Member Briefing May 7, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

A Closer Look at The JOLTS Manufacturing Numbers

Job openings in the manufacturing industry rose in March, increasing to 462,000 from 443,000 in February. Last year, there were 389,000 openings in March. Digging deeper, durable goods openings rose to 300,000 from 291,000, while nondurable goods openings increased to 162,000 from 152,000. Both sectors have more openings than this time last year (by 41,000 and 32,000, respectively).

The hiring level in manufacturing for March was 310,000, up from 282,000 in February. Total separations declined slightly to 278,000 from 288,000. Quits inched up to 172,000 from 169,000, and layoffs and discharges declined to 89,000 from 98,000.

Read more at Bureau of Labor Statistics

U.S. Trade Deficit Grew in March

U.S. imports rose faster than exports in March, pushing up the U.S. trade deficit, according to data published by the Commerce Department Tuesday. U.S. imports totaled $381.2 billion in March, up 2.3% from February, while exports were $320.9 billion, 2% greater than in February. That yielded a trade deficit of $60.3 billion, versus $57.8 billion in February. Analysts polled by The Wall Street Journal were expecting a $60.9 billion monthly deficit.

Amid the war in Iran, the U.S. shipped more oil overseas. Exports of crude oil grew by $2.8 billion, and exports of other petroleum products rose by $1.7 billion. Exports of U.S. food and agricultural feeds also grew by just over $1 billion. But U.S. imports expanded by even more. Imports of cars and car parts rose by $3.6 billion. The U.S. also imported more consumer goods and capital goods than in February.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

How A Weaker Dollar Is Quietly Making Life More Expensive

The dollar has fallen about 10% against other major currencies since President Donald Trump returned to the White House, a pullback potentially playing a role in Americans’ concerns about affordability. “It’s kind of a hidden tax,” says economist Thomas Savidge of the conservative-leaning American Institute for Economic Research. “What your dollar is going to be able to buy is going to shrink.” The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the greenback against other major currencies, logged its steepest six-month drop in more than 50 years in the first half of 2025. Though the decline hasn’t deepened, the dollar index is still about 10% lower than the start of Trump’s term.

A strong dollar makes imports cheaper and can help keep inflation in check. A weak one can increase prices on foreign goods but boost American exports. Even among companies that do have a presence outside the U.S., the dollar's fall can have an impact. While many big companies hedge currency to try and insulate themselves or push more sales overseas, smaller businesses are often more susceptible to the turbulence. For the American consumer, the reality of a declining dollar is most obvious during foreign travel or when making a purchase directly from an international seller. CAs for goods imported to the U.S., there is an impact, but it's harder to gauge. Many economists estimate that, in advanced countries like the U.S., only about 5% to 10% of a currency dip is passed on to consumers.

Read more at NY State of Politics

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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N.Y. State Senate Majority Leader Sees 'Conceptual Agreements' On State Budget Policy Items

New York state Senate Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cousins told reporters Tuesday that legislative leaders have made a lot of progress toward a deal on the state budget, which is now more than a month late. “We are — I would say — pretty much having conceptual agreements on the governor’s four major policy proposals,” Stewart-Cousins said, referring to Gov. Kathy Hochul's proposals to reform the state’s car insurance laws in an effort to lower rates, dial back the 2019 climate law, change the state’s environmental quality review (SEQRA) to spur housing development and pass an immigrant protection package which has been brewing since the beginning of the legislative session.

In regards to the climate law, one of the largest sticking points this year, Hochul had proposed to move the date by which the state must release regulations for how it will reduce carbon dioxide emissions by 85% by 2050 to 2030. An updated proposal would move that deadline to 2028 and establish an interim target to reduce emissions by 60% by 2040 while keeping the 2050 date intact. When asked, Stewart-Cousins said there has been no further movement on those date changes. “I think we are really close to the beginning of the end,” the upper chamber leader said, using her annual budget lingo, about where she believes the spending plan lies overall.

Read more at NY State of Politics

G7 Trade Ministers Meet In Paris As Global Tensions And Tariff Threats Mount

G7 trade ministers opened a meeting in Paris on Tuesday to discuss issues including critical minerals. The meeting is taking place as the Middle East war has upended the global economy with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, through which a fifth of the world’s oil normally flows. On Wednesday, the trade ministers of the G7 (Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States) are expected to discuss the four priorities set by the group’s French presidency.

  • The first is finding a collective and effective response to industrial overcapacity that undermines free trade. Even if the discussion does not formally target China, the country’s subsidising of certain sectors has created trade tensions for years.
  • A second priority is economic security, in particular securing and diversifying supplies of critical minerals that are indispensable in producing strategic products such as computer chips, electric vehicle batteries and super magnets.
  • The ministers will also touch on the failure in March of the latest round of World Trade Organization negotiations, with the body’s role as a trade referee having been paralysed by the United States for years.
  • Finally, the ministers will discuss cross-border sales via e-commerce sites, which have generated huge volumes of small parcels that escaped customs duties and posed unfair competition to local retailers.

Read More at France 24

IRS To Increase Employers' Health Coverage 'Pay-Or-Play' Penalties 13%

The Internal Revenue Service said Monday that the Affordable Care Act employer health insurance "pay or play" penalty levels will rise 13.2% in 2027. The ACA requires the IRS to adjust the penalty amounts for inflation every year. This year, the penalty amounts increased 15.2%.The numbers the IRS uses to adjust ACA penalty levels for inflation are supposed to be based on National Health Expenditure Accounts data and reflect the government's best estimate of how much health care costs have really increased.

One penalty affects large employers that fail to offer the kind of "minimum essential coverage," or major medical insurance, required by Internal Revenue Code section 4980H(a) to at least 95% of its full-time employees. The employer might have to pay the penalty if an employee buys health coverage from an ACA public exchange program and ends up qualifying for federal ACA premium tax credit subsidies. The other penalty, the IRC section 4980(H)(b) penalty, affects employers that fail to offer full-time employees affordable coverage with a minimum value. The affordable coverage/minimum value penalty will increase to $5,670, from $5,010 this year. The original amount included in the statute was $2,000.

Read more at Benefits Pro

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Scientists Are Finally Decoding How Acupuncture Eases Pain

Acupuncture, a practice rooted in Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM), has long occupied a gray zone between medicine and mystery: widely used to treat pain, yet often dismissed as a placebo. But advances in imaging and clinical research are shifting that view. Scientists are uncovering how a needle can trigger a chain reaction inside the body, activating immune cells, releasing pain-modulating chemicals, and altering brain activity. What’s emerging is a clearer picture of a measurable, body-wide response—one that is helping position acupuncture as a low-cost, non-addictive option in pain management worldwide.

As clinical research has progressed, scientists are gaining a clearer picture of what happens when a needle meets tissue. The response begins locally. The slight mechanical tug of a needle, known as mechanotransduction, sets off a cascade of biochemical signals in the surrounding connective tissue. This activity causes skin mast cells (think of them as your body’s first line of defense) to release compounds such as histamine, serotonin, and adenosine into nearby tissue. Those signals then stimulate nerve endings, sending messages to brain regions involved in processing and modulating pain. Acupuncture may also engage broader pain-regulation pathways, including a “pain inhibits pain,” sensation, in which one stimulus can dampen the perception of another.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events 

TODAY! Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast and Workforce Developers Expo - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Introduction to Lean With Simulation, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  May 19. 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Elon Musk’s Terafab Chip Factory In Texas Could Cost Up To $119 Billion, Filing Shows

Elon Musk’s plans for a huge chip manufacturing plant in East Texas will cost at least $55 billion for the first phase, and up to $119 billion if the full buildout comes to fruition. The estimated capital investment amounts were disclosed in a public hearing notice on Wednesday in Grimes County, Texas, home of the prospective facility. The notice said SpaceX, which is controlled by Musk, is seeking a property tax abatement agreement from the county.

Musk is aiming for Terafab to be the “most epic chip-building effort ever - combining logic, memory and advanced packaging under one roof,” according to a post on X last month from SpaceX, which now owns artificial intelligence company xAI. He officially launched the project in March. The chip complex outside Austin would be designed to manufacture chips for SpaceX, xAI and Tesla, and jointly built by those companies.

Read more at CNBC

Nvidia, Corning Partner On Massive Optical Fiber Deal That May Be A Game Changer For AI

Nvidia is partnering with glassmaker Corning for three new advanced manufacturing facilities in North Carolina and Texas dedicated entirely to optical technologies for the world’s most valuable semiconductor company. The factories will lead to the creation of at least 3,000 jobs and increase Corning’s U.S. optical manufacturing capacity by 10-fold, the companies said in a joint press release on Wednesday. Financial terms weren’t disclosed.

The multiyear deal brings together two infrastructure players that have seen their fortunes skyrocket since the launch in 2022 of OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which sparked an explosion of investments into new processors and systems for powering cutting-edge AI models and workloads. While the two companies didn’t provide specifics about what’s being developed, Nvidia is likely gearing up to replace copper with Corning’s optical glass fibers in its AI rack-scale systems, an integration known as co-packaged optics.

Read more at CNBC

Mortgage Rates Hit The Highest Level In A Month, Causing First-Time Homebuyers To Drop Out

Mortgage rates continued to climb higher last week, causing both current homeowners and potential homebuyers to retreat from the market, especially first-time buyers. Total mortgage application volume fell 4.4% compared with the week before, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index. The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances, $832,750 or less, increased to 6.45% from 6.37%, with points rising to 0.66 from 0.61, including the origination fee, for loans with a 20% down payment.

Applications for a mortgage to purchase a home dropped 4% for the week and were just 5% higher than the same week one year ago. The spring housing market has been a bumpy one, starting out very slowly when rates rose sharply in March. It seemed to be picking up recently, as rates fell back and more supply came on the market, but buyers again are struggling with affordability. “The average loan size on a purchase application increased to $467,300, the highest in the survey’s history dating back to 1990. This increase could indicate that potential first-time buyers, and buyers looking for homes at lower price points, might be the most hesitant to move forward,” said Joel Kan, vice president and deputy chief economist at the MBA.

Read more at CNBC

U.S. Space Force Awards $3.2 Billion for Space-Based Interceptor Layer

The U.S. Space Force (USSF) Space Systems Command announced on Monday, May 4, the award of 20 Other Transaction Authority (OTA) agreements totaling up to $3.2 billion to a group of 12 companies. The funding is part of the Golden Dome for America’s Space-Based Interceptor (SBI) program, a generational effort to establish a proliferated Low Earth Orbit (pLEO) constellation capable of intercepting ballistic and hypersonic threats during boost, midcourse, and glide phases.

The Golden Dome architecture utilizes advanced sensor fusion and artificial intelligence to counter the extreme maneuverability of modern hypersonic missiles. SciTec will provide specialized data processing layers, while Booz Allen focuses on command-and-control (C2) prototype systems. True Anomaly’s role involves developing interceptor platforms designed to scale rapidly while maintaining low unit costs. These systems will be integrated with the broader proliferated Warfighter Space Architecture, ensuring that interceptors can receive real-time targeting data from NRO-procured commercial imagery and government-owned tracking layers.

Read more at Satellite News

AMD Stock Soars On Q1 Earnings Beat, Better-Than-Expected Outlook

AMD reported its first quarter results after the bell on Tuesday, beating analysts’ expectations on the top and bottom lines and topping Wall Street’s projections on second quarter revenue outlook. For the quarter, AMD saw earnings per share (EPS) of $1.37 on revenue of $10.25 billion. Analysts were calling for EPS of $1.28 and revenue of $9.89 billion, according to Bloomberg analyst consensus estimates. The company saw EPS of $0.96 and revenue of $7.43 billion in the same quarter last year. Data center revenue came in at $5.8 billion, up 57% year over year.

In the second quarter, AMD says it will see between $10.9 billion and $11.5 billion in revenue. Wall Street had the amount pegged at $10.52 billion. CPUs are becoming increasingly important in data centers due to the explosion of interest in AI agents, semi- or fully autonomous AI bots that can perform tasks on users’ behalf. When agents take action, they use tools and software that run on CPUs, driving a massive increase in processor demand. AMD sells its own line of CPUs. It also offers high-powered GPUs for training and running AI models, giving it the chance to attract a broader array of customers.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

The Wegovy Pill Saw The Fastest Take-Up In Weight-Loss Drug History. Novo Nordisk Only Narrowly Lifted Guidance.

Novo Nordisk on Wednesday narrowly improved its financial guidance for a year where it still sees profit and sales falling after the fastest take-up in weight-loss drug history for its Wegovy pill. Novo Nordisk said it achieved 200,000 weekly prescription in the U.S. for the Wegovy pill by mid-April, which it said was the fastest take-up ever in the GLP-1 category of drugs in the U.S., which includes the injectable Wegovy and Ozempic and rival Eli Lilly’s Mounjaro.

The company’s Wegovy pill achieved 2.26 billion Danish kroner ($350 million) of sales in the first quarter, still a long way from the 18.23 billion kroner of sales for the Wegovy injectable and 27.82 billion kroner for Ozempic, which just saw its own pill version launched on May 4. Novo Nordisk said the Wegovy pill hasn’t cannibalized the injectable version of the drug while also attracting users of rival products.

Read more at MarketWatch

Raytheon Wins Rush Order for Patriot Missiles

The Pentagon issued a four-month, $441.6-million contract to Raytheon RTX to deliver Patriot GEM-T missiles to the U.S. Army by September 30, in support of Operation Epic Fury - the ongoing conflict with Iran. The assignment to Raytheon is a single expenditure, not part of a budgeted purchase of supplies, and it is to be paid from FY 2026 special funds (not standard defense appropriations) with all the funding to be paid at once.

A similar sense of urgency in defense appropriations was notable in a recent Pentagon purchase of Himars mobile rocket launchers from Lockheed Martin. Published estimates put the total number of Patriot missiles interceptors fired during March and April 2026 at more than 1,200. Raytheon manufactures the Patriot Advanced Capability-2 system; Lockheed manufactures the PAC-3. Both are mobile, ground-based systems, and typically the two missile types are deployed in tandem to comprise a layered defense system.

Read More at American Machinist

P&G Flags $150M Hit From Iran War Supply Disruptions

Procter & Gamble expects a $150 million after-tax drag this fiscal year ending June 30 as higher oil-related costs and shipping disruptions from the Iran war raise supply expenses, CFO Andre Schulten said in an April 24 earnings call. To blunt the impact, P&G plans to reformulate products, diversify its supply base and look at short-term productivity levers it could pull, he said. The Iran war’s disruption of the flow of oil through the Middle East has raised supply costs for companies across many industry sectors, including automotive, CPG and food and beverage.

“We see some suppliers just not being able to supply at all. We see some manufacturing facilities that have been compromised by the war,” Schulten said. “And so it’s not just the oil price, it’s also the availability of product and input costs.” For P&G, sourcing changes driven by cost or availability were pushing it onto less efficient routes for getting materials, resulting in higher transportation costs, longer lead times and elevated inventories, Schulten said. When materials are not available, the company is reformulating into alternative inputs that often carry upcharges to avoid diluting product performance, Schulten said.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

How Efficiency Is Mitigating the Iran War’s Energy Shock

One of the major surprises about the gravest energy shock since the 1970s is how resilient much of the world has been so far. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has yanked around 13 million barrels of oil a day from global energy supplies. Even so, in the two months since the strait was closed by Iran in response to U.S. and Israeli attacks, many of the world’s major economies have been soldiering on in contrast to the swift downturns that accompanied similar energy crises in the 1970s and 1990s. Stock markets are touching record highs.

This resilience reflects ample energy reserves, policies to help consumers and the offsetting effects of the artificial-intelligence boom that is powering trade and business investment in the U.S. and beyond. It also highlights an underappreciated shift in the workings of the global economy. Over the years, countries have become steadily more energy efficient, squeezing more economic activity out of each drop of oil or cubic meter of natural gas burned. The energy needed to generate a dollar of gross domestic product, adjusted for inflation, has since 2000 fallen by about a third in the U.S. and Europe and by about 40% in China, according to World Bank data.

Read more at the WSJ

Daily Market Update May 06, 2026

The June ’26 natural gas contract is trading down $0.05 at $2.74. The June ‘26 crude oil contract is down $7.57 at $94.70.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“He is happy whose circumstances suit his temper, but he is more excellent who can suit his temper to his circumstance.”

David Hume- Scottish Philosopher who was born on this day in 1711.

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