Member Briefing June 11, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Rising Input Costs Top Manufacturers’ Concerns in NAM’s Q2 Outlook Survey

Manufacturers are reporting increased raw material costs as the top business challenge facing them, jumping 25.6 percentage points from 57.5% in the first quarter to 83.1% in the second quarter, according to the National Association of Manufacturers’ Q2 Manufacturers’ Outlook Survey. This shift comes as the conflict in the Middle East puts new pressure on manufacturers’ supply chains, with 72.0% of respondents saying their company is facing rising energy input costs as a result of the conflict. The survey also shows manufacturers’ optimism remained relatively steady, dipping to 74.2% in the second quarter of 2026, a decrease from 75.3% in the first quarter but in line with the historical average.

  • Trade continued to be top of mind for manufacturers with trade uncertainties reported as the second top business challenge, at 71.8%, up slightly from 70.6% in Q1—and ranking as number one for companies with more than 500 employees.
  • Rising healthcare costs ranked as the third top business challenge, with 76.8% of respondents reporting making business changes, such as switching insurance providers or reducing benefits or pay, as a result of increased healthcare spending.
  • Manufacturers expect growth to slow somewhat across a majority of indices over the next 12 months. In Q2, sales and production are projected to rise 3.3% and 3.0%, respectively, over the next 12 months compared to the 3.8% and 3.5% growth forecasted in Q1.
  • Meanwhile, costs are anticipated to rise at a much faster pace than projected in the prior quarter. Raw material and other input costs are expected to increase 5.8%, up from 4.1% in Q1 and consistent with the top business challenge facing manufacturers this quarter.

Read more at The NAM

CPI = 4.2% Inflation Heated Up in May, as Energy Costs Continued to Bite

Consumer prices were up 4.2% in May from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Wednesday, accelerating from 3.8% the previous month. That was the highest year-over-year print since April 2023 and a sign that high energy costs stemming from the conflict with Iran are continuing to push up price pressures. The reading was in line with what economists polled by The Wall Street Journal expected.

  • Prices among all motor fuels were up 41% in May versus a year earlier, according to the consumer price index.
  • Electricity prices are up about 6% over the past year, according to CPI data.
  • Airline fares were up about 27% in May from a year earlier, according to the consumer price index.
  • Meanwhile, inflation for housing has been “tame,” providing a counterweight to high inflation elsewhere.
  • New vehicle prices were up just 0.2% over the past year, while those for used cars and trucks were down 2%, according to CPI data.

Read more and see the breakdown at CNBC

US Trade Gap Narrows in April on Oil Exports Boost

The U.S. trade deficit shrank slightly in April, government data showed Tuesday, with energy exports bolstered by a supply crunch following war in the Middle East. The overall trade gap narrowed 1.2% to $55.9 billion, said the Commerce Department. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal had expected a $56.1 billion figure. U.S. exports of crude oil and petroleum products have surged since U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran from late February, which triggered Tehran's retaliation in virtually blocking the Strait of Hormuz.

In April, exports rose 2.6% to $327.1 billion, fueled by crude oil, fuel oil and other petroleum products. Government data showed that exports of capital goods like computers and civilian aircraft also climbed. U.S. imports, meanwhile, rose by 2.0% to $383 billion in April. This was boosted by imports of products like computers and semiconductors, thanks to an ongoing demand for hardware needed in the artificial intelligence buildout. Businesses have continued spending on high-tech goods linked to data centers, a key driver of economic growth, with President Donald Trump's tariffs excluding some of these products. "Tariffs could still impact trade flows this year, although likely to a lesser extent than in 2025," U.S. Economist Grace Zwemmer of Oxford Economics said.

Read more at IndustryWeek

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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Trump Signs Reconciliation Package Funding Immigration Enforcement Into Law

President Donald Trump on Wednesday signed a $70 billion bill to fund immigration enforcement agencies through the end of his term. The package to pay for Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection passed out of Congress in the last week after months of debate and delays amid Democratic concerns about overly aggressive immigration enforcement.

At a signing ceremony in the Oval Office on Wednesday, Trump said the bill would “give the heroes of ICE and border patrol ... the support and resources they need to defend our borders, protect our homeland and to keep America safe.” Democrats had refused to fund the two Department of Homeland Security subagencies since January, when an immigration surge in Minneapolis led to the deaths of two U.S. citizens at the hands of federal agents. Republicans, in response to Democratic opposition, pursued a congressional process known as budget reconciliation, which allows for the party-line passage of controversial spending and budgetary measures with a simple majority in the Senate, as opposed to the 60 votes normally needed to overcome a filibuster.

Read more at CNBC

How 16 Top Economists Think AI Will Change The Job Market, And How To Prepare

Will artificial intelligence improve workers’ lives, or hand them the equivalent of a pink slip? It's one of the most pressing questions facing the U.S. economy today. Companies are pouring money into data centers, rolling out AI tools in their offices and, in some cases, rethinking how many workers they need. Polling finds Americans are more anxious than excited about these developments. At the same time, history has shown that technology can unlock productivity and innovation, fueling wealth and employment.

For answers, the Wall Street Journal turned to 16 economists—including an economics Nobel winner, academics deeply engaged on questions about AI and former top government advisers—about what they think AI will mean for the economy, workers and workplaces. They asked for bigger-picture thoughts and forecasts, and a mix of multiple-choice questions focused on the next five years. (Not every economist answered every question.) There’s little doubt AI will boost productivity, economists we surveyed said, and smaller and newer companies should benefit from its growth. But economists diverged when it came to the question that worries many Americans the most: in the coming years, will AI eliminate more jobs than it adds?

Read more at the WSJ

API Oil Chief Warns US Strategic Petroleum Reserve Nearing Critical Low

The head of the American Petroleum Institute has issued a direct public warning that US oil reserves are approaching levels that warrant serious concern, pointing to a Strategic Petroleum Reserve holding of around 350 million barrels and a gasoline inventory drawdown that has consumed nearly an entire summer driving season's worth of stock. Speaking on CNN, API chief executive Mike Sommers said the organization is actively raising alarm bells. With the SPR requiring approximately 20% of capacity to remain operational, the effective floor sits around 70 million barrels, a threshold that is no longer comfortably distant given the pace of current drawdowns.

The gasoline inventory figure is particularly striking. A reduction of 38 million barrels has already been recorded, an amount Sommers described as roughly equivalent to the full inventory buffer the US relies on across the summer driving season. On the supply side, Sommers acknowledged some early positive signals. Rig counts have increased consistently in recent weeks, and higher prices are beginning to stimulate additional output in the Permian Basin, Alaska and other producing regions. He characterized these as green shoots, but was unambiguous that domestic production growth cannot resolve the crisis in the near term. The only short-term fix, he said, is getting the Strait of Hormuz open again.

Read more at Investing Live

More Policy and Politics Headlines

The Surprising Ways Exercise Helps The Body Fight Cancer

The 2025 CHALLENGE Trial, published in the New England Journal of Medicine, was the first large randomized controlled study to test whether a structured exercise program could improve long-term outcomes for colon cancer patients after they had completed surgery and chemotherapy. After a median follow-up of eight years, patients with stage 2 and 3 colon cancer who participated in the program had a 28 percent lower risk of disease recurrence, a new primary cancer, or death than those who received exercise education alone. They also had a 37 percent lower risk of death from any cause.

Exercise appears to strengthen the body’s surveillance system by increasing the activity of immune cells—including natural killer cells and T cells—that seek out and destroy abnormal cells. One study hypothesized that exercise might alter tumor microenvironments, making cancer cells less effective at maintaining barriers that prevent immune cells from entering and destroying them. Exercise may also counter chronic inflammation, another force that helps tumors thrive. Physical activity decreases the activity of cytokines such as IL-6 and TNF-α, which promote inflammation. This lowering of inflammatory signaling might create a biological environment less supportive of tumor progression.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

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Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

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CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

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Training

TODAY Human Resource Management Issues, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 10, 8:30 - 4:30.

Effective Business Communication, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 24, 8:30 - 4:30.

Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

Strategies for Managing, Coaching and Dealing with Difficult People, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July, 15, 8:30 - 4:30.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Harley-Davidson To Reshore Revolution Max Engine Production

 Harley-Davidson is planning to bring its Revolution Max engine production back to the United States, the motorcycle giant said Tuesday. The company will also bring back production of its Pan America, Sportster S and Nightster models to its U.S. facilities, which the engine powers, according to the press release. The announcement is part of Harley-Davidson’s “Back to the Bricks” strategy unveiled last month, which aims to restore the manufacturer’s financial performance, regain market share and improve dealer relationships.

Harley-Davidson’s production returning to the U.S. means it will bring machining, powertrain assembly, painting and final vehicle assembly work to its plants in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the company said. The transition is expected to be completed before production of its model year 2028 motorcycles begins in 2027. Moreover, Harley-Davidson anticipates manufacturing over 100,000 motorcycles at its York, Pennsylvania, facility in 2027.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

What Screwworm’s Appearance In U.S. Cattle Could Mean For Beef Prices This Summer

The arrival of the invasive New World screwworm in Texas, a parasitic fly whose larvae burrow into the flesh of living warm-blooded animals, could exacerbate existing inflation pain for Americans already grappling with high beef prices. Consumers received a bit of relief from the just-released consumer price index report, which tracks inflation across a wide range of goods and services. Ground beef prices fell -1.27% in May, but that did come after a 2.7% gain in April, and while off record highs, beef prices remain up 12.9% year over year.

The screwworm can cause painful wounds that can become life-threatening without treatment, and the pest poses a risk to livestock, wildlife, pets and, in uncommon cases, people. Despite the health and economic concerns, government officials and industry executives have said there is no threat to the food supply or public health. Colin Woodall, CEO of the National Cattlemen’s Beef Association, the industry’s largest and oldest trade group, emphasized the safety of the nation’s beef supply and said the screwworm’s arrival was not a surprise. “We have been anticipating this for some time. It is not a shock to the supply. It is a pest, and like many other pests, we deal with it,” Woodall said, adding that ranchers have products available to treat cattle and keep them healthy.

Read more at CNBC

How Ford Flags Assembly Line Defects With IBM’s AI-Powered Inspection Tools

Ford Motor Co. has installed IBM’s AI-powered Maximo Visual Inspection technology at 17 of its North American manufacturing facilities to catch any assembly line defects in real-time using pictures taken of vehicle components in various stages of production using an iPhone and cloud-based platform. Ford refers to the inspection system internally as its Mobile AI Vision System, or MAIVS. It has been used to perform 150 million individual inspections at the automaker’s manufacturing facilities that flagged 400,000 quality issues that a human worker may have missed, according to the automaker.

Ford started its partnership with IBM in 2020. The company’s computer vision-based inspection technology is helping the automaker reduce warranty claims by identifying and fixing assembly line defects, as well as avoiding higher rework labor and repair costs to correct any issues after a vehicle is fully built. Ford collects both good and bad images to train machine learning models, which are deployed to iPhones where the system runs inference on the image and sends pass/fail results in real-time.

Read more at Wards Auto

UAW vs. Dauch vs. GM: the Strike's High Stakes

The United Auto Workers launched a strike on June 1 against a plant that produces axles for General Motors’ full-size trucks. Even though it is only a single facility with fewer than 1,000 workers, the outcome of the strike “game” will have profound implications for the UAW, GM, and the U.S. automotive industry. Though the strike is against Dauch Corporation – known until recently as American Axle & Manufacturing – the UAW’s main leverage comes from the strike’s potential impact on OEMs, particularly GM.

GM wants the strike to end quickly, since each day of lost full-size truck production at even a single plant reduces profit by at least $25M. The UAW is hoping to increase wages at suppliers substantially for a variety of strategic reasons and would like to use an increase at Dauch to set a new baseline. The unique history and leverage at Dauch may enable the UAW to demand more, last longer and push harder than at other suppliers, but could also cause it to overplay its hand. Because this game will be repeated across the unionized supply base and over time, GM needs to be very strategic in its role and careful in its tactics. The outcome of this strike will powerfully affect U.S. automotive industry bargaining through the next round of national negotiations with the Detroit 3 in 2028 and help determine its long-term competitiveness.

Read more at IndustryWeek

Schott Pharma Expands Glass Vial Production in Pennsylvania

Schott Pharma has inaugurated production lines for glass vials at its Lebanon, Pennsylvania, USA, site after a $60 million investment. The lines will increase capacity for both standard and sterile ready-to-use (RTU) glass vials designed to store a variety of drugs, from biologics and other complex injectable therapies to vaccines and emergency room medications. The new capabilities feature technology for efficient manufacturing and optimised output.

The investment was mostly funded by the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA) which aims to strengthen the U.S. pharmaceutical supply chain and ensure reliable domestic production of critical primary packaging. The expansion increases the site’s annual production capacity for core vials, while more than tripling local capacity for high-value solutions. In addition to installing new converting lines for core borosilicate glass vials, the expansion in Lebanon included major infrastructure modernisation, line upgrades, and new technology to increase capacity.

Read more at Glass International

Boeing’s Everett 737 MAX production line takes off July 6, CEO says

A previously announced new production line in Everett for Boeing’s 737 MAX now has a start date, Boeing CEO Kelly Ortberg said Friday. The North Line in Everett will begin production of the 737 MAX July 6, Ortberg told CNBC. Boeing added the Everett line to aid the aerospace company’s 2027 target production goal of 52 jets per month, a jump from its current approved monthly rate of 47. The North Line, where the company will manufacture 737s in Everett for the first time, will be capable of building all 737 MAX models but will initially focus on producing the 737 MAX 8, 9 and 10, the Daily Herald previously reported.

The Everett production line will replicate the Renton factory’s building process, aside from introducing the 737 Wing Transport Tool, which transports partially completed wings for final assembly in Everett. In May, Boeing announced it was raising its monthly 737 production rate from 42 to 47 after passing the Federal Aviation Administration’s capstone review. The production cap stems from a door plug that blew out of a 737 MAX in 2024 after it took off from Portland.

Read more at Herald Net

SpaceX IPO Demand Is Approaching Four Times Oversubscribed, Source Says

Elon Musk's SpaceX has drawn more than $250 billion of investor demand for what stands to be the largest-ever IPO, said people familiar with the matter on Tuesday, dwarfing the $75 billion the firm is seeking to raise. The deal's oversubscription rate is running at three and a half to ​four times the planned offering size, sources said, which bankers and investors say is the latest sign that demand is strong, ​as Reuters reported on Friday. Long-only funds have put in what one source described as sizable orders. ⁠Musk briefly joined some Zoom meetings with potential investors, a source said.

Investor demand is still subject to change before the IPO prices, expected on Thursday afternoon. Subscription figures reflect indications of interest rather than final allocations, which will be set at pricing. The ​sources added that some large institutional investors tend to submit orders late in the IPO process. The sources requested anonymity because the ​matter is confidential. The offering comes at a time of extreme volatility in markets, with the Nasdaq ‌composite ⁠trading lower on Tuesday after posting its steepest decline in more than a year on Friday and bitcoin falling 2.8% on Tuesday, putting it 37% below its January high. Some analysts have speculated that one factor in the market retreat could be selling by SpaceX buyers raising funds for the IPO.

Read more at Reuters

GM To Produce Sodium-Ion Batteries For Electrical Grids Strained By AI Data Centers

General Motors is expanding efforts to capitalize on the expected growth of energy storage and data centers by promoting different battery cell chemistries, while also offering more support for its electric vehicle owners to combat higher energy costs. The Detroit automaker detailed plans Tuesday to increase its vehicle-to-grid capabilities — in which a vehicle can provide energy to the electric grid — for its EV customers and develop next-generation sodium-ion batteries that GM’s battery leader said “will reshape grid-scale energy storage.”

“Sodium-ion-powered energy storage systems have the potential to operate without active cooling and with much less system complexity,” Kurt Kelty, GM’s vice president of battery and sustainability, said Tuesday in a blog post. “In large energy storage systems, that matters.” GM is partnering with Denver-based startup Peak Energy on sodium-ion battery cell development, after the company already demonstrated how the chemistry can “translate into lower costs and greater reliability,” Kelty said. The automaker expects the tie-up with Peak Energy will produce sodium-ion cells for customer use after 2028.

Read more at CNBC

Daily Market Update June 10, 2026

The July ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.08 at $3.22. The July ‘26 crude oil contract is down $1.30 at $89.50. 

Read more at NRG

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Quote of the Day

“The happiness of the bee and the dolphin is to exist. For man it is to know that and to wonder at it”

Jacques Cousteau - French Oceanographer, Explorer and Scientist who was born on this day in 1910.

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