Member Briefing July 6, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

US Factory Orders Drop 1.3% In May As Durable Goods Plunge 4.5%

Orders for durable goods fell more than expected in May, breaking a streak of two consecutive monthly increases, the Commerce Department said Thursday. New orders for long-lasting goods like televisions, appliances and cars were down by 4.5% in May to $332.1 billion, after an 8.5% increase in April. Analysts polled by The Wall Street Journal were expecting a 4% contraction. Trends in durable-goods orders are often driven by big swings in categories like airplane orders, because small volumes can come with big dollar figures. Excluding transportation equipment, durable-goods orders were up 1.3% last month.

The culprit was transportation equipment, which cratered 14%, shedding $18.5 billion in a single month. Strip out transportation, and the picture changes completely. Core durable goods orders, excluding the volatile transportation sector, actually rose 1.3%. Nondefense capital goods orders dropped 15.7% the fifth decrease in six months, after a 24.9% April rebound. Core capital goods orders (i.e., nondefense capital goods orders excluding aircraft) rose 1.6% the third gain in four months, reversing a 0.7% April decline. Defense capital goods orders slid 3.4% the first slide since January, after a 10.4% April gain. Notably, core capital goods shipments (core capex shipments)—a reliable coincident indicator of business spending on equipment in the national accounts—rose 0.3% (7.6% year on year, the eighth rise in nine months, after a 0.5% April increase.

Read more at Haver Analytics

U.S. Job Creation Cools In June With Payrolls Growth Of Just 57,000; Unemployment Rate At 4.2%

The U.S. economy saw job creation cool sharply heading into the summer, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Thursday. Nonfarm payrolls for June increased by a seasonally adjusted 57,000 for the month, slower than the 115,000 Dow Jones consensus forecast. The unemployment rate, however, dropped to 4.2%, slightly ahead of the 4.1% where it was a year ago. Prior months also saw significant downward revisions — the May total, which had been much stronger than economists had anticipated, was cut by 43,000, while April’s figure came down 31,000 to 148,000 as the report showed labor market growth significantly slower than previously thought.

  • The move lower in the Unemployment rate was largely due to a slump in the labor force participation rate, which dropped 0.3 percentage point to 61.5%, the lowest since March 2021.
  • Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% for the month and 3.5% from a year ago, both in line with the consensus forecasts.
  • Professional and business services contributed the most jobs, with a gain of 36,000. Social assistance added 25,000 and healthcare employment rose by 22,000, a slower-than-normal pace for the industry.
  • Hiring in oil and gas, construction, manufacturing, retail trade, transportation, financial activities and government all “showed little or no change over the month.”

Read more at CNBC

NFIB: Small Business Employment Index Is Near Its Historical Average

NFIB’s June Jobs Report shows that the Small Business Employment Index remained essentially flat, registering 100.2 in June after measuring 100.3 in May. This is the fourth consecutive month the Index declined. The current reading is below the 2025 average of 101.2 but still slightly above the historical average of 100.0. In June, 32% (seasonally adjusted) of small business owners reported job openings they could not fill, up 3 points from May’s lowest level since May 2020.

  • Twenty-seven percent have openings for skilled workers (unchanged), and 12% have openings for unskilled labor (up 3 points).
  • A seasonally adjusted net 11% of owners plan to create new jobs in the next three months, up 2 points from May.
  • Overall, 62% of owners reported hiring or trying to hire in June, up 7 points from May.
  • Fifty-one percent of owners (84% of those hiring or trying to hire) reported few or no qualified applicants for the positions they were trying to fill (up 5 points).
  • 19% of small business owners cited “labor quality or availability” as their single most important problem, up 6 points from May’s.
  • Eight percent of business owners reported labor costs as their single most important problem, down 6 points from May’s historic high reading.
  • In June, both labor compensation measures declined. A seasonally adjusted net 28% reported raising compensation, down 3 points from May and a net 17% (seasonally adjusted) plan to raise compensation in the next three months.

Read more at NFIB

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

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'Most Incredible Nation Ever To Exist': America Celebrates 250 Years Of Independence

Americans across the country, some contending with extreme heat and storms, marked the 250th anniversary of the United States’ independence Saturday with special celebrations. Among the highlights were the Macy’s Fourth of July Fireworks in New York — which for the first time was launched from barges in both the Hudson and East rivers — and President Donald Trump’s address and the “Salute to America” fireworks on the National Mall in Washington, which took place after storms prompted a roughly two-hour evacuation.Fireworks shows lit up the skies in many other cities as well, including Boston, Philadelphia, Houston, Chicago and Nashville. Parades also rolled down streets in cities coast to coast, including St. Louis; Arlington, Texas; Racine, Wisconsin; and Monterey, California.

Trump made his way to the lectern around 11:15 p.m. — roughly 90 minutes later than scheduled. “There’s no way we can be deterred,” the president said to a crowd that returned after the evacuation was lifted. “For two and a half centuries, our American republic has stood as the crowning achievement of human history,” Trump said. “This country is the home of freedom. This is the land of liberty. And this is a flag that's the banner of the most extraordinary, most exceptional, most incredible nation ever to exist on the face of the Earth.”

Read more at NY State of Politics

NIST Establishes Center To Advance Quantum Technology Manufacturing

The U.S. Department of Commerce’s National Institute of Standards and Technology last week announced an agreement with SRI International to help advance domestic quantum research, development and manufacturing capabilities. SRI, a nonprofit research and development institution, will establish the Quantum Manufacturing Engineering Center to “accelerate manufacturing of scalable, high-performance quantum components and systems to drive significant growth in the U.S. quantum industry,” NIST said in a news release.  This is the latest effort on NIST’s part to advance technologies it deems critical for national security or the industrial base.

“Quantum science promises to generate new knowledge and technologies that will supercharge scientific research and unlock enormous economic potential,” Deputy Secretary of Commerce Paul Dabbar said in a statement. The center “will bring together top experts to ensure both continued U.S. leadership in quantum technologies and that we are the epicenter of manufacturing quantum systems at scale to drive advances in sensing, communications, encryption, computing, biomedicine and other critical areas,” he said.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Pell Grants Aren’t Just For College Anymore. The Toolbelt Generation Can Now Get Federal Aid For Trade School.

More students are pursuing trade school and other job-credential programs instead of a four-year college degree. Now the financial-aid system is catching up with them. Wednesday marked the official launch of Workforce Pell Grants, making the federal financial-aid program long popular with college students available for short-term vocational training. The expansion was approved as part of President Trump’s “one big, beautiful bill” last year. The idea behind it is to help more students access high-skill, high-demand jobs and employers reduce labor shortages.

Pell grants—named after the late Rhode Island senator Claiborne Pell—are the largest source of federal financial aid. Until now, though, they have generally been available only to undergraduates getting associate or bachelor’s degrees. The need-based grants of up to $7,400 a year aren’t loans, so they don’t have to be paid back. As of July 1, they are also available to students earning career credentials. Think of people studying to be paramedics, cybersecurity technicians, court reporters, or HVAC—heating, ventilation and air conditioning—specialists. The Workforce Pell grants can be used for programs eight to 15 weeks long. It is estimated the federal government will invest around $1.5 billion in the program over the next decade, with grants of around $2,200 apiece. For some credentials, that amount will cover the total cost of training.

Read more at The WSJ

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Patient Enrolment Begins In A Scientific Trial To Identify The First Effective Treatments For Ebola Bundibugyo Virus

In a major international effort to evaluate potential treatments for Ebola disease due to Bundibugyo virus (BVD), the PARTNERS clinical trial has opened enrolment today for patients in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The PARTNERS (Platform Adaptive Randomised Trial for New and Repurposed Filovirus TreatmentS) trial will assess whether two antiviral therapies – a monoclonal antibody (MBP134) and remdesivir – can improve survival among people diagnosed with BVD. It will also evaluate whether combining the two antivirals provides additional benefits.

Since the start of the outbreak, over 1400 people have been diagnosed with BVD, nearly 210 people have recovered and nearly 440 people have died of the disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. While effective treatments have been developed for Ebola virus disease, none are currently approved for Bundibugyo virus disease, and no treatment has been shown to work across all virus types that cause Ebola diseases. These treatments were selected for the trial by the WHO Technical Advisory Group after a thorough review of scientific evidence, including preclinical research and safety data, and evidence from previous outbreak responses. People enrolled in the clinical trial will be provided with close support and follow-up for at least 28 days after enrolment.

Read more at The World Health Organization

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Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

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Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Volkswagen Unveils Its First Electric GTI

Volkswagen gave the GTI badge its biggest reinvention in half a century, with a reveal of an all-electric ID. Polo GTI at the Nürburgring 24 Hour race in Germany.It’s the first battery-powered model to wear the celebrated three-letter emblem and arrives about 50 years after the arrival of the original Golf GTI in its home German market. North American sales are not planned, according to officials at VW’s headquarters in Wolfsburg. The new front-wheel-drive hot hatch is positioned as the performance flagship of VW’s forthcoming ID. Polo EV lineup and forms part of the company’s broader push to carry its long-established performance sub-brand into the electric era.

Power comes from the company’s APP290 electric motor delivering 223 hp and 214 lb-ft of torque, Volkswagen says. The automaker claims a 0-62 mph time of 6.8 seconds and a top speed of 109 mph. The ID. Polo GTI also receives a series of chassis upgrades aimed at replicating the sharp front-end response traditionally associated with Volkswagen’s GTI models. Standard equipment includes an electronically controlled front differential lock, an adaptive Dynamic Chassis Control (DCC) sport suspension and a variable-ratio steering system.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Intel Foundry Breaks Ground On Santa Clara Facility

Intel Corp. has broken ground on an expansion of its Santa Clara, California, facility that will include semiconductor manufacturing capabilities for its foundry division. The move, as reported by Wccftech, comes as Intel Foundry has garnered reportedly numerous design wins like Google, Amazon, Nvidia, Apple and maybe even rival AMD. The expansion is part of Intel’s larger investment in the semiconductor ecosystem in the U.S. This includes its two fabs it is building in Ohio and two other fabs under construction in Chandler, Arizona. Intel Foundry has been looking to attract major customers for its semiconductor manufacturing business with its 14A technology and advanced packaging investments are starting to gain traction.

Part of the reason for Intel’s traction is due to its advanced packaging technologies that have become equally as important in semiconductor manufacturing as process technology. Intel has been developing its proprietary advanced packaging since 2017 with the introduction of Embedded Multi-Die Interconnect Bridge (EMIB) and later with Foveros in 2019. At Intel Direct Connect 2025, the company said it was working on packaging offerings for its 18 A and lower process nodes with its EMIB-T iteration. EMIB-T provides denser connections, better power efficiency and lower costs, Intel said.

Read more at Electronics 360

Kimberly-Clark, Suzano Launch $3.4B Tissue Joint Venture

Kimberly-Clark and pulp producer Suzano’s $3.4 billion tissue and hygiene joint venture has begun operations, the companies said in a joint press release. The new entity, dubbed Arbex, is based in the Netherlands and has an operational office in London, along with 22 manufacturing sites in 14 countries. Arbex has taken ownership of some Kimberly-Clark assets and holds a long-term license to produce tissue and paper towel brands such as Kleenex, Scott and Viva, according to the press release. Arbex’s portfolio also includes over 40 regional brands, such as Andrex, Hakle and Scottex.

Additionally, the new entity announced its executive team, most of whom will be based in London. Ehab Abou-Oaf, previously president of Kimberly-Clark’s international family care and professional business, is now CEO at Arbex. The joint venture is part of Kimberly-Clark’s long-term growth strategy introduced last year. The plan aims to save the company more than $3 billion through improved productivity and accelerate the growth of its brands and businesses, particularly its North America and international personal care segments.

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Defense Startups Raid Auto And Fracking Sectors For Parts To Speed Weapons Output

Defense tech startups are repurposing automotive chips and pipes used in fracking -- while copying production methods from drugmakers -- in an effort to deliver weapons to the Pentagon faster and at lower cost. Soaring demand for rocket motors used to power missiles and other weapons has spurred new thinking about supply chains. Seeking big returns, Silicon Valley-style startups are now taking on defense companies that have long dominated the industry, pulled into the competition by a need for production speed, high volume and lower costs, according to ten industry executives, experts and U.S officials interviewed by Reuters.

Defense entrepreneurs must prove they can deliver. Pleasing the Pentagon brings huge benefits, including contracts with a government agency that has an annual budget of more than a trillion dollars and a seal of approval other governments want to see before buying from new contractors. Challenges are ahead. All the new entrants will need to produce enough of the new weapons to meet growing demand. Many new entrants are making rocket motors for existing missiles, some are making the entire missile, but none of the companies have scaled up production to replace legacy contractors. Legacy solid rocket motor makers Northrop Grumman and L3Harris said they have been pushing their own research and development to pull these new technologies like 3D printing and new mixing technologies.

Read more at Reuters

CMA CGM to Buy FedEx Supply Chain for $1.4 Billion

France’s CMA CGM, the world’s third-largest container line by capacity, is acquiring FedEx Supply Chain for $1.4 billion in a deal that extends its reach into the growing market for third-party logistics services. The deal announced Wednesday will add about 34 million square feet of warehouse space and 10,000 employees to CMA CGM subsidiary CEVA Logistics, expanding its footprint to more than 240 locations with 20,000 workers across North America.

After the deal closes, CMA and FedEx plan to enter into multiyear ocean and airfreight agreements worth an estimated $3.5 billion in business volume, according to a person familiar with the matter. Evan Armstrong, CEO of market research and consulting group Armstrong & Associates, said the acquisition of FedEx Supply Chain will bulk up CEVA’s operations in North America. It also will add to its capabilities handling e-commerce, business-to-business contract warehousing and returns services. The carrier has also bought terminals at the Port of Los Angeles and the Port of New York and New Jersey, two of the busiest ports on the U.S. West Coast and East Coast, respectively.

Read more at the WSJ

In Mojave Desert, startup JetZero builds novel plane to take on Airbus and Boeing

nside a cavernous aircraft hangar in the Mojave Desert, JetZero is building a full-size demonstrator of what ​could be a 200-plus-seat jet, a lucrative market segment expected to be at the center of future plane strategies for Airbus and Boeing. The test plane, ‌due to fly by the end of next year, marks a key milestone in the California startup's long-shot bid to build the first blended-wing commercial jet, in which the fuselage and wings merge into a single lifting surface. The startup's design replaces the conventional tube fuselage with a wide, flat cabin, opening the door to new seating layouts, ​larger windows and more flexible interiors, with space for reconfigured galleys and lavatories. Engines mounted above the rear are intended to reduce noise on the ground and improve efficiency. The manta ray-shaped design could cut fuel use by as much as half, the company says, and has already drawn early interest and investment from United Airlines and Alaska Airlines.

The demonstrator, partly funded by the U.S. ​Air Force, is being built for JetZero by Scaled Composites, a Northrop Grumman-owned (NOC.N), opens new tab aircraft developer, and uses the same Pratt & Whitney engines that power the Boeing 757. A successful ​first flight could unlock further investment, enabling JetZero to develop commercial jets for first production from 2030 at its newly launched manufacturing campus in ⁠Greensboro, North Carolina, though that is dependent on the certification timeline for the novel design.

Read more at Reuters

The Quest to Make Humanoid Robots Safe Enough for Humans

Humanoid robots marched through Chicago’s convention center last week, delivering snacks, shaking hands and busting out dance moves.  But recent viral mishaps elsewhere—a humanoid dancing uncontrollably at a restaurant, another kicking a small child during a performance in China—underscore a big challenge for robot makers aiming to put them to work in factories and warehouses: How can they ensure a humanoid doesn’t hurt a human? De-risking humanoid workers may be key to the sector’s aggressive growth goals.

Traditional industrial robots such as welders, palletizers or loaders are “deterministic,” meaning they adhere to a fixed set of rules and produce a constant result. Humanoids tasked with performing multiple jobs use artificial intelligence and are “probabilistic,” meaning they operate on statistical likelihoods, not certainty. That will require the robots to have layers of safeguards before they can work shoulder to shoulder with human beings. Companies that gathered at the Automate conference in Chicago said many of those are already taking shape, beginning with emergency stop buttons and going all the way down to the microchip level.

Read more at The WSJ

The ‘Five Alarm’ Risks Facing the Power Grid This Summer

An influx of 58.5 gigawatts of new resources, dominated by solar and battery storage, has reduced the widespread blackout risks the country faced in recent years. That is according to the North American Electric Reliability Corporation, a nonprofit tasked with monitoring the reliability of the U.S. power system. The estimate suggests the U.S. should have plenty of power supplies under normal summer conditions. Forecasts, though, call for a hotter-than-usual season, and a heat dome has much of the country in its grip. Hot weather sends air-conditioning demand skyrocketing, pressuring both power supplies and electricity bills. Peak summer demand has grown by about 11 gigawatts since last year, according to NERC, thanks to data centers and other big customers.

Other summer hazards include drought, fires and hurricanes, all of which can lead to extended power outages and expensive repairs. Record-low snowpack across the West is lowering reservoir levels and could curb production of low-cost hydropower. Utilities would have to cover any power shortages with wholesale purchases, passing on those higher costs to customers. Wildfires pose the greatest reliability risk in the Rocky Mountains, where they can disproportionately affect rural cooperatives, according to NERC. The grid is also more susceptible to “wind droughts.” That is a risk in West Texas, where the Permian Basin oil field has electrified operations and crypto miners and AI data centers have expanded operations. High customer demand combined with low wind and solar output could create a potential power shortage, NERC said.

Read more at The WSJ 

Daily Market Update July 1, 2026

The August ’26 natural gas contract is trading down $0.05 at $3.22. The August ‘26 crude oil contract is down $0.70 at $68.80.

Read more at NRG

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Quote of the Day

“When you think everything is someone else's fault, you will suffer a lot. When you realize that everything springs only from yourself, you will learn both peace and joy.”

Tenzin Gyatso - The 14th Dalai Lama who was born on this Day in 1935.

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