Member Briefing November 3, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

October Economic Indicators for U.S. Manufacturers (The Shutdown Edition)

With the federal government still partially shut down, many of the traditional data sources manufacturers rely on each month remain offline. Thankfully, that hasn’t stopped the flow of industrial intelligence. Manufacturing leaders are navigating a moment of growing complexity, yet signs of renewed momentum are emerging across the U.S. economy.

  • Manufacturing steadies: The ISM PMI® rose to 49.1 in September, while S&P Global’s flash October reading hit 52.2, signaling soft but improving activity.
  • Industrial construction climbs: Planned projects totaled 393, down 2%, but new construction rose 9.6%, showing continued capital investment.
  • Freight rebounds: The Cass Freight Index® showed shipments up 2.5% m/m and spending up 5.1%, while ATA truck tonnage slipped 0.9%.
  • Employment weakens: ADP reported a 2,000-job loss in manufacturing and 32,000 fewer private-sector jobs overall.
  • Supply-chain pressure ticks up: The New York Fed’s GSCPI moved to 0.03 from –0.04, a slight tightening but well below pandemic levels
  • Regional conditions mixed: Most Fed districts reported modest improvement or steady output, though some regions remain in mild contraction.

Read more at Industry.net

Manufacturers Embrace AI, Helping "Drive It Forward"

The rise of data centers and artificial intelligence is bringing major benefits to the manufacturing and construction industries, panelists said at this week's Nvidia GTC. Manufacturers are increasingly integrating AI into all aspects of their daily operations, with 51% currently using it and 80% expecting it to be vital by 2030, according to a survey by the National Association of Manufacturers. "I think a lot of folks don't think of AI as manufacturing or manufacturing processes," said Jay Timmons, CEO and president of NAM. "The truth of the matter is, every form of technology through decades has begun with manufacturers, and we drive it forward."

Manufacturers have been integrating AI in their operations, including product design, the shop floor and supply chain management, according to a new report released by the National Association of Manufacturers on Wednesday, Manufacturing’s Roadmap to AI and Energy Dominance. At present, approximately 51% of manufacturers use AI, 60% plan to install AI in their operations by 2027, and about 80% said the technology will be vital to grow or maintain their businesses by 2030, according to NAM’s survey results.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Nvidia Targets Factories as Next Step for Corporate AI

Nvidia owes much of its $4.89 trillion market capitalization to the use of its systems to train cutting-edge artificial intelligence models. The company is now pushing deeper into the realm of corporations that will employ such models to solve real-life problems. Last week, the company brought its series of GTC tech conferences to Washington for the first time, where it explained plans to apply AI to optimize entire factories. Nvidia said it was expanding its technology for simulating robot fleets to include technologies for designing and simulating factory digital twins.

It said Siemens was the first company to develop software that supports its technology, known as Mega Omniverse Blueprint. The system is in beta testing, according to Peter Koerte, Siemens’s chief technology officer and chief strategy officer. Huang said Foxconn Technology, the world’s largest contract electronics manufacturer, is using the new omniverse technologies to design, simulate and optimize its facility in Houston, for manufacturing Nvidia AI infrastructure.

Read more at The WSJ

Middle East

Ukraine

Other Headlines

Government Shutdown Effects Bear Down On Millions More People After A Crucial Nov. 1 Deadline Passes

Over 40 million Americans rely on SNAP benefits to purchase food, leading to concerns from elected officials that millions could go hungry. Governors and other state leaders from dozens of states across the country have said that they will free up emergency funds in their states to temporarily assist families that usually rely on their SNAP benefits to purchase food. A coalition of municipalities, nonprofit groups and business and union organizations sued earlier this week, requesting that a federal judge in Rhode Island force the Trump administration to use contingency funds in the U.S. Department of Agriculture to pay out SNAP benefits.

On Friday, U.S District Judge John McConnell did just that, ordering the USDA to distribute money from a contingency fund “as soon as possible,” in time for Nov. 1 SNAP payments to be made. Despite the ruling, issued from the bench just hours before the Nov. 1. deadline, SNAP benefits are likely to be delayed. McConnell asked the Trump administration for an update on Monday on its efforts to pay out SNAP benefits. President Donald Trump said later Friday that he directed lawyers for the administration to seek clarity but that "even if we get immediate guidance, it will unfortunately be delayed while States get the money out."

Read more at NBC

Trump’s Tariffs To Face Supreme Court Scrutiny Wednesday

On Nov. 5, the Supreme Court will hear oral arguments in a pair of challenges to President Donald Trump’s power to impose sweeping tariffs on virtually all goods imported into the United States. The economic stakes are massive, but the cases are also an important test of presidential power more broadly. One of the related cases was filed by Oregon and other Democratic-led states. The other was brought by the Liberty Justice Center, a libertarian nonprofit, on behalf of five small businesses, including a wine distributor called V.O.S. Selections and another educational toy company called MicroKits.

While the court typically takes months to issue rulings after hearing arguments, the Trump administration has asked it to act swiftly in this case. Large U.S. companies have stayed on the sidelines of the tariffs litigation. They did not bring lawsuits and have not filed amicus - or friend-of-the-court - briefs offering their views. Such briefs are commonly used by companies to highlight the importance of cases brought by other litigants. Here’s a brief explainer on the issues in the cases, how they got to the court, and when the court is likely to act.

Read more at The SCOTUS Blog

Hochul Says No Special Session, No Tax Hikes For 'Bailout' Of Congress

Gov. Kathy Hochul on Thursday said she’s not going to ask lawmakers to return to the state Capitol for a special session amid the ongoing government shutdown. Benefits through the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program for low-income New Yorkers are not expected to be replenished at the start of the month Saturday, leaving recipients without the aid they typically rely on to feed their families.

Hochul has now used emergency measures, via a “food emergency,” to unlock $106 million that will go toward food assistance programs and food pantries. State law allows a governor to take certain actions — like expediting funding — if they declare an emergency. That’s what’s happening here. She’s also deploying the Empire State Service Corps and SUNY Corps, which are programs that typically connect students with opportunities in public service. They’ll help out food banks and food pantries. The funding Hochul has unlocked so far is only about a sixth of what some advocates say would help fill the full void through the month of November.

Read more at Capitol Confidential

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How Much And Why ACA Marketplace Premiums Are Going Up In 2026

Health insurers submit rate filings annually to state regulators detailing expectations and rate changes for Affordable Care Act (ACA)-regulated health plans for the coming year. A relatively small, but growing, share of the population is enrolled in these plans (compared to the number in employer plans), fueled by the availability of enhanced premium tax credits. This analysis focuses on individual market filings, which are generally more detailed and publicly available.

For 2026, across 312 insurers participating in the ACA Marketplaces from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, this analysis shows a median proposed premium increase of 18%, which is about 11 percentage points higher than last year. Like in prior years, growth in health care prices stood out as a key factor driving costs in 2026. Insurers cite increasing cost and utilization of high-priced drugs as well as general market factors, such as increasing labor costs and inflation, as contributing to premium increases. In addition to rising healthcare costs, the majority of insurers are also taking into account the potential expiration of enhanced premium tax credits in their premium rate increases for the next year. The expiration of enhanced tax credits will lead to out-of-pocket premiums for ACA marketplace enrollees increasing by an average of more than 75%, with insurers expecting healthier enrollees to drop coverage. That, in turn, increases underlying premiums.

Read more at Peterson-KFF

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Networks

Environment Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, November 13, 2025, 8:30 - 11:00. MPI, Poughkeepsie.

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

Check back soon

Training

2 Seats Left Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

Automakers Hunt High And Low For Chips As Supply Crisis Worsens

Global automakers are scrambling to find chips and checking with suppliers to see if they have enough stockpiled, as a deepening semiconductor supply crunch related to Dutch firm Nexperia threatens car production across the industry. Beijing banned exports of Nexperia's products from China after the Dutch government seized control of the chipmaker last month, citing concerns about the transfer of technology to its Chinese parent, Wingtech, which has been flagged by the U.S. as a possible national security risk.

Nissan Motor and Mercedes-Benz are among the carmakers trying to get to grips with an uncertain supply situation, with Nissan saying it had enough chips until the first week of November. Honda (suspended production at a Mexican plant on Tuesday, and has started to adjust production in the U.S. and Canada, a spokesperson said. Nexperia's chips are widely used in automotive components, making the supply crunch the latest challenge for an industry already grappling with U.S. tariffs and Chinese curbs on rare earth exports.

Read more at Reuters

Nexperia To Resume Chip Shipments From China, Easing Supply Concerns

The White House plans to announce that Dutch chipmaker Nexperia's China facilities will resume shipments, a source said, in what would be a relief for auto manufacturers worldwide who faced the imminent prospect of curbing production. The Dutch government seized control this month of Nexperia, owned by Chinese company Wingtech. The move prompted Beijing to block Nexperia products from leaving China.

The Chinese Commerce Ministry appeared to confirm the source's comments in a statement, saying it will consider exemptions for Nexperia chip exports from the country. "As a responsible major country, China fully considers the security and stability of domestic and international production and supply chains," the ministry said, adding companies facing difficulty obtaining parts should contact Chinese authorities. "We will comprehensively consider the actual situation of the enterprise and exempt eligible exports."

Read more at Reuters

US Strikes $80 Billion Deal For New Nuclear Power Plants

The U.S. government inked a partnership with the Canadian owners of Westinghouse Electric on Tuesday that aims to build at least $80 billion in nuclear reactors. It is one of the most ambitious plans in U.S. atomic energy in decades, underscoring President Donald Trump's agenda to maximize energy output, focused on oil, gas, coal and nuclear. It also comes as growth in artificial intelligence data centers boosts U.S. power demand for the first time in two decades, straining parts of the grid.

Under the agreement with Westinghouse Electric's owners, Canada-based Cameco and Brookfield Asset Management, the U.S. government will arrange financing and help secure permits for the Westinghouse reactors. In return, the plan offers the U.S. government a 20% share of future profits after Westinghouse has paid out profits of $17.5 billion to Brookfield and Cameco. The U.S. government could turn that profit into an equity stake of up to 20% and require an initial public offering of Westinghouse by 2029 if its value surpasses $30 billion, the companies said.

Read more at Reuters

Eli Lilly Blows Past Estimates, Hikes Guidance As Zepbound And Mounjaro Sales Soar

Eli Lilly last Thursday reported third-quarter earnings and revenue that topped estimates and hiked its full-year outlook, as the company continued to see strong demand for its blockbuster weight loss drug Zepbound and diabetes treatment Mounjaro. Earnings per share were $7.02 adjusted and revenue was $17.60 billion. The pharmaceutical giant now expects its fiscal 2025 revenue to come in between $63 billion and $63.5 billion, up from a previous guidance of $60 to $62 billion. Eli Lilly also expects full-year adjusted profit to come in between $23 and $23.70 per share, up from its previous outlook of $21.75 to $23 a share.

Sales in the U.S. jumped 45% to $11.30 billion. Eli Lilly said that was driven by a 60% increase in volume — or the number of prescriptions or units sold — for its products, primarily for Mounjaro and Zepbound. That was partially offset by lower realized prices of the drugs, the company said. The company has gained the majority market share over the last year, thanks to the strong profile of its weight loss and diabetes injections and a boost from its direct-to-consumer sales, among other efforts. The company is now betting on its closely-watched experimental obesity pill, orforglipron, to solidify its dominance in the space, especially as Novo Nordisk and other drugmakers race to bring their own pills or next-generation injections to the market.

Read more at CNBC

BitSight Report Sees Big Increases In Cybersecurity Risks For ICS/OT Devices

Cybercriminals have more ways of attacking industrial control systems and OT equipment, making high-tech manufacturing more dangerous following years of improvements, according to a new report. Exposure of ICS and OT devices should exceed 200,000 devices visible to potential bad actors each month, up from 160,000 to 180,000 devices monthly in 2024, according to an assessment from cybersecurity firm BitSight. Many of these systems—which control critical infrastructure such as energy, water and building automation—often are exposed with minimal security and exploitable vulnerabilities.

According to the BitSight report, the increase in exposures stems from organizations relying largely on enterprise IT-grade firewalls and endpoint tools that were not designed to secure factory environments, where uptime is prioritized over data privacy. As a result of the gap between IT and OT, assets are exposed. In addition to more devices exposed to bad actors, security experts are finding new vulnerabilities in these devices. The U.S. Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency tracks these vulnerabilities and regularly publishes advisories on newly found vulnerabilities that affect industrial control systems. Common vulnerabilities and exposures are rising almost every year.

Read more at SmartIndustry

Palantir Sues Ex-Engineers At New AI Startup Backed By General Catalyst, Claiming They Stole Its 'Crown Jewels'

On Thursday, the defense tech and data giant sued two former employees who now work at Percepta, a startup building software to help integrate AI into large companies, governments, and healthcare systems. General Catalyst, a venture capital firm with IPO ambitions that recently bought a hospital chain, launched the company in early October.In a Federal lawsuit, Palantir claims the two ex-engineers "exploited their prior access of Palantir's confidential information, proprietary methodologies, and customer relationships to the benefit of a copycat 'version' of Palantir."

The company also says it found out about Percepta only after the startup "emerged from 'stealth' mode, professing to have developed in 11 months the same product and business that took Palantir decades to develop." Palantir alleges it hadn't known where either former employee was working until General Catalyst announced Percepta's launch. The dispute goes beyond a tussle between a company and its former staffers: It underscores the growing tension between established tech giants and fast-moving AI startups hoping to disrupt the status quo. Palantir — long known for its government work and tight control over its technology — is accusing a buzzy new entrant, backed by a heavyweight investor, of trying to replicate its playbook in a matter of months.

Read more at Business Insider

Palantir Thinks College Might Be a Waste. So It’s Hiring High-School Grads.

At first, the idea of skipping college to take a fellowship for Palantir PLTR 3.04%increase; green up pointing triangle Technologies seemed preposterous to Matteo Zanini. But he couldn’t stop thinking about it. “College is broken,” one Palantir post said. “Admissions are based on flawed criteria. Meritocracy and excellence are no longer the pursuits of educational institutions,” it said. The fellowship offered a path for high-school students to work full time at the company.

After deciding to apply, Zanini found out he got the fellowship at around the same time he learned of his admission to Brown University. Brown wouldn’t allow him to defer and he had also landed a full-ride scholarship through the Department of Defense. “No one said to do the fellowship,” said Zanini, who turned 18 in September. “All of my friends, my teachers, my college counselor, it was a unanimous no.” His parents left the decision to him, and he decided to go with Palantir.

Read more at The WSJ

Nissan Says It's On Track For Solid-State Batteries That Double EV Range By 2028

Nissan is still betting big on solid-state batteries, and seems on track to be one of the first automakers to bring them to the market. The automaker has developed prototype solid-state battery cells that could double the driving range of its EVs when they enter production, Nikkei reported on Sunday. Nissan’s solid-state battery cells have now reached performance targets to enter mass production, with help from U.S. battery start-up LiCAP Technologies.

The Sacramento-based start-up specializes in dry electrodes that eliminate the expensive, time-consuming wet-coating process. Dry coating eliminates solvent and liquid slurry by using the raw material mix to form a solid powder, which is then directly added to the current collector and flattened using roll presses, according to LG Energy Solution. Nissan has already been running a pilot production line for solid-state batteries since the start of this year. LiCAP Technologies also runs a 300 megawatt-hour production line in California for its proprietary Activated Dry Electrode technology.

Read more at Inside EVs

Quote of the Day

“There are always flowers for those who want to see them.”

Henri Matisse - French Impressionist Painter who died on this day in 1954.

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