Member Briefing March 12, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

CPI = 2.4: Consumer Prices Rose Inline With Expectations

The consumer price index increased a seasonally adjusted 0.3% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate at 2.4%, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data released Wednesday. Both numbers matched the Dow Jones consensus forecast. Stripping out volatile food and energy prices, core CPI posted a 0.2% monthly reading and 2.5% annual rate, also in line with the estimates. The annual rates were unchanged from January, indicating that inflation was holding above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target but not getting worse.

  • Shelter, which is the single-biggest component of CPI, posted a 0.2% increase, putting the annual rate at 3%. Within the category, rent rose just 0.1%, the smallest monthly increase since January 2021.
  • Apparel prices, which are sensitive to tariff pressures, saw a 1.3% monthly gain. New vehicle prices were steady and up just 0.5% from a year ago while energy rose 0.6% and also saw a 0.5% annual increase.
  • Food prices accelerated 0.4% for the month and were up 3.1% from a year ago. Egg prices fell 3.8%, putting the annual drop at 42.1%.

The data predates the recent surge in oil prices tied to escalating tensions involving Iran, meaning any impact from higher energy costs will likely show up in the months ahead. The U.S.-Israel attack on Iran dramatically changed the outlook, at least in the near term.

Read more at CNBC

CPI Data in Charts - CNBC

Import Costs

U.S. machine shops and other manufacturers new orders for metal-cutting and metal-forming machinery totaled $441.4 million in January 2026, -45.8% less than the historically high volume of orders recorded in December 2025 but 24.4% more than the January 2025 total. In fact, the latest number is in line (+0.8%) with the November result. In that sense, January signifies a return to the trend that preceded the end-of-year surge in demand.

AMT noted that in January the number of machines ordered was down -42.8% from December 2025, the lowest number for units ordered since July 2024. The number of units ordered has become a significant parallel to the order volumes during recent months, as the value of individual machines increases with the incorporation of automation systems and other technologies. “After the upside surprise in December orders, a decline was expected, and the rate of decline from a particular customer industry cannot be used as evidence of shifting trends,” according to AMT’s principal economist Christopher Chidzik.

Read more at American Machinist

AI Isn’t Lightening Workloads. It’s Making Them More Intense.

AI is increasing the speed, density and complexity of work rather than reducing it, according to an analysis of 164,000 workers’ digital work activity. The data, from workforce analytics and productivity-tracking software company ActivTrak, covers more than 443 million hours of work across 1,111 employers, making it one of the biggest studies of AI’s effects on work habits to date.  “It’s not that AI doesn’t create efficiency,” said Gabriela Mauch, ActivTrak’s chief customer officer and head of its productivity lab. “It’s that the capacity it frees up immediately gets repurposed into doing other work, and that’s where the creep is likely to happen.”

Examining AI users’ digital activity 180 days before and after they began using such tools on the job, ActivTrak found AI intensified activity across nearly every category: The time they spent on email, messaging and chat apps more than doubled, while their use of business-management tools, such as human-resources or accounting software, rose 94%. Meanwhile, the amount of time AI users devoted to focused, uninterrupted work—the kind of concentration often required for figuring out complex problems, writing formulas, creating and strategizing—fell 9%, compared with nearly no change for nonusers.

Read more at the WSJ

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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Hochul Backs Off New York’s Aggressive Climate Timeline

Gov. Kathy Hochul said Wednesday she wants to rewrite New York’s nation-leading climate law, arguing the state needs more time to meet its aggressive goals amid rising energy prices and a legal challenge. Speaking at POLITICO’s New York Agenda: Albany Summit, the governor said the state’s 2019 climate law — which mandates drastic reductions in greenhouse gas emissions — was written before the pandemic, inflation and supply chain challenges reshaped the economic landscape. Facing federal hostility to clean energy policies, the moderate Democrat said she had no choice but to ask for more time to reach the law’s targets. The governor said the state budget — due by April 1 — is the “best vehicle” for making changes, setting up a major battle with environmentalists and progressive lawmakers.

The step back is one of the clearest signs yet that Democrats are recalibrating their climate agenda as the party increasingly prioritizes affordability ahead of the midterms. Hochul once championed the initiative she’s now raising cost concerns about, embracing a cap-and-trade program to put a price on pollution in 2023. But she’s shied away from the potential up-front costs for gas and heating fuels, deferring action on it. Democrats across the country are reckoning with the challenges of implementing ambitious climate policies as they deal with Trump’s antipathy for clean energy.

Read more at Politico

Legislature Wants To Give New York City Billions To Fill Budget Hole, One House Proposals Show

New York’s Democratic-led state Legislature wants to give Mayor Zohran Mamdani a multi-billion dollar bailout, according to new documents released Tuesday. According to newly released one-house budget resolutions, the plan includes raising taxes on New York’s highest earners, increasing the corporate tax rate on big businesses and cutting large checks for City Hall’s shelter, health care and local government funds.

“The legislature and I agree: We cannot bridge a $5.4 billion budget deficit on the backs of working-class New Yorkers,” Mamdani said during a separate event in New York City Tuesday. The move comes without the blessing of Gov. Kathy Hochul, who already said she’s a “no” on new taxes, insisting that the state has enough cash to spend on key programs. Republicans slammed the state Senate and Assembly for siding with Mamdani, pointing out what he described as Mamdani’s outsized influence on the 213-member elected body. “Who has more influence in New York? The mayor of New York? Or the governor of New York?” state Senate Minority Leader Robert Ortt said during a press conference at the state Capitol Building. “The mayor of New York is the one dictating policy out of Albany, that is bad for the people I represent as much as it’s bad for the people of Staten Island.”

Read more NY State of Politics

NIST Nominee Punts on Manufacturing Extension Partnerships

Last week, U.S. senators quizzed Arvind Raman, President Donald Trump’s nominee for director of the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), on where he stands on the nation’s Manufacturing Extension Partnerships that support small- and medium-sized manufacturers. Raman, who is dean of mechanical engineering at Purdue University (which has its own MEP program), responded that “I know MEP programs have broad partisan support and that they’ve done a lot of good, but at the same time there are concerns.”

Since Trump’s first term, the administration has moved to defund the MEP program despite bipartisan support and Congress’s vote to allocate the funds. Congress has thwarted those attempts, although Ohio’s MEP has effectively been defunded pending audit findings expected to surface sometime in the spring.  Sen. Maria Cantwell of Washington voiced her concern. “Will you support the Manufacturing Extension programs that are in law and under NIST?” asked Cantwell. Raman would not say yes or no. “I’m fully committed to this administration’s priorities to reindustrialize America, bring manufacturing back,” he said. “That being said, I have been aware that there have been some inspector general concerns regarding the extension program.”

Read more at IndustryWeek

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Whole Person Mental Health: How Workplaces Benefit From Care That Doesn’t Separate Mind And Body

Whole person mental health is an approach to care that treats mental and physical health as inseparable—because they are. It recognizes that stress, anxiety, depression, sleep, chronic pain, illness, and lifestyle factors influence one another, and it supports people with coordinated care that addresses the full picture: mind, body, and daily life. In practice whole person mental health means screening for both mental and physical needs, connecting members to the right level of support, and aligning mental health care with medical care so people don’t have to navigate fragmented systems on their own. How important is the connection between mental health and physical health? The global actuarial firm Milliman conducted a groundbreaking study showing the massive impact of untreated behavioral health (BH) conditions on physical health (PH) and associated treatment costs. They found that:

  • Twenty-seven percent of patients with a BH condition and a PH condition accounted for 57% of all healthcare spending
  • The majority of patients received little to no BH treatment.
  • Only a small percentage (4.4%) of healthcare costs were attributed to BH treatment.
  • People with comorbid PH and BH conditions had a disproportionate amount of spending on physical health conditions and a disproportionately low amount of spending on BH treatment.
  • Medical costs for treating people with comorbid physical and behavioral health conditions were two to three times higher on average compared to people without comorbidities.

These stark numbers exemplify the high costs of treating mental and physical health separately and the struggles people face when treatment isn’t considered holistically.

Read more at The Daily Sentinel

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast and Workforce Developers Expo - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting 'Learning from Near Misses', March 24, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Ulster BOCES iPark 87, Kingston.

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, April 23, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Location TBD.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

Training

Strategies for Motivating, Coaching and Managing Difficult People A Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Course. March 10 & 11, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

TOMORROW! 3 SEATS LEFT Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - March 9,10 & 11 - DCC Fishkill.

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Spring Session, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (8 full day sessions) April 29 - July 15.

Trade Wars

Stryker Hit With Suspected Iran-Linked Cyberattack

Medical technology giant Stryker is experiencing a global outage across its systems, with staff and contractors reporting that the logo of an Iran-linked hacking group has appeared on login pages. The outages began shortly after midnight on the East Coast, according to people familiar with the matter. Staff found that remote devices running Microsoft’s Windows operating system—such as cellphones, laptops and others configured to connect to Stryker’s technology systems—had been wiped. A successful attack on a major U.S. company would be a significant escalation in a cyber conflict that has been expected to follow the U.S. and Israel’s military campaign in Iran, which began on Feb. 28.

A Stryker spokesperson confirmed the disruption. “Our teams are actively working to restore systems and operations as quickly as possible. Stryker has business continuity measures in place, and we’re committed to continuing to serve our customers,” the spokesperson said. Stryker is one of the world’s largest medical technology companies, producing devices and equipment used in hospitals and surgical settings, particularly in orthopedics and neurosurgery. The Kalamazoo, Mich.-based firm makes products ranging from joint replacement implants and surgical instruments to hospital beds and robotic-assisted surgery systems. It reported $25.12 billion in revenue for 2025, and employs about 56,000 people globally.

Read more at The WSJ

Volkswagen Slashes 50,000 Jobs After Profits Collapse By Nearly Half

The Volkswagen group had a bruising year in profits and plans to cut 50,000 jobs in Germany by 2030 — a dramatic escalation of its cost-cutting programme after net profit slumped 44% to €6.9bn in 2025, the carmaker's worst result since the diesel emissions scandal nearly a decade ago. Revenue stagnated at around €322bn, while operating profit almost halved to around €8.9bn, according to Europe's largest carmaker.

Although Volkswagen grew in Europe, this was not enough to compensate for declines in China and North America. The Group delivered around 8.98 million vehicles worldwide in 2025 — a decrease of 0.5%. Despite the weak annual results, the Group has recently been somewhat more stable. In the final quarter, business developed better than before. Volkswagen had previously reported a loss of more than €1bn in the third quarter due to special charges at Porsche. The Group now expects profitability to improve again in 2026. The operating margin is expected to rise to between 4.0 and 5.5%, after falling to 2.8% in 2025.

Read more at EruoNews

Where The Auto Supply Chain Is Most Threatened By The Iran War – CNBC

The auto industry keeps getting hit by supply constraints at a time when it is making some of the biggest transitions in its more than century-long history. The war in Iran could be just the latest of those issues. Though the region is not a major maker of automotive parts, it does produce key resources such as oil and aluminum. About 20% of the world’s oil travels through the Strait of Hormuz, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, a major shipping artery that is bordered on two sides by Iran and Oman.

High oil prices stand to drive up the cost of petrochemicals, which is what plastics are made of. Some estimate that about 30% of the parts on a car are plastic. Diesel and jet fuel prices are rising as well, which puts pressure on shipping and freight. That region is also a large producer of aluminum, particularly in Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates. Like plastic, aluminum has become an increasingly important material for car manufacturers, in part because it is lighter than steel.  The concern for automakers and suppliers is that even though the region is not a large producer of auto parts per se, it could be a chokepoint for key materials that form those parts.

Read more at CNBC

Nvidia To Make 'Significant Investment' In Thinking Machines Labs, Provide 1 Gigawatt Of AI Chips

Nvidia (NVDA) on Tuesday announced that it is forging a partnership with AI company Thinking Machines Lab that will see the chipmaker provide upwards of 1 gigawatt's worth of its next-generation Vera Rubin chips to the company. In a joint statement, Nvidia and Thinking Machines said the processors will be deployed early next year. The deal also calls for the two to "design training and serving systems for Nvidia architectures and broader access to frontier AI and open models for enterprises, research institutions, and the scientific community."

Under the terms of the deal, Nvidia is also making a "significant investment" in Thinking Machines to "support the company's long-term growth." The firms didn't reveal the amount of the investment. Nvidia has been on a dealmaking spree as of late. On March 2, it announced agreements with Coherent (COHR) and Lumentum (LITE) to build optics technologies. In February, the company said it was entering a massive multiyear, multi-generational partnership with Meta (META). OpenAI also revealed that Nvidia would invest $30 billion in the company as part of its $110 billion fundraising round.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Oracle Stock Jumps As Strong Q3 Earnings Answer Wall Street AI Buildout Concerns

Oracle posted robust third-quarter earnings and assured analysts that the company does not plan to raise any additional debt in 2026 beyond what was already announced. Oracle did better than investors expected on crucial key performance indicators. Here are the takeaways:

  • Faster-than-expected revenue growth. In the company’s fiscal 2026 third quarter, revenue rose 18% to $17.2 billion, $270 million more than the FactSet forecast. The company also expects 19% revenue growth in the current quarter.
  • Adjusted earnings beat. Adjusted per-share earnings in Q3 were $1.79, nine cents per share ahead of the FactSet consensus. Oracle’s adjusted earnings-per-share forecast for Q4 2026 of $1.93, a penny per share higher than consensus.
  • More than fourfold increase in remaining performance obligations. Oracle’s Q3 remaining performance obligations, a measure of future revenue, rose 325% to $553 billion.
  • Higher Q3 capital expenditures with unchanged forecast. In the third quarter, Oracle reported $18.6 billion in capital expenditures, 19% more than analysts’ consensus, according to Bloomberg. For fiscal 2026, the company maintained its CapEx outlook for $50 billion.

Read more at Forbes

Airbus Reveals Two Next Gen NATO Rotorcraft Studies

Airbus Helicopters has revealed two advanced rotorcraft designs it is pursuing for the ongoing NATO Next Generation Rotorcraft Capabilities (NGRC) initiative, complementing proposals being drawn up by rival OEMs Leonardo Helicopters and Sikorsky under the program’s Study 5 phase. Each company may present up to two solutions for evaluation before a draft request for proposal, planned for this May, is issued.

Of the two renderings published one is described by Airbus as a “high-performance conventional helicopter,” and the other, as a “novel high-speed compound concept.” The second appears to leverage the additional wings and propellers of Airbus’ Racer (Rapid And Cost-Effective Rotorcraft) technology demonstrator, which reached 240 knots in level flight in April 2025. Airbus stresses that its two concepts are “highly connected and will share commonalities in terms of maintenance, training, weapons and systems,” with “modularity and simplicity… core tenets of the Airbus NGRC proposal.”

Read more at AIN Online

Toyota Nears Completion Of $531M Texas Rear Axle Plant

Workers in hard hats and vests roam across the factory floor, while others build assembly lines and man welding stations. Robotic arms whir through endurance tests. Piles of metal parts and cardboard boxes sit in loading bays, prepared to produce 500,000 rear axles each year for Toyota’s Sequoia, Tundra and Tacoma trucks. Toyota’s newest San Antonio investment isn’t running full-throttle, but the electric hum of machinery and construction still blankets all 500,000 square feet of the new Southside factory.

The Japanese car manufacturer is installing equipment and hiring hundreds of workers before it starts commercial production. The car manufacturer has been in San Antonio for more than 20 years. It announced plans for a new factory in 2024 and broke ground later that year. The new plant will produce rear axles. Toyota will keep roughly 40% of the axles it produces in San Antonio at its Tundra- and Sequoia-producing plant and ship 60% to Mexico for production of its Tacomas in Guanajuato and Baja California. The rear axle plant will cost Toyota around $531 million and the company is in the midst of hiring 411 new workers for the facility.

Read more at San Antonio Report

Can America’s Mineral Wealth Be Unlocked Without Smelters?

One of the biggest hurdles in America’s race to secure supplies of critical minerals is a lack of capacity to extract metals like copper, silver and rare-earth elements from the country’s abundant ores and heaps of old electronics. A new company launched by the former head of Glencore’s recycling business and two University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign scientists says it can separate metals and rare earths from electronic waste and mined ores without the massive amounts of energy and chemicals consumed in traditional smelting and refining methods. The company, Valor, is an attempt to commercialize a breakthrough in metallurgy called electrochemical liquid-liquid extraction.

It was developed by scientists Xiao Su and Johannes Elbert. They have teamed with Kunal Sinha, who oversaw Glencores’s global recycling operations as well as the mining company’s critical minerals investments in North America. Elbert, Su and colleagues described their electrochemical liquid-liquid extraction process two years ago in a peer-reviewed paper in scientific journal Nature Chemical Engineering. They basically created a collection of molecular magnets called ligands made to bind to specific elements and figured out how to switch them on and off to catch and release minerals from streams of brine, ore, mine tailings or e-waste. To pluck the silver from a slurry of ground-up computer chips, for instance, the ligand made to bind to the precious metal is activated with a current of electricity and then turned off to release the silver for reuse. Valor can repeat the process over and over applying different ligands until all of the target minerals have been extracted from the feedstock.

Read more at the WSJ

As Fukushima Memories Fade, Japan Embraces A Nuclear-Powered Future

Resource-poor Japan was once one of the world's biggest proponents of nuclear power, which provided roughly 30% of the country's electricity from 54 reactors. The Fukushima disaster ​saw public opinion swing dramatically against nuclear, and all reactors were ordered to be shut down for safety inspections and upgrades. In 2012, the government even decided to phase out nuclear energy. That decision was reversed two years later, but ​reactor restarts have been slow and many have been shut permanently.

Now Tokyo's staunchly pro-nuclear leader Sanae Takaichi, buoyed by a thumping election win, is pushing to accelerate ⁠restarts and advance new nuclear technologies to wean the country off costly imported fossil fuels. The restart of one of the seven reactors at the world's biggest nuclear plant, Kashiwazaki-Kariwa, in January was a milestone. That said, only 15 of 33 reactors in Japan that ​remain operable are back online. A ​slim majority of people - 51% - are now in favour of the restarts, an Asahi newspaper survey last month found. That's up from 28% when it began polling on the issue in 2013. The most supportive are young people aged 18 to 29 - at 66%.

Read more at Reuters

Daily Market Update March 11, 2026

The Apr ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.09 at $3.11. The Apr ‘26 crude oil contract is up $2.0 at $85.50. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“I don't know, I don't care, and it doesn't make any difference.”

Jack Kerouac - American Author of 'On the Road',' who was born on this day in 1922.

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