Member Briefing September 23, 2025

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Hudson Valley Jobs Count Up 1.4% Year on Year in August, Manufacturing Adds 300 Jobs

For the 12-month period ending August 2025, the private sector jobs count in the Hudson Valley rose by 11,300, or 1.4 percent, to 843,100. Gains were largest in private education and health services (+7,500), leisure and hospitality (+1,900), other services (+800), trade, transportation and utilities (+800), financial activities (+600), professional and business services (+400) and manufacturing (+300). Employment losses were greatest in information (-800) and mining, logging and construction (-200). Private sector job growth was spread throughout the region with Rockland County growing the fastest – up 2.9 percent. 

New York State's private sector jobs (not seasonally adjusted) increased by 117,900, or 1.4%, over the year in August 2025. That increase was driven by the private education and health services sector where Jobs Increased by 5.2%, or 119,100 over the year. Manufacturing jobs fell by 1.1% or 4,700 over the 12 months. Construction lost 12,000 jobs or 3.0%. Statewide the labor force decreased to 9.86 million and the number of unemployed increased to 397.900.

Read the labor market profile

Manufacturing Export Prices Inch Higher in August, Fuel Import Prices Decrease

U.S. import prices rose 0.3% in August, after advancing 0.2% in July, with higher nonfuel import prices driving the increase. Over the past year, import prices stayed the same. Meanwhile, U.S. export prices stepped up 0.3% in August, with nonagricultural export prices driving the increase. Over the past year, export prices climbed 3.4%, the largest over-the-year rise since December 2022.

In August, U.S. import prices for manufacturing rose 0.2% over the year, but with significant divergences in prices across the industry. Petroleum and coal products manufacturing experienced the most significant over-the-year U.S. import price declines in August, falling 14.6%. On the other hand, the greatest yearly increase in U.S. import prices occurred in primary metal manufacturing, which advanced 11.3% from August 2024. Meanwhile, U.S. export prices for manufacturing in August grew 3.3% over the year, with primary metal manufacturing export prices exhibiting the largest rise (27%).

Read more at The NAM

Cardboard-Box Demand Is Slumping. Why That’s Bad News for the Economy.

Cardboard-box demand is slumping, flashing a potential warning about the health of the American consumer given that goods ranging from pizzas to ovens are transported in corrugated packaging. A historic run of pulp-mill closures is also signaling problems for the companies that make corrugated packaging as well as the timberland owners who sell them wood. International Paper, the country’s biggest box maker, announced last month the shutdown of two U.S. containerboard mills, which make the brown paper that is folded into corrugated packaging.

Box shipments have fallen from the record highs reached during the pandemic to the lowest levels since 2016. On a per-capita basis, the drop is even sharper, with box shipments per American down more than 20% from their 1999 peak, Josephson said. Box makers and analysts say demand presently suffers from uncertainty in U.S. boardrooms and export markets because of President Trump’s tariffs as well as from weakening consumer spending. The sputtering housing market has also hurt, reducing the need for moving boxes as well as packaging for building products and appliances. It hasn’t helped that e-commerce firms, including Amazon, have trimmed their cardboard consumption by shipping more items in paper and plastic mailers, using made-to-measure boxes and reducing instances of boxes within boxes, analysts say.

Read more at The WSJ

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Congress Locked In Game Of Shutdown Chicken As Funding Deadline Nears

Congress is cruising at a steady clip toward a government shutdown at the end of the month, with both parties — and both chambers — pointing fingers at the other while refusing to blink. Lawmakers from both chambers are in their home states this week after the House passed a GOP-crafted government funding bill that was swiftly rejected by the Senate, along with a competing proposal to keep the government open. Senators aren’t expected to return until Sept. 29, and House lawmakers not until October.

“I don’t want a shutdown. The president of the United States doesn’t want a shutdown. Republicans in the Senate don’t want a shutdown,” said Rep. Tom Cole (Okla.), the chair of the House Appropriations Committee. “If there’s a shutdown, it’s because Democrats wanted to shut it down.” Democrats responded in kind, arguing that Republicans control all the levers of power in Washington and, therefore, GOP leaders would be responsible for any shutdown that occurs.  “We’ve heard all year how Republicans have a mandate, how Republicans have the presidency, how Republicans control the House, how Republicans control the Senate. Well, if that, in fact, is the case — as is the moment, temporarily — Republicans will own a government shutdown. Period. Full stop,” House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) said.

Read more at the Hill

Wells Fargo Economics has a good breakdown politics and of the impacts of a potential shutdown

National Labor Relations Board Sues To Block New York Labor Law

The National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) has filed a lawsuit against New York State and its Public Employment Relations Board (PERB) in federal court, accusing the state of passing an illegal new state law to regulate private sector labor relations that are already under federal authority. The lawsuit claims that the new law, S8034A/A8590A, creates a regulatory system in conflict with the National Labor Relations Act, and asks the court to declare the law invalid and stop the state from enforcing it. The NLRA is supposed to guarantee rights for private sector employees, making the NLRB responsible for preventing unfair labor practices.

S8034A/A8590A, signed into law by Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) at the New York City Labor Day Parade, amends the State Labor Relations Act to allow the PERB to enforce collective bargaining agreements and certify bargaining representatives. It took effect immediately upon being signed. Previously, PERB mostly oversaw labor relations between public employers and employees. The state agency is supposed to be responsible for administering the New York State Labor Relations Act. Now, the law makes NLRB seek a federal court order to assert jurisdiction over private sector labor disputes in New York, according to the lawsuit.

Read more at The Hill

Deal to Keep TikTok in U.S. Is Near. These Are the Details.

The future of TikTok in the U.S. is coming into focus, and users likely won’t have to download a new app to access it. After months of negotiations between the Trump administration and China over the U.S. operations of the popular short-form video app, the two sides have a preliminary deal. Under the agreement, existing investors and a group of new U.S. backers that includes private-equity firm Silver Lake and cloud-computing firm Oracle would together own about 80% of the company.

A new version of TikTok’s content-recommendation algorithm would be retrained and, crucially, users would be able to access the service via the same app they have been using. President Trump is expected to approve the framework via an executive order declaring that it satisfies the requirements of the law later this week, according to a senior White House official. The official confirmed the contours of the deal that were reported in The Wall Street Journal and other media outlets last week. Here is a look at what we know about the deal.

Read more at The WSJ

What to Know About Taking Tylenol During Pregnancy

The Trump administration said on Monday that Tylenol use during pregnancy is a possible cause of autism and that pregnant women should stop taking it unless absolutely necessary. Doctors and medical societies say acetaminophen, the active ingredient in Tylenol, remains the best option for treating fever and pain during pregnancy.

A 2019 study published in JAMA Psychiatry found that higher concentrations of acetaminophen in umbilical cord blood samples taken at birth were linked to greater risk of autism and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder. Another in JAMA in 2024 of nearly 2.5 million children in Sweden found no increased risk in children when mothers took acetaminophen during their pregnancy, compared with their siblings who weren’t exposed to the medication in the womb. Part of the challenge with such studies is wading through the myriad other confounding factors when analyzing the results. Women take Tylenol during pregnancy because they are running a fever or have pain or an infection. Those problems could be the root of a potential autism risk, rather than the medication used to alleviate them, researchers said. “All of those factors in fact pose a somewhat higher risk to the developing fetus than does the Tylenol itself,” said Helen Tager-Flusberg, director of the Center for Autism Research Excellence at Boston University.

Read more at The WSJ

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

2025 Annual Luncheon - November 21, 2025 -11:00 AM Expo, 12:00 Lunch. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Mfg. Day 2025 - Manufacturing Day will be taking place on Friday, October 3rd. Check out the Mfg Day website to learn more!

Networks

Check Back Soon.

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

See previous episodes here!

Webinars and Seminars

Workshop - Identifying and Assessing Gaps in Envir. Health and Safety

In this interactive session attendees will learn how to identify compliance blind spots, drive cultural EHS growth, and make safety a core value in their facility. $45 per person. Presented by Walden Engineering. October 7, 8:30 - 11:30. iPark Fishkill.

Training

Introduction to Lean with Simulation - This full-day Lean Foundations course, led by Vin Buonomo from RIT CQAS, is designed as a starting point for those interested in Lean certification—including Yellow Belt and Green Belt. October 28, 2025 - Location TBD.

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - November 12, 13 & 14 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

 

Halloween Spending to Reach Record $13.1 Billion

Halloween spending is expected to reach a record $13.1 billion this year, according to the National Retail Federation’s annual consumer survey conducted by Prosper Insights & Analytics. The figure is up from $11.6 billion last year and exceeds the previous $12.2 billion record set in 2023. Most Halloween shoppers (79%) anticipate prices will be higher this year specifically because of tariffs. Despite these reservations, nearly three-quarters of consumers (73%) plan to celebrate the holiday, in line with last year’s 72%.

Candy continues to be the most popular purchase, with total spending expected to reach $3.9 billion. Across other categories, 71% plan to purchase costumes and spending is expected to reach $4.3 billion. Another 78% plan to purchase decorations, up from 75% last year, and will spend an estimated $4.2 billion in total. And 38% plan to purchase greeting cards, an increase from 2024’s 33%, with total spending estimated at $0.7 billion.

Read more at Material Handling & Logistics

Space Force Approaches Industry For Space Situational Awareness, Battle Management, And Cyber Security

U.S. Space Force battle-management experts are reaching out to industry for new ways to control space to protect U.S. and allied forces from enemy space and cyber attacks. Officials of the U.S. Space Systems Command in El Segundo, Calif., issued a broad agency announcement (FA8819-24-R-B003) on Tuesday asking industry for space and cyber technologies to counter emerging space threats. Space Force will explore pathfinders to test assumptions, validate answers, and potentially field ad-hoc solutions. The intent is to gain a better understanding of requirements for improved space situational awareness and cyber security, while addressing the need for integrated space and cyber solutions.

This project has five areas of interest: resiliency technologies and techniques that increase survivability of space systems; Improvements to space domain awareness that enhance the knowledge of space objects, status, activities, threats, and environment to enable courses of action; using space for defensive and offensive counter-space to protect friendly space-related capabilities from attack; efficiencies that promote space battle management command control and communications (BMC3); and methods for advancing exercises, tests, and training environment.

Read more at Military Aerospace Electronics

Pfizer Boosts Obesity Drug Prospects With $7.3 Billion Deal To Buy Metsera

Pfizer said it would acquire weight loss biotech Metsera in a deal valued at up to $7.3 billion, including future payments, as it scrambles to win a slice in the booming obesity drug market.  The move comes after a string of setbacks for Pfizer on the obesity front, including a decision to scrap its own lead obesity pill in April due to safety concerns. Metsera, founded in 2022, brings a pipeline of both oral and injectable treatments with different targets that the company had picked up through its own licensing and acquisition deals.

The move comes after a string of setbacks for Pfizer in the obseity space. The pharmaceutical giant struggled to develop its own lead obesity drug candidate, danuglipron, before deciding to scrap it entirely in April due to safety concerns. Pfizer also discontinued a different once-daily pill in June 2023 due to elevated liver enzymes in patients who received it.  The opportunity could be huge. Some analysts expect the weight loss drug space could be worth roughly $100 billion by the 2030s, with room for new rivals to compete with popular injections from Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk

Read more at CNBC

RTX Raytheon Gets $1.7B For LTAMDS Production

The U.S. Army has awarded RTX Corp. a $1.7 billion contract for the low-rate initial production of the Lower Tier Air and Missile Defense System (LTAMDS), marking a significant step in advanced missile defense. LTAMDS, also known as GhostEye, will replace the Patriot missile radar, providing 360-degree detection and tracking with twice the power and enhanced efficiency using Gallium Nitride (GaN) technology.

LTAMDS can track, classify, and engage multiple threats from any direction, offering long-range detection and large-sector sensing to improve battlefield defense. The LTAMDS primary array is roughly the same size as the Patriot radar array, but provides more than twice Patriot's performance. While it is designed for the U.S. Army's Integrated Air and Missile Defense system, LTAMDS also will be able to preserve previous Patriot investments.

Read more at Military Aerospace Electronics

Top 10 OSHA Violations of 2025

Every year, OSHA releases their findings of the top 10 most frequently cited violations, and for the third year in a year, it’s the exact same violations on the list. While the rankings within the Top 10 shifted slightly over the past year, the same group of violations that made the 2024 list, and the 2023 list, appear again on the 2025 list. The number one violation, as it has been for many years, is again Fall Protection—General Requirements.

“While progress has been made, the consistency in citation rankings year after year signals that yesterday’s hazards are still today’s vulnerabilities,” pointed out Lorraine Martin, CEO of the National Safety Council. Martin’s remarks were made at the 2025 NSC Safety Congress & Expo in Denver, Colo. “Employers, safety professionals and communities must intensify efforts through robust training, regular hazard assessments and leadership accountability to protect workers and save lives.”

Read more at EHS Today

GE and UAW Reach Deal, End Strike

GE Aerospace and its United Auto Workers union employees at two plants in the Cincinnati region, at Evendale, Ohio, and Erlanger, Ken., have reached a new five-year labor agreement to end a three-week strike. The new contract is backdated several days to September 15, and runs through September 15, 2030. As described by the UAW the agreement includes 3-5% wage increases through 2029 and nearly $3,500 per employee in cash payments, to offset rising healthcare costs. It also provides “minimum workforce” guarantees, as a hedge against job cuts, and additional personal time allowances and vacation time, the UAW reported.

GE Aerospace operates more than 40 locations in the U.S., and more than 80 worldwide. The company manufactures turbofan, turbojet, turboprop, and turbofan engines installed in commercial, military, and business aircraft; industrial gas engines, and marine engines. It also produces a wide variety of component parts for those engines. The Evendale plant manufactures commercial, military, and business jet engine components, including ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) for high-temperature engine components.

Read more at American Machinist

Nvidia to Invest Up to $100 Billion in OpenAI

Nvidia and OpenAI, two U.S. giants powering America’s race for AI superintelligence, announced an expansive partnership Monday, including plans for a massive data center buildout and a $100 billion investment by the chip maker into the startup. The deal announced Monday will allow OpenAI to build and deploy at least 10 gigawatts of Nvidia systems for its artificial intelligence data centers to train and run its next generation of models. That amount of electricity is roughly comparable to what is produced by more than four Hoover Dams or the power consumed by eight million homes.

The partnership is significant because of the scope and size of the investment in running AI models in the hope of creating superintelligence. The partnership is a bet on continued model improvements, essentially that investments of hundreds of billions of dollars from investors, companies, governments and Wall Street financiers will create AI models capable of profoundly transforming economies and society. It envisions a future economy reliant on far more computing power than is available today.

Read more at CNBC

Quote of the Day

“Most people do not really want freedom, because freedom involves responsibility, and most people are frightened of responsibility.”

Sigmund Freud, Austrian neurologist and the founder of psychoanalysis from his 'Civilization and Its Discontents.'

He died on this day in 1939.

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