Member Briefing January 26, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Flash PMI: US Business Activity Steady In January

U.S. business activity was steady in January as an improvement in new orders was offset by a lackluster labor market and ​lingering concerns among firms over higher costs because of import tariffs, a survey showed on Friday. S&P Global said its flash U.S. Composite PMI Output ‌Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, inched down to 52.8 this month from 52.7 in December. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the private sector. Both services and manufacturing flash PMIs were little changed this month.

  • The S&P Global survey's measure of new orders received by businesses rose to 52.2 from 50.8 in December.
  • Exports fell to a nine-month low, pulled down by declines in both goods and services.
  • Business confidence weakened, dropping ‍slightly below the average seen last year. S&P Global said "the demand-dampening impact of higher prices, geopolitical worries and federal government policies remained a concern among many firms."
  • The survey continued to paint a picture of labor market stagnation. Its measure of private sector employment edged up to 50.5 from 50.3 ⁠last month.
  • The ‍survey's gauge of prices asked by firms for goods and services ticked down to 57.2, still among the highest recorded over the last three years, from 57.3 in December.
  • A measure of prices ‌paid for ‌inputs fell to a still-high 59.7 from 61.9 last month.
  • "Increased costs, widely blamed on tariffs, are again cited as a key driver of higher prices for both goods and services in ⁠January, meaning inflation and affordability remains a ⁠widespread concern among businesses," said Chris ​Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Read more at IndustryWeek

US Consumer Sentiment Reaches Five-Month High in Broad Gain

Consumers felt a bit better about the economy in January as sentiment lifted off from near-historical lows reached late last year, according to the University of Michigan’s monthly survey. The survey’s sentiment index came in at 56.4 this month, versus 52.9 in December. A preliminary January reading published two weeks ago had shown sentiment improving to 54.

“Consumers continue to report pressures on their purchasing power stemming from high prices and the prospect of weakening labor markets,” said Joanne Hsu, the survey’s director. She added that January’s gains were broad based across demographics, and that a chaotic month for international affairs hadn’t seemed to inflect consumers’ economic views. Consumers continued to show confidence that inflation won’t reaccelerate, telling the Michigan survey that they expect relatively moderate price increases in both the short term and the long term.

Read more at The WSJ

New York Electric Grid Prepared for Forecasted Extreme Winter Conditions but Fuel Security Concerns Remain

Adequate generating capacity is in place to meet electricity demand under forecasted extreme winter conditions for the period of Saturday, January 24 through Thursday, January 29, according to the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO). However, as stated in the NYISO’s 2025-2026 Winter Assessment, the NYISO will be carefully monitoring fuel security for generators due to the extreme cold temperatures expected to grip the eastern half of the country.

As of Friday, January 23, the forecasted peak demand during the cold snap is as follows:

  • Saturday, January 24: 23,230 megawatts
  • Sunday, January 25: 23,090 megawatts
  • Monday, January 26: 23,600 megawatts
  • Tuesday, January 27: 24,180 megawatts
  • Wednesday, January 28: 24,330 megawatts
  • Thursday, January 29: 24,450 megawatts

According to NYISO’s 2025-2026 Winter Assessment, 29,893 megawatts (MW) of power resources are available to serve load across the state. That analysis also forecasted peak winter demand to reach 24,200 MW. If necessary, NYISO operators can dispatch up to an additional 2,159 MW through emergency operating procedures to maintain reliability during the cold snap. The all-time record for winter peak demand was 25,738 MW on January 7, 2014.

Read more at The NYISO

Middle East

Ukraine

Venezuela

Other World Headlines

Final Fiscal 2026 Spending Bills Pass House; Senate Up Next

The House passed a roughly $1.25 trillion spending package Thursday in a pair of votes that overcame internal GOP divisions and Democratic protests over the Trump administration’s immigration policies. The most closely watched of the four bills at stake was the Homeland Security measure, which was at greatest risk of defeat amid an immigration crackdown that raised civil rights concerns. But the bill, which was taken up separately from the rest of the package, passed on a 220-207 vote. Seven Democrats joined almost all Republicans to support the measure. Kentucky Rep. The other, larger bill, containing the Defense, Labor-HHS-Education, and Transportation-HUD funding measures, passed with lopsided bipartisan support on a vote of 341-88.

The Senate plans to take up that mega package next week to meet a Jan. 30 deadline, when current funding for most federal agencies is set to run out. An expected weekend snowstorm, however, could make meeting the deadline more difficult. If the Senate clears the final package next week for the president’s signature, the vote would put a bookend to a tumultuous appropriations season, from months of partisan fights over the president’s testing of the limits of his authority over spending to the nation’s witnessing of the longest partial government shutdown in history.

Read more at Roll Call

Power Prices Surge As Winter Storm Spikes Demand In US Data Center Alley

Power prices in the largest U.S. grid rose sharply on Sunday as demand in a region with the world's largest concentration of energy-hungry data centers surpassed forecasts during a deep freeze gripping half the country. Real-time wholesale electricity prices topped $1,800 per MWh early Sunday in Dominion Energy's Virginia territory, up from $200 per MWh on Saturday morning. Virginia houses the biggest cluster of data centers in the world, which are used to power things like artificial intelligence and have been responsible for rising power demand and prices in swaths of the country.

PJM predicts demand at 147.2 gigawatts, which would beat the current record winter electricity demand of 143.7 GW set in January 2025. In the utility's zone of the PJM territory, demand approached about 23 gigawatts per hour at 10 a.m. EDT, about 5% higher than the original forecast, according to PJM data. Spot wholesale electricity prices across the U.S. have been elevated throughout the weekend as regional grids strain to meet surging demand. When demand is higher than the forecasts for utility companies, they can be forced to pay elevated spot prices for electricity to meet the demands of their residential and business customers.

Read more at Reuters

 

Utilities Say State Should Be Clearer About Energy Charges

Governor Kathy Hochul plans to introduce legislation requiring utilities to create and report an “affordability index,” showing the energy burden on customers in a utility’s service territory. The DPS would be required to report on utility affordability, benchmark against data from other states, and make an annual presentation to the PSC. She has also called for requiring utilities to disclose how their CEOs’ salaries compare to an average worker’s pay. She also wants utilities, when they seek rate hikes, to present a “budget-constrained option” that keeps their operating and capital costs below the rate of inflation.

In turn some utilities say the state ought to be transparent about costs they are required to pass along to ratepayers. “Greater transparency helps New Yorkers understand what is really driving affordability concerns, including unregulated energy suppliers and state-mandated fees, which together can account for more than half of a customer’s bill and have nothing to do with investments in the poles, people and wires that keep New Yorker’s lights on and homes warm,” said Kimberly Harriman, deputy CEO of Avangrid, the parent company of New York State Electric & Gas. A focal point of the debate over energy costs is the state’s climate law, officially called the Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act, that was signed in 2019. The law steers the state toward greater reliance on renewable energy and less dependence on fossil fuels.

Read more at the Buffalo News

More Policy and Politics Headlines

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Scientists Identify One Fitness Habit That May Matter Most For Longevity

Is your workout routine feeling stale? Shaking up your exercise routine can help—and it might just increase your chance of living longer too. While it’s well documented that exercise lowers your associated mortality risk, few studies so far have investigated whether or not diversifying your exercise matters. But according to a new Harvard University study, in the long term, exercise variety makes a significant difference in longevity, regardless of how long you sweat. The study, published on January 20 in BMJ Medicine, focused on 111,000 nurses and health professionals who routinely completed surveys about their exercise habits over a span of 30 years.

The participants logged their total time spent on multiple physical activities, including gardening, biking, running, strength training, tennis, climbing stairs, and yoga. The study authors then grouped participants by activity variety. The most diverse group—those who engaged in the highest number of distinct activities per week—had a 19 percent lower associated mortality risk than the least diverse group, results showed. The takeaway? “It’s probably better to spread the limited energy on multiple physical activities instead of sticking to a single high-intensity one,” says Yang Hu, the study author and a research scientist at Harvard’s department of nutrition.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Advocacy Day - Tuesday February 24, 2026 -7:45 AM - 3:00 PM. The Fort Orange Club, State Capitol Building and Legislative Office Building, Albany.

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

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Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, February 12, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Location TBD

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Training

Making a Profit In Manufactuirng This course is designed to provide supervisors and team leaders with the financial acumen essential for maximizing profitability and reducing operational risks. January 20 & 21, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Human Resource Management Issues This identifies and explains key legal issues that a manager may have to address in the workplace today. It helps current and future managers realize their responsibility to understand and enforce the employment laws that speak to these issues and minimize their chances of ending up in court. February 3 & 4, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Effective Business Communication This course is designed to build core communication skills essential in professional settings. Topics covered include identifying appropriate communication channels, honing active listening skills, and mastering techniques like paraphrasing, summarizing, and clarifying for better interpersonal communication. February 17 & 18, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

FILLING FAST Lean Six Sigma Green Belt This program combines online coursework, with live Zoom sessions, to deliver a flexible and effective learning experience in Lean Six Sigma methodologies. Most Mondays March 2 - June 8 Via Zoom.

(Special Info session for those who are 'Green Belt curious' February 23rd)

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - March 10, 11 & 12 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

Hudson Valley Employment Grows in December, Manufacturing Jobs Dip

The Hudson Valley's private sector job count grew by 1,900, or 0.2 percent, to 847,400 in the year ending December 2025. The largest gains were in private education and health services (+6,600), professional and business services (+1,900) and financial activities (+500). Job losses were centered in mining, logging and construction (-2,300), trade, transportation and utilities (-1,800), other services (-1,200), leisure and hospitality (-1,000), information (-500) and manufacturing (-300). Nevertheless, the pace of job growth has slowed down considerably – up just 0.2 percent year-over-year – its lowest December growth rate since 2020. Only three sectors posted year-over-year job gains, while six posted losses. Private education and health services remained the region’s leading jobs generator, climbing 2.8 percent to 242,600 – its highest December employment count on record (dating back to 2000).

Statewide employment grew by 17,400 or 0.2% in December and by 77,600 or 0.8% year-over-year to a total of 10,093,900. Manufacturing employment fell by -3,500, or -0.8% in December and by -7,600, or -1.8%, year over year to a total of 405,200.

Read the Labor Market Profile

GE Aerospace Ends 2025 On High Note As Engine Demand Surges

GE Aerospace reported double-digit earnings growth in the fourth quarter, driven by robust demand for its commercial and defense engines as it looks to streamline operations. The Evendale, Ohio-based company saw quarterly revenue increase 18% to $12.7 billion over the previous year. It also posted a profit of $2.9 billion during the period, up 24% from a year ago. The engine maker also saw Q4 orders surge 74% to $27 billion, accounting for nearly half of its orders for the whole year. This development came as GE Aerospace worked to simplify its operations and progress through its $190 billion backlog of orders.

Early last year, GE Aerospace formed its Technology & Operations team with the goal of implementing the company’s lean operating model “Flight Deck” to improve product quality and delivery speeds across its engineering, quality, supply chain and manufacturing functions. The new team has helped the company partner with suppliers more effectively, resulting in higher outputs so far, Chairman and CEO H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. said in an earnings call Thursday.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Roche’s Genentech More Than Doubles North Carolina Facility Investment To $2B

Genentech, a subsidiary of Roche Group, will more than double its initial investment in an upcoming Holly Springs, North Carolina, biomanufacturing facility to $2 billion, the San Francisco-based company said Tuesday. The additional capital will allow the company to increase production volume and scale capacity within the facility, as well as create a total of 500 local manufacturing jobs, according to a news release. The plant is set to be operational by 2029.

Genentech initially pledged $700 million last year to build the Holly Springs factory, its first on the East Coast. The location is designed to produce weight-loss treatments and other metabolic medicines. Construction on the project began in August. The expansion is part of a broader $50 billion commitment from Genentech and Roche to improve their U.S. operational footprint. Pharmaceutical giants such as Lilly and Johnson & Johnson have made similar pledges over the next five years in response to shifting customer demand as the Trump administration’s tariffs disrupt supply chains, markets and production.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Boeing Tapped for Carrier’s Expansion Plan

Boeing announced its second new order in less than two months from Ethiopian Airlines as the carrier invests to expand its international network. The customer ordered nine 787-9 Dreamliner aircraft, with an estimated value of $2.5 billion at list prices. It’s more proof of the late-2025 surge in bookings that has Boeing on track to top Airbus for new orders for the first time since 2018. This booking follows Ethiopian Airlines’ recent order for 11 737 MAX aircraft, announced in November. That placement has an estimated value of $1.3 billion, based on listed prices.

No delivery schedule has been described for the new Boeing aircraft. Ethiopian Airlines is the largest in Africa, with a current fleet of 168 aircraft that includes 20 787-8s and 10 787-9s, as well as 28 737 MAX-8s. Its routes cover destinations in Africa, Europe, Asia, and North America.

Read more at American Machinist

Amazon Plans Thousands More Corporate Job Cuts This Week, Sources Say

Amazon is planning a second round of job cuts next week as part of its broader goal of trimming some 30,000 corporate workers, according to two people familiar with the matter. The company in October cut some 14,000 white-collar jobs, about half of the 30,000 target first reported by Reuters. The total this time is expected to be roughly the same as last year and could begin as soon as Tuesday, the people said, who asked not to be identified because they were not authorized to discuss Amazon’s plans. Jobs in the company's Amazon Web Services, retail, Prime Video and human resources, known as People Experience and Technology, units are slated to be affected, the people said, though the full scope was unclear.

The Seattle online retailer tied the October round of job cuts to the rise of artificial intelligence software, saying in an internal letter that “this generation of AI is the most transformative technology we’ve seen since the Internet, and it’s enabling companies to innovate much faster than ever before.” CEO Andy Jassy had said earlier in 2025 that he expected Amazon’s corporate workforce to shrink over time as a result of efficiencies gained from the use of AI.

Read more at Reuters

Intel Earnings Guidance: Manufacturing Troubles Overshadow Earnings Beat

Intel shares plunged Friday after the chipmaker issued lackluster guidance and warned of a supply shortage. During a fourth-quarter earnings call with analysts on Thursday, CEO Lip-Bu Tan said the company wouldn’t be able to meet full demand for its products. He said production efficiency, or yield, is also below his targets. The chipmaker expects first-quarter revenue to range between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, and breakeven adjusted earnings per share. That was below LSEG expectations for earnings of 5 cents per share and $12.51 billion in revenue.

The company’s foundry business has long underperformed competitors, which are profiting massively off of the data center artificial intelligence boom. Investors were looking for clarity on foundry customers as the next momentum mover for the stock. The company’s foundry business creates chips for other companies. CFO David Zinsner told CNBC that Intel expects customers for its next-generation 14A technology to appear in the second half of the year. But analysts at RBC Capital Markets warned that a “meaningful revenue contribution” from 14A customers may not pop up until late 2028.

Read more at CNBC

BM Strengthens Its Quantum Computing Platform with Qiskit v2.3

IBM recently released Qiskit v2.3, the latest update to its open-source quantum computing software. The new version is designed to make quantum computing faster, more flexible, and easier to combine with today’s powerful classical computers. In particular, the update improves Qiskit’s ability to work inside high-performance computing environments to help bridge the gap between current systems and future quantum machines.

One of the biggest upgrades is the expansion of Qiskit’s C-based tools, which allows developers to customize how quantum circuits are optimized. At the same time, IBM improved how Qiskit matches circuits to quantum hardware, which speeds up setup and improves accuracy. The release also adds a new way to measure multiple qubits at once, an important feature for more advanced quantum techniques. Finally, IBM’s Qiskit v2.3 moves the platform closer to fault-tolerant quantum computing (the ability of a quantum computer to operate reliably). Indeed, the update includes better tools to simplify circuits, cut down on costly operations, and prepare programs for next-generation quantum hardware. IBM has changed key parts of Qiskit to the faster Rust programming language, which may cause minor short-term slowdowns but should deliver major performance benefits over time.

Read more at Tipranks

Defense Industry Flummoxed By Trump’s Executive Order On Profits

Defense contractors are perplexed by President Trump administration’s executive order outlining vague new rules for its weapons suppliers, unsure how to proceed and raising questions about its legality. The executive order — echoing recent speeches delivered by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent — rebukes defense firms for stock buybacks, paying dividends to investors and high compensation for CEOs, rather than using profits to invest in plant capacity.

But while defense experts and company executives agree more could be done to bolster the defense supply chain, they argue the executive order is legally questionable and lacking a clear roadmap on the path forward to do so. “If you’re trying to encourage more companies to get involved and be suppliers to the DOD, this is not the best way to do that,” one defense industry lobbyist told The Hill, referring to the Department of Defense. “Companies may not want to do business with DOD if they are subject to this. Plus, obviously it’s not legally enforceable to stop dividends and cap pay, so how do you enforce that?”

Read more at The Hill

Daily Market Update Jan 22, 2026

The Feb ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.89 at $4.80. The Mar ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.04 at $60.40.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“Good coaches tell you where the fish are, great coaches teach you how to find them.”

Kobe Bryant - American All-Star Basketball Player and 5 time NBA Champion who died on this day in 2020, aged 41.

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