Member Briefing May 20, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

NFIB: Small Business Optimism Remains Below Average But Stable

The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index rose 0.1 points in April to 95.9, below its 52-year average of 98.0 for the second consecutive month. The Uncertainty Index fell 4 points from March to 88, remaining well above its historical average of 68.

  • The Employment Index fell in April, from 101.6 to 100.4. The current reading is now below the 2025 average of 101.2 but still slightly above the historical average of 100.0.
  • Reports of both actual and planned price increases rose.
  • 18% of small business owners cited labor quality as their single most important problem, up 3 points from March and ranking as the top problem.
  • The net percent of owners expecting higher real sales volumes over the next quarter fell 4 points from March to a net 3% (seasonally adjusted), the lowest reading in 12 months.
  • The frequency of reports of positive profit trends rose 6 points from March to a net negative 19% (seasonally adjusted).
  • The net percent of owners expecting better business conditions fell 7 points from March to a net 4% (seasonally adjusted). This was the fourth consecutive monthly decline in expected business conditions and the lowest level since October 2024.

Read more at The NFIB

30-Year Treasury Yield Tops 5.18%, Reaching The Highest Level In Nearly 19 Years

Yields on U.S. Treasurys were higher Tuesday as investors continued to dump bonds on fears inflation is reigniting. The 30-year Treasury yield hit the highest in nearly 19 years. The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield was 3.5 basis points higher to 5.181%, the highest since July 2007. The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield — the key benchmark for mortgage and auto loans and credit card debt — was nearly 3.6 basis points higher to 4.659%, the highest since January 2025. The 2-year Treasury note yield, which reacts to expectations of short-term Federal Reserve interest rate moves, was higher by 1 basis point to 4.10%.

Yields on longer-term government debt in the U.K. and Germany are also elevated. The yield on German 30-year bunds stood at 3.684% Tuesday, with Britain’s 30-year gilt yield rising less than 1 basis point to 5.773%. Japan’s 30-year yield hit a record this week. The prevailing sentiment across global bond markets is being driven by the impact of higher inflation, primarily caused by soaring energy costs, as well as deficit concerns and, in the U.K., country-specific political turmoil, said Mohit Kumar, chief economist and strategist at Jefferies.

Read more at CNBC

NY Fed: Regional Service Sector Activity Decline Continues

Business activity continued to decline in the region's service sector in May, though the pace of contraction slowed considerably, according to firms responding to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Business Leaders Survey. The survey's headline business activity index rose eight points to -5.8, its highest level in more than a year.

  • The business climate index moved up two points but remained well below zero at -46.9, with 56 percent of respondents reporting an unfavorable business climate.
  • The employment index rose four points to 1.9, turning positive for the first time since last summer and suggesting employment levels inched slightly higher.
  • The wages index fell eleven points to 26.5, indicating that wage growth slowed significantly.
  • The prices paid index was little changed at 73.4, signaling that input prices continued to increase sharply.
  • The prices received index held steady at 30.7, a sign that selling price increases remained elevated.
  • The index for future business activity rose seven points to 10.2, suggesting that firms became more optimistic.
  • Employment is expected to rise slightly in the months ahead, and wage growth is expected to slow.
  • Capital spending plans remained subdued.

Read more at the NY Fed

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

Advertisement

The Spring 2026 Edition of HV Mfg Is Now Available

Your ad here! Contact Harold King to learn more

13th Extender – State Budget Unlikely to Be Done This Week

Deputy Senate Majority Leader Mike Gianaris confirmed Monday that state lawmakers likely won’t finish voting on budget bills this week — and even starting isn't a sure thing. It came after state lawmakers passed a 13th budget extender, ensuring essential state funding remains flowing until Wednesday. While the short extender provides some hope that voting on budget bills could commence this week, Gianaris said completion before the Memorial Day weekend remains unlikely. “I think it’s ambitious to hope for this week; next week looks good, though,” he said. “I think it's moving along. There’s a mechanical aspect, so once we’re actually agreed, getting bills printed, approving the drafts takes a couple of days."

It comes as legislative resources are strained under the weight of a budget process that is now directly colliding with the end-of-session rush. Many significant pieces of legislation will hit the Senate and Assembly floors both in and out of the budget in the coming days. Republicans like State Sen. George Borrello have blasted Democrats in the legislature for not entertaining an extended session calendar to allow for more time to field the onslaught. “You’re going to have hundreds of bills passed in one day? How can the people of New York know what is in those bills and how can we as legislators know if we aren't given time to vet them? So it’s an inherently corrupt process,” he said.

Read more at NY State of Politics

Governor Hochul Announces Membership of FutureWorks Commission

Governor Kathy Hochul Monday announced the composition of FutureWorks, a blue-ribbon commission charged with developing recommendations on ways New York can protect the economic security of workers while harnessing the economic benefits of AI. The Commission is composed of 20 members, each offering specific expertise on issues relating to technology, workforce development, education and the economy. Futureworks reflects New York’s strong leadership and role as a global capital for responsible AI and innovation. The Commission will be chaired by former U.S. Secretary Tom Perez, Thasunda Brown Duckett of TIAA and Molly Kinder of the Brookings Institution. Among those on the commission are:

  • John B. King Jr., the Chancellor of State University of New York (SUNY).
  • Hope Knight, President, CEO and Commissioner of Empire State Development.
  • Arvind Krishna, Chairman, President and CEO of IBM.
  • Roberta Reardon, New York State Labor Commissioner since 2015.
  • Hamdi Ulukaya, founder and CEO of Chobani, a leading food and beverage company.

Read the press release

TrumpRx Adds Over 600 Generic Drugs; Mark Cuban Joins White House Rollout

President Trump on Monday announced the addition of more than 600 generic drugs to his drug coupon platform TrumpRx, with billionaire investor Mark Cuban joining President Trump to endorse the website. The administration launched TrumpRx in February, debuting with 43 branded prescription drugs. TrumpRx now features two different lists of medications, with “Presidential Deals” seemingly for branded medications and “Standard Prices” for generic drugs. Many of the branded medications also have generic versions already on the market.

Cuban, who owns a similar business to TrumpRx called Cost Plus Drugs, previously praised the project, writing on social media, “IMO, anything that saves patients money is a win.” When the website was first launched, analysts were skeptical that it would a significant difference for those with health insurance though some of the medications like the drugs for in vitro fertilization and weight loss aren’t as well covered by many plans.

Read more at The Hill

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Strategies for Dealing with Effect of Cannabis in the Workplace

The regulations surrounding cannabis changed on April 23, 2026, when the Department of Justice announced that FDA-approved cannabis products and products containing cannabis subject to a Qualifying State-issued License are moving from Schedule I to Schedule III of the Controlled Substances Act. For EHS professionals, this is an important issue as a 2024 study in the American Journal of Preventive Medicine found that 15.9% of full-time employed adults used cannabis in the past month, and 6.5% met criteria for cannabis use disorder (CUD).

The same study found that more recent and frequent use, as well as greater CUD severity, were associated with higher rates of both illness and injury-related absences and skipped work. To help employers deal with this issue, the National Safety Council (NSC) offers advice on the issue in its article "Cannabis and Safety: It's Complicated. Recommendations Include:

  1. Establishing a clear, fair cannabis policy that prevents impairment in the workplace and provides support for employees
  2. Building a safety-focused, trusting culture for employees to report cannabis use near or during work hours
  3. Advocating for increased access to employee assistance programs (EAPs) and evidence-based health care benefits for those with substance use disorders
  4. Training supervisors to recognize and respond to impairment in the workplace; learn more about NSC training at nsc.org/ImpairmentTraining

Read more at HR.com

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Making a Profit in Manufacturing, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 4, 8:30 - 4:30.

Human Resource Management Issues, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 10, 8:30 - 4:30.

Effective Business Communication, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 24, 8:30 - 4:30.

Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

Strategies for Managing, Coaching and Dealing with Difficult People, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July, 15, 8:30 - 4:30.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

China’s Economy Unexpectedly Weakens as Iran War Fallout Mounts

China’s economic momentum slowed broadly in April, underscoring persistent areas of weakness in the world’s second-largest economy as risks from the Iran war mount. The marked slowdown, which was tempered by continued strength in China’s export sector, underscores the challenges facing leader Xi Jinping at home, even as he dazzled President Trump and projected strength during a high-profile summit in Beijing last week. As China’s export machine continues to hum this year, the country’s economic growth has become increasingly lopsided, creating a global trade imbalance that has fomented geopolitical tensions.

The war in Iran, meanwhile, threatens to depress the global economy and curb demand around the world, leaving China’s economy vulnerable. Industrial output also saw its momentum slow, with an increase of 4.1% in April from a year prior compared with a 5.7% growth rate for March. Fixed-asset investment fell 1.6% year-over-year in the first four months of the year. Higher commodity prices triggered by the war in Iran could further erode profit margins for China’s manufacturers, clouding the outlook for investment. Already, China’s factory-gate inflation rose to a 45-month high in April.

Read more at WSJ

Anduril Raises

 the Army’s website.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Stellantis Aiming for AI-Driven Manufacturing

Stellantis has established plans to work with Accenture to implement NVIDIA technologies for digital twinning at its manufacturing operations worldwide, to optimize production activities and reduce downtime. Starting with undisclosed pilot deployments in North America this year, real-time data and predictive analytics are expected to improve scheduling, production efficiency, and quality control. The project is expected to help to assess value creation and scalability across the global industrial network.

Together, the companies aim to explore how AI-integrated digital twins can enable closed-loop optimization, where virtual and physical manufacturing systems continuously inform and improve each other. This is supported by agentic orchestration for dynamic throughput optimization, as well as physics-informed quality and maintenance. “By combining digital twins, AI and advanced simulation, we are rethinking how we design, operate and continuously improve our production systems,” stated Francesco Ciancia, Stellantis’ head of manufacturing. “This initiative is designed to work hand in hand with our teams, enhancing their ability to anticipate issues, enabling faster decisions and continuous improvement.

Read more at American Machinist

Intel Encourages PC Makers to Adopt Advanced 18A Chip Technology Amid CPU Shortages

Intel Corp is urging PC manufacturers to adopt its latest 18A chip technology as the shortage of older CPUs intensifies. The company emphasizes the importance of transitioning to its advanced semiconductor solutions to mitigate supply chain challenges. This push comes as the demand for high-performance computing continues to rise, making it crucial for manufacturers to utilize cutting-edge technology to stay competitive in the market.

The move highlights the company's proactive approach to addressing the ongoing semiconductor shortage that has significantly impacted the technology industry. As demand for high-performance computing surges, Intel is positioning itself as a leader in providing advanced semiconductor solutions that can help manufacturers overcome supply chain challenges. The company is actively seeking to reinvigorate its chip manufacturing business, Intel Foundry, while developing leading-edge products in its Intel Products business segment. This dual focus on innovation and manufacturing capabilities is crucial for Intel as it navigates through the current semiconductor landscape.

Read more at GuruFocus

Toyota Eyes $2B Plant Expansion In San Antonio

Toyota Motor Corp. submitted an application on Friday to expand its San Antonio manufacturing campus by building a new $2 billion facility, according to the Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts. The pending plans, dubbed Project Orca, would implement a new complete vehicle assembly line and create 2,000 jobs with an average salary of more than $88,000 per year. If approved, construction would begin in 2026 and continue over four years, initially costing Toyota $682.5 million. The facility would open in 2028, starting with 320 employees, and would become operational in 2030.

The proposed project comes two years after Toyota began building its $531 million expansion at the San Antonio campus.  The construction of the 500,000-square-foot facility, called Project Iceberg, is dedicated to rear-axle assembly and drivetrain components and is unrelated to Project Orca, Toyota said on the application. The proposed San Antonio facility adds to Toyota’s growing list of U.S. investments. In March, the automaker said it’s spending $1 billion on its Kentucky and Indiana facilities to boost capacity and production of its electric vehicle Camry, Rav4 hybrid and Grand Highlander SUV models.

Read more at Wards Auto

Deere Faces Latest Right-To-Repair Lawsuit; This Time About Construction

After reaching a right-to-repair settlement with farmers on a separate case last month, Deere & Co. is facing a new class-action lawsuit that alleges it also unfairly restricted repairs for its lawn, turf and construction equipment. The case was brought by Christy Webber & Co., a landscaping operation in Chicago that services city landmarks like Soldier Field, Millennium Park and Navy Pier. The plaintiff alleged that Deere’s business practices have inflated repair costs and increased wait times since May 2022. The lawsuit, filed Thursday in the Northern District Court of Illinois, Eastern Division, mirrors other right-to-repair litigation against Deere. An Illinois federal judge in the Western Division preliminarily approved a $99 million settlement between the company and a group of farmers and repair shop owners this week.

Deere has faced legal scrutiny for its repair tool restrictions that require farmers to use its dealer network for tractor repairs, allegedly resulting in higher costs and equipment delays that affect planting and harvesting schedules. Deere has repeatedly denied these allegations and taken steps to make its electronic repair tools more available to the public. In July, the company launched Operations Center Pro Service, which offers a suite of self-repair tools for agriculture, turf, construction and forestry equipment. It is designed to replace the tools under legal scrutiny and is available for an annual fee of $195 per machine for customers.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Production Demand Raises Financial Stress On Aerospace, Defense Suppliers: Report

Aerospace and defense suppliers are facing increased financial stress driven by growing demand for weapons systems and critical defense capabilities as Middle East disruptions from the Iran War continue, according to a white paper by financial health data and analytics firm RapidRatings. The U.S. military’s rapid scaling has placed increased pressure on domestic suppliers as they work to maintain operational readiness with the resources, materials and finances required to meet the demand. At the same time, the Strait of Hormuz blockage has contributed to rising costs and created a volatile energy market.

The firm looked at a supplier’s efficiencies, such as cost structure, working capital upstream and downstream and tallied up the score on a 100-point scale. The company took that score and modified it for other factors such as leverage, liquidity, earnings and performance to create a one-year, forward-looking measure of default probability, which is also on a 100-point scale.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

This Arkansas Town Is Humming With the Sound of Missile Making

When the Pentagon put out an urgent call for rocket launchers and ammunition to send to Ukraine and replenish supplies at home in 2022, an answer came from an unlikely place: this remote southern pine-belt town, population around 10,000.  Lockheed Martin, one of the defense contractors clustered in the east part of Camden and already one of the town’s biggest employers, was reeling in government orders to produce more mobile rocket launchers. Other big defense contractors in the area also soon landed contracts to produce ammunition and expand their rocket facilities in Camden. Local defense companies found themselves sometimes poaching talent from each other, and realized they were ultimately hurting themselves. They were often all part of a single production supply chain.

Lockheed’s immediate strategy: expand the pool of potential workers. It began inviting local high-school seniors and their parents to its Camden facility for tours. The contractor also started working with Southern Arkansas University Tech, a two-year community college in Camden, to ramp up apprenticeships, so it could more readily hire people who had never worked at a factory. In return, state officials stepped up workforce-development grants and began funneling millions of dollars to SAU Tech. The efforts largely worked, and have helped turn the area into an engine for America’s war machine. As of last year, Ouachita County, where Camden sits, and neighboring Calhoun County employed 3,140 people in their aerospace and defense industries, up about 54% from 2020, according to the Arkansas Department of Commerce.

Read More at The WSJ

Lockheed Draws $991M for F-35 Updates

The U.S. Navy awarded $991.1 million to Lockheed Martin Corp. for a total of 432 electronic warfare modification kits for F-35 jets for the U.S. Air Force and U.S. Navy, and various allied operators of the Joint Strike Fighter aircraft. The F-35 is a single-engine jet with stealth technology and capabilities for air-to-air, air-to-ground, electronic warfare, and reconnaissance missions. Its three variants are in service for the U.S. Air Force, U.S. Marine Corps, and U.S. Navy, and for the defense forces of 20 other nations. More than 1,300 F-35s have been built by Lockheed, with hundreds of program suppliers.

The new electronic warfare package is the result of a collaborative effort involving several major defense firms under Lockheed’s oversight, including BAE Systems, Northrop Grumman, and L3Harris. The kits are part of the modernization process involved in the Technology Refresh-3 effort for existing F-35 jets, to prepare them for entire fleet’s transition to the Block IV technology.

Read more at American Machinist

Solving the Data Center Energy Challenge

With more than 3,000 data centers in operation and more than 1,500 Data Centers in development across the nation, objections to projects is rising dramatically. A dozen states have filed or implemented moratoriums on data center construction, and litigation is surging in attempts to block these projects. According to the Electric Power Research Institute, data centers have risen from about 2% of the share of U.S. electricity consumption in 2018 to roughly 5% today – and are expected to exceed 10% of the nation’s electricity consumption by 2030. With that kind of exponential growth, something’s got to give—most likely, the electrical grid.

Considering that a midsize data center uses upwards of 10 megawatts (MW) of energy, enough to power around 7,000 homes, we are in need of a quick fix. Fortunately, there’s a solution to this potentially debilitating challenge: the introduction of nuclear reactors to power these energy-sucking behemoths. Why not create data centers either affiliated with nuclear power plants or outfitted with their own Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)? This isn’t as far-fetched as some might think—in fact, it’s already in the works. Perhaps most notable are several agreements between Big Tech and regional nuclear facilities. Microsoft and Constellation Energy launched the Crane Clean Energy Center, which will take carbon-free energy from a reconstituted Three Mile Island plant in Pennsylvania and power Microsoft’s data centers.

Read more at IndustryWeek

Daily Market Update May 05, 2026

The June ’26 natural gas contract is trading down $0.04 at $2.82. The June ‘26 crude oil contract is down $3.92 at $102.50. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“I read, I study, I examine, I listen, I think, and out of all that I try to form an idea into which I put as much common sense as I can.”

The Marquis De Lafayette - French General and Aristocra who died on this day in 1834.

If you’re part of a Council of Industry member company and not yet subscribed, email usIf you’re not a Council member, become one today.

Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn  X  Youtube