Member Briefing June 15, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Iran, US Agree To Halt War And Reopen Hormuz, Sending Oil Prices Tumbling

U.S. and ​Iranian officials said they had reached an agreement to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a preliminary pact that sent oil prices falling but leaves the fate of Tehran's ‌nuclear program to further negotiations. While still a framework, the deal marked the biggest breakthrough towards resolving the conflict that has killed thousands and upended energy markets since it began with joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran in February. The memorandum of understanding is scheduled to be officially signed on Friday in Switzerland.

Iran's deputy foreign minister, Kazem Gharibabadi, said a more expansive agreement on the wider conflict would be negotiated during a 60-day ceasefire period, including sanctions relief for Iran. The fate of Iran's nuclear program, another thorny issue, ‌will also be ⁠addressed in those later talks, sources previously told Reuters. Trump said the Strait of Hormuz, a major shipping route for global oil and gas supplies that Iran has effectively shut down for months, would open on Friday, and that he had ordered the end of the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports. Oil prices fell on the news. Brent crude futures fell 4% in early trading on Monday while stock markets jumped.

Read more at Reuters

Demand Drives Manufacturing CEO Confidence Higher In June

According to Chief Executive’s latest CEO Confidence Index, fielded June 2-3 among 315 U.S. CEOs, manufacturers rated current business conditions 5.7 out of 10, on a scale where 1 is Poor and 10 is Excellent. That marks a 4 percent increase from May and the first improvement in manufacturers’ assessment of current conditions since March, suggesting that some of the pressures weighing on sentiment this spring may be beginning to ease. Asked what’s driving the improvement in sentiment, many manufacturing CEOs pointed to stronger demand, healthier order books and signs of greater stability in their own businesses and end markets.

Manufacturing CEOs are also more upbeat about the year ahead. They now expect business conditions 12 months from now to reach 6.3 out of 10, up from 6.0 in May. The improvement marks the first time in months that manufacturers have become more positive about both current conditions and the outlook ahead. Manufacturing CEOs’ economic outlook improved sharply in June, reversing much of the drop-off recorded earlier this spring. After peaking in March, when 67 percent of manufacturers expected the U.S. to experience growth by year-end, that share fell to 48 percent in April and 50 percent in May. In June, 63 percent once again forecast some form of growth before the end of the year.

Read more at Chief Executive

PPI = 6.5% - Wholesale Prices Jump More Than Expected In May

The producer price index, a measure of final demand costs, increased a seasonally adjusted 1.1% on the month, putting the 12-month wholesale inflation rate at 6.5%. The annual headline inflation rate was the highest since November 2022. The monthly gain matched the April increase. However, excluding food and energy, the so-called core PPI accelerated 0.4%, compared with the consensus view of 0.5%, indicating that rising fuel prices are causing much of the inflationary burden.

Most of the acceleration in the PPI — nearly 80% — came from a 2.8% surge in final demand goods prices, the biggest increase ever in a data series going back to December 2009. In turn, 80% of that rise came from a 10.7% jump in energy. Gasoline prices rose 23.4% at the wholesale level, the BLS said. Another significant contributor, on the services side, came from portfolio management fees, which increased 4.8% during a strong May for the stock market.

Read more at CNBC

World Bank Cuts Global Growth Outlook To 2.5%, Warns Of Drop To 1.3% If War Fallout Spreads To Markets

The World Bank on Thursday cut its global growth forecast for 2026 to 2.5% due to the war in the Middle East, and said growth could ​slow to just 1.3% if energy supply disruptions prove more severe and come with substantial stress in financial markets. Global growth reached 2.9% in 2025, the bank said ‌in its semi-annual Global Economic Prospects, up 0.2 percentage point from its estimate in January. Its 2026 forecast is down 0.1 percentage point from January, the lowest seen since the COVID pandemic that began in late 2019. Global growth is expected to improve to 2.8% in 2027 and 2028, but that remains 0.4 percentage point below ‌the average rates ⁠seen during the 2010s due to a slew of factors, including slower population growth, slower private investment growth, falling public investment, rising public debt and slower growth in trade.

The bank maintained its forecast of 2.2% growth in the U.S. economy in 2026, but said that could taper off ​to 2.1% in 2027 and 2% in 2028. The euro area was expected to grow by 0.8% in 2026, down from 1.4% in 2025. ​Japan's GDP was forecast to ⁠grow 0.7% in 2026, down from 1.1% in 2025. The World Bank forecast GDP growth of 4.2% in China in 2026, a downward revision of 0.2 percentage point, after 5% growth in 2025.

Read more at Reuters

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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Polls Have Officially Opened In New York For This Year’s Primary Election

Polls have officially opened for this year’s primary election season. Voters were out from Queens to Oswego on Saturday, casting the first ballots.  Some candidates were also out making their final pitches, like Assemblyman Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, who were on the Upper East Side. Bores took the opportunity to vote on Saturday, making it a family affair with his wife and son joining him. Early voting runs through June 21. Primary Day is June 23.

For some, voting early is about skipping the hassle of Election Day. “I always vote as soon as I can, very politically engaged and it's just like to get it out of the way,” said Michael Paradis in Woodside, Queens. “It makes the lines on voting day shorter and you don’t forget to do it,” said David Silvers on the Upper East Side. Some candidates were also out making their final pitches, like Assemblyman Alex Bores and Micah Lasher, who were on the Upper East Side and are in the crowded field for New York’s 12th Congressional District.

Read more at NY State of Politics

CISA Revives Push Toward Long-Awaited Cyber Incident Reporting Rules

The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency is restarting public engagements on delayed cyber incident reporting rules that will likely cover tens of thousands of critical infrastructure organizations. Starting Monday, CISA will host a series of virtual town halls to get feedback on the draft regulations to implement the Cyber Incident Reporting for Critical Infrastructure Act (CIRCIA). The meetings will run through Wednesday. The meetings come as CISA faces pressure to issue the final regulations quickly, while some lawmakers and industry groups also want the agency to amend the draft rules to be less broad and burdensome.

The reporting rules will apply across 16 critical infrastructure sectors, ranging from electric utilities and water systems to hospitals and chemical facilities. Under the regulations, covered entities will have to report cyber incidents to CISA within 72 hours and ransomware payments within 24 hours. Congress passed the law in reaction to escalating cyber attacks targeting critical infrastructure, most notably the 2021 Colonial Pipeline ransomware incident. CISA says the incident reports will allow it to “rapidly deploy resources and render assistance to victims suffering attacks, analyze incoming reporting across sectors to spot trends, and quickly share that information with network defenders to warn other potential victims.” But 2024 draft CIRCIA regulations issued under the Biden administration have received pushback for being overly broad, covering an estimated 300,000 entities, and ambiguous in how they define a cyber incident that requires reporting to CISA.

Read more at the Federal News Network

New State Laws Expand Access to Health Care for Injured Workers and Create Dedicated Anti-Fraud Units for District Attorneys

NYS Workers’ Compensation Board announced 2 major pieces of legislation enacted with the State Budget that will enhance the experience of injured workers and others in the workers’ compensation system: Universal Authorization and anti-fraud funding for district attorneys. 

Universal Authorization - Universal Authorization is landmark legislation in the workers’ compensation field, removing an outdated and unnecessary provider authorization process so New Yorkers can more easily obtain the medical care they need. Beginning January 1, 2028, all eligible, licensed health care providers in good standing will be able to treat injured workers. Currently, only providers who go through a special NYS Workers’ Compensation Board (Board) authorization process can treat injured workers, and too few do. Just 10% of the more than 200,000 eligible providers choose to participate.

Anti-fraud program - The second legislative change allows the Board to establish and administer a new grant program to fight workers’ compensation fraud. Using funds from the employer assessment collected each year, the program will help county district attorney offices create and staff dedicated units to prosecute workers’ compensation fraud, whether committed by providers, payers, attorneys, or workers. By creating a more effective deterrence for fraud, the legislation will help ensure the integrity of the workers’ compensation system. The program will launch in 2027.

Read The Press Release

More Policy and Politics Headlines

New Study Shows Popular GLP-1 Weight Loss Drug May Slow Biological Aging

A new study provides the first randomized, placebo-controlled clinical evidence that semaglutide, a widely used GLP-1 drug, slows down the accumulation of biological aging markers in the DNA of adults with HIV. Researchers at the University of California, San Diego and several partner institutions analyzed data from a previously published clinical trial of 108 adults with HIV‑associated lipohypertrophy, a condition in which excess fat builds up around the abdomen. About half of the participants received weekly injections of semaglutide, with the rest receiving placebo injections. The team used a set of biological “epigenetic clocks” to track cellular aging over the 32-week treatment period. These clocks detect DNA methylation, chemical marks on DNA that help regulate how genes are turned on or off without changing the genetic sequence itself. By measuring changes in these marks, the team could assess whether the treatment was associated with a slower or faster biological aging pattern. The study found compared to the placebo group:

  • Participants treated with semaglutide exhibited a broad pattern of slower biological aging across epigenetic clocks linked to inflammation and blood, brain, heart, kidney, liver and metabolic health.
  • The drug slowed the pace of biological aging by 9%, as measured by the DunedinPACE epigenetic clock.
  • The drug significantly slowed biological processes associated with the risk of all‑cause mortality and age-related disease, as measured by the PCGrimAge epigenetic clock.

Read more at the University of California

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Effective Business Communication, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 24, 8:30 - 4:30.

Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

Strategies for Managing, Coaching and Dealing with Difficult People, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July, 15, 8:30 - 4:30.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Inside the USMCA Review: Timeline, Tensions and What Comes Next

A key date is looming for United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, the trilateral trade agreement among the U.S., Canada and Mexico that took effect July 1, 2020. Among its provisions, USMCA included a six-year review process aimed to give parties to the treaty an opportunity to weigh in on what is working and what could be improved. That looming date is July 1, 2026, the six-year anniversary of the treaty. Holland & Knight international trade and disputes attorney Patrick Childress provides an update on where negotiations stand, proposed changes to the treaty, and what the outcome of the negotiations could mean for automotive manufacturers. Observations from Childress include:

  • “… the overall dynamic in the negotiations is one where the U.S. government is the one making demands and seeking big changes in the treaty, and the Canadian and Mexican governments are pushing back.”
  • “It's become pretty clear at this point that the parties are going to blow right past that July 1 deadline and continue these negotiations after July 1 …”
  • “… the U.S. government has proposed to increase the requirement for regional value content in automobiles.” Moreover, “the U.S. government has proposed, in addition to this regional value content requirement, a U.S. content requirement—so there would need to be a certain percentage of the value in every traded automobile, a certain percentage of that value would have to come from the United States, specifically, not just the region.”

Read more at Industry Week

Planned Industrial Construction Projects Remain Steady in May 2026 with 400 New Projects

Industrial SalesLeads announced today the May 2026 results for its planned industrial capital project spending report, tracking North American facility expansions, new plant construction, and significant equipment modernization projects across all major industrial sectors. The firm's industrial market research team confirmed 400 new planned industrial projects during the month of May, representing a 2% decrease from the 408 projects reported in April 2026. Planned Industrial Construction - By Project Type:

  • Manufacturing Facilities - 150 New Projects
  • Processing Facilities - 76 New Projects
  • Distribution and Industrial Warehouse - 187 New Projects
  • Power/Energy/Oil and Gas - 13 New Projects
  • Laboratory Facilities - 66 New Projects
  • Mine - 0 New Projects
  • Terminal - 0 New Projects
  • Pipeline - 0 New Projects

Read more at Industry.Net

Corning Is Riding High on the AI Boom—and Planning Ahead in Case It Goes Bust

Corning, the 175-year-old American company that made the glass screen on your phone as well as the fiber optics delivering the internet to it, is on a tear. Its stock has roughly doubled since Jan. 1. It’s on pace to deliver on its plan to increase sales 50% by 2028. It recently signed multibillion-dollar deals with Nvidia and Meta to provide fiber for data centers and has just announced yet another, this time with Amazon. So why is the company’s chief executive, Wendell Weeks, insisting on provisions in those deals to protect Corning in the event the world’s most valuable tech companies don’t actually need all the fiber they think they will? And how can he demand such terms?

The answers to these questions can be found in Corning’s long history of research and development and talent retention, not to mention the fact that Weeks, CEO since 2005, headed the fiber-optics division during the dot-com boom and bust. Corning’s deal terms—which sometimes include upfront money from customers to build out manufacturing capacity required to deliver their orders—are all about apportioning risk to its rightful owner, Weeks told me in a wide-ranging interview conducted the day after the Amazon deal was announced.

Read more at The WSJ

US Defense Spending Underscores Industrial Capacity

America's strategic edge has never been just the aircraft—it’s been the industrial capacity to outbuild and out-innovate anyone on the planet. That means the machinists, welders and assemblers, sheet metal and composite fabricators, toolmakers and other manufacturing folk, not to mention the engineering muscle and supply base behind them. The Aerospace Industries Association reports that the U.S. aerospace and defense industry generated nearly $1 trillion in economic activity in 2024. More importantly, it employs 2.2 million workers with an average income of $115,000 per job, 56% above the national average.

Companies such as Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon and other primes are responsible for much of this. Still, they couldn’t do it without these industrious workers, nor without the countless small and midsized suppliers and contract manufacturers that feed them parts and materials without fail.

Read more at Advanced Manufacturing

Siemens Debuts Its Own AI Co-Worker

Siemens has followed the trend perpetuated by IFS and others to introduce software that employs agentic AI virtual workers alongside human employees to redefine industrial workflows and help perform high-volume or repetitive tasks on the factory floor. The Siemens product is called Intelligence Center X, it’s part of the company’s Xcelerator software portfolio and, like IFS before it, Siemens rolled out this signature product in front of hundreds of attendees, this presentation last week in Detroit at its Realize LIVE. Intelligence Center X was the company's lead product announcement at the show.

Siemens said Intelligence Center X is designed to connect data across engineering, manufacturing, supply chain and service into shared lifecycle intelligence that AI can act on.  The IFS “workers” are aimed at specific departments and functions such as supply chain management (ranking alternate suppliers, automatically releasing purchase orders, tracking confirmations, and flagging excess costs), procurement (reconciling supplier orders across dozens of vendors, automatically extract vital info from supplier emails and portals, verify against purchase orders), and inventory control (monitoring inventory positions demands and executing routine replenishments.

Read more at Smart Industry

Novelis Restarts Oswego Hot Mill Months After Fires

Novelis’ largest aluminum plant will resume hot mill operations sooner than expected following two fires last fall, CEO Steven Fisher said on an earnings call Tuesday. The company has already started commissioning the Oswego, New York, location, and will have coils coming off the mill in the next few weeks to support “pent-up” demand in the automotive and beverage packing industries, Fisher said. Novelis expects a “total negative cash flow impact” of $1.7 billion from the fires, including repair, clean-up and idle worker costs, according to an investor filing. The September and November fires primarily affected Oswego’s hot mill, finishing and motor room areas. No injuries were reported from the incidents.

While Oswego’s hot mill operations have been idle over the past several months, Fisher said Novelis has focused on recovery and mitigation efforts by rerouting shipments globally and leveraging alternative sourcing to meet customer demand. During the quarter that ended March 31, Novelis saw higher automotive and beverage packaging shipments across its Europe, Asia and South America segments over last year, according to an earnings presentation. This was partially driven by increased demand from North American customers.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Pentagon To Use $13.7 Additional Billion To Boost F-35 Readiness, GAO Reports

The Pentagon plans to spend an additional $13.7 billion through 2031 to boost declining readiness rates of the F-35 jet, but issues such as constrained industry capacity to meet increasing demand for parts could “threaten its success,” according to a government watchdog report. Since 2021, the F-35 fighter jet sustainment costs have continued to increase, but the aircraft has not met performance goals, and performance has continued to trend down.

The mission capable rate (percentage of time the aircraft can perform one of its tasked missions) declined from 67% to 44%. And the full mission capable rate (percentage of time the aircraft can perform all of its missions) declined from 38% to 25%. In a new report published Thursday, the Government Accountability Office found that the Joint Program Office will be reliant on the private sector to deliver more than $7 billion in additional parts and other materials to increase the rates at which the aircraft are deemed capable of completing missions.

Read more at Stars & Stripes

DOE Unveils Road Map To Develop Fusion For Electricity

The Department of Energy has released a blueprint outlining a path forward DOE’s final fusion strategy, which involved the input of more than 800 scientists and engineers, outlines proposals to secure the infrastructure needed to commercialize the technology within the next decade and sets detailed timelines for the department to reach milestones. Nuclear fusion, which generates electricity by emulating the process powering the sun, has yet to be “demonstrated at scale to produce electricity.” The plan—which was announced Tuesday and calls for industry, academia and the DOE’s national laboratories to collaborate to fill “technology gaps”—will be implemented by the new Office of Fusion.

The roadmap recommends fusion energy be developed by building critical infrastructure, innovating through research, computing and artificial intelligence and expanding the “fusion ecosystem.” The agency said it would aim to build small-to-medium-scale facilities in the next three to five years to help companies better harness fusion reactions. The blueprint, however, doesn’t commit the agency to specific funding amounts, and President Trump’s FY2027 budget includes about $50 million in fusion-related spending cuts. In 2025, however, Energy Secretary Chris Wright established a new fusion office and in April said on a podcast that “fusion on the grid could arrive within 10 years ‘if everything goes awesomely well.’”

Read more at E&E News from Politico

Daily Market Update June 12, 2026

The July ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.01 at $3.09. The July ‘26 crude oil contract is down $2.30 at $85.41. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

"One thing I was taught growing up is it's only pressure when you're not prepared. And you're just not working hard. Those are two things I do all the time."

Jalen Brunson - New York Knick Point Guard and Captain. The Knicks won the NBA Championship for the first time in 53 years on Saturday over the San Antonio Spurs with Brunson scroing 45 of the teams 94 points. He was named Finals Most Valuable Player.

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