Member Briefing June 22, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the US Rose for the Second Consecutive Month in May

"The Leading Index for the US increased slightly in May, fueled entirely by positive contributions from financial components, especially stock prices and the interest rate spread," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board. "On the non-financial side of the LEI, only ISM® New Orders Index showed some strength, with consumer expectations remaining a major drag.

Despite two consecutive monthly increases, the LEI's six- and twelve-month growth rates were still negative, suggesting slower economic expansion ahead. Consumers are feeling squeezed because everyday costs—especially gas and energy—are rising faster than their incomes, leaving many households with less money available for things like travel, restaurants, entertainment, and shopping. The good news is that businesses are spending heavily on AI, data centers, and new technology, helping to keep the economy growing, while consumers pull back spending. The overall job market is expected to stay fairly healthy in 2026, but economic growth will be weaker than in recent years. The Conference Board is currently projecting 1.8% y/y GDP growth in 2026, down from 2.1% in 2025.

Read more at The Conference Board

The Memory-Chip Crisis Is Here—and Consumers Are Footing the Bill

The memory armageddon has arrived. From smartphones to the Sony PS5 Pro (which rose in price to $900 from $750 in April) to PCs, buyers of consumer electronics are getting hit. The primary driver is the skyrocketing cost of memory and storage chips, especially those known as DRAM and NAND flash memory, which are essential for transferring data and storing information on devices. These chips are the same ones craved by artificial-intelligence companies, which use them to help train and run large language models, coding agents and other tools.

As AI adoption has exploded, the memory-chip industry—dominated by just three companies: South Korea’s SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics and Boise, Idaho-based Micron Technology—is suffering from a major capacity crunch. This has been great for memory-chip makers, with the market values of SK Hynix and Micron both roughly quintupling to more than $1 trillion each in the past six months. Consumers are bearing the brunt. Memory-chip makers are rushing to add new manufacturing lines, but semiconductor factories, also known as foundries or fabs, cost billions of dollars and generally take two to three years to build. Ramping up to full capacity takes additional time. Analysts expect the shortages and price increases to persist for a few more years.

Read more at The WSJ

Global Manufacturing Industry Strengthens Amid Middle East Crisis

PMI data signaled that growth of global manufacturing production accelerated to a near five-year high in May. There remained doubts about sustaining the upturn, however, amid reports of clients front-loading purchases to mitigate expected price rises and supply chain disruption. The J.P.Morgan Global Manufacturing PMI® posted 52.6 in May, unchanged from April, to remain above its neutral 50.0 mark for the tenth successive month. All five of the PMI sub-components (new orders, output, employment, suppliers' delivery times and stocks of purchases) were at levels normally consistent with improved operating conditions.

Manufacturing production increased for the tenth month running in May, with the rate of expansion the fastest since July 2021. Output rose across the consumer, intermediate and investment goods industries, hitting 58- and 53-month highs in the latter two respectively (growth slowed slightly in the consumer category). The steepest expansion overall was at investment goods producers.

Read more at S&P Global

Iran and the Middle East

Ukraine

Other World Headlines

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New York State’s Electricity Reserves Are Shrinking, Says NYISO

Last week, NYISO released their annual Power Trends report. Power Trends explores the state of New York’s grid and electricity market, looking at reliability, demand, and the energy transition. The most important takeaway is that statewide reliability margins are tightening. Summer capacity margins have dropped from 2,227 MW in 2019 (or 17%) to only 417 MW in 2026 (or 9%). Since 2019, only 2.9 GW of capacity have been added to the grid while 4.4 GW has been retired. There are several factors that have contributed to this decline:

  • The first is the age of the fossil generation fleet. Fossil generation, NYISO argues, has helped maintain reliability, but is aging and no longer fully reliable.
  • Winter conditions have emerged as a more recent reliability stress. With a continued shift to greater electrification of heating, winter demand will be higher, leaving a larger portion of our economy dependent on the electric system, which remains vulnerable to fuel price shocks to the extent it continues to rely on fossil fuels.
  • There has also been a rise in demand from data centers and other large loads like semiconductor fabrication, but it is unclear yet to what extent demand will rise. In 2022, there were six large load projects in NYISO’s interconnection queue that added up to 1,045 MW of demand, but by May 2026, there were 51 projects that added up to 12,670 MW of demand. Much of that future demand is uncertain, since not all projects will come to fruition. For the purposes of planning, NYISO predicts that 2,880 MW of the demand will be integrated into the grid by 2040.

Read more at the RPA

New York Passes A Bill Aimed At Halting ‘Ghost Jobs’

A bill passed June 2 by New York state lawmakers aims to crack down on “ghost jobs” — jobs that don’t exist or aren’t intended to be filled — by requiring employers with 100 or more employees and third-party job posting platforms to disclose if, and when, hiring is expected. Specifically, under S8877, if the job is intended to be filled in 90 days or less, the print ad or digital post must state in bold, capital letters: “This position is for a current vacancy, and the employer intends to fill this position by (date).” If the job is intended to be filled in more than 90 days, the ad or post must state in bold, capital letters that the job is not for a current vacancy and is intended to be filled “no sooner than (date).” If there is no expectation the job will be filled, the ad or post must state in bold, capital letters: “This position is not for a current vacancy, but the employer is seeking resumes to review in the future when jobs become available.”

Companies advertise ghost jobs for various reasons. For example, companies may want to evaluate a potential pool of candidates, signal to existing employees that they are replaceable or attract potential investors by suggesting the company is growing, the report said. Ghost jobs can also result from third-party online job boards automatically copying postings from other websites, CRS added. The bill is awaiting delivery to Gov. Kathy Hochul.

Read more at HR Dive

Lawler, Ryan Introduce Bill to Establish Quantum Computing Commission

Congressmen Mike Lawler (R, NY-17) and Pat Ryan (D, NY-18) have introduced bipartisan legislation to establish a national commission to study quantum computing and develop recommendations to preserve the United States’ leadership in the rapidly advancing technology. The commission would evaluate foreign investments and advancements in quantum technologies, identify opportunities to strengthen public-private partnerships and research initiatives, and make recommendations to Congress and the executive branch on policies needed to advance U.S. leadership in the field.

The proposed National Security Commission on Quantum Computing Act of 2026 would create an 11-member bipartisan commission tasked with examining the implications of quantum computing for national security, economic competitiveness, scientific research, workforce development, and military applications. “Quantum computing has the potential to transform our economy, strengthen our national defense, and reshape the future of technological innovation,” Lawler said. “The United States has always led the world in transformative technology, helping us bolster a competitive edge in defense and economic development,” Ryan said.

Read more at Mid-Hudson News

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Workplace Violence Has Increased 5.3% Annually According To A Survey From National Council On Compensation Insurance

A recent survey, Workplace Violence, from the National Council on Compensation Insurance, which used the most recent US Bureau of Labor Statistics assault case data, found that workplace assaults show a clear upward trend: increasing at an annualized rate of 5.3% per year from 2011 to 2021–22. Workplace violence spans a wide range of behaviors—from threats and verbal abuse to physical assault and homicide. In the report, the group explores nonfatal workplace assaults as captured in the BLS Survey of Occupational Injuries and Illnesses. Key Findings of the report include:

  • The rate of workplace assaults per 10,000 full-time equivalent (FTE) workers increased by 62%.
  • The share of assaults among all of the BLS’ Days Away From Work (DAFW) cases increased from 1.3% in 2011 to a peak of 2.3% in 2019.
  • Women tend to experience an elevated risk of workplace assault.
  • Workers aged 20 to 34 experience a disproportionate number of assaults.
  • Hitting, kicking, and beating by another person accounts for nearly 93% of all workplace assaults.
  • The overall level of workplace homicides has remained broadly steady from 2011 through 2024, despite year-to-year volatility.
  • Gunshot and stabbing incidents make up the largest share of workplace homicides.
  • Men account for the vast majority of workplace homicide victims.

Read more at EHS Today

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Council of Industry Golf Outing - Monday August 24th 11:30 AM - 7:30 PM. The Powelton Club, Newburgh.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

C3POA - Key Perpectives on your CMMC Compiance Journey - Presented by Nick DeLena, PKF O'Connor Davies.

CMMC for Legacy Equipment: Securing Specialized Assets with Zero Trust Micro-Enclaves - Presented by Marc Hoover, Trout Software.

See previous episodes here!

Training

Effective Business Communication, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  June 24, 8:30 - 4:30.

Risk Management - Environment Health & Safety, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July 8, 8:30 - 4:30.

Strategies for Managing, Coaching and Dealing with Difficult People, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston.  July, 15, 8:30 - 4:30.

Lean Six Sigma Yellow Belt, In Person at DCC Fishkill.  October 13, 14, and 15 8:30 - 4:30.

Trade Wars

Owning a Home Is Getting More Expensive in Every Way

For many Americans, the math of homeownership doesn’t add up any more. A home buyer in 2019 could expect to spend about $20,000 a year on basic homeownership expenses: mortgage payments, property taxes, insurance, maintenance and repairs, according to data from Intercontinental Exchange and home-services marketplace Angi. By 2025, that annual bill had soared above $28,500, outpacing inflation and keeping many would-be buyers out of the market. Homeowners who wish they could sell and move elsewhere are also staying put, turned off by the cost of purchasing today. The affordability challenges are keeping the housing market in a slump for a fourth straight year.

Insurance costs have risen due to persistent natural disasters and increases in material and labor costs for home repairs. And rising home values have pushed up property-tax assessments, sparking pushback from voters in some states. Rising labor and material costs have also affected homeowners’ budgets for upkeep and renovations. Households spent an average of almost $12,500 on home improvement, maintenance and emergency repairs last year, up from about $9,000 in 2019. Typical monthly fees for those homeowner’s associations rose 51% from 2021 to 2025, according to HOA software company Vantaca. Those fees often partly cover homeowners’ maintenance and insurance costs, so they are being driven up by higher costs of labor and materials as well as a changing insurance market.

Read more at The WSJ

The Future of Machining: Integrating Generative and Agentic AI for Autonomous Programming

Manufacturing operations are not fazed by digitalization. High-tech machining is familiar ground, from basic NC programming through to multi-axis set-ups, to Industry 4.0 and now artificial intelligence. But the familiar state of AI is changing and a digitalization is entering a new dimension as generative artificial intelligence (Gen AI) evolves toward agentic AI. In the context of CNC machine programming, these technologies offer the prospect of significantly greater productivity, reduced programming effort, enhanced machining quality - and more autonomous manufacturing.

Today, CNC programming requires interpreting engineering drawings, CAD models, geometric tolerances, material specifications, tooling constraints, and machine capabilities before generating optimized toolpaths and G-code. Generative AI models can be trained to do all this by referencing historical machining programs, engineering standards, tooling libraries, and manufacturing best practices to assist programmers throughout this process. A Gen AI system can analyze CAD models, identify machinable features such as pockets, holes, slots, and contours, and propose machining strategies appropriate for the material, machine tool, and production requirements. Rather than creating each operation individually, programmers can review, modify, and approve AI-generated recommendations, and reduce programming time. Generative AI also works as a conversational manufacturing assistant. Engineers and machinists can interact with the system using natural language to request tooling recommendations, cutting parameters, set-up instructions, fixture suggestions, or explanations of machining strategies. This capability helps capture and distribute “tribal” knowledge that is may be concentrated among a limited number of experienced personnel.

Read more at American Machinist

Airbus, Boeing Reveal New Autonomous Aircraft Technologies at ILA Berlin 2026

Airbus and Boeing revealed modified and upgraded variants of a military drone and an uncrewed helicopter during the ILA Berlin Air Show last week. The capabilities and technologies featured on the autonomous aircraft unveiled by the two aerospace manufacturers reflect continued international military interest in adopting autonomous multi-mission aircraft capable of flying in tandem with other fixed- and rotary-wing aircraft.

Airbus Helicopters introduced the U145, an uncrewed version of its existing H145 multi-role helicopter. The uncrewed H145 will have no physical cockpit and includes modifications for cargo-carrying options, including a dedicated cargo floor and integrated nose door with a foldable loading table. Boeing revealed a larger variant of its MQ-28 Ghost Bat drone at ILA Berlin. The larger MQ-28 variant features an increased wingspan that allows it to carry an additional 2,000 pounds of fuel, stores and mission payloads. The new MQ-28 variant can also be provisioned to carry two AMRAAM missiles or four small diameter bombs (SDBs) internally.

Read more at Mobility Engineering

Electric BMW M3 Previewed With Racing-Inspired Concept Car

BMW’s M performance car division has unveiled the M Concept Neue Klasse, providing the clearest indication yet of the design and technology direction for a fully electric BMW M3 sedan due to enter production in 2027. The concept previews how BMW M intends to adapt the automaker’s Neue Klasse architecture, first introduced on the second-generation iX3, for future performance models. Along with showcasing a new design language for BMW’s M subsidiary, the concept provides an early look at the drivetrain, control systems and software technologies planned for the production electric M3, which is scheduled to arrive in 2027.

The M3 EV, with actual production badging not yet confirmed, will be sold alongside a new combustion-powered successor, giving buyers two distinct interpretations of BMW’s best-known performance sedan. The concept builds on the BMW i3 sedan revealed in March, which previewed one of the first passenger-car applications of the Neue Klasse architecture. The i3 is intended to serve as the electric counterpart to BMW’s 3-series sedan, the model that has defined the brand for generations.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

Mars Is Spending Millions to Give M&M’s a MAHA Makeover

M&M’s will mark a milestone in its 85-year history in August, debuting a version made without artificial dyes. The bags of chocolate will also be missing two hallmarks: The colors brown and blue. Under pressure from Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and his “Make America Healthy Again” campaign, M&M’s maker Mars pledged to offer options for some of its iconic products without those dyes this year. The chocolate giant planned instead to color the foods with dyes derived from natural sources. The task is proving much harder and more expensive than it sounds.

Blue and brown are among a half-dozen classic M&M’s colors. Mars researchers figured out how to deliver convincing replicas of its red, orange and yellow candies using natural ingredients like beets and turmeric. Blue, which Mars added to the mix in 1995, was a different story. That color was proving arduous to re-create affordably, and at scale. The company also couldn’t reliably churn out brown M&M’s, which, it turns out, include a fair bit of blue.

Read more at The WSJ

MFG250 -Celebrating the History and Future of U.S. Manufacturing.

For 250 years, American manufacturing has powered growth, strengthened communities, and driven progress at home and around the world. From steel mills and shipyards to advanced robotics and precision technology, industry has shaped our economy and defined our strength. The same spirit of innovation that built this nation continues to lead it forward. American manufacturing built the past. It is building the future.

MFG250 celebrates that legacy while looking ahead to the next generation of builders, innovators, and leaders who will define what comes next. Through storytelling, events, and public engagement, this webisteis highlighting the impact of manufacturing across history and its role in driving America’s future.

Read more, Watch at MFG250.org

Here's Who Will Take On Shawn Fain For UAW President

The United Auto Workers finalized its nominations for the highest seats in the union on Wednesday, June 17, with current Vice President Rich Boyer officially jumping into a six-person presidential race to unseat the incumbent, Shawn Fain. Boyer, who has been in an enduring feud with Fain, emerges as a prominent contender against the popular president.

Delegates of the UAW spent Wednesday afternoon last week in the convention hall at Huntington Place in downtown Detroit nominating which candidates they would like to see take over the union's international executive board, which is a 14-member panel of leaders that oversees the operations of the nearly 400,000-member union. Nominations for officers (president, vice presidents and secretary-treasurer) were finalized on Wednesday evening.

Read more at the Detroit Free Press

NYISO President And CEO Discusses Why Energy Demand Is Growing

Here’s the upshot: New York’s energy supply is dropping, but the demand for energy growing. At the same time, the state’s energy infrastructure is among the oldest in the nation and will soon need to be replaced. That’s according to the New York Independent System Operator, whose job it is to ensure the state’s energy grid is reliable.

The NYISO acts as both an air traffic controller for energy as well as a stock exchange where all kinds of providers compete to sell their wares. Demand is growing because there are a bunch of "large load projects" trying to come on line, including advanced manufacturing and data centers. There is more than 14,000 megawatts of requested electricity from these large load projects in the NYISO’s interconnection “queue” — all of it waiting to “plug” into the state’s energy grid. Much of this is laid out in the NYISO’s annual Power Trends report which was published last week.

Read more at New York State of Politics

Daily Market Update June 18, 2026

The July ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.01 at $3.16. The July ‘26 crude oil contract is down $1.83 at $74.96.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“How strange when an illusion dies. It's as though you've lost a child.”

Judy Garland- American Actress and Singer who died on this day in 1969. aged 47.

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