Member Briefing July 1, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Goldman Sachs Sees 15 Million AI Job Losses. But They Will Be Temporary and Uneven Across Sectors

Goldman Sachs' report 'An AI Job Apocalypse' estimates that more than 9% of the US workforce—about 15 million workers—could be displaced over a decade as AI adoption accelerates. Senior economist Joseph Briggs emphasised that while job losses will be meaningful, they are expected to be temporary, with new roles emerging over time. The report draws parallels with past technological shifts where labour markets adjusted through new occupations and productivity gains.

The report highlights uneven impacts across occupations, with white-collar and entry-level roles—especially for younger workers—more exposed to AI-driven disruption. Goldman Sachs economists Elsie Peng, Jessica Rindels, and Pierfrancesco Mei note that AI has created some jobs through productivity gains, but not enough to offset losses, resulting in a small net drag on employment. Policymakers are urged to focus on skills development and complementary job creation to ensure a smoother transition.

Read more at MSN

China’s Manufacturing Activity Expands, Buoyed by Exports

China’s manufacturing activity expanded in June after remaining flat last month, thanks in part to resilient exports amid robust global demand for artificial-intelligence and green products. The official manufacturing purchasing managers index edged up to 50.3 this month from May’s 50.0, according to data released Tuesday by the National Bureau of Statistics. June’s headline reading topped the 50.1 forecast by a Wall Street Journal survey of economists. The 50-point mark separates expansion from contraction.

June’s headline readings suggest the world’s second-largest economy continues to be supported by strong overseas demand for Chinese goods amid tepid domestic demand. China’s consumer spending declined last month for the first time in more than three years while investment contracted further, highlighting an increasingly lopsided economy. The subindex for new export orders rose to 50.1, returning to expansionary territory in June, while the gauge for high-end manufacturing climbed to 53.5 from May’s 52.9.

Read more at The WSJ

America Added More Than 1,200 Millionaires Per Day In 2025, But The Heyday Of The ‘Everyday Millionaire’ Is Already Over

In 2025, UBS coined the term EMILLI — Everyday MILLIonaire — to describe the 401(k) maximizer, the dual-income homeowner, the diligent index-fund investor who looked up one day and realized the number on their brokerage statement had crossed seven figures. The 2026 UBS Global Wealth Report, released Tuesday, confirms that the everyday millionaire class is expanding faster than at any point in 17 years. The U.S. added 441,078 new millionaires in 2025 alone — more than 1,200 per day, accounting for nearly half the global total. The millionaire population grew in all 56 of UBS' tracked markets simultaneously for the first time on record.

And yet. The group immediately above the EMILLI tier has been compounding wealth at a rate that makes the everyday millionaire's gains look, by comparison, like standing still. UBS has a name for the cohort sitting just above the EMILLI tier: the "elder siblings." These are households with between $5 million and $100 million in net wealth—above the everyday millionaire threshold, below the billionaire stratosphere. Too rich to be relatable, not rich enough to be scandalous. Since 2000, their collective wealth has compounded at 6.1% annually in real terms. The EMILLI tier: 4%. That gap sounds modest, but run it out over 25 years and it isn't. At 4% annually, $1 million becomes $2.7 million. At 6.1%, $5 million becomes $21.7 million.

Read more at Yahoo Finance

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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NYISO Prepares for Heat Dome and Increased Demand on the High Voltage Electric System

A large heat dome will bring extreme temperatures to New York this week and drive up consumer demand on the electric system. When temperatures and humidity spike, increased demand for air conditioning can strain generation and transmission resources. During extreme heat advisories and potential energy shortages, the New York Independent System Operator (NYISO) actively manages the power grid through a tiered alert system and various grid-reliability measures. If you are in the demand response program you will be notified to curtail usage if necessary.

The NYISO may issue grid alerts if energy reserve margins drop below specified levels. These alerts are designed to raise awareness about grid conditions and inform the public if electricity conservation is necessary. As of Monday, June 29, the forecasted baseline peak demand during the heatwave is as follows:

  • Wednesday, July 1: 29,950 MW
  • Thursday, July 2: 31,730 MW
  • Friday, July 3: 30,010 MW
  • Saturday, July 4: 28,270 MW

The NYISO’s System Conditions page can be viewed at www.nyiso.com/system-conditions

NIST Launches MEP Pilot Program To Strengthen Industrial Base

A pilot program for National Institute of Standards and Technology Manufacturing Extension Partnership program centers will spur development and commercialization of technologies critical to the U.S. industrial base. The goal of the pilot program is to leverage the MEP National Network and other NIST programs and partnerships to advance “transformative technologies” like additive manufacturing, artificial intelligence and automation to improve U.S.

manufacturing competitiveness and national security, the announcement said.

“To succeed, advanced technologies must be deployed throughout the full manufacturing ecosystem, from large manufacturing plants to component makers at all levels of the supply chain, especially small and medium-sized manufacturers,” it said. The 38-year-old MEP relies on “national-scale U.S. industry partnerships and networks” to ensure that “innovations, grounded in technical expertise that we have in our laboratories, are delivered and deployed at commercial scale across the country,” Eric Lin, NIST’s acting associate director for innovation and industry services, said during the June 24 webinar.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

House Conservatives Block Rule Advancing NDAA, Stalling Key Bills

A band of conservative hardliners on Tuesday blocked a procedural rule that would have teed up debate and final votes on a slate of legislation, dealing a blow to Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) as he aimed to advance the annual defense authorization bill this week. The lower chamber voted 198-224 to reject the rule, with 14 Republicans joining Democrats in opposing the measure due to objections about the SAVE America Act, the priorities of the House, and a niche pension issue. The rule on Tuesday included language that would have merged the SAVE America Act with the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) once it passed the House, sending both measures to the Senate in one package through a special procedure called MIRVing.

The vote continues the paralysis of the House floor, where several conservatives had ground most activity to a halt amid frustrations that the Senate has yet to take action on the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) America Act, a voter ID bill pushed by President Trump. Johnson after the vote expressed frustration at the Republicans voting against advancing the defense bill, saying that they “by consequence, also voted against the SAVE America Act.”

Read more at The Hill

More Policy and Politics Headlines

SCOTUS Decisions

Extreme Heat - How To Stay Safe During A Heat Wave And To Treat Heat-Related Illness

An extreme heat event is a series of hot days, much hotter than average for a particular time and place. Extreme heat is deadly and kills more people than any other weather event. But we can take action to prepare. Prepare now to protect yourself and your loved ones. The Red Cross recommends taking three steps in extreme heat: Stay hydrated by drinking a cup of water every 20 minutes, even if you don’t feel thirsty. Avoid sugary, caffeinated and alcoholic drinks. Stay cool by spending time in air-conditioned places. If your home is too hot, go to a mall, library or cooling center. Stay connected by checking on others and asking for help if you need it.

Extreme heat can make anyone sick and it’s critical to act fast. The Red Cross recommends learning the warning signs and knowing what to do so you can react quickly.

  • Heat cramps are an early sign of trouble and signaled by heavy sweating and muscle pain. Stop what you’re doing, rest in a cool place and drink a cup of water — or a sports drink — every 20 minutes. If you feel sick to your stomach, pause drinking. Get medical help if cramps last more than two hours or you have heart problems.
  • Heat exhaustion is more serious and signaled by heavy sweating, weakness, cool and clammy skin, muscle cramps, dizziness, fainting, nausea or vomiting. Stop what you’re doing, rest in a cool place and drink a cup of water — or a sports drink — every 20 minutes. Loosen your clothes and place a cool, wet cloth on your body. Get medical help if you’re vomiting, don’t feel better in an hour, or if you have heart or kidney problems.
  • Heat stroke is a deadly condition signaled by high body temperature, rapid heartbeat, confusion, headache, dizziness, fainting, nausea or vomiting. Take action by calling 911. Move to a cool place, remove extra clothing and use a wet cloth or a cool bath to cool down. If possible, sip a sports drink or water.

Read more at The American Red Cross

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

SOLD OUT! TEE SIGNS STILL AVAILABLE Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

Strategies for Managing, Coaching and Dealing with Difficult People, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July, 15, 8:30 - 4:30.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Retailers Rush In Holiday Imports Early to Avoid Looming Costs

Ocean shipping rates are surging as U.S. retailers rush in clothes, electronics and holiday items to get ahead of rising costs caused by tariffs and the Iran war.  The average cost to ship a 40-foot container from China to the U.S. West Coast hit $5,933 on Friday, a threefold increase from the end of February and the highest rate since September 2024, according to transportation intelligence company Xeneta. Peter Sand, Xeneta’s chief analyst, said rates could rise by another 30% before they peak.

Logistics industry specialists say importers are bringing forward orders for the busy end-of-year shopping seasons, including Halloween and Christmas, to avoid new tariffs taking effect at the end of July. Some companies have also been scrambling to beat a new round of bunker fuel surcharges that ocean carriers are expected to implement in the coming weeks to account for rising oil prices resulting from the war. The rush of imports caused the U.S. trade deficit to jump to $105.8 billion in May, a 27% increase from April, according to Commerce Department data.

Read more at WSJ

Rocket Lab to acquire Iridium Communications for $8B

Rocket Lab reached an agreement on Monday to acquire satellite services provider Iridium Communications for approximately $8 billion in cash and stock. “This acquisition fundamentally enhances our business model by combining our strong satellite subsystems, satellite platforms, and launch businesses with Iridium’s proven cash-generating satellite services business,” Rocket Lab CFO Adam Spice said in a video presentation. The companies’ boards of directors have unanimously approved the deal, which is expected to be completed in mid-2027.

Rocket Lab’s acquisition of Iridium will be the manufacturer’s entrance into the space applications market, which the entity has “been talking about for a long time now,” CEO Peter Beck said during the company’s announcement. Rocket Lab, which was established in 2006, has access to space through its own launch capabilities and the ability to build spacecraft at scale, Beck said. The acquisition could also help level the playing field with rival SpaceX, which is in the process of completing its purchase of EchoStar’s AWS-4 and H-block spectrum licenses for approximately $17 billion. The deal will enable EchoStar’s Boost Mobile subscribers to access SpaceX’s Starlink direct-to-cell service, according to the September 2025 press release.

Read more at Manfuacturing Dive

Ukrainian Drone Manufacturer Chooses Ohio For First US Assembly, Manufacturing Center

Ukrainian Defense Drones will build its first major factory in Holland, Ohio, according to a June 29 announcement from JobsOhio and the Ohio governor’s office. According to the release, UDD announced it would build the factory after its Ukrainian subsidiary, F-Drones, placed sixth in a Defense Department competition for drone manufacturers and receiving a prototype contract for 2,000 drones. To fill the contract, UDD will spend several million dollars to build its new factory in Holland, Ohio, JobsOhio reports. The exact cost of the factory was not disclosed. In addition to the contracted 2,000 drones, the new factory will include space for other unmanned systems, training and testing areas, and nonmilitary applications for drone hardware.

“Becoming the first Ukrainian drone manufacturer authorized by the Government of Ukraine to export drone systems to the U.S. military is a historic milestone, and the next step is to share the technology to produce these drones on American soil. We're proud to support the vision behind the emerging U.S.–Ukraine Drone Deal and to help strengthen the security and technological leadership of both our nations," said Stas Khutor, CEO of F-Drones.

Read more at Plant Services

Pirelli Plans Investments Worth Up To $1.2 Billion To Expand US Capacity

Italian tyremaker Pirelli on Tuesday said it had a multi-year investment plan for the United ​States worth around $1 billion to $1.2 billion and aimed ‌at increasing production capacity in the country, including of its so-called Cyber Tyres. Pirelli said its new board was informed of the ​investment plan for the U.S., which will be ​submitted for approval at an upcoming meeting.

Pirelli in ⁠May said it would start producing Cyber Tyres at ​its U.S. plant in Rome, Georgia. The announcement came after ​the Italian government intervened to curb the powers of Pirelli's Chinese investor Sinochem (600500.SS), opens new tab because of the risks posed to the premium tyremaker's business ​ambitions in the United States. Cyber Tyre technology combines ​sensors embedded in tyres with software able to transmit real-time data ‌to ⁠vehicles

Read more at Reuters

German Politicians Vow To Stop VW’s Mass Layoff Plan

German political leaders are responding to Volkswagen's bombshell plan to slash 100,000 jobs — potentially one of the largest corporate layoffs in history — with predictable pledges to prevent the cuts, even as Germany's economic reality grows darker. That sets up a clash between VW's increasingly aggressive corporate management and the politicians and unions that sit on the automaker's supervisory board — and who have the power to block the plans. Because of VW's unique corporate structure — and its partial ownership by the state of Lower Saxony — politicians and workers' representatives have an outsize role in how the company is run.

VW's push to cut nearly one in six workers and shut down four German plants is the most poignant sign yet of the growing desperation of Germany's manufacturing sector and its once-vaunted car industry, which have been hit particularly hard by competition from China and U.S President Donald Trump's tariff wars. The plan also shows that the problems inside Germany's largest and most iconic automaker are even deeper than previously acknowledged — and that Chief Executive Oliver Blume is growing more forceful in his push to restructure the company and cut costs.

Read more at Politico

How GE Vernova Builds The Massive Gas Turbines Powering The AI Data Center Boom

An exclusive look inside GE Vernova’s largest gas turbine plant in Greenville, South Carolina, offers fresh evidence that the artificial intelligence boom is going strong. Inside, engineers are working alongside factory workers to speed up production of this complex machine. The company hired 200 workers last year, and 300 more are expected to start working at this factory by the end of the year. Fueling the growth is AI.

The turbines are massive, at 31 feet tall and weighing 280 tons. One turbine can power roughly half a million homes. Microsoft just bought seven of them to power its data center in Texas. At 2.7 gigawatts, it’s enough electricity to power about 3 million homes.  GE Vernova turbines are already online at Elon Musk’s xAI Colossus 1 campus in Tennessee, and nearly a gigawatt more are being deployed at OpenAI’s Stargate project in Texas, according to Cleanview, an organization that tracks data center development. Demand for these machines far outstrips supply, with the order book full through 2029. Pablo Koziner, chief commercial and operations officer at GE Vernova, told CNBC that the company is booking more into 2030 and even 2031.

Read more at CNBC

America Needs More Weapons. JPMorgan Wants to Add Its Firepower.

On a tour of a Huntsville, Ala., missile factory last fall, JPMorgan Chase JPM 0.10%increase; up pointing triangle Chief Executive Jamie Dimon nodded along as L3Harris executives explained why they need help building more of the expensive rocket motors for badly needed Tomahawk and Terminal High Altitude Area Defense, or Thaad, missiles.L3Harris relies on procurement from the federal government, which can be stop-and-go, explained Ken Bedingfield, the company’s chief financial officer. Without enough capital, L3Harris can’t just build the motors at scale and have them on hand to sell later. The frustration comes as the U.S. faces a shortfall in weapon stocks, made even more dire since the war with Iran.

The discussion helped crystallize a broader idea Dimon had been pondering about JPMorgan’s role in national defense—and about his own legacy—people familiar with the matter said. JPMorgan, the biggest bank in America, has long lent money to and advised the defense industry. Now Dimon would start investing the bank’s own money—usually used for commercial and consumer lending or invested in Treasury bonds—into buying stock in the firms. It’s an inherently riskier strategy but also potentially more profitable. Soon after the factory visit, Dimon said the bank would use $10 billion of its capital to invest directly into companies the bank has defined as critical to national security and economic self-sufficiency.

Read more at the WSJ

China Eastern Airlines Picks Airbus for High-Volume Jet Order

Airbus is in line for a multi-billion aircraft order from one of China’s largest airlines, according to a statement by China Eastern Airlines. The state-owned carrier’s recent filing with the Shanghai Stock Exchange indicates it plans to buy 25 A330neo aircraft for delivery between 2029 and 2033. The filing noted that the new jets will modernize and extend their current aircraft fleet. China Eastern Airlines is a longstanding Airbus customer, with 452 narrow-body and 56 widebody Airbus jets in service, and 155 A320neo and A321neo on order.  

The A330neo is a widebody, twin-engine aircraft introduced in 2018 as a revision to the previous A330 to extend more fuel-efficiency thanks to the Trent 7000 engines and other aerodynamic improvements, as well as more passenger amenities for long-haul routes. The value of the investment was not stated in the filing, though reports estimated the purchase at $9.35 billion based on the book value of the aircraft. The additional cost of Rolls’ Trent 7000 engines would add as much as $2 billion to the total investment.

Read more at American Machinist 

Daily Market Update Jun 30, 2026

The August ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.06 at $3.24. The August ‘26 crude oil contract is up $0.35 at $71.10. 

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“To be really great in little things, to be truly noble and heroic in the insipid details of everyday life, is a virtue so rare as to be worthy of canonization.”

Harriet Beecher Stowe - American Author and Abolitionist who died on this day in 1896.

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