Member Briefing October 6, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

U.S. Households’ Strong Spending Is Keeping The Economy Chugging Along

GDPNow—the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s real-time Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth tracker—is estimating that GDP in the third quarter grew 3.9%, based on currently available economic data. While that estimate likely will change as new data is released, it’s clearly off to a strong start. Once again, consumers remain the driving force behind the still-robust economy. Most recently, we’ve seen:

  • U.S. consumer spending increased more than expected in August, boosted in part by strong spending on travel, hotels, and restaurants.
  • Second-quarter GDP growth was revised upward, from 3.3% to 3.8%—the fastest pace in nearly two years.
  • Retail sales in August rose more than expected, marking their third consecutive monthly increase.
  • Personal income also rose in August.

Certainly, there are concerning signs, such as a string of weaker-than-expected employment data. However, the latest evidence suggests that, as the fourth quarter begins, households are still spending at levels consistent with a healthy economy.

Read more at The Atlanta Fed

NFIB Jobs Report: Job Openings Remain Steady While Economy Grows

NFIB’s September jobs report found that 32% (seasonally adjusted) of small business owners reported job openings they could not fill in September, unchanged from August. The last time unfilled job openings fell below 32% was in July 2020. Twenty-eight percent have openings for skilled workers (unchanged), and 13% have openings for unskilled labor (unchanged).

  • A seasonally adjusted net 16% of owners plan to create new jobs in the next three months, up 1 point from August and the fourth consecutive monthly increase. Hiring plans are at their highest level since January.
  • Overall, 58% of small business owners reported hiring or trying to hire in September, up 5 points from August.
  • Fifty percent (88% of those hiring or trying to hire) of owners reported few or no qualified applicants for the positions they were trying to fill, up 7 points.
  • 18% of small business owners cited labor quality as their single most important problem, down 3 points from August.
  • Labor costs reported as the single most important problem for business owners rose 3 points from August to 11%.
  • Seasonally adjusted, a net 31% of small business owners reported raising compensation in September, up 2 points from August.

Read more at the WSJ

Chicago Fed and Challenger, Gray & Christmas Reports Shows Hiring At Lowest Since 2009

Unemployment changed little in September while layoff and hiring rates both slowed, according to separate labor market reports Thursday. The jobless level was little changed at 4.34, according to a relatively new set of data indicators compiled by the Chicago Federal Reserve. That represented little change from August. In September, the central bank district announced it would be releasing its own dashboard of labor market indicators that also includes the layoffs rate, which was little changed monthly at 2.1%, and the hiring rate, which moved lower to 45.2%, down 0.4 percentage point from August.

Elsewhere in the labor market, outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas reported that layoff announcements declined 37% in September and were down 26% from the same month a year ago. However, the year-to-date level of planning furloughs is the highest since 2020, the year of the Covid pandemic. Challenger said announced cuts have totaled 946,426 through the first three quarters. The figure already is 24% higher than all of 2024. At the same time, the firm said hiring plans have receded sharply. New hirings totaled just 204,939 so far in 2025, off 58% from the same period a year ago and the lowest level since 2009, when the U.S. economy was still in the throes of the financial crisis.

Read more at CNBC

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Government Funding Vote Fails Again In Senate As Hopes Fade For Quick End To Shutdown

Hopes for a quick end to the government shutdown faded Friday as Democrats refused to budge in a Senate vote and President Donald Trump readied plans to unleash layoffs and cuts across the federal government. On the third day of the shutdown, another Senate vote to advance a Republican bill that would reopen the government failed on a 54-44 tally — well short of the 60 needed to end a filibuster and pass the legislation. Meanwhile, House Speaker Mike Johnson announced that the chamber would close for legislative business next week, a move meant to force the Senate to work with the government funding bill that has been passed by House Republicans. Democrats are demanding that Congress extend healthcare benefits, while Republicans are refusing to commit to anything until the government is reopened.

Although Republicans control the White House and both chambers of Congress, the Senate’s filibuster rules make it necessary for the government funding legislation to gain support from at least 60 of the 100 senators. That’s given Democrats a rare opportunity to use their 47 Senate seats to hold out in exchange for policy concessions. The party has chosen to rally on the issue of health care, believing it could be key to their path back to power in Washington. Their primary demand is that Congress extend tax credits that were boosted during the COVID-19 pandemic for health care plans offered under marketplaces set up under the Affordable Care Act, former President Barack Obama’s signature health care law.

Read more at Federal News Network

The Good, The Bad, The Ugly: Federal Cuts Come To New York and the Hudson Valley

President Donald Trump announced today he would restore $187 million in cuts to counterterrorism and other security programs in New York — and Gov. Kathy Hochul spent the day celebrating. “I’m glad President Trump heard our call and reversed course, ensuring our state has the resources necessary to support law enforcement and keep our families safe,” she said in a statement. But while the governor was all smiles on the security front, the Department of Energy was slashing away.

About $467 million is being cut from clean energy projects in New York as part of the Trump administration’s Wednesday announcement it would slice about $8 billion in Department of Energy grants in mostly blue states, according to the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s calculations. Hudson Valley Republican Rep. Mike Lawler is seeing over $26 million cut from his district, with a $19.7 million “methane characterization” project at IBM’s research headquarters being the biggest casualty. Lawler said he was asking IBM for more information on the project to understand exactly what is being cut. He also said he’s been working with the Trump administration to deal with cuts to the Second Avenue subway and Gateway tunnel projects.

Read more at Politico

Business and Labor Organizations (Including the Council of Industry)  Team Up to Prevent Government Takeover of Central Hudson

Last month a broad coalition of local economic development groups, business associations - including the Council of Industry - and labor unions announced the launch of the Protect Our Power Coalition, an alliance dedicated to protecting ratepayers, jobs, and communities from the harmful consequences of a government takeover of Central Hudson. Legislation recently introduced in Albany would authorize the creation of a Hudson Valley Power Authority (HVPA) to take over Central Hudson as a government-run utility.  Advocates for the bill claim this would make energy more affordable. However, there is no clear evidence that demonstrates government-run utilities are cheaper or more efficient than private utilities, and the costs of purchasing Central Hudson’s infrastructure through eminent domain would likely fall on customers and increase rates.

“For more than a century, Central Hudson has proudly powered the homes and businesses of the Hudson Valley. Our mission has always been to deliver safe, reliable, and affordable energy — guided by engineering expertise, operational excellence, and a deep commitment to the communities we serve. While we respect the role of government in shaping energy policy, we believe that the delivery of energy should remain rooted in technical rigor, safety, and service; not driven by political agendas or short-term promises. A government-led takeover introduces unnecessary risk and uncertainty at a time when our communities need stability and sustained investment in modern infrastructure,” said Stephanie Raymond, President and CEO of Central Hudson.

Read the press release at Protect Our Power

‘Digital Tool Fatigue,’ Eroding Mental Health And Career Productivity

Digital tools are meant to boost productivity. But what happens when there are too many of them and they create chaos? A new tech problem known as “digital tool fatigue” is undermining team collaboration, employee well-being and productivity. Why? There are too many tools and too little time to deal with the distractions, leading to both mental health and productivity concerns. Experts argue that this problem, while not new, has worsened with the advent of AI in the workplace. In 2023 96% of workers in one study said digital tools weren’t helping them keep up, creating burnout.

Employees were advocating for tools that would help them work smarter, not harder. “App Switching” was sucking productivity, not creating it. Workers complained that one of their biggest challenges was switching from platform to platform across multiple platforms, half of them adding that they would prefer one solution that could handle all of their different tasks. The main correction most employees wanted was for AI to handle at least one of their communication tasks such as writing emails, answering questions from customers and clients and writing documents. Now nearly three years later with AI entrenched in most organizations, the technology seems to have worsened an already chaotic situation, leading to what experts are calling “digital tool fatigue.”

Read more at Forbes

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

See previous episodes here!

Webinars and Seminars

TOMORROW! Workshop - Identifying and Assessing Gaps in Envir. Health and Safety

In this interactive session attendees will learn how to identify compliance blind spots, drive cultural EHS growth, and make safety a core value in their facility. $45 per person. Presented by Walden Engineering. October 7, 8:30 - 11:30. iPark Fishkill.

Training

Introduction to Lean with Simulation - This full-day Lean Foundations course, led by Vin Buonomo from RIT CQAS, is designed as a starting point for those interested in Lean certification—including Yellow Belt and Green Belt. October 28, 2025 - Location TBD.

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

 

Automaker Stellantis Planning $10 Billion In U.S. Investments, Bloomberg News Reports

French-Italian-American automaker Stellantis is planning to invest about $10 billion in the United States, Bloomberg News reported on Saturday, citing people familiar with the situation. Stellantis may announce in the coming weeks about $5 billion in fresh investment on top of a similar amount earmarked earlier in the year, the report said. The report added that the investments over several years could be funneled into plants — including reopenings, hiring, and new vehicle models — in states such as Illinois and Michigan.

Stellantis is reintroducing models, including the Jeep Cherokee and 8-cylinder RAM trucks, after dropping them proved to be one of the causes of the group’s declining sales since 2024, Filosa said in September. The carmaker is focused on reclaiming the past success of the Jeep brand and is considering fresh investments in Dodge, which could result in a new Dodge V8 muscle car, and possibly even the Chrysler brand in the long term, the Bloomberg report added.

Read more at CNBC

Boeing Chief Counsel and NLRB Nominee On Hot Seat At Senate Hearing Over Machinists Strike

U.S. senators grilled Boeing’s in-house labor attorney about the company’s ongoing workers’ strike at its St. Louis area facilities at a confirmation hearing last week.  President Donald Trump nominated Boeing Chief Labor Counsel Scott Mayer to be a member of the National Labor Relations Board in July. Mayer has served as Boeing’s chief labor counsel since June 2022, according to his LinkedIn profile. Before joining Boeing, Mayer served in several labor attorney roles for other prominent companies, including InterContinental Hotels Group, MGM Resorts International and Aramark.

Lawmakers repeatedly asked Mayer if it was fair that Boeing’s CEOs, current and former, are compensated millions of dollars while the St. Louis factory workers are paid low wages and lack health benefits. Sanders met with the striking workers on a Zoom call on Tuesday and stated at the hearing that he was shocked by what he heard, such as employees earning $18 an hour. Mayer told the Senate committee that he was not involved in the negotiations between the company and defense Machinists and declined to comment on the ongoing strike discussions and executive compensation. Though he added that “the concept of fairness is an elusive one.”

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Tesla Reports 497,000 Vehicle Deliveries For Q3, Up 7%

Tesla reported quarterly vehicle deliveries of 497,099 for the period ended Sept. 30, which coincided with the expiration of a key tax credit for buyers of electric vehicles in the U.S. Total deliveries Q3 2025 were 497,099 and Total production in Q3 2025 was 447,450. Deliveries were up 7% over the year prior, when the company reported 462,890 total deliveries. Tesla saw a decline in production this quarter compared to the 469,796 vehicles produced in the third quarter of 2024. The Elon Musk-led company was expected to report around 447,600 deliveries, according to estimates compiled by FactSet. In the same period a year ago, Tesla reported 462,890 deliveries and production of 469,796 vehicles.

Tesla’s third quarter was hampered by a continuing sales slump in Europe driven partly by consumer backlash against Musk and his incendiary political rhetoric and activism, as well by competition from EV makers like Volkswagen and BYD, which are picking up market share. The slowdown in Europe was partially offset in the U.S., where buyers rushed to purchase EVs ahead of the expiration of a federal tax credit, which ended as part of President Donald Trump’s spending bill passed in July.

Read more at CNBC

General Mills Closing Three Plants in Supply-Chain Restructuring

General Mills is closing three manufacturing plants in Missouri as part of a multi-year initiative to boost the competitiveness of the packaged-food giant’s supply chain. The company on Wednesday said it will shutter a pizza-crust plant in St. Charles, along with a pair of facilities in Joplin that were part of the Minneapolis company’s $1.45 billion acquisition of Whitebridge Pet Brands businesses last year. The company said it will also consolidate assets at some of its other facilities.

General Mills previously said it was planning new cost-control initiatives that aim for an extra $100 million in savings in fiscal 2026. The maker of Lucky Charms and Cheerios cereals earlier this year announced it would close its in-house innovation unit and pause additional outside investments by its venture capital arm.

Read more at the WSJ

First Batch Of f-35 Joint Strike Fighter Jets To Incorporate Advanced Data-Processing Tech Is In Progress

Lockheed Martin Aeronautics is receiving nearly $238.4 million more in U.S. Dept. of Defense funding for Lot 17 production of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program. Lot 17 will be comprised of 126 aircraft, and the first in the production program to incorporate the Technical Refresh-3 effort to update the jets’ analytics and data-processing systems, in advance of the forthcoming Block 4 upgrade of the F-35 weapons and sensor technologies. Lockheed is the prime contractor for the F-35, a single-engine fighter jet with stealth technology and capabilities for air-to-air, air-to-ground, electronic warfare, and reconnaissance missions. Its three aircraft variants are in service for the U.S. Air Force, U.S. Marine Corps, and U.S. Navy, and for the defense forces of 11 other nations. About 1,230 of the aircraft are in service now, and eight more countries are awaiting deliveries of their contracted F-35 jets.

Separately, Lockheed Martin was awarded a new, $101,125,979 contract for the advanced procurement of parts liable to be scarce due to “anticipated diminishing manufacturing sources and material shortages.” The Pentagon did not offer examples of scarce parts or materials, but this contract will be centered at Lockheed’s primary assembly location for the F-35, in Forth Worth, Tex., and completed in September 2027.

Read more at American Machinist

DoD Awards $10B Helicopter Contract to Sikorsky

The U.S. Navy issued a $10.85-billion contract to Sikorsky Aircraft Corp. for as many as 99 heavy-lift helicopters for the U.S. Marine Corps, along with relevant aircraft and program support. The 10-year deal will cover five productions series (Lot 9 through 13) of the CH-53K “King Stallion”, the current model of Sikorsky’s long-running helicopter series. It is the largest and heaviest helicopter in use by the U.S. military.

The USMC initially planned to acquire a total of 200 of the CH-53K helicopters when it authorized full-rate production in 2022 – with 20 aircraft delivered (Lots 1-3) and 63 more in production and assembly (Lots 4-8) by Sikorsky in Stratford, Conn. Sikorsky, a Lockheed Martin subsidiary, will manufacture the helicopters primarily at Stratford, and Wichita, Kan., with other activity at various other locations in the U.S., Canada, and U.K. Each helicopter incorporates three GE Aerospace T408 turboshaft engines.

Read more at American Machinist

91% of Critical Infrastructure Hit by Cyberattacks

A Forrester study commissioned by Schneider Electric surveyed 250 global operational technology (OT) security decision-makers and found vulnerabilities in critical infrastructure cybersecurity. Despite existing security measures, 91% of organizations experienced OT breaches or failures in the past 18 months, resulting in service interruptions (51%), revenue loss (49%) and reputational damage (53%).

The research reveals security gaps: 70% of decision-makers doubt their protective capabilities, 60% question their attack detection abilities and 51% still rely on inadequate traditional IT security practices for OT environments. Only 40% maintain 24/7 OT threat monitoring. Organizations adopting secure by operations principles (embedding cybersecurity into operational environments with continuous post-deployment monitoring ) report 75% agreement on their effectiveness against future attacks, 53% faster recovery times and 51% reduced capital expenditure.

Read more at Chemical Processing

Nuclear In My Backyard? More Of America, And The Market, Seems OK With It

Amazon, Google, and others big tech companies are helping to fuel a nuclear power comeback to feed their data centers. The first small modular reactions (SMRs) in the United States could be operable by the end of the decade, but opinions vary on whether it is realistic to expect widespread deployment over the next decade. Experts say the nuclear technology has advanced to where risks of failure are low, and Pew polling shows increasing support for nuclear over the last decade, especially among Republicans. The future of energy is subatomic,” Bill Gates wrote in “Power Magazine” this week.

Small modular reactors are factory-built nuclear power plants that are much smaller than traditional reactors (typically 300 megawatts or less). The SMRs are usually designed to be mass-produced and shipped to sites for faster, less costly installation. The future of energy in the U.S. may be unfolding in this unassuming corner of Michigan where the Holtec Corporation is constructing two SMR-300 units which will be co-located with the existing 800-megawatt Palisades plant. The SMRs are planned to be operational by the early 2030s.

Read more at CNBC

Quote of the Day

“...Tho' much is taken, much abides; and tho'

We are not now that strength which in old days

Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;

One equal temper of heroic hearts,

Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will

To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.

Alfred, Lord Tennyson - British Poet from his poem 'Ulysses." He died on this day in 1892.

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