Member Briefing September 3, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Commerce Department: U.S. Factory Order Rise in July

New orders for U.S. factory goods increased more than expected in July amid a rebound in demand for aircraft. Factory orders ​rose 0.9% after a revised 0.2% drop in June, the ‌Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast orders would rebound 0.6% after a previously reported 0.3% drop in June.

The ​rebound in factory orders in July was led by a 12.7% ​surge in orders for civilian aircraft and parts. Orders for motor vehicle bodies, ‌parts ⁠and trailers rose 0.4%. Machinery orders increased 0.8%. Orders for computers and electronic products dropped 1.1%, but were up 14.3% year over year. Orders for electrical equipment, appliances and components fell 0.3%. Orders ​for non-defense ⁠capital goods excluding aircraft, which are seen as a measure of business spending plans on equipment, were ​unchanged in July. The slowdown in so-called ‘core capital goods’ orders in July is ⁠likely temporary. ​The government last week reported a surge ​in capital goods imports in July. The AI spending frenzy is also fueling imports ​and business spending on equipment.

Read more at Reuters

U.S. Job Openings Ticked Higher In July, Holding The Labor Market Steady

The U.S. labor market recorded 7.27 million job openings in July, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday, nudging higher from a revised 7.18 million the prior month. The openings-to-unemployed ratio held at roughly 1.1 vacancies per jobseeker. "The labor market is back in the 'low fire, low hire' mode," Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, told the Associated Press. "Companies are growing cautious as the war in Iran drags on and borrowing costs have spiked."

Layoffs and discharges dropped to 1.7 million, marking a six-month low. Manufacturing saw its fewest dismissals in over five years. Manufacturing led the gains, along with state and local government excluding education and healthcare and social assistance; manufacturing vacancies climbed to their highest level since December 2023. Openings in leisure and hospitality fell to their lowest since 2021. Total hires slipped to 5.1 million from 5.3 million in June. The ‘quits rate’, which tracks voluntary separations as a share of total employment, slipped to 1.9%, with 3.1 million workers leaving jobs of their own accord. Hires declined in professional and business services by 188,000.

Read more at Quartz

New York Fed’s Williams Says Yield Surge Due To Strong Economic Prospects

New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said Wednesday that the recent surge in Treasury yields is the product of a strong economy, not market dysfunction. The central bank policymaker added in a CNBC interview that he’s still absorbing economic data, and did not commit on whether he thinks an interest rate hike is necessary.

In financial markets, the biggest story recently has been a jump in Treasury yields to multiyear highs, particularly at the long end where investors price in expectations for inflation and economic growth. Though investors are worried about inflation, Williams said he sees the Treasury market action as a result of solid economic prospects. “What’s driving it, in large part, is ... really a strong U.S. economy and a strong economic outlook fueled by big investments in AI and data centers and technology in general,” he said. “So, I think it’s not really about financial conditions affecting the economy. It’s more about the economy affecting financial conditions.”

Read more at CNBC

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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New York’s Plan To Charge Fossil-Fuel Producers $75B For Climate Change Damages Struck Down

New York’s attempt to make fossil fuel-producing industries pay into a $75 billion fund to repair the damage wrought by climate change was struck down by a federal judge, who said the sweeping law reaches beyond a state’s responsibility and into an area of federal interest. The law, signed in 2024 by Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul, was challenged in court by a range of fossil fuel interests, business associations including the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, 22 Republican state attorneys general and the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency.

U.S. District Judge Brenda Sannes ruled Monday that the state’s climate law operated on territory governed by federal law for over a century and sought damages for the cumulative impact of conduct that has occurred nearly everywhere on Earth. That, she wrote, conflicts with the need for a uniform national energy and environmental policy, and is otherwise not authorized by the federal Clean Air Act, which designates the EPA as the primary regulator of planet-warming greenhouse gas emissions. Separately, trying to collect damages from foreign fossil fuel producers is preempted by foreign affairs doctrine, making it unconstitutional, Sannes wrote. Climate change activists urged Hochul’s administration to appeal.

Read more at NY State of Politics

Most Americans Consider Themselves ‘Working Class,’ Pew Says

While people without a four-year degree and middle-income adults are most likely to identify as working class, about half of college graduates and upper-income adults do as well, according to a Pew survey of about 8,500 adults released Monday. There's no single agreed-upon definition of working class, but the term generally connotes people without college degrees, those below a certain income or those who work in blue-collar, service jobs, according to Pew. The share of Americans identifying as working class has increased from two years ago, when about 54% said it described them well.

About two-thirds of middle-income adults said working class describes them well, the report found. Even among Americans who consistently pay their bills in full, have months of emergency savings and can comfortably cover their expenses, about half identify as working class, Pew said. The label also has a political association. About two-thirds of Republicans and right-leaning adults say working class describes them well, even after accounting for differences in economics, occupation and education, Pew found. That compares with 55% of Democrats and left-leaning adults.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Lame-Duck Agenda Grows As Congress Punts Priorities Until After Election

Lawmakers are punting major fights — including government funding, money for the war with Iran and the extension of expanded surveillance authorities — until after the November election, setting up a bloated lame-duck agenda that will be difficult to get done by Christmas. The House on Tuesday overwhelmingly passed a bill to fund the government until Dec. 11, initiating a major partisan fight over spending levels for defense and nondefense programs after Thanksgiving. A senior Senate GOP aide said “a lot” is getting pushed into the lame-duck session.

“The question is whether we can put together ‘ash and trash’ on an approps bill, which I assume will be an omnibus,” the aide said, using congressional slang for a bill that collects miscellaneous provisions to be attached to a must-pass bill. The source said Democrats might be willing to cut deals after the election if they don’t reap the windfall of seats in the House and Senate that some Democratic lawmakers are optimistically expecting.

Read more at The Hill

November Election Headlines

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Americans Love AI. They Don’t Want The Data Centers That Power It. – Politico

Top US Doctors Offer Updated Flu And COVID Vaccine Recommendations, Aiming To Ease Confusion

Leading U.S. medical groups are urging people to get updated flu and COVID-19 vaccinations this fall, banding together Wednesday to issue shot guidelines — and highlight the science behind them — saying they hope to ease confusion caused by the Trump administration’s changing advice. Flu vaccinations are beginning and COVID-19 shots are starting to arrive after the Food and Drug Administration approved this year’s updated versions last week. Winter also brings another vaccine-preventable risk called RSV. Exactly who should get one or all of these vaccines, and when?

Just about everybody starting at age 6 months needs flu vaccination, the medical societies agree. But flu is particularly dangerous for people 65 and older, pregnant women, young children and people of any age who have chronic health problems, including asthma, diabetes, heart disease and weak immune systems. The last two flu seasons were especially harsh, with unusually high numbers of child deaths — the vast majority of them in unvaccinated kids. The family physicians recommend all adults get a COVID-19 vaccination, especially seniors and those with other risk factors. Adults 65 and older should get a fall dose and then a second dose six months later, as immunity wanes over time, Nosal said.

Read more at The AP 

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Annual Luncheon and Expo - Friday November 20, 11:00 AM - 2:00 PM. The Grandview, Poughkeepsie.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

The Orange County Foreign Trade Zone (FTZ): Duty Elimination, Reduction Deferral - Presented by Steve Gross, Orange County Economic Development

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership (CML), In Person at Orange Community College , Newburgh.  Sept 16 - Dec 9. 8:30 - 4:30. (7 Courses)

AI Without the Hype: A Practical Roadmap for Growing Businesses In Person at Marist University.  September 24, 8:30 -11:00 AM. (Manufacturers Only Please)

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15. 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Auto Supplier CEOs Say There Will and Needs to Be More Consolidation in the Industry

Speaking at last month’s J.P. Morgan Automotive Conference in New York, executives of Dauch Corp. (the former American Axle & Manufacturing), Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. and Dana Inc. discussed the trends shaping their market and how they’re responding. Both Dauch, which in February completed its $1.4 billion purchase of GKN Automotive parent Dowlais Group, and Dana, which plans to wrap up its $5.1 billion deal to join forces with Eaton Mobility early next year, have recently consolidated parts of the industry. And the consensus is that more transactions are needed.

Finding a healthy and profitable balance between amassing scale, innovating product lines and branching into new markets is quite the tightrope for auto suppliers to walk these days. But as the world’s auto OEMs defend their turf and/or stake claims to new territories (geographical and technological), it seems very likely that new shocks will test their suppliers soon. The global expansion of Chinese manufacturers surfaced in several conversations at the J.P. Morgan conference, with Dauch saying that Europe looks set for more restructurings and other strategic moves as Chinese firms eye the excess capacity on the continent. Edwards noted that Cooper-Standard has been growing its Chinese revenue base and intends to grow along with its customers there.

Read more at IndustryWeek  

Dell Again Lifts Annual Forecasts As AI Demand Powers Record Results

Dell Technologies on Tuesday boosted its annual revenue forecast by $25 billion while also raising its profit outlook for the second time this year, driven by soaring demand for ​its AI servers. Dell's shares rose 7% in extended trading. The servers, equipped with Nvidia's, are sought ​by clients including AI cloud providers Nscale and CoreWeave to build ⁠computing clusters for training and running AI models. Dell raised its annual revenue outlook to $192 billion from $167 billion and adjusted earnings per share forecast to $25.50 from its earlier expectations of $17.90.

Dell’s second-quarter revenue rose 58% to a record $47 billion, exceeding an LSEG-compiled estimate ​of $44.92 billion. Adjusted earnings of $7.04 per share topped estimates of $4.91. Sales ​at Dell's ⁠PC segment rose 20%, driven by commercial clients, echoing growth at HP. Clarke said the PC unit's revenue is growing at its fastest rate in five years.

Read more at Reuters

GoPro to Merge With Starman Optical in $285 Million Deal

After years of financial struggles, GoPro has announced a “definitive merger agreement” with Starman Optical Inc., a privately held, US-based optical-phototonics company. Starman Optical will pay $285 million, or $1.14 per share, for 90% of GoPro’s shares, and the agreement will also eliminate GoPro’s current debt of $92 million. Prior to this announcement, GoPro was in danger of being de-listed from the Nasdaq stock market, which happens if a company’s stock sits below the minimum bid price of $1 for 30 consecutive days.

Charles Tebele, Chief Executive Officer of Starman Holding, said, "Advanced optics and imaging are essential to AI, national security, and the broader economy, yet much of the critical hardware supporting these technologies continues to be manufactured overseas. The combination of GoPro's world-class optical expertise and intellectual property with Starman's advanced transceiver capabilities and U.S. manufacturing platform creates a unique opportunity. Together, we intend to bring production of these critical components back to the United States.”

Read more at Yahoo Finance

US Diesel Hits Highest Since April as Wars Strain Global Supply

US diesel advanced to the highest price since hitting a peak in April during the initial phase of the US-Iran war, highlighting the inflationary pressures menacing the global economy as the conflict drags on. The nationwide average retail price reached $5.688 a gallon on Tuesday, according to the American Automobile Association. That's just a fraction below the April high, which was the costliest since mid-2022.

Diesel is the lifeblood of the global economy, powering trucks, agriculture and construction, and spikes at the retail level affect industries as well as consumers. The fuel has been boosted this year by the conflict in the Middle East, as well as the Russia-Ukraine war. Moscow — typically a major supplier — has curbed exports following waves of attacks on its refineries. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. has been among the banks warning of tightness in the diesel market, highlighting strikes on refineries in the Middle East and Russia that have hit already-stretched global capacity. As energy prices advance, "diesel remains at the epicenter of the rally," the bank's analysts said in an Aug. 28 note.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

U.S. Navy Awards GE $2.87 Billion For F/A-18 Engines

The U.S. Navy has awarded GE Aerospace a five-year contract worth up to $2.87 billion to keep the engines powering its F/A-18 E/F Super Hornet and EA-18G Growler fleet running, one of the largest single logistics contracts the Navy has issued for the program. The performance-based logistics contract covers support for 17 components of the F414 engine. Work will be performed primarily in Lynn, Massachusetts, GE’s longtime home for the F414 program, which will handle 90 percent of the effort. The remaining 10 percent will be performed at the Navy’s Fleet Readiness Center Southeast in Jacksonville, Florida, where GE has partnered with the Navy on depot-level repair work for nearly two decades. The contract runs through August 2031 and includes no option periods.

The F414 is a derivative of GE’s earlier F404 engine, the powerplant that flew the original F/A-18 Hornet, enlarged and improved to power the newer Super Hornet and Growler. The Navy’s long-range procurement plan has called for more than 1,000 F414 engines across its history, and GE has delivered more than 725 of them to date, according to the company.

Read more at Defense Blog  

Unifor Secures GM Deal Ratification Amid Frayed Trade Relations

Canada’s main automotive union Unifor has secured its members’ support for a three-year collective agreement with GM, while the US-Canadian trade relations that underpin the two countries’ highly integrated auto sector remain frayed and unsettled. Unifor’s announcement it had secured a tentative deal with GM came on August 22, just one day after the Canadian government pulled negotiators from trade talks with the U.S. This was partly over new U.S. demands that Canada-made pickups sold in the U.S. would be saddled with tariffs.

In votes announced on August 30, the 4,600 Unifor members at the GM’s Oshawa Assembly Plant, St. Catharines Propulsion Plant, Woodstock Parts Distribution Center and CAMI Assembly in Ingersoll, all in Ontario, voted overwhelmingly in favor: 96.5% in support at the currently mothballed CAMI plant and 80.5% at the other three plants. Pay and conditions largely reflected the pattern agreement Unifor secured with Ford in July, including a 3% annual wage increases, with laid-off CAMI workers given “income maintenance plan” support until May 1, 2028. Overall, GM pledged more than CA$1.4 billion ($1 billion) in Canadian investments. This included returning its next-generation GMC Sierra Heavy Duty production to Oshawa and building a new single source next-generation transmission at the St. Catharines Propulsion Plant.

Read at Ward’s Auto

Power Management Eaton To Locate $242 Million Facility In Arkansas Adding 1,200 Jobs

Eaton Corp. said Wednesday iit intends to locate a new state-of-the-art manufacturing facility in North Little Rock. The facility represents an investment of more than $242 million and is expected to create 1,200 new jobs in the region. Eaton will manufacture customized electrical enclosures for its Fibrebond business in North Little Rock to meet the growing demand across the data center, utility, industrial, and digital communications markets. The company expects to double its U.S. manufacturing capacity of the electrical enclosures with the new North Little Rock facility.

“Customers are looking for ways to deploy critical power infrastructure faster, with greater certainty and less complexity,” said Mike Yelton, president, Electrical Sector, Americas, Eaton. “This investment expands our ability to deliver custom modular electrical enclosures while strengthening our U.S. manufacturing capacity and skilled workforce. Building on the strong foundation we’ve established in Minden, Louisiana, this investment enables us to better support customers with the speed, scale and expertise they need to meet growing demand.”

Read more at Talking Business

US, China Arm For Space Warfare: Hunter Satellites And Orbital Weapons

In June, a secretive unmanned Chinese spaceplane closely monitored by U.S. military analysts released a small satellite hundreds of miles above Earth in an orbital region crowded with commercial and military satellites. The object then looped around another Chinese satellite before returning towards the spaceplane, according to U.S. space-tracking firm LeoLabs.

Little is known about the satellite or the mission. But the U.S. military operates a similarly secretive spaceplane resembling a small shuttle, also with no crew. Both programs reflect the rapidly evolving field of military space operations as Beijing and Washington prepare for the possibility of conflict extending into space, according to a Reuters review of documents, space-tracking data and interviews with current and former military officials.

Read more at Reuters

Elon Musk Wants to Make Power-Turbine Components. It Won’t Be Easy.

Only a few companies make the crucial components for power turbines that AI data centers are so desperate to get. Elon Musk wants to go ahead and make his own. That has unnerved investors in this prized oligopoly.  Over the weekend, Musk confirmed on X that SpaceX. will start making the blades and vanes that go into natural-gas-fired power turbines. “By doing in-house casting at SpaceX, we can accelerate nat gas turbines coming online by up to 18 months, which is a profound game-changer,” he wrote in his post, responding to a report from the Information.

SpaceX will face barriers to entry. One reason there are so few companies in this sector is that it is technically challenging to make the blades, which must withstand extreme temperatures and rapid rotations. The casting process involves making a new wax mold from scratch each time. Making these parts requires the blade to be “grown” in a vacuum furnace as a single crystal of nickel superalloy, according to Nigel Chiang, an analyst at SemiAnalysis. Even a stray grain or hairline defect means the part has to be scrapped, he added. A new manufacturing line could scrap over half its production for a long period. It is also a highly secretive process. Once the parts are produced, the ceramic cores and wax used to make them are destroyed, Howmet’s Chief Executive John Plant said at an investor meeting earlier this year. That prevents competitors from reverse-engineering them.

Read more at The WSJ

Daily Market Update Sept 2, 2026

The October ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.03 at $2.93. The October ‘26 crude oil contract is down $0.32 at $89.90.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“Gentlemen, we will chase perfection, and we will chase it relentlessly, knowing all the while we can never attain it. But along the way, we shall catch excellence.”

Vince Lombardi - American Hall of Fame NFL Football Coach who died this day in 1970.

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