Member Briefing April 15, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

PPI = 4% - Wholesale Inflation Surprisingly Tame in March

Producer prices rose in March but considerably less than expected as the Iran war’s push on energy prices rekindled fears of another inflation burst. The producer price index, a gauge of pipeline costs for final demand goods and services, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.5% for the month, well below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 1.1%, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report Tuesday. Excluding food and energy, core PPI was up just 0.1% against the forecast for 0.5%. On an annual basis, the all-items PPI accelerated 4%, the biggest 12-month gain since February 2023.

Core PPI posted a 3.8% annual gain. Excluding food, energy and trade services, PPI increased 0.2% monthly and 3.6% annually. The increase on the producer end of prices was less than the 0.9% gain in prices consumers actually paid for the month. Core consumer prices also were soft, rising just 0.2%. As expected, energy was the primary culprit in the index gain. The gasoline index surged 15.7%, accounting for about half the gain in PPI, according to the BLS. Diesel prices alone soared 42% while jet fuel was up 30.7%.

Read More at Barron’s

US Existing Home Sales Drop To Nine-Month Low In March Amid Tight Supply

U.S. existing home sales fell to a nine-month low in March amid tight inventory and growing concerns over the labor market, and a recent increase in mortgage rates because of the war ‌with Iran could limit activity this year. Home sales dropped 3.6% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of ‌3.980 million units, the lowest level since June 2025, the National Association of Realtors said on Monday.

  • The median existing home ​price last month increased 1.4% from a year ago to $408,800, ​the highest for any March.
  • The popular 30-year fixed-mortgage rate averaged 6.37% last ​week, ​up from 5.98% in February.
  • The inventory of existing homes increased 3.0% to 1.36 million units, still remaining ‌well below pre-pandemic levels. Supply was up 2.3% from a ​year ago.
  • The median days on the market for listed properties increased to 41 from 36 a year ago.
  • First-time buyers accounted for 32% of ​sales, unchanged from a year ago. Economists and ‌realtors say a 40% share in this category is needed for a robust housing market.
  • All-cash sales constituted 27% ​of transactions, up from 26% a year ago.
  • Distressed sales, including foreclosures, made up 2% of transactions, down from 3% ​from a year ago.

Read more at the WSJ

Machine Tool Order Values Still Rising on Increased Demand for Automation

U.S. machine shops’ and other manufacturers’ new orders for capital equipment totaled $488.9 million during February, 10.7% higher than the January order total and 27.4% higher than the February 2025 result. The rise in order values resumes a trend that began in the closing months of 2024 and continued through 2025. Through two months of ordering activity for 2026, the value of new orders is $930.5 million, or 26% higher than the total for January-February 2025 according to AMT - the Assn. for Manufacturing Technology. As order values have been rising, a simultaneous but not parallel trend has been the variance in order values from actual numbers of machines (i.e., units) ordered, a development that became recognizable in Q2 2025. AMT explains these trends as “an increased demand for automation, shifting customer industries, and ongoing market distortions from federal policy and geopolitical disorder.”

AMT noted that the major purchasing segment of the market - contract machine shops, or “job shops” - have increased the value of their orders by more than 25% during January-February, though the number of units they have ordered rose by only a single-digit percentage. Another example is the purchasing activity by manufacturers of aerospace equipment, whose orders typically indicate higher values than units, due to the specialization of their production activity. During January-February, aerospace manufacturers’ orders have been 233% above the comparable figure for 2025, and machine units ordered have been 125% higher year-over-year.

Read more at American Machinist

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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America Faces A Different Kind Of Contraction

The U.S. fertility rate has dropped to the lowest level ever recorded, according to fresh data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. About 3.6M babies were born in the U.S. in 2025, translating into 53 births for every 1,000 women of reproductive age. That's nearly 20% lower than it was two decades ago, with half of all American women now reaching the age of 30 without becoming mothers. Many women are now waiting longer for children, having less than the replacement rate, or choosing not to have kids at all. If the clampdown on immigration also continues, the total U.S. population is expected to peak around 2029 or 2030, and begin a permanent decline thereafter.

Since the baby boom after World War II, America has primarily lived in a youth culture that encouraged risk-taking and new businesses that built the economy. It's now sharply pivoting toward a geriatric culture, with the so-called "gray economy" and "boomer economy." Labor shortages are already surfacing in industries like healthcare and construction, while automation and robotics represent as much of an employment impediment as they do a boon. A smaller pool of young workers is also causing concern over the financial health of Social Security's trust fund, and whether it will be sustainable to provide for the needs of the next generation. Serious long-term effects have yet to be realized, but if the demographics follow the current trajectory, it can cause sustained economic stagnation, similar to what Japan has experienced over the past two decades. Take the WSB survey.

Read More at Seeking Alpha

Tensions Rise In Slow Budget Talks As Lawmakers Pass Third Extender

Tension is mounting in Albany as Gov. Kathy Hochul and legislative leaders stubbornly stick to their guns in policy debates to be included in the minimum $263 billion spending plan as lawmakers prepare to pass a third budget extender. State lawmakers passed a measure to keep state workers paid and government agencies open through Thursday – the third since leaders blew past the April 1 deadline.

There appears to be no end in sight as the governor, Senate Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cousins and Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie continue to debate amending the timeline to implement the 2019 Climate Act, potential car insurance reform and other items on Hochul’s affordability agenda. State Senate Deputy Majority Leader Michael Gianaris said everything remains open and no policy debates were resolved in the last week, stressing how there’s been little compromise from the Second Floor. Hochul's office said leaders have made progress on updating the state’s environmental review process. But they remain sharply at odds when it comes to her proposal to reform auto insurance.

Read more at City & State

Hochul Blames Activists’ Lawsuit For Climate Budget Standstill

State leaders have been embroiled in deep budget talks for weeks – stuck on the details of proposed car insurance reform and a fierce debate over rolling back the state’s landmark Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act. And on Tuesday, Hochul said the very advocates protesting her plan now are the same ones who forced her hand. “I’m not excited about having to do this,” the governor told reporters at an unrelated event in Troy. “We are forced to because of advocates who took us to court not satisfied with the pace that we were on despite all the headwinds that I’ve described many times.”

The law required the state to release rules for a cap-and-invest program by 2024. When the governor blew past that deadline, environmental advocates filed a lawsuit against the state. Last year, a judge ruled that Hochul needed to release the rules for a cap-and-invest program, or some other regulations required by law to reach its climate goals. The ruling said the state needed to release those rules by February of this year. Hochul’s administration appealed the ruling, prolonging the legal battle. “So they take us to court, we lose, and now I have no alternative but to change the law or be in violation of the law,” Hochul said. “That’s why we’re having a conversation about this and the leaders understand that, so we’ll get to the right place.”

Read more at City & State

More Policy and Politics Headlines

How are Employees Successfully Coping with Stress?

While languishing isn’t a term often heard when describing employee health, it was, in fact, measured by a recent survey, The Workplace Well-Being Report 2026: Confirming the Crisis and Identifying What Helps, from the Center for Professional Responsibility in Business and Society at the University of Illinois’ Gies College of Business.  The survey, which involved 2,000 workers, found that more than half of US employees, 61%, are languishing at work, which the survey defines as struggling with engagement, motivation, or fulfillment in their roles. When compared with flourishing employees, those who are languishing reported higher burnout and distress. 38% of languishing employees said they feel burned out “very frequently” (as opposed to 29% of flourishers), and 34% of languishers indicated that they intend to look for new work in the next 12 months.

The report identified some actions employers can take to build flourishing workplaces:

1. Design for Flourishing: Empower teams (squads) to increase autonomy while strengthening support structures.

2. Strengthen the Ethical Climate: Clarify expectations and demonstrate values to keep accountability consistent.

3. Make Healthy Coping Realistic: Protect time for deep focus, normalize restorative breaks, and build the norms that make reaching out acceptable and encouraged.

Read more at EHS Today

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast and Workforce Developers Expo - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

The Council of Industry and Marist University Executive Discussion - Assessing the current state of AI adoption across organizations. April 14, 11:30 - 1:30 via zoom.

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, April 23, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00 AM. Location Ulster BOCES Career Academy, iPark 87, Kingston.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Spring Session, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (8 full day sessions) April 29 - July 15.

Trade Wars

Novo Nordisk Partners With OpenAI In Weight Loss Drug Race

Novo Nordisk, the maker of popular weight-loss drugs Ozempic and Wegovy, is partnering with OpenAI to deploy the technology across its operations as it looks to keep pace with rapid expansion in the obesity drug market. The Danish company announced in a statement on Tuesday that it would use AI to analyze complex datasets, identify promising drug candidates and reduce the time between research and patient application. President and CEO Mike Doustdar said the partnership would help discover new treatments for obesity and diabetes and “bringing them to market faster than ever before.”

The technology will also allow the company to streamline manufacturing, supply chain and distribution and corporate operations, with AI expected to be fully integrated by the end of the year, according to the announcement. Pharmaceutical companies are increasingly turning to artificial intelligence to speed up and simplify clinical development, with experts noting its use across a wide range of applications, including the discovery phase, formulation and dosage testing.

Read more at The Hill

Big Bank Earnings

Goldman Sachs on Monday posted first-quarter results that topped expectations on record equities trading results and higher-than-expected investment banking revenue. The bank said profit climbed 19% from the year-earlier quarter to $5.63 billion, or $17.55 per share. Revenue climbed 14% to $17.23 billion. Equities revenue rose 27% to $5.33 billion on rising financing activity to hedge fund clients in its prime brokerage business, as well as matching more buyers and sellers in cash equities products. Investment banking fees climbed 48% to $2.84 billion on a surge in advisory revenues from completed mergers transactions. The firm also cited higher revenue in equity and debt underwriting. Goldman’s provision for credit losses rose nearly 10% from a year earlier to $315 million. - CNBC

JPMorgan Chase on Tuesday posted first-quarter results that topped expectations on stronger-than-expected fixed income and investment banking revenue. The company said net income rose 13% to $16.49 billion, or $5.94 a share. Revenue increased 10% to $50.54 billion. The bank’s fixed income trading revenue rose 21% to $7.08 billion, or about $370 million more than the StreetAccount estimate, on rising activity in commodities, credit, currencies and emerging markets. Investment banking fees jumped 28% to $2.88 billion, or about $260 million more than expected, on higher mergers advisory and stock underwriting fees. Another factor helping the bank top expectations in the quarter: It set aside less money for loan losses than analysts had anticipated. The firm’s provision for credit losses was $2.5 billion in a sign that JPMorgan’s borrowers remain healthy. – Yahoo Finance

Wells Fargo said its profit increased 7% from a year earlier at the start of 2026. Net income at the bank was $5.25 billion in the first quarter. That amounted to $1.60 a share, above analyst estimates of $1.58. Revenue was 6% higher at $21.45 billion. It was the third full quarter Wells was free from a yearslong regulatory punishment that restricted its growth. CEO Charlie Scharf said the economy and consumers and businesses remained resilient despite a volatile market. But “the impact of higher oil prices will likely take some time to materialize,” he said. - WSJ

Citigroup reported its best quarterly revenue in a decade and a 56% year-over-year jump in earnings per share. Earnings per share were $3.06 vs. $2.65 estimate and revenue was $24.63 billion vs. $23.55 billion estimate. The bank’s markets division was a big driver of its first-quarter beat, with its larger, fixed income division gaining 13% to $5.2 billion in revenue, topping the StreetAccount estimate of $4.68 billion. Equities jumped 39% to $2.1 billion, topping the estimate by about $500 million. Investment banking came in light compared with estimates, except for equity underwriting, which came in at $208 million and beat estimates of $186.3 million. The unit comprising services showed revenue that increased by 17% in the quarter to $6.1 billion and surpassed Wall Street expectations of $5.8 billion. CNBC

Boeing Opens New 737 MAX Production Line at Largest Factory in the World

​Boeing is opening its fourth 737 MAX production line at its Everett, Washington, facility this summer, marking the first time the company will assemble a narrowbody aircraft outside its longtime Renton home. The North Line will expand single-aisle production capacity, allowing Boeing to better meet growing market demand. Boeing announced its plans for a fourth MAX production line in 2023, using space freed up at the Everett (PAE) factory after it ended 747 production and moved all 787 assembly to its North Charleston, South Carolina, facility.

Currently, all 737 MAX jets are produced at the company’s Renton facility, with three active production lines. The North Line will be capable of building all 737 MAX models, and will initially focus on producing the 737-8, 737-9, and 737-10. Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg confirmed that the 737 MAX 10, the largest and most complex variant of its narrowbody family, will be produced predominantly at the Everett factory. Ortberg noted that isolating the MAX 10 to the North Line will allow the three Renton lines to maintain faster and more efficient flow rates.

Read more at Aviation A2Z

How Kodak Is Trying To Turn Around Its Business After Teetering On Bankruptcy

Film company Eastman Kodak has seen its fair share of financial struggles, but CEO Jim Continenza is determined to make it a success story. The company said last year that its finances “raise substantial doubt about Kodak’s ability to continue as a going concern.” But Continenza, a self-proclaimed “turnaround specialist,” told CNBC he’s been paying off Kodak’s debt, investing in its core roots and engaging with younger consumers to revive the company. The stock is now up nearly 100% over the past year.

The photography technology company was in the process of shutting down its acetate factory, which makes one of the key ingredients used in film. Christopher Nolan, the director behind major movies like “Inception” and “Oppenheimer,” urged Continenza to stop the process.  Fast forward roughly seven years, and multiple 2026 Oscar-winning movies, including “One Battle After Another” and “Sinners,” were shot on Kodak film. It’s part of a bigger trend as the category sees a resurgence fueled by both a nostalgia for film in Hollywood and by younger consumers.

Read more at CNBC

Amazon Is Buying Starlink Rival Globalstar in $11 Billion Deal

Amazon.com is buying satellite operator Globalstar GSAT 10.62%increase; green up pointing triangle in a deal the companies estimated at about $10.8 billion, snapping up the biggest rival to Elon Musk’s Starlink service. The satellite industry is rushing to find ways to provide connections to airplanes and on cellphones, anticipating a large market will coalesce in the coming years. Amazon plans to deploy its own direct-to-device satellite system beginning in 2028, pending regulatory approval. The service will be part of Amazon’s satellite-connectivity business called Leo.

Leo competes with Starlink, but remains far behind in getting satellites into orbit. It has a few hundred satellites in space and plans to deploy thousands more, while Starlink already has 9,000. Globalstar operates a network of satellites supporting Apple’s satellite connection feature on iPhones. Apple’s service allows users to send text messages, call emergency assistance and seek roadside help in areas where cellphone service isn’t available. Globalstar also has global spectrum rights that became more valuable as SpaceX and Apple began more aggressively using satellite links to connect phones. Amazon has agreed to a deal with Apple to power satellite services for its iPhone and Apple Watch and to work together on future satellite services using Leo’s growing network.

Read more at The WSJ

Texas A&M Breaks Ground On $226M Semiconductor R&D Facility

Texas A&M University broke ground on a $226 million semiconductor research and development facility in Bryan on April 9, according to Gov. Greg Abbott’s press release. The building, dubbed the Texas A&M Semiconductor Institute, will have about 80,000 square feet of space for research, training and collaboration, TAMU System Regent Jay Graham said at the groundbreaking ceremony. Construction is expected to be complete by the first quarter of 2028, according to the TIS website.

The site will also have a sealed and enclosed clean room in one location for full-scale production, and labs for advanced technology, R&D and workforce development. The labs will focus on process and tooling development, metrology, packaging, radio frequency, photonics, testing and evaluation. Additionally, the facility will include a skilled-trade lab as part of efforts to develop the state’s semiconductor workforce training. The clean room would also feature purity ratings of 100 and 1000 classes, and 300mm equipment.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

OPEC Lowers Second-Quarter Global Oil Demand Forecast On Iran War

OPEC on Monday lowered its forecast for world oil demand in the second quarter by 500,000 barrels per day, the producer ‌group's monthly oil report showed in its first public assessment of the Iran war's ‌impact on the market. OPEC sees a smaller hit to oil demand from the war this year than some other ​forecasters, such as the U.S. government's Energy Information Administration. OPEC also made no change to its full-year outlook as it sees consumption rebounding in later months.

Global oil demand is projected to average 105.07 million bpd ⁠in the second quarter, OPEC's report said, down from the 105.57 million bpd forecast in last month's report. "The demand growth for the second quarter of 2026 is revised down for both the OECD and ​non-OECD, ​driven mainly by slight transitory weakness in oil demand ​growth, given ongoing developments in the ‌Middle East," OPEC said, referring to countries inside or outside the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development grouping of industrialised nations.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Amazon’s Car Sales Bet Is Getting Bigger With New Brands and More Cities

Now you can buy a brand-new Corvette on Amazon.com. The e-commerce giant has quietly expanded its car sales business over the past year and a half. What started as an experiment with Hyundai Motors has grown in recent months to include vehicles from Kia, Mazda, Subaru, Chevrolet and Jeep. The service, called Amazon Autos, is active in over 130 cities, including Los Angeles, Dallas and New York, the company said.

In expanding the program, Amazon is now tackling one of the biggest retail businesses in the U.S. and one of the last major purchases that is still difficult to make online: new cars. Around $1.3 trillion of cars were sold by dealerships in the U.S. last year, according to the National Automobile Dealers Association. The Amazon Autos program launched at the end of 2024. It allows customers to browse and purchase a car from nearby participating dealerships. The aim is to let customers complete much of the purchase and financing paperwork from home, cutting down on the amount of time spent in a physical store. Dealers pay a fee to have their cars listed on Amazon, but shoppers don’t incur additional costs if they pull the trigger.

Read More at The WSJ

Artemis II Was a Blockbuster. Landing on the Moon Will Be a Lot Harder.

This month’s Artemis II flight captivated people around the world as the agency pulled off the deepest human spaceflight ever recorded, and the first crewed mission to the moon since the 1970s. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration and its contractors must now get through a series of sprints that would culminate in astronauts landing on the lunar surface in 2028. President Trump outlined that expectation in an executive order he signed last year.

Some current and former NASA spaceflight officials are skeptical that a 2028 landing will be possible, given the technical and operational milestones the agency and companies involved need to overcome.  Among the challenges: showing one or both of the moon landers SpaceX and Blue Origin have been developing can safely transport astronauts, and preparing new spacesuits made by Axiom Space. United Launch Alliance needs to develop upper stages for NASA’s Space Launch System rocket. Space missions often take years to come together, as teams of engineers stitch together complex machinery and software that must be able to deliver in harsh conditions. Creating systems that can keep astronauts safe adds to the pressure.

Read more at the WSJ

Daily Market Update Apr 14, 2026

The May ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.03 at $2.65. The May ‘26 crude oil contract is down $3.58 at $95.50. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“Few things are impossible to diligence and skill. Great works are performed not by strength, but by perseverance.”

Samuel Johnson- English Author who's 'A Dictionary of the English Language' was first published in London on this day in 1755.

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