Member Briefing October 1, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

JOLTS: Openings Unchanged at 7.22 in August, Hiring Slows

The labor market remains stagnant, as job openings increased only slightly in August and hiring declined. Job openings totaled 7.23 million in August, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics released Tuesday, just a bit higher than the 7.21 million vacancies seen in July. The hiring rate also ticked lower last month, reaching its lowest point since June 2024, while the rate of people voluntarily leaving their jobs slid to its lowest level so far this year, underscoring a frozen labor market in which out-of-work Americans are struggling to gain footing. Meanwhile, “layoffs remain low and regular state unemployment insurance claims aren’t rising, but federal unemployment insurance claims are about twice as high as they were last year at this time,” Economists with the Economic Policy Institute noted Tuesday.

The Economists noted Tuesday that while recent data revisions have suggested the labor market was weaker than expected last year, much of the slower job growth was “the result of smaller working-age population growth due to reduced immigration and the aging of the workforce,” rather than there being fewer opportunities available. This year, though, there are some warning signs that the market is deteriorating. “There has been a marked decline in payroll employment growth — averaging only 29,000 jobs per month since May,” the economists said. “Nominal wages are still rising faster than inflation, but the pace of private-sector real wage growth is half as fast as it was three months ago.”

Read more at Wells Fargo

Job Market Jitters Bring Confidence to Five-Month Low

Consumer confidence fell sharply in September on growing worries about the labor market. The consumer-confidence index dropped to 94.2 in September from a revised 97.8 in the prior month, the Conference Board said Tuesday. This is the lowest level since April. Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had forecast the index to slip to 96.0 in September from the initial estimate of 97.4 in August. People are pessimistic because it is difficult to upgrade a job, interest rates are high, the threat of tariffs remains and “there seems to be a new impactful development in economic policy each week,” said Elizabeth Renter, senior economist at NerdWallet.

  • Consumers’ assessment of the availability of jobs fell for the ninth straight month.
  • A measure that looks at how consumers feel about the economy right now fell 7 points to 125.4. That’s the largest drop in a year.
  • A confidence gauge that looks six months ahead dropped by 1.3 points to 73.4. Since February, the expectations index has been below the threshold of 80, which has traditionally been seen as a signal of recession.
  • Economists focus on labor-market conditions by measuring the spread between the percentage of consumers who think jobs are plentiful and the percentage who think jobs are hard to get. That spread, called the labor-market differential, has narrowed for nine straight months and is now at a multiyear low of 7.8.

Read more at MarketWatch

Pending Home Sales Climb 4.0% In August, Easily Beating Consensus

The U.S. Pending Home Sales Index jumped 4.0% M/M to 74.7 in August, well above the 0.2% increase expected and the 0.3% decrease in July, which was revised from -0.4% according to data released by the National Association of Realtors on Monday. Pending sales rose M/M in the Midwest, South and West, and declined in the Northeast.From a year ago, total pending sales advanced 3.8% in August. Sales increased in all regions Y/Y.

“Lower mortgage rates are enabling more homebuyers to go under contract,” said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “In the Midwest, low mortgage rates combined with high levels of affordability are attracting more buyers compared to other regions.”

Read more at Seeking Alpha

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Government Shut Down At 12:01 This Morning After Funding Bill Fails To Pass

The government shutdown at 12:01 a.m. after the Senate failed to pass a government funding bill. The chamber voted down a proposal from Democrats, followed by a GOP House-passed stopgap bill that would have kept the lights on through Nov. 21. Both parties have blamed each other for a failure to reach a deal and refused to blink, leaving it unclear how Washington exits a shutdown. Three members of the Senate Democratic caucus broke with Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer (N.Y.) on Tuesday and voted for the House Republican-drafted bill to fund government through Nov. 21, revealing divisions among Democrats about how aggressively to confront the Trump administration.

The administration’s budget office posted a letter with instructions from Director Russ Vought immediately after the failed Senate vote. “Affected agencies should now execute their plans,” Vought wrote. He told employees to come to work Wednesday to “undertake orderly shutdown activities.” Many government agencies have released contingency plans in the event of a shutdown, which will lead to thousands of federal workers being furloughed and could affect the distribution of certain government benefits, such as the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. President Trump has also threatened to lay off federal workers in the event of a shutdown and cut certain programs favored by Democrats.

Read more at The Hill

NBC: What is affected by the shutdown?

White House Announces ‘TrumpRx’ Drug-Buying Website, and Deal With Pfizer

The White House is planning to unveil a direct-to-consumer website for Americans to buy drugs, dubbed TrumpRx, while also announcing that Pfizer plans to lower prices on several of its medications in the U.S., according to people familiar with the matter. TrumpRx would allow people to pay cash for certain drugs directly from a government website, at a discounted price negotiated by the government. It’s unclear how many drugs would be offered, or whether the website would be useful for the majority of Americans who are already covered by private insurance, Medicare or Medicaid.

Separately, Pfizer is expected to be the first to announce a plan to lower drug costs after President Trump pushed companies for months to lower prices in the U.S. More companies are expected to follow suit. Trump and Albert Bourla, the chief executive of Pfizer, announced the cost-cutting measure at the White House. Bourla also to announced a $70 billion investment in manufacturing medications in the U.S., according to Pfizer spokeswoman Amy Rose and a White House official. The official estimated Pfizer’s lowered prices could benefit as many as 100 million patients.

Read more at The WSJ

At Gathering Of Top Generals, Hegseth Outlines Anti-‘Woke’ Vision For The ‘Department Of War’

After summoning hundreds of US generals and admirals to the Marine Corps Base Quantico in Virginia today, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth used the event to broadly outline his vision for what he calls the Department of War, dismissing Biden-era policies and pushing, for instance, the “highest male standard” of physical fitness for all combat posts. “This is a moment of urgency, mounting urgency,” he later added. “Enemies gather. Threats grow. There’s no time for games. We must be prepared,” Hegseth said. “This urgent moment, of course, requires more troops, more munitions, more drones, more Patriots, more submarines, more B-21 bombers. It requires more innovation, more AI in everything and ahead of the curve, more cyber effects, more counter UAS, more space, more speed.”

At the unprecedented gathering of top officers, Hegseth acknowledged he had made some high-profile firings of their colleagues. Hegseth appeared to take a softer line with further firings, saying many were only executing the direction of political leaders at the time. Still, he called on officers who were not fully aligned with the new warrior ethos to do the “honorable thing” and resign. Hegseth delivered his message ahead of President Donald Trump’s expected appearance at the event later this morning.

Read more at Breaking Defense

When You Go To Bed May Matter More Than How Long You Sleep

When most of us work on getting better sleep, we usually focus on duration: the seven to nine hours of recommended nightly rest. But sleep scientists and a growing body of evidence suggest that keeping a consistent sleep schedule may matter even more than how long you sleep. From large-scale population studies to carefully designed clinical trials, researchers are finding that going to bed and waking up at the same time every day can sharpen cognition and boost mental health, support metabolic health and immune function, strengthen your heart, and lower dementia risk.

Keeping a steady sleep schedule matters because your body runs on an internal clock—called circadian rhythm—that governs when you feel sleepy or alert. It also regulates critical “reset” processes that take place during sleep, explains Janis Anderson, a sleep medicine researcher and psychologist at the University of New Mexico. Going to bed and waking up at the same time each day keeps this clock in sync, ensuring the steady release of hormones like melatonin to help you fall asleep at night and cortisol to help you wake the next morning. A steady rhythm also supports memory storage, cell reparation, and brain-cleansing processes.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Mfg. Day 2025 - Manufacturing Day will be taking place on Friday, October 3rd. Check out the Mfg Day website to learn more!

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

See previous episodes here!

Webinars and Seminars

Workshop - Identifying and Assessing Gaps in Envir. Health and Safety

In this interactive session attendees will learn how to identify compliance blind spots, drive cultural EHS growth, and make safety a core value in their facility. $45 per person. Presented by Walden Engineering. October 7, 8:30 - 11:30. iPark Fishkill.

Training

Introduction to Lean with Simulation - This full-day Lean Foundations course, led by Vin Buonomo from RIT CQAS, is designed as a starting point for those interested in Lean certification—including Yellow Belt and Green Belt. October 28, 2025 - Location TBD.

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

US To Begin Furniture, Wood Import Tariffs On Oct. 14 – Manufacturing Dive

Trump Places A 10% Tariff On Lumber And A 25% Tariff On Furniture And Cabinets - CNN

Trump Visa Curbs Push U.S. Firms To Consider Shifting More Work To India - Reuters

‘Dare To Fight’: How China’s Refined Art Of The Deal Reflects Years Of Dealing With Trump - SCMP

US Widens Reach of Export Blacklist to Cover Subsidiaries – IndustryWeek

Europe’s Top Central Banker Says Economy Holding Up Better Than Expected In Face Of Trump Tariffs - AP

Tariffs and Their Impact on Inventory Accounting – Dannible & McKee

China Factory Activity Shrinks Again As Firms Watch For Stimulus, US Trade Deal - Reuters

Thousands Of Jobs At Risk In Africa As US Trade Deal Expires – AP

 

CoreWeave Signs $14 Billion AI Infrastructure Deal With Meta

CoreWeave said it has signed a $14 billion agreement with Meta to supply computing power, the latest multi-billion dollar deal as businesses ramp up infrastructure to meet the demand for artificial intelligence applications. There has been a wave of billion-dollar deals in recent months, with many AI tech firms making investments and supply deals with each other, raising questions about "circular" financing and concerns whether capital will continue to flow.

Meta has been one of the biggest proponents of AI, investing tens of billions into data centers across the U.S. and paying athlete salaries to hire top AI software engineers while competition intensifies. The social media firm did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment. As a part of the agreement, CoreWeave will provide the Facebook-parent access to Nvidia's latest GB300 systems.  CoreWeave operates AI data centers in the U.S. and Europe, offering access to Nvidia's graphic processing units, which are highly sought after for training and running large AI models.

Read more at Reuters

Boeing Has Started Working on a 737 MAX Replacement

 Boeing BA -1.89%decrease; red down pointing triangle is planning a new single-aisle airplane that would succeed the 737 MAX, according to people familiar with the matter, a long-term bid to recover business lost to rival Airbus during its series of safety and quality problems. Earlier this year, Chief Executive Kelly Ortberg met with officials from Rolls-Royce Holdings RR 0.52%increase; green up pointing triangle in the U.K., two of the people said, where they discussed a new engine for the aircraft. Ortberg appointed a new senior product chief in Boeing’s commercial plane business, whose prior role was developing a new type of aircraft.

Boeing’s plans represent a shift for the company, which had put some new aircraft development work on the back burner while it navigated multiple challenges. They are also a sign that the company is betting that a cutting-edge plane design could power its business for the next few decades. Ortberg hasn’t publicly detailed any plans for a 737 successor. He has consistently said that fixing Boeing’s long-running quality and manufacturing problems, and shoring up its balance sheet, are his priorities.

Read more at The WSJ

Share Of Mortgages With Rates Above 6 Percent Reaches 10-Year High

The days of 3 percent mortgages are gone, and 6 percent loans are steadily becoming the norm. Nearly 1 in 5 U.S. homeowners with a mortgage now has a rate of at least 6 percent — the highest share since 2015, according to a new Redfin analysis of second-quarter data. That proportion has nearly tripled in just three years, rising from about 7 percent of homeowners in mid-2022 to nearly 20 percent today. The trend isn’t surprising. Mortgage rates have hovered above 6 percent since late 2022. But the shift could have big implications for the housing market.

In recent years, the so-called “lock-in effect” has constrained supply, with many homeowners opting to stay put rather than give up their 3 percent mortgages. The decision made financial sense, but it also limited inventory and pushed prices higher. The rise in 6 percent-plus mortgages suggests that the effect is easing. And it means, if rates fall, more owners may be willing to move, potentially relieving some pressure on prices. Today, just 53 percent of mortgaged homeowners have a rate below 4 percent, down from a record 65% in early 2022, according to Redfin.

Read more at The Hill

Hitachi Opens New $100 Million Railcar Plant In Maryland

Hitachi Rail held a grand opening for its new railcar factory in Annapolis, Maryland September 8. The $100 million, 300-square-foot facility will directly create 500 manufacturing jobs. The new Washington County factory, the company said, is “strategically located” for filling metro rail orders, including for the nearby Washington, D.C. and Baltimore light rail systems. Each railcar will reportedly include advanced anti-collision tech, including proximity alerts and “an AI-powered video analytics suite.”

According to a company announcement, $30 million of the $100 million investment went towards “digital enhancements” for the new factory. It will use monitoring systems and AI programs developed by Hitachi Digital Services to monitor manufacturing processes, supplies, and energy use in real time, automatically, the announcement said. “The Hagerstown factory acts as a lighthouse for the unique power and capabilities of Hitachi,” said Hitachi, Ltd. President and Chief Executive Officer Toshiaki Tokunaga. “Combining our deep strength in digital and AI with the expertise of our rail business has enabled us to deliver an evolution in manufacturing. The shared vision and collaboration across our business to deliver the technology in this facility underlines how we can deliver ever greater value to our customers and society.”

Read more at Plant Services

Why General Motors Boss Mary Barra Is Slamming the Brakes on Lofty EV Ambitions

Not long ago, Chief Executive Mary Barra declared that General Motors was a decade away from quitting gas-powered cars, setting the course for a new mission, one that would safeguard the planet for generations. Her ambitious quest to command new markets and save the Earth has since stalled. GM has gone from one of the industry’s loudest EV champions to a leading opponent of government emissions rules and fuel-economy standards that for decades fueled the consumer market for cleaner, more fuel-efficient vehicles.

Many car companies, faced with softening EV sales and a Trump administration hostile to green-energy initiatives, have called for looser regulations. None has backtracked as quickly and dramatically as GM. The change is a practical move that reflects the poor performance of the once-booming EV market, according to Barra. U.S. sales across the industry are expected to plunge after Sept. 30, when a $7,500 federal tax credit for EV buyers expires.

Read more at the WSJ

Stellantis Confirms New Mid-Size Truck For Belvidere Plant

Stellantis remains committed to reopening its idled assembly plant in Belvidere, Illinois, in 2027 where it will produce a new mid-size truck, a company spokesperson said in an email to Automotive Dive. The confirmation follows announcements by the financially struggling automaker, which is rethinking its vehicle strategy after canceling plans for a fully-electric Ram pickup and the Jeep Gladiator 4xe.

A Sept. 23 union update notice from United Auto Workers Local 1268 President Matt Frantzen said 960 members are currently on the recall list for the plant. The local once represented about 1,800 people. Stellantis shuttered the Belvidere plant in February 2023 as part of a wave of cost-cutting moves. “Stellantis confirmed in January its intention to reopen the Belvidere Assembly Plant for production of a mid-size truck and still expect a launch in 2027,” Jodi Tinson, a company spokesperson, said in an email. She did not specify whether the truck would be electric or gas-powered.

Read more at Automotive Dive

Sono-Tek Wins Order for Medical Device Coating Systems Valued at Over $5 Million

Council Member Sono-Tek Corporation the leading developer and manufacturer of ultrasonic coating systems, today announced that it has received a multi-million dollar purchase order, valued at over $5 million, for coating systems to be used in the production of a medical device. The order includes multiple state-of-the-art MediCoat systems designed for high-precision, scalable manufacturing. Deliveries under this order are expected to commence in calendar year 2026 and will be completed over approximately a 12-month period.

Ulster County based Sono-Tek Corporation is the global leader in the design and manufacture of ultrasonic coating systems that are shaping industries and driving innovation worldwide. Their ultrasonic coating systems are used to apply thin films onto parts used in diverse industries including microelectronics, alternative energy, medical devices, advanced industrial manufacturing, and research and development sectors worldwide. Steve Harshbarger, President and CEO of Sono-Tek, commented: “This order reflects the growing adoption of Sono-Tek’s advanced coating platforms by leading medical device manufacturers worldwide.”

Read more at Yahoo Finance

               

The Wall Street Journal/College Pulse 2026 Best Colleges in America: Stanford, Babson and Yale Take Top Spots

Stanford University tops the list of the best U.S. colleges in the latest WSJ/College Pulse rankings. Unlike other school rankings, this list emphasizes one point: How well did the college prepare students for financial success? More than any other factor, it rewards the boost an institution provides to its graduates’ salaries, beyond an estimate of what they could have expected from attending any college.

Stanford returns to the top of this list for the first time since the 2017 rankings. Ivy League schools also figure prominently, with Yale University, Princeton University and Harvard University finishing third, fourth and fifth, respectively. Two other Ivy League schools—Columbia University and the University of Pennsylvania—come in at eighth and ninth, respectively. Beyond the marquee names, the rankings’ distinct methodology highlights some institutions that don’t have as much name recognition but still help their students achieve remarkable success. City University of New York schools dominate the list of colleges that offer the best value, ranking first through seventh in this category. Baruch College in Manhattan won the top spot, keeping costs low while increasing graduates’ earning potential.

Read more at the WSJ

See the Full List 

Quote of the Day

“If the world were merely seductive, that would be easy. If it were merely challenging, that would be no problem. But I arise in the morning torn between a desire to improve the world and a desire to enjoy the world. This makes it hard to plan the day.”

E.B. White, American Children's Author of such classics as 'Charlette's Web' and 'Stuart Little' (from Mt. Vernon NY.) He died on this day in 1985.

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