Member Briefing April 16, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Empire State Manufacturing Survey: “Moderate Growth” in April

Manufacturing activity in New York State grew moderately after holding steady last month, according to the April survey. The general business conditions index rose eleven points to 11.0, with 36 percent of firms reporting an increase in activity and 25 percent reporting a decrease. Here are some other Key Findings:

  • The new orders index climbed thirteen points to 19.3 and the shipments index increased twenty-seven points to 20.2, both indexes reaching their highest levels since 2023.
  • Unfilled orders increased for a third consecutive month.
  • The delivery time index came in at 12.1, indicating that delivery times lengthened.
  • The supply availability index declined six points to -10.1, suggesting that supply availability worsened.
  • The index for number of employees rose four points to 9.8 and the average workweek index increased twelve points to 13.7.
  • The prices paid index rose fourteen points to 51.0, pointing to a sharp acceleration in input price increases.
  • The prices received index was little changed at 21.8, suggesting that selling price increases held steady.
  • New orders and shipments are expected to increase, and employment is expected to grow in the months ahead.
  • The capital expenditures index dropped nine points to 13.1, indicating that capital spending plans weakened.

Read More at Barron’s

IMF Cuts Growth Outlook, Warns World Already Drifting Toward More Adverse Scenario

The International Monetary Fund cut its growth outlook on Tuesday due to Middle East war-driven energy price spikes but ​said the world was already drifting toward a more adverse scenario with much-weaker growth as Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions continue. With massive uncertainty over the Middle East conflict gripping finance officials gathered for IMF and World Bank spring meetings in ‌Washington, the IMF presented three growth scenarios: weaker, worse and severe, depending on how the war unfolds.

  • The IMF shaved its U.S. growth outlook for this ‌year to 2.3%, ⁠down just a tenth of a percentage point from January, reflecting the positive effect of tax cuts, the lagged effect of interest rate cuts and continued AI data center investment partly offsetting the higher energy costs. These effects are expected to continue in 2027, with growth now forecast at 2.1%, up a tenth of a point from January.
  • The euro zone, still struggling with higher energy prices caused by Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, takes a bigger hit from the Middle East conflict, with its growth outlook falling 0.2 percentage points in both years to 1.1% in 2026 and 1.2% for 2027.
  • Japan's growth is largely unchanged under the most benign scenario at a weak 0.7% for 2026 and 0.6% for 2027, but the IMF said that it expects the Bank of Japan to hike rates at a slightly faster pace than anticipated six months ago.
  • The ​IMF forecast China's growth for 2026 at 4.4%, down a tenth ​of a point from January as the higher energy and ⁠commodity costs are partly offset by lower U.S. tariff rates and government stimulus measures. But the IMF said headwinds from a depressed housing sector, a declining labor force, lower returns on investment and slower productivity growth will cut China's 2027 growth to 4.0%, a forecast unchanged from January.

Read more at Reuters

After Four Years Of Weakness, Steel Demand Is Expected To Rise Slightly In 2026

The World Steel Association has updated its semi-annual forecast for global steel consumption, now projecting that demand will rise by 0.3% during 2026 to 1.72 billion metric tons. That would be followed by a further 2.2% increase in global demand during 2027, to 1.76 billion metric tons. While tepid, the new Short Range Outlook report counts as progress for World Steel and its member companies in 69 nations, whose industry has been beset by weak industrial and construction sectors around the world during much of the current decade. Global steel output has been dragged by the weak demand, with production slipping consistently for four consecutive years, 2022-2025.

The World Steel SRO anticipates that Chinese manufacturers’ steel demand will maintain moderate growth, supported by exports despite global trade conditions that could limit that possible outlet. U.S. steel demand is forecast to rise 1.7% this year, and 2.0% in 2027, propelled by “strong, technology-driven and policy-backed private-sector investment” and ongoing infrastructure projects. World Steel also forecasts growth in U.S. steel consumption due to residential construction activity in 2026, paced by pent-up demand and easier financing.

Read more at American Machinist

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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New York’s Proposed Decoupling from IRC §174A: What Manufacturers Need to Know

Rarely has there been a state tax proposal that has such an immediate and tangible impact on clients as the recent State Executive Budget proposal to decouple from Internal Revenue Code (IRC) §174A. For businesses that have spent the last several years navigating the complexity of research and experimental (R&E) capitalization, this proposal feels like yet another turn of the screw— this time at the state level. s part of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, taxpayers were required to capitalize and amortize R&E expenditures over five years (15 years for foreign research) beginning in 2022 under IRC Section 174. That alone created a substantial cash flow strain for many closely held and pass-through businesses. In 2025, Congress finally reversed course through the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, introducing IRC §174A, which once again allows immediate expensing of domestic R&E costs.

Under Governor Hochul’s Fiscal Year 2026–2027 Executive Budget, the state is proposing to decouple entirely from IRC §174A. In practical terms, this means that while federal law would permit immediate expensing of domestic R&E beginning in 2025, New York would require those same costs to be capitalized and amortized over a five-year period, regardless of federal treatment. From a planning perspective, this decoupling undermines one of the key policy goals behind IRC §174A, which is to incentivize domestic research investment. At the federal level, full expensing is intended to improve cash flow and encourage innovation. By forcing capitalization, New York is effectively deferring those benefits and increasing the after-tax cost of research and development (R&D) activity within the state.

Read more at Dannible & McKee

Watch this video explainer from the Manufacturing Alliance of New York

Here Are All The Ways The Iran War Has Affected The U.S. Economy So Far

The Iran war is starting to show up in the U.S. economy in ways both obvious and not so much, with soaring energy costs leading the impact and potential hits on broader growth simmering beneath the surface. Though recession fears have grown since the fighting began more than six weeks ago, most economists think the war will have only modest effects on gross domestic product — maybe shaving off a few tenths of a percentage point overall. But there’s an important caveat, mainly around duration: Should the current ceasefire hold, inflationary impacts will wear off. If fighting resumes, however, the future becomes much murkier, threatening the fragile growth the economy has seen over the past two quarters.

“Iran’s important. The price of crude oil is important. Other things matter more. Incomes and other things are continuing to hang in there,” said Mike Skordeles, head of U.S. economics at Truist Advisory Services. “The other piece of that uncertainty is by the Fed that’s delaying — and I think it’s delaying, not canceling — any sort of additional cuts, pushing them into the back half or even later in the year. That means you’re elevating borrowing costs for consumers.” Goldman Sachs a few days ago cut its GDP forecast this year to 2%, measured from fourth quarter to fourth quarter, a reduction of half a percentage point from its prior outlook. The Atlanta Fed projects that first-quarter growth will total just 1.3%, better than the meager 0.5% growth rate in Q4 but below earlier estimates for 3.2%.

Read More at CNBC

Increasingly, The Next Labor Negotiation Isn’t About Wages. It’s About Who Controls The Bots

Unions are negotiating who gets notified before a new scheduling algorithm goes live, who sits on tech committees and what limits exist on electronic monitoring and surveillance technologies. Research from the UC Berkeley Labor Center inventory of union contracts shows that collective bargaining is already being used as a tool to give workers a voice over how automated management systems improve jobs rather than degrade them. Workers in several sectors have already won contracts that constrain how monitoring data can be used for attendance, performance evaluation, discipline or interference with protected activity, according to the UC Berkeley Labor Center’s inventory of union contracts.

Findings from the research and grantmaking organization Washington Center for Equitable Growth document the forms of automated management that workers are pushing back against. These include algorithmic scheduling, pace‑setting software and continuous performance monitoring. These were identified as worker pain points across sectors, including logistics, healthcare, retail and financial services. According to the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, many union contracts now include advance notice requirements when employers use automated management and surveillance tools, and some agreements include limits on how these tools affect workers’ job conditions. These provisions often emerged from workplace conflicts and grievances over the introduction of algorithmic tools.

Read more at City & State

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Are These Overlooked Brain Cells The Key To Treating Trauma And Anxiety?

For decades, scientists have built psychiatric drugs around neurons—the brain cells that send electrical and chemical signals. But even as that understanding has deepened, treatments for mental health conditions remain frustratingly limited for the nearly one in seven people worldwide living with mental health disorders. Now, scientists are turning to an overlooked star-shaped brain cell, the astrocyte, to develop more effective therapies. Once considered support cells, astrocytes are increasingly recognized for their role in shaping learning, memory, and behavior. Early findings suggest they could offer new, more precise targets for treating conditions like anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD).

Astrocytes wrap around synapses, the junctions where neurons meet to exchange information, influencing how signals are sent and received. Although they account for as many as half of the cells in some brain regions, until recently, they were more difficult to study than neurons. A recent study showed that astrocytes in the amygdala, the brain’s emotion-processing region, lit up when mice formed and remembered fear memories. Adjusting that activity up or down led to a corresponding change in other regions of the brain, affecting how the mice reacted to fear. Astrocytes bear remarkably specific protein signatures that could make them ideal targets for new drugs.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast and Workforce Developers Expo - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, April 23, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00 AM. Location Ulster BOCES Career Academy, iPark 87, Kingston.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Spring Session, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (8 full day sessions) April 29 - July 15.

Trade Wars

Boeing Beats Airbus On Deliveries For First Time Since MAX Crisis

Boeing has achieved something it hasn't managed since the MAX crisis began in 2018: a quarterly delivery win over Airbus. According to its orders and deliveries data released today, the US planemaker handed over 143 commercial aircraft in Q1 2026, compared to just 114 for Airbus, giving Boeing a 29-aircraft advantage. For Boeing, this represents 10% year-over-year growth, while Airbus deliveries have declined by 16% over the same period.

This builds on a string of positive headlines for Boeing, after it racked up more orders than its European rival in 2025. That said, the result needs context. This was not Boeing suddenly blowing Airbus away across the board. Boeing’s quarter was helped by a very strong 737 performance, while Airbus was severely hampered by supply-chain problems, notably with Pratt & Whitney (P&W) engines. So yes, Boeing won the quarter. But the more interesting story is how strengthening 737 deliveries met an unusually weak quarter for Airbus.

Read more at Simple Flying

Bosch, Qualcomm Expand Partnership To Include ADAS Technology

Bosch and Qualcomm Technologies are expanding their strategic partnership on computers for vehicle instrument clusters to include advanced driver assist systems. The first vehicles equipped with Bosch hardware and Qualcomm’s Snapdragon platform are expected to be on the road in 2028 and the companies intend the technology for global and regional models in all vehicle segments. “By combining leading-edge compute technology with our system integration expertise — hardware, software, and safety — we enable automakers to meet the rising demand for personalized, safe, and comfortable driving experiences,” said Christoph Hartung, CTO for systems, software and services at Bosch, in a statement.

The expanded partnership between the two companies will leverage Bosch’s cost-optimized vehicle computer architecture and Qualcomm’s Snapdragon Cockpit platform to support scalable deployments of ADAS technology in vehicles. The hardware fuses multiple vehicle sensor technologies and runs complex algorithms to more advanced vehicle functions, such as automated driving. The platform is part of the company’s Snapdragon Digital Chassis family of products for OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Azure Printed Homes Opens Colorado Facility To Scale Prefab Housing Production

Azure Printed Homes has opened a 25,000-square-foot manufacturing facility in Colorado, expanding its capacity to produce prefabricated housing using 3D printing technology. The company said the facility is expected to produce up to 352 housing units annually and support about 50 jobs at full capacity. Its printing process uses primarily recycled plastic polymer materials and can be deployed in smaller, temporary facilities closer to construction sites.

Azure Printed Homes said the new facility will allow it to scale production of small, prefabricated homes designed for workforce housing and other needs, including addressing homelessness. “This new facility allows us to bring our 3D manufacturing and robotics expertise directly to the region, helping communities build faster and more affordably,” said Gene Eidelman, co-founder and CEO of Azure Printed Homes.

Read more at Colorado Biz

Google To Provide $10M For Manufacturing Institute AI Training Programs

Google will provide $10 million for workforce development initiatives centered around artificial intelligence, the Manufacturing Institute announced. The funding will be used to develop two AI skills training programs for shop floor workers: a free course called AI 101 for Manufacturing and another called Advanced AI for Manufacturing Technicians. It will also be used to expand employer-led apprenticeship programs via the MI’s Federation for Advanced Manufacturing Education, as well as provide scholarships for FAME USA students through the mikeroweWORKS Foundation.

The funding announcement comes as the United States faces a significant manufacturing skills gap. According to the MI, some 1.9 million manufacturing roles could go unfilled by 2033 if the workforce isn’t equipped with necessary technical skills. “The entire manufacturing sector is going to benefit from creating these trainings, which will be available for small, medium and large companies to take advantage of this technology, especially for incumbent workers,” Manufacturing Institute President Carolyn Lee said. “For new entrants into the manufacturing workforce, these skills will give them a strong foundation to start their careers.”

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

TSMC Quarterly Profit Leaps 58% To Record, Beats Expectations

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company on Thursday reported a 58% increase in first-quarter profit, beating estimates and hitting a fresh record as demand for artificial intelligence chips stayed strong. TSMC’s net income of NT$572.48 billion for the three months ended in March represented a fourth consecutive quarter of record profits. Revenue rose to NT$1.134 trillion, beating estimates. The chipmaker had first reported the 35% year-on-year rise in first-quarter revenue last week.

The contract chip maker has maintained strong demand for advanced semiconductors from its key customers, such as Apple. It has also benefited greatly from the proliferation of AI, producing advanced processors designed by the likes of Nvidia  — now the company’s largest customer. TSMC forecast full-year 2026 revenue growth of more than 30% year over year in U.S. dollar terms. Meanwhile, it projected second-quarter revenue of $39 billion to $40.2 billion, representing a 10% sequential increase. This comes as the company faces concerns about supply chain disruptions linked to the Middle East conflict, including disruptions to energy supplies and key manufacturing materials such as helium and hydrogen.

Read more at CNBC

Space Force Urges Industry to Invest in Satellite Production Capacity

The Space Force is preparing for significant growth to its procurement budget in fiscal 2027, and the head of the service’s largest acquisition organization said April 14 he is asking companies to invest now in facilities and production capacity so they’re ready to execute when called upon. The Space Force’s $71 billion budget request, a 77 percent increase over last year, includes $19 billion for procurement—up from just $3.6 billion in fiscal ’26. Lt. Gen. Philip Garrant, head of Space Systems Command, told reporters that the service plans to use that increase to award new contracts and fund major increases to existing production contracts.

The Space Force’s emphasis on increasing satellite production is not unlike the Pentagon’s push to boost munitions production, Garrant said. Over the last year, the Defense Department has signed framework multiyear procurement contracts with several defense primes to speed up manufacturing of key munitions like Lockheed Martin’s Patriot PAC-3 interceptors and RTX’s Standard Missile series. The agreements, which haven’t yet been backed by funding, are meant to send a demand signal to industry so they can confidently spend their own capital to increase production capacity and be ready to follow through when the contract awards come.

Read more at Air & Space Forces

Global Supply Chain Pressures Reach 3-Year High: GEP

GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index signaled that global supply chain pressures rose to a three-year high in March, reflecting the immediate economic impact of the energy price shock and maritime disruption caused by the war in the Middle East. The GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index soared from 0.09 in February to 0.57 in March, its highest level since January 2023. Key findngs:

  • In March, global manufacturers increased safety stockpiling in response to maritime disruption, higher transportation costs and supplier price increases. Reports of inventory buffers being accumulated were the highest in three years, with increases across all major regions.
  • Uncertainty resulting from the conflict weighed on manufacturers’ input demand, with factories around the world cutting purchasing volumes. Notably, item shortages hit a three-year high despite slowing demand, signaling the emergence of bottlenecks, with the availability of materials such as polymers, PVC and rubber, as well as energy-intensive metals such as aluminum and copper reportedly deteriorating the most.
  • Surging oil prices pushed global transportation costs to a four-year high in March. The impact was felt globally, but especially strongly in Asia, given its reliance on Middle East oil. Taiwan, Vietnam, South Korea and Japan reported surging producer price inflation during March.
  • After rising to its strongest level in four years in February, the global input demand indicator weakened in March, signaling a tapering of worldwide manufacturing buying activity. This was principally led by a pick-up in retrenchment across Asia as purchasing picked up slightly in North America and Europe, reflecting stockpiling here ahead of further anticipated price rises and supply chain disruption.
  • The items in short supply tracker rose sharply in March, signaling an immediate emergence of bottlenecks across global supply chains following the outbreak of war in the Middle East. According to the measure, businesses reporting item shortages were their greatest since April 2023.

Read more Supply & Demand Chain Executive

EV Truck Startup Slate Raises $650M, Promises Deliveries This Year

The leaders of Slate Auto, the electric-vehicle startup backed by Jeff Bezos, have raised $650 million from a group of investors and say they’ll deliver their first vehicles late this year and begin taking pre-orders in a few weeks. Michigan-based Slate was incubated inside the Re:Build Manufacturing conglomerate and set out on its own in 2023. Its goal: Take an old-school approach to building an affordable, no-frills base model that owners can customize in various ways, including by converting it from a pickup truck to a five-seat sport utility vehicle.

Slate will make its trucks at a converted factory in Warsaw, Indiana, into which it plans to invest nearly $400 million over time. In the meantime, the company’s sales teams—who have more than 160,000 reservations on their books—will begin taking preorders for trucks in June. Worth noting given today’s inflationary climate: The Slate team says its truck’s price point will be “in the mid-$20,000s,” which is a good bit higher than where they were positioning it a year ago. If the Slate team stays on track with its plans to start delivering trucks to customers late this year, its vehicles will be hitting the streets around the same time as lower-cost EVs from Rivian Automotive Inc. and Lucid Group Inc., although the latter’s vehicles promise far more accoutrements and will be selling for around $50,000.

Read More at IndustryWeek

White House Wants Pentagon To Demo Nuclear Space Power By 2031

The Trump administration Tuesday published a new strategy to bring nuclear power to the heavens through a cooperative effort between civil and military authorities could see the Pentagon demonstrate an orbital reactor in as few as five years, according to a White House memo. Unveiled today at the Space Symposium conference by Michael Kratsios, director of the White House Office of Science & Technology Policy, the National Initiative for American Space Nuclear Power effectively implements an executive order signed by President Donald Trump in December aimed at achieving American dominance in space.

Key to the new strategy is NASA and the Defense Department “conduct[ing] parallel and mutually reinforcing … design competitions” that can pave the way to demonstrations and eventual fielding of “low- to mid-power space reactors in orbit and on the lunar surface.” While NASA is assigned responsibilities like initiating the development of a “mid-power space reactor with a lunar fission surface power (FSP) variant ready for launch by 2030,” the Pentagon will have tasks of its own. Specifically, the memo says that “pending availability of funding,” the DoD will “pursue deployment of a mission-enabling mid-power in-space reactor by 2031” — essentially an orbital nuclear reactor.

Read more at Breaking Defense

Daily Market Update Apr 14, 2026

The May ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.03 at $2.65. The May ‘26 crude oil contract is down $3.58 at $95.50. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“Be more concerned with your character than your reputation, because your character is what you really are, while your reputation is merely what others think you are.”

Kareem Abdul-Jabbar - American Basketball Player from his book Coach Wooden and Me: Our 50-Year Friendship On and Off the Court. He was born on this day in 1947.

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