Member Briefing October 5, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

September ISM Report: Manufacturing Industry Extends Expansion Streak for Ninth Consecutive Month

The ISM (Institute for Supply Management) Manufacturing PMI registered 54.5% in September, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage point from August, signaling expansion in the sector for the ninth straight month, but at a slower rate.

  • Of the five subindexes that make up the PMI, only new orders and employment grew faster than the previous month. A reading below 50% generally indicates contraction.
  • With a reading of 56.7%, the production index remained in expansion territory, despite falling 1.6 points from the August figure.
  • The new orders and employment indexes grew at a faster rate, climbing to 55.3% and 52.7%, respectively.
  • The prices index jumped 6.8 points to 77.9% in September, driven by steel and aluminum prices, tariffs and petroleum-based product prices.
  • Of the six largest manufacturing industries, five (computer & electronic products; food, beverage & tobacco products; transportation equipment; machinery; and chemical products) expanded in September.
  • 40% of survey comments were positive, while 60% were negative, according to Spence. Some respondents expressed cautious optimism regarding strong order levels and business stability, while others point to sustained uncertainty surrounding tariffs and the impact of the Iran war.

Read more at Industry Week

US Added Just 29,000 Jobs In September, 9,000 In Manufacturing, Unemployment Rate Rose To 4.2%.

The U.S. economy created far fewer jobs than expected in September, pointing to a surprising soft spot in the labor market and broader economy. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 29,000 for the month while the unemployment rate increased to 4.2%, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for job growth of 84,000 and an unemployment rate of 4.1%. In addition to the weakness in September, the August jobs count was revised lower to reflect a gain of 133,000 while July switched from a gain to a loss as payrolls fell by 10,000. The revisions in total showed 60,000 fewer jobs than previously reported.

  • The unemployment rate increased to 4.2%
  • Most of the monthly job gains came from healthcare, which added 17,000 workers. Construction was up by 11,000, and manufacturing added 9,000.
  • Government employment fell by 17,000.
  • Average hourly earnings increased just 0.1% in September, putting the 12-month gain at 3%, the lowest since May 2021.
  • The average work week was unchanged at 34.6 hours.
  • The labor force swelled by 485,000 and the participation rate, which counts those working or actively searching for a job as a share of the total labor force, increased 0.2 percentage point to 61.8%, its highest since May.

Read more at Wells Fargo

Mortgage Rates Surge, Notching Largest Weekly Gain in Four Years

Mortgage rates posted their largest increase in four years this week, one of the clearest signs of how the recent bond-market selloff is spilling into the broader economy. Rates for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages leapt to 7.28% from 7.03%, the biggest jump since October of 2022, according to Freddie Mac. Mortgage rates are rising as inflation, a surge in government debt and heavy corporate borrowing for the build-out of AI push up bond yields, which move in the opposite direction of bond prices. The bond-market selloff is raising borrowing costs for home buyers and dealing blow after blow to a limping housing market.

In 2022, rates surged as part of postpandemic inflation that ended years of below 5% mortgage rates and ground the housing market to a halt. Home sales still haven’t recovered from that rapid freeze four years ago. With rates now at their highest point since 2023, buyers are likely to stay planted on the sidelines, while sellers may take their homes off the market. For the week ending Sept. 25, mortgage applications fell 6%, the fourth consecutive week of declines, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.

Read more at The WSJ

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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Trump Taps Director Of National Intelligence Jay Clayton As AI Czar

Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton was chosen as the Trump administration’s new AI czar, leading its response to artificial intelligence amid growing concerns about the risks of this rapidly evolving technology. Clayton will lead a new White House task force, which will have 120 days to research and report on AI’s risks and opportunities, and offer recommendations on the federal government’s responsibilities regarding the new technology. The group will be called the “Super Intelligence Force,” or SI — the term President Donald Trump prefers over AI.

In addition to Clayton, the task force will include: Federal Trade Commission Chairman Andrew Ferguson; the Defense Department’s Under Secretary of War for Research and Engineering and Chief Technology Officer, Emil Michael; and Scott Kupor, director of the Office of Personnel Management. The task force will report to Trump and his chief of staff, Susie Wiles, the president said. In September, Trump said in a Truth Social post that he would create a new “AI Force” to help facilitate the industry and root out bad actors.

Read more at CNBC

Why Have Diesel Prices Soared, and What Can Be Done to Bring Them Down?

The global market for diesel, the fuel that powers much of the economy, has never been under so much pressure. Wars in the Middle East and Ukraine have created a perfect storm, blocking shipments from regions that normally supply almost a third of the world’s diesel exports. Before the Iran war, the Middle East was the world’s top exporter of diesel, accounting for 19% of global exports last year, according to commodities-tracking service Kpler. North America had a 15% market share and Russia was the third biggest supplier at 11%.

But diesel shipments from Persian Gulf countries were at just a quarter of their prewar levels in August. Attacks by the Houthis on Saudi Arabia’s Red Sea refineries also hit exports. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s increasingly destructive attacks on Russian refineries have prompted the Kremlin to restrict exports sharply. By August, Russia’s diesel exports had plunged to about 20% of their May level. U.S. refiners have stepped into the breach, boosting their exports sharply. But now they are operating at full capacity and are only able to make up for part of the shortfall.

Read more at The WSJ

Pentagon Launches Team To Find Waste, Shift Spending

The Pentagon has created a new team it says will better align military spending and personnel with its mission. The Force Agility and Streamlining Team, or FAST, looks to root out wasteful contracts, unnecessary bureaucracy and inefficient processes and funnel those resources to higher priorities, the department said in a release. It can recommend that programs be changed or canceled altogether. FAST, established in August by Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg, falls under the comptroller’s office. Members include “former industry leaders and experts in revolutionizing reform at the corporate level” who can bring private-sector practices to the Pentagon, a department spokesperson told Federal News Network Sept. 29.

The team will first prioritize areas with the “greatest potential to improve financial visibility, systems integration, funds distribution, acquisition outcomes, contract performance and major weapons program execution,” as well as help DoD pass its upcoming audit, the spokesperson said. It’s not looking to hit a particular number of personnel reductions, program cancellations or spending cuts. Officials hope that ingraining it into the bureaucracy it looks to reform will make it last.

Read more at the Federal News Network

November Election Headlines

More Policy and Politics Headlines

What Grip Strength Can Tell You About Your Health

Grip strength is increasingly being viewed as an important biomarker of our overall strength and fitness. While not used as widely as body-mass index, or BMI, as a screening tool for health, doctors and researchers say awareness of its value is growing. That’s happening as research shows that grip strength is associated with future health risks and even longevity. Some doctors think grip strength should be used more routinely in wellness appointments. “I have really tried to encourage geriatricians to think about incorporating grip strength, it seems to trump almost every single measure including cardiovascular fitness training,” Mark Peterson, a professor of physical medicine and rehabilitation says.

Grip strength is a measure of the force produced by your forearm and hand muscles. But doctors say it’s a good proxy for overall strength in both your upper and lower body. The median grip strength for a 50-year-old man is about 48 kilograms or 100 pounds, while a woman’s is about 29 kilograms or 64 pounds, studies show. But grip strength can vary considerably depending on someone’s age, sex and body size. Grip strength isn’t useful to see who’s strong, but rather who’s weak and at risk for frailty and other health risks, says Peterson.

Read more at the WSJ

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Annual Luncheon and Expo - Friday November 20, 11:00 AM - 2:00 PM. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

The Orange County Foreign Trade Zone (FTZ): Duty Elimination, Reduction Deferral - Presented by Steve Gross, Orange County Economic Development

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Human Resources Management Issues, (A CML Course) October 7, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15. 8:30 - 4:30.

Effective Business Communication, (A CML Course) October 21, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Making a Profit in Manufacturing, (A CML Course) October 28, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Lean Overview and Simulation, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Risk Management: Enviroment Health and Safety, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Strategies for Motivation, Coaching and Managing Difficult People, (A CML Course) November 19, 8:30 - 4:30. SUNY Orange Newburgh.

Trade Wars

Hyundai To Invest ‘Half A Billion’ In Alabama For Tucson Hybrid, New Engines, EREV Power

Hyundai is planning to invest roughly half a billion dollars in its production center in Alabama to build new engines and components for its hybrid models. CEO Jose Munoz revealed the strategy at the 2026 Automotive News Congress, saying that Hyundai will become more American than many American OEM brands. The primary target of this massive capital injection is to retool the Hyundai Motor Manufacturing Alabama (HMMA) facility to support a major hybrid and extended-range model offensive that the South Korean automaker is planning to launch in North America.

The automaker is moving the production of its highly popular Tucson Hybrid from Ulsan, in South Korea, directly to the assembly line in Montgomery, Alabama. The brand’s CEO Jose Munoz reveals that the Santa Fe SUV will follow shortly.By moving assembly stateside, Hyundai will completely sidestep U.S. tariffs, such as the 15% imposed on the Korean-built vehicles, ensuring pricing stability in its most critical market. Last year, Hyundai shattered its previous records in the U.S., selling a total of 1,192,919 units for the first year the automaker surpassed the one-million mark in the country.

Read more at Auto Evolution

IBM Gets PILOT Agreement From IDA For $2.5 Billion Poughkeepsie Quantum Project

The Dutchess County IDA has approved a multi-million-dollar PILOT program for IBM’s proposed $2.5 billion Quantum Computing Lab at its South Road complex in the town. IBM will make annual payments of approximately $6 million to $8 million to Dutchess County, the Town of Poughkeepsie, and the Spackenkill Union Free School District. The PILOT does not include the $54 million agreement the town negotiated with IBM.

The Quantum project is the largest in Dutchess County’s history and is expected to create both construction jobs and high-wage IBM jobs once the lab is completed. 

Read more at Mid-Hudson News

Caterpillar To Invest $1B In New Sanford NC Factory

Construction equipment maker Caterpillar Inc. plans to invest $1 billion in North Carolina to expand manufacturing in Sanford, the company said Wednesday. The decision comes less than two weeks after local officials approved tens of millions of dollars in tax breaks to keep the company — and 2,000 jobs — in Lee County.  Caterpillar, which is one of the county’s biggest employers, says it plans to build a new manufacturing facility to increase production of compact track loaders and telehandlers — machines used in construction, landscaping, agriculture and material handling.

Caterpillar currently employs about 2,000 at its existing Sanford facility, which is a few miles southwest of Regional Crossroads. The company, which has hired at least 600 new workers this year, doesn’t plan to increase its workforce at the new facility, according to Caterpillar spokeswoman Lisa Miller. Caterpillar said Wednesday that it chose to build the new plant in North Carolina because of Caterpillar's longstanding presence in the state, the strength of the local workforce, and the opportunity to build on existing manufacturing expertise and operations in Sanford.

Read more at WRAL

The Next Frontier for Obesity Drugs Isn’t How Much Weight You Lose, but What Kind

For as long as drugmakers have been testing weight-loss drugs, the question has been: How much weight do people lose? Now it is changing to: What kind of weight are they losing? Rapid weight loss can come with a downside—people can end up injured or prone to falls if they shed significant muscle alongside fat. Drugmakers are testing a new generation of muscle-protecting and body fat-targeting drugs to fix that. Mid- and late-stage studies from companies like Novo, Eli Lilly LLY and Regeneron indicate that several drug candidates may be able to better preserve muscle and help shed problematic belly fat.

If proven out, these experimental medications could ultimately improve people’s health while they rapidly lose weight on these therapies. It would also give drugmakers a powerful argument for doctors to prescribe—and health insurers to pay for—a new set of drugs. Regeneron reported mid-stage data on a drug it is developing to preserve muscle when taken alongside a GLP-1. The study found that people taking the drug lost about two-thirds to three-quarters less thigh muscle than those taking semaglutide alone. Over 26 weeks, the highest doses of the drug roughly halved the loss of lean mass, which includes muscle, compared with those who only took semaglutide, the active ingredient in Ozempic and Wegovy.

Read more at The WSJ

Boeing Averts a Strike by Engineers, Techs

Boeing has avoided a possible strike by about 17,000 engineers and technicians after those employees approved a new four-year contract. Two separate bargaining units of the Society of Professional Engineering Employees in Aerospace union endorsed the new agreement: the professional unit approved the deal with a 67.62% majority, and the technical unit accepted by a 53.48% margin.

The approved contract calls for union members to receive an initial 10% wage increase, and 4% annual raises plus merit-based increases each year from 2027 through 2030. According to SPEEA statements, it also includes new work-from-home policies and overtime limits for members of the professional unit. The final terms emerged in mid-September when Boeing apparently raised its offer concerning compensation and work rules.

Read more at American Machinist  

Ex-Genentech, Meta, AWS AI Leaders Launch Health AI Lab With $500M Backing

A new frontier artificial intelligence lab for healthcare launched with a $500 million commitment from Thoreau. The AI startup, Ortet, plans to build a full-stack platform for health, spanning computer and data infrastructure, frontier research and model development and deployment. The aim is to create a foundation model centered on the individual patient that connects the biological, clinical, operational and financial dimensions of health. The founding team includes AI leaders from Genentech, Meta, Amazon Web Services, Spotify and Facebook.

The company says it wants to move past narrow AI tools that address only a single task by creating a shared intelligence foundation that can be continuously improved and adapted across scientific discovery, clinical care, health operations and financial administration, according to executives. That shared intelligence layer can learn across multiple aspects of a patient's healthcare journey, including biology, treatment, outcomes and interactions with the healthcare system, according to executives.

Read more at Fierce Healthcare

Ford Fends Off Hyundai To Retain No. 3 U.S. Sales Position In Third Quarter

Ford Motor retained its No. 3 U.S. sales position during the third quarter by a narrow margin over Hyundai Motor, which had been forecast to overtake the Detroit automaker. Ford on Friday reported a year-over-year sales decline of 6.6% during the third quarter to 507,395 light-duty vehicles. That figure excludes its largest heavy-duty trucks, which are classified differently. That compares to the South Korean automaker, including Hyundai, Kia and Genesis brands, reporting a 5.4% increase to 506,200 vehicles during the quarter.

Hyundai, including its luxury Genesis brand and corporate sibling Kia, has been making major inroads in the U.S. this year. Ford, meanwhile, has struggled with production of its crucial F-Series pickup trucks after two supplier fires last year that disrupted production and sales.

Read more at CNBC

Pentagon Invests in Startup Aiming to Supply Metal for Critical Magnets

Hertha Metals, a startup planning to produce high-purity iron for U.S.-made rare-earth magnets—essential to F-35 jet fighters and missile-guidance systems—said it closed a $133.65 million Series A round that includes a $65 million equity investment from the U.S. government. The financing comes as the Trump administration is trying to loosen China’s stranglehold on minerals vital to U.S. defense and advanced technologies, the WSJ’s Rhiannon Hoyle writes.

The U.S. investment was made via the Defense Department’s Industrial Base Analysis and Sustainment program in partnership with its Economic Defense Unit, said Hertha Metals CEO and founder Laureen Meroueh. A Pentagon official said the department doesn’t comment on speculation about potential transactions. Conroe, Texas-based Hertha will use the money to fund the construction and early operations of a roughly $100 million plant, called Chalyx. The company aims to produce 10,000 metric tons of high-purity iron and steel annually at the facility, mostly to supply U.S. magnet makers.

Read more at The WSJ

GM Is Now Using Recycled Battery Materials For Its New Evs

General Motors and Cirba Solutions provided an update on a strategic collaboration, with a pilot program demonstrating a closed-loop pathway for making electric vehicle battery cells with 100% recycled nickel, cobalt and manganese that were recovered from end-of-life GM battery packs.  This month, a range of EVs were built with the recycled critical materials at the automaker’s Factory Zero plant in Detroit and its Spring Hill Assembly plant in Tennessee. Models getting the recycled batteries include variants of the Cadillac Lyriq, Vistiq and Escalade IQ, as well as the Chevrolet Silverado EV Trail Boss and the GMC Sierra EV AT4, confirmed GM in a blog post, and it said they’re “headed off to customers.”

“This pilot shows that the value of an EV battery can extend well beyond its first life — and that strong partnerships across the battery ecosystem are essential to building a more circular, resilient future for battery technology,” said Melissa Flaherty, Director of Sustainable EV Battery Ecosystem at GM in a press release from Cirba.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Daily Market Update Sept 30, 2026

The November ’26 natural gas contract is trading down $0.01 at $3.00. The November ‘26 crude oil contract is down $1.02 at $90.40.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“We swallow greedily any lie that flatters us, but we sip only little by little at a truth we find bitter.”

Denis Diderot - French Philosopher and co-founder, chief editor, and contributor of the "Encyclopédie," one of the most comprehensive

encyclopedias of the Enlightenment. He was born on this day in 1713.

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