Member Briefing May 11, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

U.S. Adds 115,000 Jobs With Solid Hiring Across Sectors

The U.S. added 115,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department said Friday, far exceeding expectations. That compared with a net gain of 185,000 in March. It was better than the 55,000 jobs that analysts polled by The Wall Street Journal had expected to see for April. In the first four months of the year, monthly payrolls have averaged 76,000, up from an average of about 42,000 during the same period last year, offering a glimmer of hope that the labor market is improving.

  • Employers added jobs in the healthcare, retail, leisure and hospitality, and transportation and warehousing sectors.
  • They cut jobs in manufacturing, IT and financial activities. Federal government payrolls continued to decline.
  • Manufacturing lost approximately 2,000 jobs during the month.
  • Average hourly earnings came in lower than expected, increasing 0.2% for the month and 3.6% on an annual basis.
  • The unemployment rate stayed unchanged at 4.3%, as economists had expected.
  • Revisions from prior reports were mixed: The March count rose by 7,000 while the February number moved even lower, down by 23,000 to a loss of 156,000. The initial report put the February job loss at 92,000.

Read more at CNBC

NFIB Employment Index Falls Below 2025 Average

NFIB’s April Jobs Report shows softening in the employment market as the Small Business Employment Index fell 1.2 points to 100.4. This is the second consecutive month the Index declined. The current reading is now below the 2025 average of 101.2, but slightly above the historical average of 100.0. This decline is indicative of weakening in the labor market, though the just-above-average level still suggests a balanced labor market.

  • In April, 34% (seasonally adjusted) of small business owners reported job openings they could not fill.
  •  Unfilled job openings remain above the historical average of 24%.
  • Twenty-nine percent have openings for skilled workers (up 2 points), and 13% have openings for unskilled labor (up 1 point).
  • Looking ahead, a seasonally adjusted net 13% of owners plan to create new jobs in the next three months, up 1 point from March and close to the average of net 11%.
  • In April, 18% of small business owners identified labor quality as their single most important problem, up 3 points from March and above the historical average of 12%.
  • Nine percent of business owners reported labor costs as their single most important problem, down 1 point from March.

Read more at The NFIB

U.S. Labor Productivity Rises 0.8% in Q1

U.S. labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector rose at a 0.8% annualized rate in the first quarter of 2026, according to preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Thursday, while weekly jobless claims came in below expectations at 200,000. Manufacturing productivity increased 3.6% during the quarter as output rose and hours worked declined.

  • Nonfarm business output increased 1.5% in Q1 while hours worked rose 0.7%.
  • Unit labor costs increased 2.3% in the quarter, while real hourly compensation fell 0.5%.
  • Manufacturing productivity increased 3.6%, including a 5.3% gain in durable manufacturing.
  • The labor share of output fell to 54.1%, the lowest level recorded since the series began in 1947.
  • Initial U.S. jobless claims rose by 10,000 to 200,000 for the week ended May 2, below economist expectations of 206,000.
  • Continuing claims declined by 10,000 to 1.766 million.
  • Fourth-quarter 2025 nonfarm productivity growth was revised down to 1.6% from 1.8%.

Read more at The Bureau of Labor Statistics

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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Hochul Touts $268B State Budget Deal While N.Y. Assembly Speaker Heastie Says 'There's No Deal'

Thirty-seven days after its due date, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul on Thursday said a “general agreement” was made between her and legislative leaders on the state budget, totaling $268 billion and including many of the governor’s legislative wish list as she prepares to run for a second full term this fall — including changes to the state’s climate law, auto insurance reform, changes to the state’s environmental quality review law and an immigrant protection package in response to the Trump administration’s immigration policy.

However, shortly after her announcement, state Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie told reporters "there's no deal" yet. “I think it was very premature for the governor to make this announcement," Heastie said. “We signed off on nothing major. And this is what I’m telling y’all, what’s wrong with this process. And I’m saying this to y’all very clearly, I’m never doing this again. Budgets are supposed to be about money, not policy,” he added.

Read more at NY State of Politics

Makary To Leave As FDA Commissioner After Tumultuous Year, White House Source Says

President Trump has signed off on a plan to fire Food and Drug Administration Commissioner Marty Makary, according to people familiar with the matter, following a tumultuous period for the regulator that included clashes over vaping, abortion and drug policy. Makary, a former Johns Hopkins surgeon who became a frequent Make America Healthy Again surrogate on television news programs, is seen by other top administration leaders as struggling to manage his agency, sparring frequently with health department officials and at times the White House.

Top administration officials have become increasingly convinced Makary has to go because, in addition to months of turmoil, complaints from some in the pharmaceutical industry have continued to mount, people familiar with the matter said. Kennedy last year had considered installing someone else to run the FDA while Makary remained a figurehead. Makary also has run into criticism from biotech companies with rare-disease drugs, as well as patients and their advocates. 

Read More at Politico

US Trade Court Rules Trump Tariffs Illegal, But Issues Narrow Block

A U.S. trade court dealt another blow to President Donald Trump's tariff strategy, ruling that his latest 10% temporary global duties are unjustified under a 1970s trade law, but blocked the levies only for two private importers and the State of Washington. The U.S. Court of International Trade's 2-1 decision ​leaves the temporary tariffs in place for all other importers while any appeal by the Trump administration plays out. They are expected to expire in July. While the ruling applies to a set of levies due to expire in about two months, it marks another major setback for Trump's global tariff ambitions and comes a week before he is due to discuss trade tensions with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing.

Thursday's court ruling found the law was not an appropriate step for the kinds of trade deficits that Trump cited in his February order. The Trump administration had argued that a serious balance-of-payments deficit existed in the form of a $1.2 trillion annual ​U.S. goods trade deficit and a current account deficit of 4% of GDP. A number of economists have been dubious of the premise for the new Section 122 tariffs ​from the start, including former International ⁠Monetary Fund First Deputy Managing Director Gita Gopinath, who told Reuters at the time: "We can all agree that the U.S. is not facing a balance-of-payments crisis, which is when countries experience an exorbitant increase in international borrowing costs and lose access to financial markets."

Read more at Reuters

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Mental Health Awareness Month: 5 Workplace Realities Employers Should Act On

Mental Health Awareness Month is the moment employers stop treating mental health as a communications campaign and start treating it as an operating problem to solve. The five realities below come out of the research for the 2026 Workplace Mental Health Annual Report. Each one closes with action items employers can run inside a single quarter.

1.     Mental health benefits are no longer a bonus. They're a necessity. - Across every age demographic, employees treat mental health support as a factor in where they work. In fact, 69% of the employees we surveyed said mental health benefits play a vital role in their job decisions. For 18-to-34-year-olds and 35-to-44-year-olds, those numbers are even higher: 83% and 78%, respectively.

2.     AI is changing work, and it is creating anxiety. There are four key ways AI anxiety affects employees: information overload (24%), a reduced sense of control over the future (23%) , increased financial stability concerns (20%), and worsened job-related and work-life stress (19%). The anxiety is not abstract. Employees are being asked to adopt AI inside their daily work without a clear answer to the question, "What does this mean for my role?"

3.     Barriers to care remain, and they are mostly logistical. Even when employees have mental health benefits, they don't always use them. The reasons employees give in Spring Health's 2026 research are practical: 43 percent cite a lack of time, 42 percent cite cost, 30 percent cite difficulty finding the right provider, 29 percent cite wait times, and 27 percent cite stigma around receiving help.

4.     Financial stress is a mental health issue, and the numbers keep climbing. Over half (59%) of the employees we surveyed said their financial stress has increased over the past five years, and nearly three-quarters (74%) said financial stress has impacted their mental health.

5.     Chronic workplace stress affects everyone, and it affects men and women in different ways. Spring Health’s 2026 employee research shows that women are 17% more likely than men to say they’re currently experiencing burnout. Women are also 7% more likely than men to cite cost as a barrier to mental healthcare.

Read more at Spring Health

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Trade Wars

US Consumer Sentiment Falls to Record Low on Inflation Angst

The University of Michigan's Surveys of Consumers said its Consumer Sentiment Index fell to an ‌all-time low ⁠of 48.2 this month from a final reading 49.8 in April. ⁠ The trend, which also saw the current conditions index tumble 9%, is “owing to a surge in concerns about high prices both for personal finances as well as buying conditions for major purchases,” the survey’s director, Joanne Hsu, said.

“Taken together, consumers continue to feel buffeted by cost pressures, led by soaring prices at the pump,” Hsu said. “Middle East developments are unlikely to meaningfully boost sentiment until supply disruptions have been fully resolved and energy prices fall.” The expectations index came in at 48.5, a 0.8% increase from April and up 1.3% from a year ago. Also, the inflation outlook actually eased a bit though still at elevated levels, with the one-year projection at 4.5% and the five-year at 3.4%, respectively down 0.2 percentage point and 0.1 percentage point from prior readings.

Read more at CNN

Lilly To Invest Extra $4.5B Across Indiana Manufacturing

Eli Lilly & Co. will invest an additional $4.5 billion across two of its three Lebanon, Indiana, manufacturing sites to meet growing demand for its genetic therapies and weight-loss medications, the pharmaceutical giant said Wednesday. Lilly plans to bring new process designs and technologies to its active pharmaceutical ingredient factory set to open next year. Once completed, Lilly Lebanon API will make the injectable medications Zepbound and Mounjaro for weight management and type-2 diabetes, respectively, according to a news release. It will also produce Foundayo and retatrutide, a triple hormone receptor agonist in late-stage development that targets obesity and cardiometabolic disease.

Since September, the company has committed more than $16 billion to the construction of three facilities that will make injectable or oral weight-loss treatments in Houston; Huntsville, Alabama; and Lehigh County, Pennsylvania. The sites are set to be operational by 2031 at the latest. Lilly said it moved forward with the additional Lebanon investment due to its “evolving pipeline” and “anticipated demand for its medicines.”

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

China April Exports Rebound Strongly After Sluggish March, Trade Surplus Widens

China’s export growth gathered pace in April as factories raced to meet a wave of overseas orders from buyers seeking to stockpile components amid fears the Iran war could push global input costs even higher. Exports expanded 14.1% from a year earlier in U.S. dollar value terms, customs data showed on Saturday, outpacing the 2.5% gain in March and a 7.9% rise tipped by economists.

Imports notched another strong month in April, climbing 25.3% versus 27.8% in March. Economists had forecasted growth of 15.2%. That boosted China’s trade surplus last month to $84.8 billion, from $51.13 billion in March. Momentum was solid in the first quarter, with China’s GDP growth hitting 5% year-on-year, the top of the government’s full-year target range, and lessening the need for immediate stimulus.

Read more at CNBC

USAir Force Completes B-52 Revamp Design Review

The U.S. Air Force and its partners in the B-52J Commercial Engine Replacement Program completed the project’s Critical Design Review, setting up the next stage of the project. The B-52J will be a re-engined version of the Boeing B-52H Stratofortress long-range bomber - itself an updated version of the 1940s-vintage B-29. The USAF expects the modified B-52 fleet will be in service for more than 20 years, into the 2050s.

The USAF’s fleet of 76 B-52s is powered by eight Pratt & Whitney TF33 turbofans, which are difficult and expensive to maintain and repair. These will be replaced by Rolls-Royce F130 turbofan engines, arranged as four twin-pod units. According to the Air Force, the F130s will be more fuel efficient, and offer longer range lower sustainment costs. Each engine will have a modern generator subsystem, which will make available more electrical power for weapons and sensors. More than 600 F130 engines will be built by Rolls-Royce North America in Indianapolis. Each aircraft will have its eight engines replaced by four, twin-pod F130 engines.

Read more at American Machinist

Toyota Reveals Grand AI Vision For Vehicles And Beyond

At a recent event serving as a first open house for Toyota Motor Corporation’s Woven City mobility test ground, in Japan near Mount Fuji, the automaker revealed its AI Vision Engine, a large-scale AI foundational vision language model that brings together visual, behavioral and environmental data. Toyota claims the AI Vision Engine is capable of identifying patterns, detecting potential risks and enabling coordinated action across connected systems to improve safety. It’s set to be a core building block for the automaker’s next-generation Anzen driver-assist systems and Arene software platform for millions of software-defined vehicles produced in a wide range of configurations.

Toyota sees commercialization of the AI Vision Engine beyond cars. It employs AI to understand and analyze video data and is being trained from scratch, and Toyota says it might also be applied to retail environments, airports or offices. The AI Vision Engine is capable of understanding the behavior of people, objects and mobility through camera footage. But it does not employ facial recognition. What distinguishes it from other VLMs, officials explained at Woven City, is that it can quickly summarize what is happening from camera video, report on what has happened, or help anticipate what will happen.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Toyota North America Slumps To Loss Amid Tariffs, China Competition, Higher EV Investment, Iran War

Japan’s Toyota Motor on Friday reported a 49% drop in fourth-quarter operating profit, missing analysts’ estimates as U.S. tariffs and intensifying competition from Chinese automakers pressured earnings. Revenue was 12.6 trillion yen vs. 12.6 trillion yen expected and operating profit was 569.4 billion yen vs. 813.28 billion yen expected. The world’s largest automaker by sales volume saw a 1.89% year-on-year rise in revenue during the fourth quarter ended March, in line with expectations. Operating profit declined for a fourth consecutive year-over-year period, reflecting persistent pressure from U.S. tariffs.

Toyota is facing challenges, weighed down by slowing sales in China’s auto market, vehicle recalls, intensifying competition in the electric vehicle space from peers, and Trump-related tariffs. Net income attributable to the company was 817.2 billion yen from 664.6 billion yen a year ago. Toyota lowered its operating income forecast by over 20% to 3 trillion yen for the financial year ending March 2027, while raising its sales revenue forecast by 0.6%.

Read more at CNBC

Solar Foundations Manufacturer American Steel And Aluminum Expands Operations in NY

Contract manufacturer American Steel and Aluminum (ASA) has opened a new 50,000 sq-ft facility in Syracuse, New York, to meet growing demand from markets including renewable energy. Contract manufacturer American Steel and Aluminum (ASA) has opened a new 50,000 sq-ft facility in Syracuse, New York, to meet growing demand from markets including renewable energy.

ASA entered the solar foundations market in February with its ground screw solution. Ground screws are designed to embed in less-than-ideal soil conditions, such as sites with glacial till, cobble or bedrock. ASA is vertically integrated and handles production from raw domestic steel through final product. This new facility has made additional space for for processing, fabrication and fulfillment.

Read More at Solar Power World

In A First, US Nuclear Fusion Firm Adds Fission Tech Using 10MW Underground Microreactors

Zap Energy, a fusion energy startup based in the US, has made a strategic shift to add nuclear fission to its lineup as it looks to meet the soaring demand for energy to power data centers. With this shift, the company expects to begin generating revenue as early as next year, even as it continues to develop its fusion energy technology. While Interesting Engineering has previously reported how nuclear fission is poised to make a comeback, a fusion energy company adding fission to its lineup is definitely a first.

Based in Everett, Washington, Zap Energy is a spin-off of the University of Washington and aims to develop fusion energy in a highly compact, cost-effective setup. Unlike the tokamak and stellarator approaches used by other companies, Zap Energy has ditched superconducting magnets and a cooling system to generate its plasma. Called Shared Flow Stabilized (SFS) Z-pinch, the approach uses a powerful electric current to generate a magnetic field within which plasma is generated and heated to fusion-grade temperatures. The technology was developed at the University of Washington over the decades and is being commercialized by Zap Energy, which has raised Series D funding as well.

Read more at Interesting Engineering

Daily Market Update May 08, 2026

The June ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.06 at $2.83. The June ‘26 crude oil contract is down $0.59 at $94.22. 

Read more at NRG

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Quote of the Day

"I believe that every right implies a responsibility; every opportunity, an obligation; every possession, a duty."

John D. Rockefeller, Jr. - American Financier and Philanthropist who died on this day in 1960.

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