Member Briefing January 12, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Third-Quarter Productivity Growth Highest Since 2023

U.S. worker productivity grew at its fastest pace in two years in the ​third quarter as businesses invested heavily in artificial ‌intelligence, depressing labor costs. Nonfarm productivity, which measures hourly output per worker, accelerated ‌at a 4.9% annualized rate, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Thursday. That was the quickest pace since the third quarter of 2023 and followed an upwardly revised ⁠4.1% growth rate in ‌the second quarter. The report was delayed by the 43-day federal government shutdown.

Productivity ​grew at a 1.9% rate from a year ago. ‌Unit labor costs - the price of labor per ‍single unit of ⁠output - decreased at a 1.9% rate in the third quarter. That followed a 2.9% pace of decline ⁠in the April-June quarter. Labor costs increased at a 1.2% rate from ‌a year ago. The jump in productivity helps to explain the gap between strong gross domestic product growth and a lackluster labor market. The economy grew at a robust ⁠4.3% rate in the third quarter. ​In contrast, private job gains averaged ​55,000 per month in the three months through October.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

U.S. Payrolls Rose 50,000 In December, Less Than Expected; Unemployment Rate Falls To 4.4%

Employers hired at a subdued pace in December, closing out a year that saw the U.S. labor market cool into a “low hire, low fire” stasis. American employers added a seasonally adjusted 50,000 jobs in December and the unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, the Labor Department reported Friday. That was below the 73,000 new jobs that economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected to see, and was weaker than the revised 56,000 jobs added in November. October’s job losses were revised even lower in Friday’s report, to a decline of 173,000. November’s job gains were also revised down. December’s job growth was concentrated in the healthcare and leisure and hospitality sectors. The retail sector cut jobs, as did transportation and warehousing.

Friday’s report closes out a year in which demand for labor slowed markedly and companies reined in hiring. In 2025, job creation sputtered, wage growth cooled and the unemployment rate rose. Much of the job creation that took place in 2025 was concentrated in two sectors: education and health services. Economists say lower borrowing costs and tax cuts from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act should help support hiring in 2026, even as employers grapple with continued uncertainties around tariffs and inflation. This year will play out against several wild cards for the economy, including geopolitical turmoil and questions over whether AI will erode demand for certain kinds of workers, such as those at the start of their careers.

Read more at The WSJ

Trade Balance Improves, but Q4 Growth Impact Is Limited

The U.S. trade deficit contracted sharply in October, hitting the lowest level since mid-2009 as imports declined, a trend that ​if sustained could see trade again adding to economic growth in the ‌fourth quarter. The trade gap narrowed 39.0% to $29.4 billion, the lowest level since June 2009, the Commerce ‌Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis and Census Bureau said on Thursday. Some key datapoints:

  • Imports decreased 3.2% to $331.4 billion.
  • Goods imports tumbled 4.5% to $255.0 ⁠billion, the lowest level since ‌June 2023.
  • Imports of industrial supplies dropped $2.7 billion to the lowest level since February 2021, mostly reflecting a $1.4 billion decline in nonmonetary gold.
  • Consumer ​goods imports decreased $14.0 billion to the lowest level since June 2020, pulled down ‌by a $14.3 billion drop in pharmaceutical preparations.
  • Imports of capital goods increased $6.8 billion, boosted by computer accessories, telecommunications equipment and computers, likely linked to artificial intelligence investment.
  • Exports rose 2.6% to a record $302.0 billion in October.
  • Goods exports jumped 3.8% to $195.9 billion, also an all-time high.
  • The goods trade deficit compressed 24.5% to $59.1 billion, the lowest level since March 2016.
  • Exports and imports of services were both the ‍highest on record.

Read more at Wells Fargo

Venezuela

 

Middle East

Ukraine

Other Headlines

Trump Administration Withdraws US from Dozens Of International And UN Entities

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the United States would withdraw from dozens of international and U.N. entities, including a key climate treaty and a U.N. body that promotes gender equality and women's empowerment, because they "operate contrary to U.S. national interests." Among the 35 non-U.N. groups and 31 U.N. entities Trump listed in a memo to senior administration officials is the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change - described by many as the "bedrock" climate treaty which is parent agreement to the 2015 Paris climate deal.

Trump's move reflects his long-standing wariness of multilateral institutions, particularly the United Nations. He has repeatedly questioned the effectiveness, cost and accountability of international bodies, arguing they often fail to serve U.S. interests. Since beginning his second term a year ago, Trump has sought to slash U.S. funding for the United Nations, stopped U.S. engagement with the U.N. Human Rights Council, extended a halt to funding for the Palestinian relief agency UNRWA and quit the U.N. cultural agency UNESCO. Other entities on the U.S. list are the U.N. Conference on Trade and Development, the International Energy Forum, the U.N. Register of Conventional Arms and the U.N. Peacebuilding Commission.

Read more at Reuters

House Passes 3-Year Extension Of ObamaCare Subsidies – Senate Future is Uncertain

The House passed legislation Thursday to revive and extend expired ObamaCare tax credits in a bipartisan vote that is boosting hopes of centrist Republicans for a bipartisan deal to revive the tax credits. The tally, 230 to 196, highlighted the tenuous grip Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) has over his restive GOP conference. Seventeen centrist Republicans crossed the aisle to join every voting Democrat in support of the measure. The measure, which would provide a three-year extension to the enhanced Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies that originally passed in response to COVID-19, now heads to the Senate, which defeated the same proposal last month in a largely partisan vote. Indeed, Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) has suggested he’ll ignore the House bill altogether.

 

Still, lawmakers think it could light a fire and pressure the bipartisan Senate group working to reach a bipartisan deal. Negotiators from both parties in the Senate, who revived compromise talks in response to centrist Republicans forcing the vote in the House, have said they are close to a deal to bring back the tax credits, which expired at the end of 2025, and extend the open enrollment period.

 

Read more at The Hill

 

Defense Undersecretary For Acquisition Michael Duffey Aims To Speed Up Defense Tech Acquisition

The Pentagon can’t wait any longer. It wants critical emerging defense technologies in warfighters’ hands faster than ever before, and Michael Duffey is leading the effort to make it happen. Duffey, the Department of War under secretary for acquisition and sustainment, has five core pillars to better procuring defense technologies. He’s using new acquisition strategies and contracting vehicles to better harness the capabilities of innovative, non-traditional contractors. Here are the 5 Pillars:

1. Encouraging New Contracting Strategies - The Pentagon wants to do more business with smaller, non-traditional firms to accelerate competition and innovation. Duffey, during his July confirmation hearing, said this includes leveraging fast and adaptable contracting authorities and using multi-year awards for technologies including energy-releasing materials like propellants.

2. Slashing Bureaucracy -Duffey is leading an effort to reduce layers of bureaucracy between program managers and top Pentagon officials for top priority weapon systems including the Golden Dome homeland missile defense system.

3. Better Acquisition Analytics - Duffey plans to prioritize the DOW using better data collection, analytics and measurements to align with corporate best practices. He said in his advanced policy questions before his Senate confirmation hearing in March that these are essential to aligning an enterprise the size of the DOW with the goals of getting critical technologies into operators’ hands faster.

4. Evaluating CMMC - The Pentagon’s Cybersecurity Maturity Model Certification, or CMMC, effort has been one of the hottest topics among government contractors. CMMC, which began its phased rollout in November, has mandatory cybersecurity standards for contractors to do business with the DOW.

5. Improving the Acquisition Workforce - Duffey is using the DOW’s defense acquisition reforms to attract talented people to serve as acquisition officials. He expressed optimism that acquisition workforce initiatives such as portfolio scorecards will help acquisition professionals achieve a better enterprise view and management of programs. This should help the program acquisition executives “manage their own workforce effectively and help them grow through the career ladder.”

Read more at ExecutiveGov

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Advertisement

In March, the Council will be offering two Lean Six Sigma trainings: Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt and Lean Six Sigma: Green Belt,

in partnership with Dutchess Community College, and RIT

Contact Us to learn more.

Your ad here! Contact Harold King to learn more

The Food Pyramid Gets Turned Upside Down – Almost

Under the direction of HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the Trump administration has released new dietary guidelines for Americans, looking to address the escalating health costs stemming from chronic illness and the highest level of obesity and Type 2 diabetes in the developed world. The 10-page report revises some past notable recommendations. The new inverted pyramid is based on protein, dairy, and vegetables and fruits, with whole grains taking a smaller portion of the diagram. Healthy fats are also encouraged, including omega-3-rich seafood, nuts, and avocados, as well as full-fat dairy over low-fat options, and foods to promote "gut health" like kimchi and kefir.

It additionally takes aim at processed foods and refined carbohydrates, while removing specific daily limits on alcohol, and instead encouraged Americans to "consume less alcohol for better overall health." Meanwhile, war was declared on the sweet stuff. "No amount of added sugars or non-nutritive sweeteners is recommended or considered part of a healthy or nutritious diet," according to the HHS, which called on parents to completely avoid added sugar for children four years old and younger. While the Sugar Association applauded HHS’s recommendation to limit sugar intake, they objected to how the report overstates and extrapolates the actual science, studying just the relationship between sugar-sweetened beverages and various health outcomes.

Read more at Seeking Alpha

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, January 14, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00. Selux Corporation, Highland.

Health & Safety Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, February 12, 2026, 8:30 - 10:30. Location TBD

Insight Exchange On Demand Webinars

Webinars and Seminars

Check back soon

Training

Making a Profit In Manufactuirng This course is designed to provide supervisors and team leaders with the financial acumen essential for maximizing profitability and reducing operational risks. January 20 & 21, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Human Resource Management Issues This identifies and explains key legal issues that a manager may have to address in the workplace today. It helps current and future managers realize their responsibility to understand and enforce the employment laws that speak to these issues and minimize their chances of ending up in court. February 3 & 4, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Effective Business Communication This course is designed to build core communication skills essential in professional settings. Topics covered include identifying appropriate communication channels, honing active listening skills, and mastering techniques like paraphrasing, summarizing, and clarifying for better interpersonal communication. February 17 & 18, 8:30 - 12:30 Via Zoom.

Lean Six Sigma Green Belt This program combines online coursework, with live Zoom sessions, to deliver a flexible and effective learning experience in Lean Six Sigma methodologies. Most Mondays March 2 - June 8 Via Zoom.

(Special Info session for those who are 'Green Belt curious' February 23rd)

Lean Six Sigma: Yellow Belt - Yellow Belt is an approach to process improvement that merges the complementary concepts and tools from both Six Sigma and Lean approaches. 3 Full days - March 9,10 & 11 - DCC Fishkill.

Trade Wars

Micron To Break Ground On $100B New York Semiconductor Fab

Micron announced it will officially break ground Jan. 16 on its $100 billion megafab in Onondaga County, New York, according to a Jan. 7 news release. The company received the greenlight to proceed after obtaining “rigorous environmental review and necessary permit approvals,” per the release. Once complete, the campus, which could feature up to four fabs, will house the most advanced memory manufacturing facility in the world, according to Micron. The $100 billion investment will help the tech company meet the growing demands of the artificial intelligence boom, the company added. The company said this project marks the largest private investment in New York state history.

“Breaking ground at Micron’s New York megafab is a pivotal moment for Micron and the United States,” said Sanjay Mehrotra, chairman, president and CEO of Micron Technology. “As the global economy enters the AI era, leadership in advanced semiconductors will be the cornerstone in innovation and economic prosperity.” Officials from the Trump administration, Congress and New York state and local government will join Mehrotra during the groundbreaking ceremony Friday, according to Micron.

Read more at Manfuacturing Dive

US Consumer Sentiment Rises to Four-Month High on Economy

The University of Michigan’s gauge of consumer sentiment rose to 54 in a preliminary January reading from 52.9 in the prior month. This is the second straight gain and the highest level of sentiment since September. “Consumers perceived some modest improvement in the economy,” the survey found, although sentiment remains nearly 25% below last January’s reading. Economists polled by the Wall Street Journal had expected sentiment would rise slightly to 53.4 in January.

Overall sentiment remains low. For instance, sentiment was 71.8 on Election Day 2024. Year-ahead inflation expectations held steady at 4.2%, the lowest reading since last January. Long-run inflation expectations ticked up to 3.4% in January from 3.2% in the prior month. The gauge of consumers’ views on current conditions rose to 52.4 in January from 50.4 in the prior month, while a barometer of their expectations inched up to 55.0 from 54.6.

Read more at MarketWatch

Multi-Family Units Drive US Housing Starts Down to Lowest Level Since May 2020

Overall housing starts declined 4.6 percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.25 million units, according to the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development and the U.S. Census Bureau. This pace reflects the number of housing units builders would begin over the next 12 months if October’s activity were sustained. The total number of housing units under construction stood at 1.3 million in October, down 10.1 percent from a year earlier. Single-family homes under construction fell to 596,000 units, a 7.0 percent year-over-year decline and the lowest level since November 2020. Multifamily units under construction declined to 790,000, down from peaks above 1 million units in December 2023 and 4.0 percent lower than a year ago.

Within the total, single-family starts rose 5.4 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 874,000 units but remain 7.8 percent lower than a year earlier. On a year-to-date basis, single-family starts are down 7.0 percent. Given recent volatility, the three-month moving average provides a clearer signal, declining to 857,000 units. In contrast, multifamily starts, which include apartment buildings and condominiums, fell sharply, down 22.0 percent to an annualized pace of 372,000 units. The three-month moving average for multifamily construction has trended lower to 424,000 units, and activity is 7.9 percent below year-ago levels.

Read more at Eye on Housing

GM To Take $7.1 Billion In Charges As It Adjusts EV Production Footprint

General Motors said Thursday it will record $7.1 billion in special charges for the fourth quarter of last year related to its pullback in electric vehicles and restructuring efforts in China. The Detroit automaker said in a public filing that the charges include roughly $6 billion related to changes to its EV plans amid weakening demand and $1.1 billion, including $500 million in cash, largely related to its previously announced overhaul of a Chinese joint venture. The announcement was broadly anticipated after the Detroit automaker in October said it was reevaluating its EV plans and would initially take a $1.6 billion charge during the third quarter as a result.

GM said the fourth-quarter EV impairments include non-cash charges of approximately $1.8 billion. The remaining $4.2 billion is related to supplier commercial settlements, contract cancellation fees and other charges, which will have a cash impact when paid. Additional EV charges are expected to hit this year but at a lower amount than 2025’s impairments, GM said in the filing Thursday.

Read more at CNBC

The War Over a Weedkiller Might Be Headed to the Supreme Court

The Supreme Court is poised to decide whether to take up a case involving weedkillers and cancer that could effectively curtail one of the largest waves of tort litigation in American history. The case involves Bayer, the German conglomerate that acquired the pesticide manufacturer Monsanto in 2018. Bayer is petitioning the court for a definitive ruling on whether federal law shields the company from thousands of lawsuits claiming that its widely-used weedkiller Roundup causes cancer.

The Trump administration has thrown its support behind Bayer, reversing a position taken by President Biden. But the issue has raised the ire of an extraordinary coalition of lawmakers on both sides of the aisle, environmental groups, and Republican-aligned Make America Healthy Again activists who say that Bayer is seeking corporate immunity at the expense of public health.

Read more at The NYT

Ralph Lauren, CFDA Launch 2 Fashion Manufacturing Grant Programs

The Council of Fashion Designers of America and Ralph Lauren Corp. have launched two new initiatives aimed at strengthening domestic fashion manufacturing, the collaborators announced Wednesday. The two grant programs will help companies modernize equipment, expand services and train workers, according to the press release. Additionally, the funding initiatives would aim to kick-start creativity as well as boost economic growth in apparel-producing regions across the United States.

One of the new grant programs, dubbed the CFDA x NY Forward Grant Fund, will provide “partially matching grants” to designers and manufacturers based in New York City’s Garment District. The second grant program, the U.S. Fashion Manufacturing Fund, is supported by Ralph Lauren and will run from 2027 through 2029, according to the luxury designer’s press release. The initiative will focus on funding creativity and workforce development in U.S. apparel-producing regions. The program will provide partially matching grants to manufacturers investing in new machinery, software and workforce training.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

F-35 Deliveries Hit New Record

Lockheed Martin delivered 191 F-35s during 2025, a record high for deliveries of the stealth fighter aircraft, and 35% more than during the previous high point - 142 delivered in 2021. “Annual F-35 production is now running at a pace five times faster than any other allied fighter currently in production, underscoring the program's scale and maturity,” according to Lockheed, the lead contractor for an extensive design and supply program. The delivery record is not likely to be topped soon. Lockheed has stated it can produce 156 of the aircraft per year.

The exceptional rise in deliveries last year included a large number of aircraft held over from 2023-2024, when the Pentagon refused to accept deliveries of because it had not approved the hardware and software revisions involved with the Technology Refresh-3 package - updates to the jets’ computing capabilities that increase data processing power, memory, and data storage. TR-3 updates are also understood to be a necessary bridge to the aircraft’s future Block 4 capabilities. In September 2025, the Pentagon and Lockheed Martin finalized terms for Lots 18 and 19 of the aircraft program, agreements totaling $24 billion for delivery of up to 296 F-35s. They are the largest production contracts to-date in the 25-year history of program.

Read more at American Machinist

Boeing's Biggest 737 MAX Model Moves To Next Stage In Certification But Still Faces Hurdles

The Federal Aviation Administration has approved Boeing's largest variant of its best-selling 737 MAX jet, the MAX 10, to move to the second phase of flight testing on the plane's long-delayed certification campaign, according to a source familiar with the program. Boeing executives have previously said they expect to finish certification this year for the MAX 7 and 10, the smallest and largest variants of the popular single-aisle jet. The company has more than 1,200 orders for the MAX 10 in its backlog, according to aviation data analytics firm Cirium. Beginning deliveries of the MAX 10 is widely seen by industry analysts as critical to increasing Boeing's revenue and cash flow.

Boeing has faced delays in ⁠the certification of its MAX 7 and MAX 10 ​models due to an engine deicing issue. Phase two of the FAA flight testing involves the aircraft's avionics, propulsion and other parts of the design, but the deicing issue has not been resolved. The MAX 10 competes with Airbus' A321neo and risks losing more market share the longer it is delayed. This week, Alaska Airlines ordered 105 MAX 10 airplanes and Alaska CEO Ben Minicucci said he is confident the MAX 10 will be certified this year.

Read more at Reuters

Quote of the Day

“Life is not a matter of holding good cards, but sometimes playing a poor hand well.”

Jack London - American Writer from his short story 'To Build a Fire.' - He was born on this day in 1876.

If you’re part of a Council of Industry member company and not yet subscribed, email usIf you’re not a Council member, become one today

Facebook  Instagram  LinkedIn  X  Youtube