Member Briefing January 22, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

CADDi Survey: Labor Shortage, Rising Direct Costs Remains Top Obstacles for Manufacturers in 2026

79% of manufacturing leaders report the skilled labor shortage as a major external challenge, a 7% increase over the 72% reported in 2025, according to CADDi's 2026 Manufacturing Outlook Study. In response, 62% of respondents say they are aiming to improve worker recruitment and retention. “Manufacturing teams are facing shrinking headcounts despite rising volatility and pressure,” says Yushiro Kato, CEO and co-founder of CADDi. “To ease the labor shortage’s impact, companies need faster answers, stronger cost visibility and data that lets them act with confidence.”

Rising direct costs (61%), uncertain trade policy (47%) and geopolitical supply chain disruptions (38%) also rank among manufacturers’ top concerns for 2026. 69% of organizations plan to invest in physical assets in the coming year, a 9% increase from last year, and only 33% are planning investments in operational systems like MES and ERP, down from 60% in 2025.

Read more at IndustryWeek

Natural Gas Prices Soar As Arctic Cold To Blast Upper Midwest And Descend Across U.S.

Natural gas prices soared more than 20% on Wednesday as an Arctic cold front is forecast to blast across the Upper Midwest and descend south to grip much of the U.S. with frigid temperatures through the weekend. Heating demand is expected to spike as wind chills could fall to -50 degrees Fahrenheit across the Upper Midwest and Northern Plains, according to the National Weather Service.

The storm will spread across the southern plains to the Mississippi Valley on Saturday before moving into Southern Appalachia, the Carolinas and the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday night into Sunday, Owen Shieh, a meteorologist at the NWS Weather Prediction Center said. Frigid sub-zero and single digit temperatures will also expand into the Ohio Valley and Northeast by Sunday, according to the NWS.

Read more at CNBC

Cutting Tool Demand Shows Upward Trend

CNC machine shops and other U.S. manufacturers purchased $206.1 million worth of cutting tools during November 2025, a -17.6% decrease in order value from October but 9.9% more than the comparable year-ago figure for November 2024. Cutting tool orders are seen as an effective index to overall manufacturing activity, as those products are critical consumables for manufacturers supplying major industries like automotive, aerospace, construction, defense, energy, and numerous others.

For the 11-month period of January through November 2025, cutting-tool shipments totaled $2.34 billion, up 1.3% from January-November 2024. Machine shops and other manufacturing operations order cutting tools according to their current and anticipated manufacturing requirements.

Read more at American Machinist

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Could The Government Shut Down Again? What We Know as Deadline Looms

Lawmakers are once again scrambling to reach an agreement that would keep the U.S. federal government up and running beyond the end of the month. In the fall, Republicans and Democrats in both chambers of Congress were at odds for weeks over how funding should be appropriated and spent, leading to mass layoffs of the federal workforce and states picking up the cost of food assistance and other federal aid programs. Both sides blamed the other, with a deal finally reached after 43 days.

A 1,059-page bipartisan bill was released Tuesday, outlining where lawmakers currently believe funding should be spent. It includes money for departments, including Homeland Security, Labor, and Health and Human Services. The first section of the bill covers the Department of Defense $838.7 billion has been set aside for the department, which will partly be used to give military personnel a 3.8 percent pay rise. Democrats said the bill did not include provisions for more operations in Venezuela or the Caribbean. House Appropriations One big focus is on funding for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), which will continue to receive $10 billion this fiscal year, despite opposition from some Representatives and Senators following the death of U.S. citizen Renee Good in Minneapolis. The bill also includes funding for health care research, affordable housing, and transportation infrastructure, such as improvements to air traffic control.

Read more at Newsweek

4 Fights Facing Gov. Kathy Hochul In The New York State Budget

Gov. Kathy Hochul will spend the next 10 weeks pushing back on calls to put a tax increase on the rich, even though her election-year budget lacks some of the fights of recent years. Plans to change the school funding formula to reduce aid to shrinking districts? This year, everybody gets an increase. Changes to criminal justice laws that provoked fights between prosecutors and legislators? Absent. Here are four of the biggest fights coming up:

  • Taxing the rich - The governor insisted that better-than-expected tax collections, mostly from Wall Street bonuses, give New York the revenue needed to increase funding for schools and child care while also making up for federal Medicaid cuts.
  • Protest buffer zones - Last year, Hochul pushed for additional restrictions on people wearing masks in public, a response to aggressive protests of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza. This year, she’s proposing to create a 25-foot protest-free buffer zone around houses of worship.
  • Auto insurance changes - Hochul said one of the biggest fights she expects in this year’s budget talks will involve wonky car insurance standards. She’s proposing to “tighten up” the definition of a “serious physical injury” under state law – a designation that allows someone involved in an auto crash to win damages for pain and suffering in addition to their medical expenses.
  • Done by April? - The state budget has been late for each of the past years of Hochul’s gubernatorial tenure.

Read more at The Gothamist

 

Inflation After One Year Under Trump: Prices Continue To Rise, But Some Key Items Are Cheaper

When Trump was sworn in to his second term in January 2025, year-over-year inflation was 3%. In the most recent month for which data is available, December 2025, it was 2.7%, a modest decrease. Today’s inflation rate is higher than it was for most of Trump’s first term, and it’s in the ballpark of where it was for most of Biden’s final year. It also remains higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%.

Year-over-year inflation is down from January 2025 — but only slightly, from 3.0% to 2.7%.

  • The inflation rates for groceries, housing, medical care and clothing haven’t budged from their levels during former President Joe Biden’s final year in office.
  • Prices of many key grocery staples are up, but prices for some specific items — including eggs, bacon, dairy products and bread — have decreased.
  • Electricity costs are up significantly, but gasoline prices have seen a notable decline.

Inflation that’s roughly steady defied his critics’ expectations, because they had expected Trump’s high-tariff policy to send prices significantly higher. On the other hand, even steady inflation undercuts Trump’s promise of getting prices down. Prices have fallen for some specific items during his second term, but not for most.

Read more and see the charts at Politifact

More Policy and Politics Headlines

The Quiet Battle in Your Nose That Can Stop a Cold Before It Starts

New research, published in Cell Press Blue, shows that the body’s own antiviral defenses, activated within the nasal lining, largely predict whether a rhinovirus infection fizzles out or turns into a full-blown cold. The findings help explain why cold symptoms vary so widely and point toward new strategies for preventing illness by strengthening the body’s early defenses. Because rhinoviruses infect humans but not most other animals, they have been notoriously difficult to study in living systems. To overcome this challenge, the research team created lab-grown human nasal tissue that closely mimics the structure and function of real airway linings.

When rhinovirus enters nasal cells, it triggers the production of interferons, signaling proteins that act as an antiviral alarm system. These interferons don’t just protect infected cells; they also alert neighboring cells, creating a hostile environment that blocks viral entry and replication. When interferon responses were rapid, the virus failed to spread and caused little damage. But when researchers experimentally blocked the cells’ ability to sense the virus and produce interferons, rhinovirus quickly infected large numbers of cells, damaging and sometimes killing the nasal organoids.

Read more at Discover Magazine

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Advocacy Day - Tuesday February 24, 2026 -7:45 AM - 3:00 PM. The Fort Orange Club, State Capitol Building and Legislative Office Building, Albany.

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, February 12, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Location TBD

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

Check back soon

Training

Making a Profit In Manufactuirng This course is designed to provide supervisors and team leaders with the financial acumen essential for maximizing profitability and reducing operational risks. January 20 & 21, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Human Resource Management Issues This identifies and explains key legal issues that a manager may have to address in the workplace today. It helps current and future managers realize their responsibility to understand and enforce the employment laws that speak to these issues and minimize their chances of ending up in court. February 3 & 4, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Effective Business Communication This course is designed to build core communication skills essential in professional settings. Topics covered include identifying appropriate communication channels, honing active listening skills, and mastering techniques like paraphrasing, summarizing, and clarifying for better interpersonal communication. February 17 & 18, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

FILLING FAST Lean Six Sigma Green Belt This program combines online coursework, with live Zoom sessions, to deliver a flexible and effective learning experience in Lean Six Sigma methodologies. Most Mondays March 2 - June 8 Via Zoom.

(Special Info session for those who are 'Green Belt curious' February 23rd)

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - March 9,10 & 11 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

CEOs Say AI Is Making Work More Efficient. Employees Tell a Different Story.

The gulf between senior executives’ and workers’ actual experience with generative AI is vast, according to a new survey from the AI consulting firm Section of 5,000 white-collar workers. Two-thirds of nonmanagement staffers said they saved less than two hours a week or no time at all with AI. More than 40% of executives, in contrast, said the technology saved them more than eight hours of work a week.

Workers in the Section survey were far more likely to say they were anxious or overwhelmed about AI than excited—the reverse was true for the C-suite—and 40% of all respondents said they would be fine never using AI again. The most common way most people said they used AI tools was for basics like google-search replacements or generating drafts. Far fewer used it for more-complex tasks like data analysis or code generation. A new report from the business-software company Workday goes so far as to call frustrations with the technology an “AI tax” on productivity. Though 85% of the roughly 1,600 employees it surveyed reported saving one to seven hours a week by using AI, much of the time was offset by having to correct errors and rework AI-generated content.

Read more at The WSJ

Construction Spending Trended Sideways in September and October

Construction spending declined modestly in September and then rebounded in October, making overall construction spending virtually unchanged since August. Some segments continued to outperform over the two-month period, such as data centers, power, transportation and public works projects. That said, most other categories fell back, demonstrating that high interest rates and economic uncertainty are still constraining activity. All told, the declines registered in private outlays support our outlook for continued near-term weakness in residential and structures investment.

Total construction spending declined 0.6% in September and then rose 0.5% in October. Although down 1.0% on a year-ago basis, the trend in spending was essentially flat since August, with outlays down 0.1% over the two-month period. In October, private construction spending fell 1.9% on a year-to-year basis, with residential and nonresidential outlays both dropping on an annual basis and over the balance of the previous two months. The declines registered in private outlays support the outlook for continued near-term weakness in residential and structures investment. Home improvement spending, which rose 2.2% since August and was up 4.5% on a year-to-year basis in October, continues to be one of the bright spots within the residential category.

Read more at Wells Fargo

Fastenal Q4 Earnings & Sales Meet Expectations, Stock Down

Fastenal Company FAST reported fourth-quarter 2025 results that came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for both earnings and revenues, supported by steady contract customer momentum and improved operating leverage. Fastenal reported earnings per share (EPS) of 26 cents, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but up 12.2% year over year from 23 cents in the prior-year quarter. Net income increased to $294.1 million from $262.1 million a year ago.

During the fourth quarter of 2025, Fastenal reported broad-based growth across product categories, supported by strength in manufacturing customers and benefits from the fastener expansion project. Direct products, which include fasteners, cutting tools and other production-related items, recorded daily sales growth of 13.1% year over year and accounted for 38.4% of net sales, up from 37.8% in the year-ago quarter. Growth was led by direct fasteners and hardware, which rose 12.1% year over year and represented 20.4% of sales. Indirect products, comprising safety supplies and other MRO-related items, posted daily sales growth of 10.1% and made up 61.6% of net sales, slightly lower than last year.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Breeze Airways Adds Raleigh-Durham And Tampa Service From Stewart

Breeze Airways is adding two cities to its service from New York Stewart International Airport at Newburgh. Beginning May 6, the low-cost airline will fly twice-weekly to Raleigh-Durham on Wednesdays and Saturdays. Travelers will also be able to stay onboard and continue on to Tampa. “The new breeze service is a meaningful expansion for New York Stewart, adding a strong nonstop link to a growing hub while building on the airport’s core strengths,” said Port Authority Chairman Kevin O’Toole.

Breeze currently operates year-round service to Charleston, South Carolina and Orlando, Florida, along with seasonal routes. Allegiant air also offers service from Stewart – to Fort Lauderdale, Orlando-Sanford, Punta Gorda, and St. Petersburg, Florida, as well as season service to Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

Read more at Mid-Hudson News

Iconic Coney Island Hot Dog Maker Nathan's Famous Is Sold For $450 Million

Nathan’s Famous, which opened as a 5-cent hot dog stand in Coney Island more than a century ago, has been sold to packaged meat giant Smithfield Foods in a $450 million all-cash deal, the companies announced Wednesday. Smithfield, which has held rights to produce and sell Nathan’s products in the U.S., Canada and at Sam's Clubs in Mexico since 2014, will acquire all of Nathan's outstanding shares for $102 each. The transaction is expected to close in the first half of 2026.

Nathan's board of directors, which own or control nearly 30% of the outstanding shares of Nathan’s Famous common stock, approved the buyout and agreed to recommend to its shareholders to vote in favor of the deal. Smithfield, which also owns the Gwaltney bacon and Armour frozen meat brands, rang up more than a billion dollars in operating profit in 2024 on sales of $14.1 billion. It's on track to eclipse both those figures when it reports its fourth-quarter results.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Toyota affiliates in $436 million settlement over alleged forklift engine emissions cheating

Three Toyota affiliates reached a settlement worth an estimated $436 million of a proposed U.S. class action accusing them of emissions cheating in nine engines for forklift trucks. A preliminary settlement with Toyota Industries (6201.T), opens new tab, the world's largest maker of forklift trucks, and two subsidiaries was filed on Tuesday night in San Francisco federal court, and requires a judge's approval. Toyota, the parent automaker, was dismissed as a defendant after claiming it had nothing to do with the emissions testing and forklift sales.

The settlement provides $299.5 million of cash to owners and lessees of 272,422 forklifts from the 2007 to 2021 model years, with an expected payout of $1,400 to $2,800 per vehicle depending on the number of claims. It also provides inspections and maintenance valued at $83.7 million to $189.3 million, with a midpoint of $136.5 million, depending on how many forklifts are still operating. This service plan is valued at $800 per forklift, the plaintiffs' lawyers said.

Read more at Reuters

Siemens Tests Humanoid Robots in Industrial Logistics

A proof of concept to test humanoid robots in industrial logistics has been successfully completed by Siemens and Humanoid, a UK-based AI and robotics company.  Humanoid’s HMND 01, a wheeled robot, was deployed in real operations at a Siemens facility, marking a significant step toward the deployment of humanoid robots in industrial settings. It is the first step in a broader partnership between the two companies to test and validate how humanoid robots can be used in real-world environments.

The robot autonomously picked totes from a storage stack, transported them to a conveyor, and placed them at the designated pickup point for human operators. This sequence was repeated until the stack was fully empty. The POC involved a two-week on-site deployment at the Siemens Electronics Factory in Erlangen, where partners assessed the robots in a real-world production environment. It measured both performance and reliability of humanoid robots under autonomous operation. Target metrics were met in full and included a throughput of 60 tote moves per hour, operation with two different tote sizes, and continuous autonomous task execution for more than 30 minutes.

Read more at Assembly Magazine

Intel Wins U.S. SHIELD Contract to Supply Chips & Advanced Packaging Under $151 Billion Defense Program

Intel has won a major U.S. Department of War contract, according to an announcement by the company's executive, who said Team Blue is now the chip supplier for the SHIELD program. According to an announcement by James Chew, Intel's new VP of Government Technology, the company has now been included in the Scalable Homeland Innovative Enterprise Layered Defense (SHIELD) contract, which has a ceiling of $151 billion, and it is known to be one of the most ambitious projects by the DoW.

Team Blue's status as the native US chip manufacturer gives them the edge in official government contracts, given that, due to the sensitivity of the technologies under development, there isn't any other alternative for the administration. There isn't any disclosure about which process technologies we could see adopted under the SHIELD program, but given the military-focused application, mature nodes will be a larger part of the arrangement. Intel has plenty of options, such as the Intel 16, which are known to be integrated in radio-frequency (RF) and analog components.

Read more at WCCF Tech

Daily Market Update Jan 21, 2026

 

The Feb ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.89 at $4.80. The Mar ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.04 at $60.40.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“There are four questions of value in life... What is sacred? Of what is the spirit made? What is worth living for, and what is worth dying for? The answer to each is the same. Only love.”

George Gordon Byron (Lord Byron) - English poet who was born on this day in 1788.

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