consumers and employers across New York.

 Unions say they are not opposed to improving New York’s recycling system, but argue the proposal moves too quickly and targets the wrong materials. They warn it could remove common products from grocery shelves and threaten wages and hours for warehouse workers, drivers, processors and packagers. They also say it could undermine recycling sectors they contend are already working well, including paper and cardboard. United Steelworkers District 4, which represents workers in New York’s pulp and paper industry, warned the bill would impose mandates on an industry it says already has strong recycling rates and sustainable practices.

Read more at CBS News 6

Trump Declares Himself In Perfect Health After Physical Exam

U.S. President Donald Trump, who turns 80 next month, said "everything checked out perfectly" after ​having his physical on Tuesday at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, following a year of public attention on apparently ‌minor health issues. Trump offered no details of the physical in a brief Truth Social post saying he had completed his six-monthly exam. Still, recent photographs showing ​a blotchy neck rash have added to questions about Trump's health, following images in July 2025 of swollen ankles and a ​bruised hand concealed with makeup.

Trump, whose birthday is June 14, became the oldest person to assume the presidency ⁠when he began his second term in January 2025. The visit to Walter Reed National Military Medical Center was Trump's third in 13 months. Trump ​maintains an active golf schedule, but joked about his relative lack of exercise at a recent Oval Office event where his health secretary, Robert ​F. Kennedy Jr, said the president walks nine miles (14.5 km) every time he goes golfing.

Read more at Reuters

More Policy and Politics Headlines

How To Ease The Overload Of Being Constantly Connected

In our workplaces email, texting, Slack, Zoom, and Teams leave far less time for normal discourse. The average person now spends a significant portion of their waking life communicating through devices (even during face-to-face meetings) rather than in the physical presence of other people. And while technology undoubtedly makes communication more convenient and efficient, it may also be quietly depleting one of the most important contributors to human well-being: genuine human contact. The consequences of this shift are already manifesting in severe ways. Loneliness rates continue to rise globally. Recent workplace studies consistently show that roughly half of employees experience burnout symptoms, with many more reporting chronic work-related stress and exhaustion.

A key driver of this malaise is that digital communication never truly stops. Whereas once employees had time to unwind and recover after a hard day at work, 43 percent of Americans now work an extra five to 21 hours beyond their official work hours every week. The good news is that these trends are not irreversible, although reversing them will be harder for some than others. One of the most effective starting points is to reduce unnecessary digital noise. This doesn’t mean communicating less—it means communicating more intentionally. It’s also time to review the necessity of all work-related meetings. According to Microsoft Work Trend Index data, meeting volume increased by 252 percent between 2020 and 2025 (i.e., since COVID). One by one, leaders should ask, “Do we actually need this meeting?"

Read more at Psychology Today

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Making a Profit in Manufacturing, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 4, 8:30 - 4:30.

Human Resource Management Issues, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 10, 8:30 - 4:30.

Effective Business Communication, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 24, 8:30 - 4:30.

Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

Strategies for Managing, Coaching and Dealing with Difficult People, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July, 15, 8:30 - 4:30.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

U.S. Home Price Growth Slowed in March

U.S. home-price growth slowed slightly in March as higher mortgage rates intensified the affordability squeeze among home buyers. The S&P Cotality Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, which measures home prices across the country, rose 0.7% in the 12 months through March, compared with a 0.8% increase in February. For the 10th consecutive month, inflation outpaced national home price appreciation, the survey said.

Chicago reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities with a 6.1% increase in March, followed by New York and Cleveland with annual increases of 4% and 3%, respectively. Seattle posted the lowest return in March, falling 2.5%. “The 30-year fixed rate dipped below 6% in late February but rebounded to roughly 6.4% by the end of March, re-intensifying the affordability squeeze on buyers and potentially further damping home sales and price growth,” said Nicholas Godec at S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Read more at The WSJ

The Housing Market’s Latest Hurdles: Copper, Lumber, Diesel and Aluminum

Rising mortgage rates aren’t the housing market’s only problem. Higher prices for building materials are boosting construction costs and busting renovation budgets.  The data-center boom and disruptions at the world’s second-largest copper mine have pushed the metal’s prices to records. Lumber prices are up because of import taxes and sawmill closures. The Iran war has shocked fuel and chemical markets and boosted prices for resins and plastics as well as the costs of delivering materials such as wallboard and cement to work sites.

Taken together, these rising input costs are adding to an affordability problem that is pushing homeownership beyond reach for more Americans. In addition to boosting the base cost of building and remodeling homes, rising materials prices are contributing to the inflation that has pushed up financing rates. PulteGroup executives recently told investors that higher wood and metal prices will factor into the cost of homes the builder sells later this year. They said they are pushing back on fuel surcharges from suppliers, who are trying to cover diesel prices that have risen roughly 50% since the Iran war began at the end of February.

Read more at The WSJ

TMV Logistics Launches $200M Maritime and Logistics Fund Anchored by American Bureau of Shipping (ABS) and Prologis Ventures

TMV today announced the launch of TMV Logistics, LP, a $200M venture fund dedicated to maritime and logistics innovation and safety. The fund is anchored by strategic commitments from American Bureau of Shipping (ABS), the global leader in classification and technical advisory services and Prologis Ventures, the strategic investment arm of Prologis the world's leading logistics real estate company. TMV Logistics will back pre-seed through Series A companies rebuilding the core infrastructure of maritime, shipbuilding, ports, and intermodal logistics.

Ports and intermodal logistics networks face growing pressure to increase capacity amid geopolitical disruption, energy volatility, and labor constraints. These dynamics are accelerating adoption of automation, AI, robotics, and alternative energy systems, reshaping how global supply chains operate. The TMV Maritime and Logistics fund will invest across five core technology themes:

  • Industrial-grade autonomy and operationally resilient systems
  • Verticalized robotics for real-world deployment
  • Operational AI for decision-making and orchestration
  • Maritime dual-use technologies
  • Energy transition and next-generation fuels

Read more at Morningstar

Micron Hits $1 Trillion Market Cap For The First Time As Stock Surges 18% on UBS Target

Micron topped a $1 trillion market value for the first time on Tuesday as shares popped 18%, driven by insatiable artificial intelligence demand for its memory chips. The stock surge came as UBS nearly tripled its price target on the stock from $535 to $1,625 a share, citing long-term agreement opportunities with partially fixed pricing. The new price target suggests shares could more than double from Friday’s close.

Micron is among a fresh crop of chipmakers benefitting from the next stage of the AI race. Investors are snapping up stocks tied to central processing units and memory, needed to run and process agentic workloads, in a battleground once dominated by Nvidia. Explosive demand for AI has led to a global memory shortage that chipmakers like Micron are struggling to fill. That’s allowed Micron and peers SK Hynix and Samsung to hike prices. Micron’s stock has more than tripled year to date.

Read more at CNBC

Aerospace Parts Maker Doncasters Files For US IPO

Doncasters, a manufacturer of complex ‌parts for aerospace engines ‌and industrial gas turbines, filed for ​an initial public offering in the U.S. on Tuesday. The U.S. IPO market ‌has shrugged ⁠off geopolitical conflicts, with several large offerings ⁠pricing over the past month after a brief ​lull in ​March.

U.S. listings ​have raised ‌roughly $50 billion this year, a 145% jump from the same period last year, according to data compiled by ‌Dealogic. Jefferies and ​Morgan Stanley are ​among ​the underwriters for ‌the Doncasters offering. The company ​will ​list on the New York Stock Exchange under the ​symbol “DPC.”

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Lilly Agrees to Buy Trio of Vaccine Developers

Eli Lilly agreed to acquire three vaccine developers in deals worth up to nearly $4 billion combined, the company told The Wall Street Journal. The deals, announced Tuesday, mark a new push by the weight-loss drug market leader into infectious-disease prevention. The Indianapolis-based Lilly has agreed to acquire Curevo, LimmaTech Biologics and Vaccine Co.

  • Curevo is developing a shingles vaccine that Lilly believes could be as effective as the current standard but with reduced side effects, said Daniel Skovronsky, Lilly’s chief scientific and product officer. Lilly could pay up to $1.5 billion in cash for Curevo, including an undisclosed upfront payment and a potential subsequent payment if a certain milestone is met.
  • LimmaTech is developing vaccines against bacterial pathogens including Staphylococcus aureus. Lilly agreed to pay up to $780 million in cash for LimmaTech, including an undisclosed upfront payment and additional payments for certain clinical and regulatory milestones.
  • Vaccine Co. is developing a vaccine against Epstein-Barr virus. Lilly agreed to pay up to $1.55 billion in cash including an undisclosed upfront payment and potential clinical and commercial milestone payments.

Lilly has had infectious-disease products in the past, including one of the original polio vaccines and Covid-19 antibodies, but the segment hasn’t been a key area of focus at the company for a while. If the new acquisitions pan out, vaccines could become a core focus joining diabetes, obesity, cancer, immunology and neurodegeneration.

Read more at The WSJ

Ferrari Launches $640,000, Jony Ive-Designed, Glass-Clad Electric Speedster

On Sunday, Europe’s most valuable automaker took the wraps off its first-ever model without an internal combustion engine. Named after the Italian word for light, the Ferrari Luce will test the appetite of the superrich for EVs when electric vehicles have fallen out of favor in the U.S., the world’s top market for luxury cars. Designed in partnership with celebrated Apple alumnus Jony Ive, the model also represents a leap into a new technology for a brand built over decades around the size, sound and sensation of traditional engines.

The Luce (pronounced loo-chay) will be among the most expensive Ferraris that aren’t part of a limited production run. The company said the starting price would be 550,000 euros in Italy, equivalent to roughly $640,000. The Luce is the first Ferrari with five seats—an option ruled out by the axle in its traditional powertrain configurations. Despite the roominess, the EV accelerates from 0 to 60 miles an hour in less than 2.5 seconds for a top speed exceeding 190 mph, the company said. The power comes from four motors, one for each wheel.

Read More at WSJ

BP Removes Chairman After Concerns About Bullying Behavior

BP has removed its chairman, Albert Manifold, after the oil major’s board was told that he was verbally abusive and bullying toward employees, and had mishandled company information, according to people familiar with the matter. The London-based company said Tuesday that its board had unanimously decided that Manifold should no longer serve as chair, and that he would depart immediately. Concerns about Manifold’s abusive behavior relate to conduct toward both junior and senior employees, the people familiar with the matter said.

In addition, the board believed that Manifold shared privileged information with people who weren’t supposed to have it and withheld information from the board, one of the people said. Manifold’s abrupt departure adds to the leadership turmoil in recent years that has hamstrung BP, a storied yet often troubled energy producer. The company has now had three chief executives and three chairmen since 2023. Numerous executives and other board directors have also left the business as it executes a major strategic shift to boost oil and gas production after an ill-timed turn toward renewable energy.

Read more at The WSJ

Daily Market Update May 26, 2026

The June ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.06 at $2.96. The July ‘26 crude oil contract is down $3.79 at $92.81. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“Every victory is only the price of admission to a more difficult problem”

Henry Kissinger - American Secretary of State who was born on in Germany this day in 1923.

If you’re part of a Council of Industry member company and not yet subscribed, email usIf you’re not a Council member, become one today.

Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn  X  Youtube