Member Briefing June 24, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

S&P Flash PMI: US Manufacturing Rises On Front-Loading Of Orders, But Factory Employment Tumbles To Six-Year Low

U.S. manufacturing activity rose again in June as companies ​preemptively placed new orders in anticipation of shortages and higher prices, but factory employment hit a six-year low, blamed on rising operating costs related to ‌the Middle East conflict. S&P Global said its flash manufacturing PMI increased to 55.7 this month, the highest reading since May 2022, from 55.1 in May. A reading above 50 indicates growth in manufacturing, which accounts for 9.4% of the economy.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the manufacturing PMI slipping to 54.8.

  • The manufacturing PMI has increased for ⁠four straight months, in part driven by businesses seeking to restock to avoid shortages and rising prices.
  • The survey's measure of manufacturing employment dropped to 47.0, the lowest reading since May 2020, from 51.6 in May.
  • S&P Global's measure of new orders received by factories jumped to a more than four-year high this month. I
  • Its measure of supplier delivery times lengthened to levels last seen in August 2022.
  • The survey's measure of prices paid by factories for inputs retreated to 71.2 from 75.3 in May.
  • Manufacturers continued to pass on the costs to consumers, though the pace slowed. The survey's gauge of output prices eased to a still-high 61.0 from 63.1 in May.

Read more at Reuters

ISM Forecast: U.S. Manufacturing Growth Expected Through 2026

The U.S. economy is expected to continue expanding through the rest of 2026, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s Spring 2026 ISM Supply Chain Planning Forecast. The report, released June 18, said expectations for the remainder of 2026 are higher than those expressed in ISM’s December 2025 forecast, with both manufacturing and services executives projecting stronger revenue growth, higher capital expenditures and elevated capacity utilization.

In manufacturing, ISM said revenue is expected to increase 8.4% in 2026, up from the 4.4% growth forecast issued in December and above the 2.5% year-over-year increase reported for 2025. Eighty-two percent of manufacturing respondents expect revenue to increase, with an average gain of 12.7%, while 17% expect revenue declines averaging 12%. “With 14 manufacturing industries expecting revenue growth and seven industries expecting employment growth in 2026, panelists forecast a healthy rest of the year,” said Susan Spence, Chair of ISM’s Manufacturing Business Survey Committee.

Read more at Modern Distribution Management

Industrial Production Ticked Higher in May

Manufacturing output moved sideways in May. Production of durable goods rose 0.8 percent, with increased output in almost all categories. Within durables, the indexes for wood products, for nonmetallic mineral products, for primary metals, and for motor vehicles and parts each grew more than 1.0 percent. Production of nondurable goods fell 0.9 percent in May, with declines in almost all categories. In May, mining output grew 1.3 percent. The index for utilities fell 0.4 percent, with a 1.7 percent decline in electric utilities output more than offsetting an increase of 8.5 percent in natural gas utilities output.

Capacity utilization for manufacturing was unchanged in May at 75.7 percent, a rate that is 2.5 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2025) average. The operating rate for mining increased 1.2 percentage points to 86.5 percent in May, and the operating rate for utilities moved down 0.4 percentage point to 70.6 percent. The rate for mining was 1.3 percentage points above its long-run average, while the rate for utilities remained substantially below its long-run average.

Read more at the Federal Reserve

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Trump Signs Executive Orders To 'Supercharge' Quantum Computing

President Donald Trump on Monday signed a pair of executive orders designed to protect domestic quantum computing and accelerate its development of the technology. “The first executive order launches a national effort to produce a quantum computer capable of performing important scientific calculations and to develop quantum-enabled sensors and networks in the next five years,” Trump said. “The second order I'm signing directs federal agencies to transition to what is called quantum cryptography,” he added.

Prior to the signing, White House Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy Michael Kratsios said that the first executive order will be called "Ushering in the Next Frontier of Quantum Innovation." The executive order, Kratsios said, would also protect the quantum industry by increasing domestic production of needed materials and strengthening the workforce in the industry. "It calls for increasing our domestic supply chain capacity for quantum infrastructure and materials, and it ensures a strong American quantum workforce through the expansion of registered apprenticeships, credentials, and new national quantum workforce development institutes on the international front," Kratsios said. The second executive order will “accelerate the migration to post-quantum [cryptography] to 2031,” which Kratsios says will not only bolster and innovate cybersecurity. “Together, these policies will drive transformational growth in existing and entirely new industries, in manufacturing, drug discovery, energy, agriculture, and more quantum breakthroughs mean innovation, economic growth, national security that will benefit the American people for decades to come,” he added.

Read more at ABC News

Senate Overwhelmingly Passes Sweeping Bipartisan Housing Affordability Bill

The Senate on Monday overwhelmingly passed a bipartisan bill aimed at lowering housing costs, sending the legislation to the House. The rare show of near-unanimous support comes as lawmakers hustle to score wins on affordability that they can trumpet back home during a midterm campaign cycle that has focused heavily on rising costs. The bill, which the Senate approved in an 85-5 vote, is expected to pass the House this week and head to President Trump, who is expected to sign it.

The housing bill, titled the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act, contains more than 45 different provisions, rolled together from different lawmakers’ bills in both chambers. That includes measures that would waive environmental review requirements for some housing construction projects, encourage renovating aging homes and incentivize communities to build more housing. One provision, which would effectively bar private equity from buying up single-family homes, was hotly debated between Republicans in the House and Senate for months. Sen. Rick Scott (R-Fla.), one of the “no” votes, told The Hill last week that housing is “a local issue” and that he wants to see Congress focus on balancing the budget and driving interest rates down, which he said are the deeper issues making housing more expensive.

Read more at The Hill

Customs Rules Are Changing. What Should Shippers Know?

The U.S. is preparing to install new restrictions for foreign importers while establishing higher penalty floors for those noncompliant with customs regulations, according to an executive order signed on June 3 by President Donald Trump. The order could introduce complications for overseas brands and shippers without an adequate level of supply chain visibility, experts told Supply Chain Dive. For example, importers must provide ownership disclosures, anticipated volumes and production methods, and customs brokers must “conduct greater due diligence of their importers,” U.S. Customs and Border Protection said in a news release.

To meet the minimum requirements to qualify as located within the U.S., an entity must have its principal place of business in the country, a physical presence where significant business is conducted and sufficient tangible U.S. assets, per the order. The order also calls for the Secretary of Homeland Security to establish heightened import disclosure requirements, including providing information about the supply chain and production methods of imports. In the lead-up to the new rules, cross-border shippers should evaluate any foreign IOR arrangements currently in place, stress-test their bonding and domestic asset positions against higher minimums, and verify the accuracy of their ownership and supply chain disclosures and documentation, law firm Holland & Knight said in a June 9 alert.

Read more at Supply Chain Dive

Primary Results

More Policy and Politics Headlines

Key FDA Committee Unanimously Recommends New mRNA Flu Vaccine

The Food and Drug Administration's top vaccine advisory committee voted unanimously today to recommend Moderna's mRNA influenza vaccine, mFlusiva, for adults 50 and over. This was its first time reviewing a new vaccine application since 2023. The vote by the Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee, or VRBPAC, is a step towards what may be the first vaccine filed and approved under the second Trump administration despite sustained criticism of vaccines from President Trump and Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Indeed, last year, Kennedy pulled back almost $500 million in contracts to develop mRNA vaccines.

Messenger-RNA, or mRNA, provides instructions for the body to produce flu antigens to develop immunity. Moderna's mRNA flu vaccine includes microscopic doses of mRNA for three to four strains of the flu — totaling about the same weight that a fingerprint leaves on a mirror. In addition to the flu vaccine providing potentially stronger protection, many public health and infectious disease experts are excited about the shot because mRNA vaccines can be produced much more reliably and quickly — and potentially faster than traditional flu vaccines. That could make the mRNA vaccine far more effective when a new flu strain suddenly emerges.

Read more at NPR

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Trade Wars

Harley-Davidson To Reshore Revolution Max Engine Production

Harley-Davidson is planning to bring its Revolution Max engine production back to the United States, the motorcycle giant said Tuesday. The company will also bring back production of its Pan America, Sportster S and Nightster models to its U.S. facilities, which the engine powers, according to the press release. The announcement is part of Harley-Davidson’s “Back to the Bricks” strategy unveiled last month, which aims to restore the manufacturer’s financial performance, regain market share and improve dealer relationships.

Harley-Davidson’s production returning to the U.S. means it will bring machining, powertrain assembly, painting and final vehicle assembly work to its plants in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, the company said. The transition is expected to be completed before production of its model year 2028 motorcycles begins in 2027. Moreover, Harley-Davidson anticipates manufacturing over 100,000 motorcycles at its York, Pennsylvania, facility in 2027. Changes to U.S. trade policy, accompanied by a volatile global trade environment, have led to “new opportunities” for companies to invest in domestic manufacturing, the company added.

Read more at Supply Chain Dive

Americans Are Warming Up To Homebuying For The First Time In 3 Years: Bank of America Survey

For the first time since 2023, most Americans think it's a better idea to buy a home than rent or move in with relatives. Fifty-three percent of respondents surveyed by Bank of America said it was better to buy a home now, up from 48% last year and 47% in 2024. Other measures of attitudes toward homeownership, such as the percentage of respondents who say a home is a valuable investment and provides stability, also improved.

The finding underscores how perceptions of homeownership are changing as housing becomes slightly more affordable. While it's still far more difficult to afford a home now than it was pre-pandemic, home price appreciation in much of the country has dropped below inflation and wage growth, and mortgage rates are slightly lower now than during the past three summers. As of May, the median home in the US was listed for $429,500, according to Realtor.com. That's down slightly from $440,000 last year, but 34% higher than May 2019, when the median was $319,500.

Read more at American Machinist

TTM Technologies Opens $130 Million Expansion In Dewitt, Adding 400 New Jobs

TTM Technologies on Monday opened a $130 million expansion of its printed circuit board plant, promising to create up to 400 new engineering and manufacturing jobs. TTM executives, joined by state and local elected officials, cut the ribbon on the 215,000-square-foot building that will be known as Syracuse Diamond. The plant will make electronics for the domestic defense and aerospace industries. The company’s ultra-high density printed circuit boards are used for radar, missile defense and other weapons systems.

Circuit boards, which connect computer chips to electronic devices, are mostly made overseas. About 96% of the world’s supply is made in China and other Asian nations, according to TTM. The company built the expansion on 23 acres along Fly Road in DeWitt near its existing plant on Kirkville Road, which already employs more than 500 people. TTM, based in California, bought Anaren Inc. of DeWitt in 2018. Under terms of a deal with the state, New York will provide TTM with up to $17 million in tax credits from the Excelsior Jobs program if the company meets its job and investment commitments.

Read more at Syracuse.com

India's Tata Electronics Hit By Cyber Breach Claiming To Expose Apple, Tesla Trade Secrets

Tata Electronics said on Monday it had detected a recent "cybersecurity incident", after ​researchers said World Leaks posted purported component design and specification papers of Apple and Tesla, both customers of the Indian group. The ransomware group has ‌posted more than 200,000 files on the dark web, the security researchers told Reuters. Apple was investigating the breach and a "full analysis was going on", a ​source familiar with the matter said, adding that Tata had received a ransom demand related to the incident.

World Leaks, which has previously claimed responsibility for a Nike break-in, said on its dark net website that it was publishing stolen data from Tata Electronics. The World Leaks website says the Tata Electronics data comprises more than 200,000 files totaling over 630 gigabytes. A database on its ​website shows several purported Apple files and folders, some titled "com.apple.factorydata", and documents referring to "material specification". One folder on the World Leaks database was labelled "NV36 Chargeport Controller - North America", a purported reference to ​parts used in an upgraded version of ​Tesla's Model Y SUV. Another purported Tesla ⁠2023 document described as "TRADE SECRET" showed certain drawings for its project Highland - a publicly known internal codename for its revamped Model 3 sedan.

Read more at Reuters

AbbVie to Buy Immunology Drugmaker Apogee for $10.9 Billion

AbbVie has agreed to buy Apogee Therapeutics for about $10.9 billion to bolster the pharmaceutical company’s core immunology franchise. AbbVie on Monday said it would pay $135.11 a share in cash, a 49% premium to Thursday’s closing price of $90.38 for the Waltham, Mass., biotechnology company. It is one of the industry’s largest deals so far this year. For AbbVie, the deal would add Apogee’s experimental drug zumilokibart, a potential rival to Dupixent from Regeneron Pharmaceuticals and Sanofi as a treatment for moderate to severe atopic dermatitis, the most common form of eczema.

AbbVie has long been dominant in immunology. The company has said sales from its autoimmune blockbusters Rinvoq and Skyrizi will top $31 billion this year. Those drugs filled a hole left by Humira, which at one point was the bestselling drug in the world. The AbbVie-Apogee deal is the latest in a string of biopharma acquisitions this year, as large drugmakers look to restock their pipelines ahead of patent expirations for blockbuster drugs. Analysts at Citi said the premium AbbVie is paying for Apogee doesn’t seem excessive, given the company’s strong data, a scarcity of high-quality immunology assets and Apogee’s strengthened position after its recent $1.3 billion financing collaboration with Blackstone.

Read more at The WSJ

Lucid Lays Off 18% Of Staff, Its Second Deep Cut In Four Months

Lucid Motors is laying off 18% of its workforce, roughly 1,500 employees, just four months after the EV maker cut 12% of its staff. The company also confirmed Monday that it has eliminated the second production shift at its Casa Grande, Arizona factory. It’s the second mass layoff under a new leadership regime that is barely three weeks old, and it lands as the US EV market cools and automakers retreat from their electric plans.

The cuts are the first major move by Silvio Napoli, who took over as Lucid’s CEO earlier this year and only formally assumed the role on June 1. Lucid says the restructuring will “simplify the company, sharpen execution, and position Lucid to become more competitive over time.” Lucid reported 9,000 employees globally at the end of 2025, before February’s 12% reduction. This round hits full-time staff, contractors, and hourly production workers. The company says the moves will deliver roughly $158 million in annualized savings, with the restructuring complete by the third quarter. Lucid will pay about $32 million in severance. Eliminating the second shift in Casa Grande is the most telling part. Lucid framed it as aligning “production plans with anticipated demand,” which is a polite way of saying it isn’t selling enough cars to justify the capacity it built.

Read more at electrek

Pentagon Issues $2.3B for F-35 Sustainment

The U.S. Dept. of War assigned $2.29 billion to Lockheed Martin for “non-recurring sustainment activities and services” connected with the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program. Pentagon overseers have become steadily more frustrated with the combat readiness of the F-35 aircraft fleet. Earlier this year Lockheed acknowledged the long-standing F-35 fleet-readiness problems, reportedly committing $1 billion to resolve them. Lockheed Martin is the lead contractor for the F-35 program, which is a single-engine stealth-enabled fighter jet in use by the U.S. Air Force, U.S. Marine Corps, and U.S. Navy, and defense forces of 19 other nations.

The largest U.S. defense program started in 2001 and low-rate initial production began in 2007. More than 1,300 aircraft have been built to date, and over 800 of those are in service with the three U.S. operators. The number of domestic suppliers to the F-35 program is estimated to be up to 1,900. But the full-rate production is now straining the sustainment infrastructure for the program, meaning skilled workers and facilities, plus technical data, supply chains, maintenance systems, and engineering support needed to support the aircraft once they are delivered to the operators. The new contract - which runs through December 2028 - will fund Lockheed Martin as it supports the expansion of program’s training centers, supply depots, and service hubs, plus the cost of managing fleet support activities.

Read more at American Machinist

Transmission Line from Canada to NYC Complete

North America’s longest fully-buried transmission line has begun delivering Canadian hydropower to New York City, state policymakers and grid officials said Tuesday. The $6-billion Champlain-Hudson Power Express is expected to deliver 10.4 TWh annually, helping meet up to 20% of the city’s electric needs. Construction was completed ahead of schedule and power flows from Hydro-Québec to New York commenced June 1.

Champlain-Hudson will help to replace the Indian Point nuclear plant, which was shuttered in 2021. Since Indian Point’s closure, New York City has relied more on gas-fired plants that have caused emissions downstate to grow, according to a statement from Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul. According to analysis by the Times Union, more than 90% of the capacity lost when Indian Point shuttered its two 1-GW units in 2020 and 2021 was replaced by fossil fuels. Electric reliability across the region this summer will benefit from newly completed transmission projects, the Northeast Power Coordinating Council said last week.

Read more at Utility Dive

Daily Market Update June 23, 2026

The July ’26 natural gas contract is trading down $0.05 at $3.20. The July ‘26 crude oil contract is down $0.36 at $73.50.

Read more at NRG

Learn more about the Council of Industry Energy Buying Group

Quote of the Day

“America’s genius lay in three things that are rather more subtle than invention: making innovations more user friendly; producing companies that can commercialize these innovations; and developing techniques for running these companies successfully.”

Alan Greenspan - Economist, Author and Former Chairman of the Federal Reserve from his book 'Capitalism in America: An Economic History of the United States.' He died Monday June 22nd aged 100.

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