Member Briefing August 12, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

S&P JPMorgan Global Manufacturing PMI Weakened Slightly In July

Manufacturing outpaced services in terms of global output growth for the fifth successive month in July. However, the spread narrowed to signal only a marginal difference. While manufacturing output growth slowed globally to its weakest since March, service sector activity grew at the sharpest rate since the outbreak of the war in the Middle East in February.

  • Inventory building — often linked to the accumulation of buffer stocks amid war-related supply and price concerns — again buoyed manufacturing in July, though this effect waned markedly during the month, leading to greatly reduced output growth in sectors such as metals, mining and other basic materials.
  • Output of tech equipment grew in July at the fastest rate since May 2021. Alongside rising demand for software and related IT services, technology reported the fastest growth for ten months.
  • The machinery & equipment sector also fared well with its fastest output growth for five years. The increase in part reflects a boost in demand via greater defense spending in many economies, including the US and European nations
  • Rising demand for AI-related equipment and services has been a key driver of the sector’s expansion, benefiting growth in economies such as Taiwan, the Netherlands and the US.

Read more at S&P Global

A Closer Look at the Manufacturing Labor Market – Hiring Up, Separations Up, Openings Down

Manufacturing employment increased by 5,000 in July after gaining 11,000 in June. Meanwhile, nonfarm payroll employment declined by 23,000, coming in below expectations. In addition to the slowdown seen in July, nonfarm employment was revised downward by 103,000 across May and June. On the other hand, manufacturing job gains in May and June were revised upward to a gain of 9,000 jobs as the sector has shed 11,000 over the year.

Manufacturing job openings fall in June: Job openings for manufacturing decreased by 36,000 to 481,000 in June. The manufacturing job openings rate ticked down to 3.7% from 3.9% but increased from 3.0% the previous year.

Meanwhile, the hires rate for manufacturing stepped up 0.2 percentage points to 2.6% in June.

The separations rate, which includes quits, layoffs, discharges and other separations, moved up 0.1 percentage point to 2.5% in June.

Alongside the decline in manufacturing job openings in June, job openings for May were revised downward from the previous report. The larger economy, in line with expectations, saw a loss of 178,000 job openings from May.

Overall, the quit and layoff rates continued to remain lower for manufacturing than the broader economy.

Read more at The BLS

Machine Tool Demand is Booming Driven By Automation Features

Machine shops’ and other U.S. manufacturers’ demand for new capital equipment rose to $672.7 million in June 2026, 15.6% higher than May’s result and 56.8% above June 2025. “In the first half of 2026, manufacturing technology orders totaled $3.44 billion, a 36.0% increase over the first half of 2025,” according to AMT - the Assn. for Manufacturing Technology, which compiled the data for its monthly U.S. Manufacturing Technology Orders Report. AMT observed that the new-order volume during January-June 2026 “was the strongest half-year for the value of metalworking machinery orders since USMTO began collecting data in 1998.”

The 11,243 machines ordered during this period were, however, 2.6% fewer than the number recorded during the second half of 2025, a trend that AMT has in the past attributed to the increasing value of automation technologies acquired by manufacturers together with the new machining/cutting/forming capabilities. The aerospace sector led the buyers during January-June 2026, in terms of order values and machine units. The value of their orders during the first half was nearly 33.0% higher than during July-December 2025, and the number of machines ordered was nearly 25.0% higher. The sustained strength of demand from aerospace, commercial aircraft, and defense production are the sources for this growth in machine tool demand. Also driving demand for manufacturing technology, according AMT’s summary, is the expansion in the energy sector - fueling investments by manufacturers of engines, turbines, and power transmission equipment.

Read more at American Machinist

Iran and the Middle East

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FDA Proposes New Food Ingredient Rule But Skips Defining ‘Ultra-Processed’

The US Government has proposed requiring food manufacturers to notify the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) of Generally Recognized as Safe (GRAS) determinations, while advancing the country’s first proposed federal definition of ultra-processed foods (UPFs). HHS announced the measures on 10 August alongside the USDA. Under the proposed FDA rule, manufacturers would have to notify the agency when they conclude that a substance added to human or animal food is GRAS. Companies can currently make their own GRAS determinations without submitting them to the regulator.

Congress established the GRAS exemption in 1958, allowing substances considered generally recognised as safe under their intended conditions of use to avoid the pre-market approval requirements applied to food additives. The FDA currently operates a voluntary notification programme, meaning businesses can independently conclude that an ingredient is GRAS without telling the regulator. The proposed rule would make notification mandatory and expand the publicly available inventory of submitted notices. It would also create a time-limited streamlined process for substances already marketed under independent GRAS conclusions, allowing manufacturers to submit information on existing uses.

Read more at New Food Magazine

Mike Rowe Warns America Has 7 Million Men In Their Prime Who Aren’t Working — And Aren't Looking Either.

American TV host and philanthropist Mike Rowe believes there's a "horror story" unfolding in the American labor market. "The stat that sticks with me and worries me today is 7.2 million able-bodied men, today in their prime working years, are not only unemployed … [they're] officially not even looking," he said in an interview with non-profit Moms For America. Rowe did not provide a source for this statistic, but 3.3% of prime working-age men (ages 25 to 54) did not participate in the labor market in June 2025, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Rowe also pointed to the shortage of tradespeople in the U.S. and said the nation's labor force is "wildly out of balance." Here's why many men have abandoned the formal economy.

To understand why men in their prime were participating less, the Bipartisan Policy Center (BPC) conducted a survey in 2024. Fifty-seven percent of prime-age men not seeking work cited physical, mental or behavioral health reasons. Close to 30% said they are not working by choice, and 9% said they are busy caring for others. A majority of men (52%) not looking for work in the Bipartisan Policy Center survey said that better health insurance coverage from their employers would be an important factor for them to consider going back to work. Meanwhile, Rowe is trying to address the talent gap by compensating young Americans who try to gain new skills and enter sectors with severe talent shortages. His foundation, mikeroweWORKS, has given out nearly $12 million in scholarships to over 2,000 recipients across the country since 2008.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

U.S. Pledges $2 Billion for Battery, Materials Producers

The Trump administration agreed to provide more than $2 billion in funding for companies producing batteries and critical minerals, adding to a wave of government cash aimed at weaning the U.S. off Chinese suppliers. President Trump announced at a Friday roundtable with mining executives that the Defense Department has committed to lend next-generation battery company Sila Nanotechnologies $1.4 billion, and signed deals with three other companies.

The more-powerful batteries are needed for everything from drones to data centers that run AI models, making domestic production a priority for the administration. Fears that the U.S. is reliant on China and other countries for the critical components of weapons and equipment needed by the Pentagon have fueled a government lending spree of tens of billions of dollars. The Defense Department has an office staffed with bankers and other specialists dedicated to funneling the money to the right projects.

Read more at The WSJ

November Election Headlines

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Younger Generations Turn To AI Over Doctors For Health Advice

Americans, particularly younger generations, feel more confident and in control of their health than ever before, yet they have never been less likely to see a doctor. More than three-quarters of Gen Z and nearly two-thirds of millennials turn first to artificial intelligence for health support instead of seeking professional medical care, the latest Wellness Matters survey from Aflac found. Eighteen percent of Gen Z and 14% of millennials said they will schedule a doctor's appointment only after exhausting AI or online tools for answers to health questions or when health concerns escalate, compared to 3% of Gen X and 2% of baby boomers.

On-demand access to social media, health influencers and online search is helping Gen Z and millennials feel more informed and confident on health matters, but they also are equally passive when it comes to making preventive care appointments. Although younger generations are relying on technology, AI and social media for health care support and management, they trust health care professionals most for definitive, credible health information. Personal relationships are critical to health care conversations that drive preventive care and positive long-term care outlooks. "The bottom line is that wellness does, in fact, matter," Matthew Owenby, chief human resources officer and chief administrative officer for Aflac said.

Read more at Benefits Pro 

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

SOLD OUT! TEE SIGNS STILL AVAILABLE Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

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Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership (CML), In Person at Orange Community College , Newburgh.  Sept 16 - Dec 9. 8:30 - 4:30. (7 Courses)

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15. 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Memory Chip Supply Crunch Will Last 2 More Years, JPMorgan Warns

The AI-driven memory chip crisis has a ways to go before its status is downgraded to business as usual. JPMorgan strategist Jay Kwon is making a double bullish call on the entire memory space. First, Kwon thinks the memory chip crisis is far from over. "Higher memory total addressable market driven by both pricing and volume, S-D shortage continues for the next two years," Kwon wrote in a note on Monday. "Memory demand broadening out from GPU to CPU appears to have been underestimated by investors (conceptually well known but actual S-D impact underlooked) and remains a key source of potential upward revisions to demand."

Second, with the crisis rolling on, Kwon thinks the summer swoon in memory stocks has ended. "After a strong four quarters of outperformance over the overall AI ecosystem, memory shares experienced a 25% correction in 3Q26 to date largely due to a peak-out sentiment amidst: a) series of near-term EPS expectation misses; b) slower-than-expected CSP AI capex spending; and c) mainstream memory content optimization.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Siemens’ Gas Turbine Backlog Nears 70 GW As Company Expands Manufacturing

Siemens Energy has brought approximately 30 additional units of medium-sized gas turbine manufacturing capacity online since 2025 amid record-breaking demand, executives told analysts last week during the company’s fiscal third-quarter earnings call. The company booked orders for 15 GW from its gas services division this quarter, with sales up 62% from this time last year to €10 billion ($11.6 billion). It shipped 6 GW of turbines during the third quarter, bringing its total gas services backlog to 69 GW, according to an earnings presentation.

With the additional capacity, Siemens Energy could deliver 15-16 GW of gas turbines this year. Christian Bruch, president and CEO of Siemens Energy, said lead times across the company now run three years or more. Siemens Energy has about 35 units of large gas turbine manufacturing capacity, with plans to add another 15 units in 2027. For medium-sized gas turbine capacity, it plans to add another 20 units on top of the 80 units it currently has, bringing its total to about 100 units by 2028, according to the presentation. The company also plans to expand its transformer and gas-insulated switchgear manufacturing capacity by about 50% by 2030. Siemens’ Grid Technologies division, which makes transformers and other products, had a €51 billion ($59 billion) order backlog as of June 30, Ferraro said.

Read more at Utility Dive

Century Aluminum Says Oklahoma Smelter On Track Despite Local Pushback

Century Aluminum’s Oklahoma smelter project is on track to break ground this year and begin producing hot metal by the end of 2029, President and CEO Jesse Gary said on an earnings call Thursday. The company, along with joint venture partner Emirates Global Aluminum, continued to make progress during the second quarter on project financing, energy contract talks and engineering details with Bechtel, Gary said.

He also noted that the project should qualify for the Trump administration’s recent onshoring incentive program, which allows approved companies to import a limited amount of primary aluminum at a tariff rate of 25% versus 50%. The Inola, Oklahoma, smelter project, expected to double U.S. primary aluminum production with annual capacity of 750,000 metric tons, would allow Century Aluminum and Emirates Global Aluminum to import up to that amount per year at the reduced rate starting in 2027.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Delta's 787-10 Order Marks Shift From Airbus

For much of the past decade, Delta Air Lines stood apart from many of its global competitors by committing almost entirely to Airbus for its future widebody fleet. While other major carriers continued investing in both Airbus and Boeing long-haul aircraft, Delta Air Lines focused on expanding its Airbus A330neo and A350 fleets, arguing that the benefits of commonality outweighed the advantages of operating multiple aircraft families. It was a strategy that appeared settled, particularly after the airline canceled an inherited Boeing 787 order in 2016.

Fleet planning is never static - fuel prices fluctuate, passenger demand evolves, aircraft manufacturers develop improved variants, and airlines periodically reassess their long-term requirements. A decision that appears optimal in one decade may legitimately change as market conditions evolve. Nevertheless, it is difficult to ignore the symbolic significance of Delta Air Lines ultimately choosing the same aircraft family that it once decided not to introduce. While the Boeing 787-10 differs from the earlier 787 variants included in Northwest Airlines' inherited order, the decision still represents a return to the US manufacturer's highly successful widebody program after years of complete absence.

Read more at Simple Flying

Honda Is Letting an Indian Company Tata Technologires Develop Its Next Generation of Cars

Honda has outsourced the development of its new vehicle program to India-based Tata Technologies, which is owned by the same conglomerate that owns Jaguar Land-Rover (JLR), and also builds the world’s most efficient electric vehicles. The decision marks a significant change in operations for the Japanese automaker, which has historically kept its core engineering and platform development in-house or strictly within its legacy supplier network. Given Tata’s history of being able to develop versatile vehicle platforms that can underpin both internal combustion and battery electric products it makes sense for Honda to hand over development for its own multi-powertrain vehicle platform.

The move comes as Honda overhauls its global product roadmap and seeks aggressive cost-cutting measures to address profitability following its first annual loss since its founding in 1948. According to Bloomberg, the Tata-engineered platform is being designed for versatility. It is expected to underpin multiple upcoming car models and is specifically intended to accommodate both conventional internal combustion engines and next-generation electrified powertrains, spanning hybrids and fully electric vehicles.

Read more at Autoblog

FedEx, Amazon Pursue Expanded Use Of Robotic Arms

FedEx and Amazon are ramping up the presence of robotic arms within their networks in a bid to boost productivity and limit strenuous employee tasks. On July 30, FedEx announced in a news release the deployment of Dexterity’s dual-armed Mech trailer loading systems at its Maryland-based Hagerstown Hub. The systems are powered by Foresight, Dexterity’s model that makes real-time decisions to optimize package placement during the autonomous loading process. The release said trailer loading has been historically difficult to automate and is one of parcel logistics’ “most physically demanding and challenging workflows,” requiring strength, endurance and real-time problem solving among employees handling the task.

Meanwhile, Amazon plans to more than double its fleet of robotic arms in 2026 as part of its push to expand automated technology to boost fulfillment network efficiency, SVP and CFO Brian Olsavsky said on a July 30 earnings call. The logistics giant has deployed more than 1 million robots across its network since 2012. Robotic arms the company uses include Cardinal, which lifts packages and places them in carts, and Sparrow, which moves products from containers to totes before packaging. Both technologies leverage AI and computer vision.

Read more at Supply Chain Dive

Boeing Sells Wisk, Insitu, SkyGrid to Archer Aviation For Equity Stake

Boeing agreed Monday to sell three subsidiaries — Wisk Aero, SkyGrid, and Insitu — to Archer Aviation in exchange for a stake in the eVTOL startup, the companies said. The deal is expected to close by the end of 2026, pending antitrust review. As part of the transaction, Boeing will take a nearly 20% stake in Archer and receive warrants in the company. Boeing can also nominate a director to Archer's board. The plane maker will retain access to Wisk's autonomous flight technology through a separate collaboration and technology-sharing arrangement.

The three units bring different capabilities to Archer. Wisk has designed and flown six generations of electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft, logging more than 1,700 flight tests over 16 years, the company said. SkyGrid has built an air traffic management platform for automated airspace. Insitu designs and manufactures uncrewed aircraft systems used in intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, with its technology deployed by the armed forces of 35 nations. Insitu generates more than $200 million in annual revenue, the company said. For Boeing, the sale continues a divestiture strategy under CEO Kelly Ortberg, who took the role in August 2024. Ortberg has made clear that returning Boeing to health means directing resources toward its commercial aircraft, defense, and space divisions.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Hanwha Offers to Buy Builder of U.S. Navy Ships

South Korea’s Hanwha has made a nonbinding offer valued at more than $1 billion to buy Austal USA, a builder of ships and submarine parts for the U.S. Navy. Australian shipbuilder and defense contractor Austal said the potential deal for its U.S. subsidiary is valued at between $1.05 billion and $1.2 billion. The acquisition would provide Hanwha with Austal’s Mobile, Ala., shipyard and access to major contracts that include some of America’s most sensitive naval programs.

The yard in Mobile specializes in building ships for the U.S. Coast Guard and Navy. It also supplies submarine modules to General Dynamics Electric Boat for the construction of Virginia‑ and Columbia‑class submarines. Austal USA employs about 3,500 workers and includes other assets such as repair facilities in San Diego, Calif. Hanwha is seeking to grow its commercial and military shipbuilding ambitions in the U.S. as President Trump is trying to revitalize domestic shipbuilding.

Read more at the WSJ

Maps Show US Forecast for Fall as El Niño Strengthens

El Niño is expected to reshape weather patterns across the United States this fall, bringing a mix of heavier rainfall, drought changes, warmer temperatures and varying risks of flooding and tornadoes, according to AccuWeather forecasts. The outlet’s meteorologists say the fall outlook is being largely shaped by a strengthening El Niño, which can alter precipitation patterns and drought prospects across the U.S.

Wetter-than-normal conditions are highlighted across much of the Southwest, including parts of California, Nevada, Arizona, Utah and New Mexico, while another broad zone of increased rainfall is shown from the western Gulf Coast through the lower Mississippi Valley and into the Southeast, including areas around Houston, Mobile and Atlanta. In contrast, the Pacific Northwest is marked for less snow and rain, and a drier pattern is also forecast from parts of the Great Lakes into the Northeast. Warmer-than-average conditions are projected across a wide stretch of the northern Plains and upper Midwest, with another warm area shown along the Southeast coast and Florida.

Read more, see the maps at Newsweek

Daily Market Update August 5, 2026

The September ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.01 at $2.69. The September ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.43 at $76.20. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“The task is ... not so much to see what no one has yet seen; but to think what nobody has yet thought, about that which everybody sees.”

Erwin Schrodinger - Austrian Physicist who was born on this day in 1887.

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