Member Briefing March 25, 2026

Posted By: Harold King Daily Briefing,

Industrial Production Edges Higher as Manufacturing Output Posts Modest Gains

Industrial production increased 0.2% in February, while manufacturing output rose by the same amount after expanding 0.8% in January. At 97.6% of its 2017 average, manufacturing production advanced 1.3% from February 2025. Capacity utilization for manufacturing was 75.6%, unchanged from January but up 1.1% over the past year.

  • Capacity utilization remained 2.6 percentage points below its long-term average from 1972 to 2025.
  • Major market groups posted mixed results. Consumer goods production stayed the same, while business equipment output increased 0.2%.
  • The gain in production of consumer durables (up 0.4%) was led by the output of appliances, furniture and carpeting rising 1.5%.
  • The index for consumer nondurables moved down 0.1%, led by a decline in the index for clothing (down 0.4%).
  • Among business equipment, the 2.8% gain in transit equipment led the increase.
  • The index for materials improved 0.3%, while the index for construction supplies declined 0.2% and the index for business supplies ticked up 0.1%.
  • Durable goods manufacturing advanced 0.1% in February and 2.4% from the year prior. Monthly growth was greatest for motor vehicles and parts (up 1.7%), while machinery posted the largest decline (down 1.2%).
  • Meanwhile, led by a 0.9% gain in chemicals output, nondurable manufacturing edged up 0.2% in February and 0.3% from February 2025.

Read More at The NAM

S&P Global: US Business Activity Slips To 11-Month Low In March Amid Iran War

U.S. business activity slowed to an 11-month low in March as the war in the Middle ​East raised prices for energy products and other inputs, a survey showed on Tuesday, reinforcing fears of an ‌acceleration in inflation in the months ahead. The survey from S&P Global also showed a deterioration in sentiment that contributed to the first decline in private-sector employment in just over a year. The findings at face value would suggest persistent labor market weakness, though timely data like weekly claims for unemployment benefits have remained ​consistent with stable conditions.

S&P ​Global said its flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, fell to 51.4 this month. That was ​the lowest level since last April and followed a 51.9 reading in February. The PMI has now declined for two straight months. A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the private sector. The drop this month was in the services sector, with the flash PMI there slipping to 51.1 from 51.7 in February. Economists polled by ​Reuters had estimated the services PMI easing to 51.5.

Read more at The WSJ

$5 Diesel is Crushing Truckers. It Will Soon Be Felt Across the Economy.

The average gallon of diesel crossed $5.20 nationwide on Saturday, up around 40% from a month ago, according to the AAA. Eight of the 10 states where diesel prices have shot up most compared with a month ago are in the Southeast—led by South Carolina, where prices have risen 51% since Feb. 21 and where Caveda paid $853 alone for 161 gallons at a station in Columbia on Monday. Higher diesel prices for a sustained period would, however, ripple throughout the broader supply chain and could lead companies to eventually increase the price of consumer goods, economists say.

Manufacturing activity improved, with the flash PMI rising to 52.4 from 51.6 in February, and ​confounding economists' expectations for a drop to 51.3, partly reflecting "some softening of the tariff impact on order books." The price of diesel and other oil derivatives affect the cost of “many, many things,” said Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday. The effects on core inflation, which excludes food and energy, are “real, and they’re material,” he added. Diesel is also used to power machinery used by the fishing, farming and construction industries, such as tractors and cranes. The higher costs those companies are beginning to pay won’t be felt by consumers immediately, but they have already begun to pass through the supply chain.

Read more at Reuters

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Co-Founder Of Defense Tech Firm Anduril Says US Legislative Failures Are Giving China A Strategic Edge

Trae Stephens, co-founder of defense technology firm Anduril Industries, sharply criticized ​American lawmakers on Tuesday, warning that congressional dysfunction and Silicon Valley arrogance were handing China a strategic opening in the ‌race for military and technological supremacy. Speaking at the Hill and Valley Forum in Washington, Stephens told hundreds of executives and policymakers that the United States had no one but itself to blame for falling behind in what he called a "high-tech arsenal of autocracy" race with Beijing.

Stephens is ​a partner at San Francisco-based venture capital firm Founders Fund and the chairman of Costa Mesa, California-based Anduril, ⁠one of the largest defense tech companies backed by Silicon Valley. At the conference, he ticked through what he called a generation of U.S. ​legislative failure. On immigration, he said that 70 to 80% of Americans support comprehensive reform and yet Congress has passed nothing meaningful in 40 ​years. On healthcare, he said the United States spends roughly double what peer democracies spend, with worse outcomes. On education, he said the U.S. has fallen out of the top 10 in educational attainment and is "lagging far behind competitors in math and science" just as artificial intelligence is upending the labor market for recent graduates. He ​was particularly withering on infrastructure spending, telling the audience that more than a trillion dollars allocated under recent chip and green-energy legislation had ​produced little more than "a handful of lousy EV charging stations and not a single fully built chips fab."

Read more at Reuters

Republicans Optimistic On Path To End Shutdown

Senate Republicans believe that President Trump is willing to accept a potential deal to fund the Department of Homeland Security following a White House meeting on Monday night. Trump signaled he is open to a deal to reopen the Homeland Security Department even if it doesn’t fully fund Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) during a two-hour meeting at the White House Monday evening, according to GOP senators briefed on the meeting.

Under the proposal presented to Trump, Senate Republicans would pass additional money for ICE’s removal operations under the budget reconciliation process, which allows them to circumvent a Democratic filibuster in the Senate as long as the legislation being considered meets certain requirements related to the spending, taxation or deficit reduction. Under the proposal presented to Trump, Senate Republicans would pass additional money for ICE’s removal operations under the budget reconciliation process, which allows them to circumvent a Democratic filibuster in the Senate as long as the legislation being considered meets certain requirements related to the spending, taxation or deficit reduction.

Read more at The Hill

Hochul Pushes Environmental Quality Review Reforms Amid State Budget Negotiations

 Gov. Kathy Hochul is working to drum up support for one of her top budget asks: reforming the state’s burdensome environmental review process that can impede housing and development. In her executive budget, Hochul proposed changes to the State Environmental Quality Review Act. The governor said the law, known as SEQRA, can add up to two years of bureaucratic review on a project. Hochul wants to exempt certain projects from the required review process altogether to spur development, including mixed-use housing projects of up to 500 units in New York City, or up to 100 units outside the five boroughs. “The era of half measures and a little bit here, a little bit there, it’s just not working. That is the reason why people who want to stay in New York, many families and young people who want to build their lives here, they just can't find a home that they can afford,” the Governor said.

The issue is expected to be a point of contention this budget cycle. The state Senate narrowed Hochul’s proposal in its one-house budget. The upper house created different categories for projects and exempted those with fewer than 10 residential units for municipalities without zoning regulations and projects of 50 units or fewer if not hooked up to existing water and sewer. The Assembly rejected SEQRA reforms in its one-house budget, but only because Speaker Carl Heastie usually removes unnecessary policy items from the discussion. In January, the speaker predicted the reform would be a sticking point during negotiations and likely delay a final deal. The $263 billion spending plan is due April 1.

Read more at City & State

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What is AuDHD? Scientists Are Starting To Understand How Autism And ADHD Can Overlap

Until 2013, clinicians weren’t allowed to diagnose a person with both ADHD and autism. The fifth edition of the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders changed that, acknowledging that ADHD and autism can co-exist and share certain features, particularly in terms of attention. “Someone with autism might have special interests and focus on those,” says clinical psychologist Natasha Langan. “Someone with ADHD may have difficulties regulating and sustaining their attention, but they can also have specialist interests so they can hyperfocus at times.” At the same time, other traits can pull in different directions. A preference for routine—common in autism—may conflict with the novelty-seeking and impulsivity associated with ADHD. For some, that creates an internal tension between structure and change, says Langan.

AuDHD presentation “varies tremendously because autistic individuals and ADHD individuals vary tremendously,” says Kelly Carrasco, psychologist and assistant professor at California State University, Fresno. Researchers are still trying to determine why the two disorders often co-exist. Both conditions are highly heritable, and growing evidence suggests they are partly rooted in shared biology—not entirely separate disorders. A 2025 neuroimaging study found that people with co-occurring ADHD and autism show distinct patterns of brain structure and connectivity—suggesting the combination is not just additive, but may represent a unique neurodevelopmental profile. Taken together, the findings point to what researchers describe as a “complex interplay of genetic, biological, and phenotypic factors” involved in AuDHD.

Read more at National Geographic

Upcoming Council Programs

Events

Manufacturing Champions Award Breakfast and Workforce Developers Expo - Thursday May 7, 2026 -7:45 - 10:00 AM. West Hills Country Club, Middletown.

Networks

HR Sub Council Meeting Topic TBD, April 23, 2026, 8:15 - 11:00 AM. Location Ulster BOCES Career Academy, iPark 87, Kingston.

Insight Exchange - On Demand Webinars

Training

Certificate in Manufacturing Leadership Program Spring Session, In Person at iPark 87 in Kingston. Supervisor Training Program for Hudson Valley Manufacturers. 7 Courses (8 full day sessions) April 29 - July 15.

Trade Wars

Ronnybrook Farm Dairy To Anchor Ulster Agribusiness Center At Kingston’s IPark 87

Ronnybrook Farm Dairy, based in Ancramdale has signed a letter of intent with the Ulster County Economic Development Alliance (UCEDA) to establish operations at the future Ulster Agribusiness Center in iPark 87 in the Town of Ulster. The facilities would be located on UCEDA-owned property in iPark 87. Under the agreement, Ronnybrook would lease two buildings on the iPark East campus.

An existing warehouse would be used for cultured dairy production, and another building, a former powerhouse, would be converted to a cold/freezer storage facility that Ronnybrook would manage for the Economic Development Alliance. Ronnybrook owner Rick Osofsky said they share the county’s “vision for a strong and sustainable food economy” and look forward to moving the project forward.

Read more at Mid-Hudson News

Next Nuclear Sub Program Draws $15.4B

The U.S. Navy awarded $15.38 billion to General Dynamics Electric Boat Corp. in the latest modifications to a long-running contract for design, planning and procurement, and construction of the Columbia-class ballistic missile submarines. Electric Boat is designing the Columbia-class subs jointly with Huntington Ingalls Industries’ Newport News Shipbuilding subsidiary, as a replacement for the current Ohio-class submarines. In its announcement, the Pentagon noted the industrial base development work outlined by this modification will promote the Navy’s plan for serial production of Columbia- and Virginia-class nuclear submarines.

The Columbia-class is a series of nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarine developed to replace the Ohio-class, with an initial delivery in 2027 and naval service to begin by 2031. These are described as the largest and most advanced submarines ever to be built for the U.S. Navy, 560 feet long and featuring a 43-ft beam, with a displacement of 21,140 tons. Initial construction for Columbia-class subs began in 2020 for the first of a total of 12 vessels, which are project to have a 42-year service life.

Read more at American Machinist

Toyota To Invest $1 Billion To Increase U.S. Production In Kentucky, Indiana Plants

Toyota Motor on Monday announced it would spend $1 billion at two U.S. plants as part of a plan to invest up to $10 billion domestically over the next five years. Toyota in November confirmed plans to invest up to $10 billion in its U.S. plants through 2030. That came roughly a month after President Donald Trump said during a speech that such an investment would come from the Japanese automaker.

The new investments include $800 million at a plant in Georgetown, Kentucky, to increase production capacity of the automaker’s Camry sedan and RAV4 crossover. The remaining $200 million is to increase capacity for the Toyota Grand Highlander SUV at a plant in Princeton, Indiana. “Toyota’s investment in the U.S. is for the long-term, tied to our philosophy of building where we sell and buying where we build,” Toyota Motor North America Chief Operating Officer Mark Templin said in a statement.

Read more at CNBC

Danone To Buy Protein And Fiber Food Maker Huel

Danone is buying Huel, a maker of ready-to-drink meals and high-protein products, the company announced Monday. The Oikos maker did not disclose the price, but The Wall Street Journal estimated the deal is worth nearly $1.2 billion. Danone touted Huel’s “best-in-class” digital execution, direct-to-consumer business and a consumer base in the U.K., Europe and the U.S. The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, including regulatory approval.

Danone brands, including low-sugar Too Good and protein-rich Oikos, have been big winners among consumers looking to eat healthier and those on GLP-1s for weight loss. The deal for Huel expands Danone’s portfolio of functional and complete nutrition offerings. James McMaster, Huel’s CEO, said in a statement that Danone will provide infrastructure, distribution and R&D capabilities to allow 11-year-old Huel to enter new markets and cater to additional consumers as demand “for convenient, complete nutrition continues to grow.”

Read more at Manufacturing Dive

Elon Musk Unveils Chip Manufacturing Plans for SpaceX and Tesla

Elon Musk recently outlined ambitious plans for a chip-building collaboration between his companies Tesla and SpaceX. Bloomberg reports that Musk shared his plans on Saturday night at an event in downtown Austin, Texas, with a photo suggesting that what Musk is calling the “Terafab” facility will be built near Tesla’s Austin headquarters and “gigafactory.” The project, estimated to cost around $20 billion over multiple years, will begin with an advanced technology fab capable of producing and testing various chips.

Musk said he’s pursuing this project because semiconductor manufacturers aren’t making chips quickly enough for his companies’ artificial intelligence and robotics needs: “We either build the Terafab or we don’t have the chips, and we need the chips, so we build the Terafab.” The goal is to manufacture chips that can support 100 to 200 gigawatts of computing power per year on Earth, along with a terawatt in space, Musk said. He did not offer a timeline for these plans.

Read more at Tech Crunch

Estee Lauder In Merger Discussions With Spanish Beauty Group Puig

Puig and Estée Lauder Companies are considering a merger, the two companies confirmed on Monday. In a statement, the Spanish firm which owns the likes of Byredo and Charlotte Tilbury and makes perfumes for the fashion brands Rabanne and Carolina Herrera said the two firms are in discussions regarding a “potential business combination,” confirming an earlier Financial Times report. According to the statements, the two companies have not yet reached an agreement nor made a final decision. A merger would create a company with around a $40 billion market capitalisation.

Estée Lauder Companies stock price has dropped almost three quarters since the beginning of 2022 as over-reliance on the sluggish Chinese market and department stores dented its revenues. Since installing a new chief executive, Stéphane de La Faverie, last year, the company has begun to modernise, revamping brands like MAC Cosmetics and Clinique, entering higher-growth channels such as Amazon and Sephora, and putting poorer-performing brands up for sale. Both firms also operate in the fashion space: Estée Lauder Companies owns Tom Ford, while Puig controls the likes of Jean Paul Gaultier, Dries Van Noten, and Rabanne.

Read more at Business of Fashion

GM Begins Public Road Testing Of Its Next-Generation Self-Driving Tech

General Motors has started testing its next-generation, “eyes-off” autonomous driving technology on public roads with development vehicles operating on limited access highways in California and Michigan, the automaker announced in a March 23 blog post. GM said it will soon evaluate its self-driving tech with over 200 test vehicles in real-world driving environments. Each vehicle will have a trained test driver behind the wheel who can take manual control of the vehicle at any time.

The automaker announced its next-generation autonomous driving technology last October, which is a more advanced, Level 3 version of its Super Cruise hands-free highway driving system. The upgraded system will debut in 2028 in the Cadillac Escalade IQ electric SUV before rolling out to more GM vehicles. GM will launch the self-driving system for highway driving initially, before offering “driveway-to-driveway” capabilities. Last March, GM said it was using Nvidia’s Drive AGX platform for the development of its next-generation autonomous driving technology.

Read more at Ward’s Auto

NASA to Spend $20 Billion On Moon Base, Cancel Orbiting Lunar Station

NASA is cancelling plans to deploy a space station in ‌lunar orbit and will instead use its components to construct a $20 billion base on the moon's surface over the next seven years, its new chief Jared Isaacman ​said on Tuesday. Isaacman, who was sworn in at the agency ​in December, made the announcement at the opening of a ⁠day-long event at NASA's Washington headquarters at which he outlined a ​raft of changes he is making to the agency's flagship moon program ​Artemis.

The Lunar Gateway station, largely already ​built with contractors Northrop Grumman (NOC.N), opens new tab and Lanteris Space Systems, owned by Intuitive Machines (LUNR.O), opens new tab, was meant to ‌be ⁠a space station parked in a lunar orbit. Repurposing the craft for a lunar surface base is not simple. Lunar Gateway was designed to serve as both a research platform and a transfer ​station that astronauts would use to board the moon ​landers before ⁠descending to the lunar surface.

Read more at Reuters

Trump Administration To Pay French Company TotalEnergies $1B To Walk Away From US Offshore Wind Leases- AP

The Trump administration will pay $1 billion to a French company to walk away from two U.S. offshore wind leases as the administration ramps up its campaign against offshore wind and other renewable energy. TotalEnergies has agreed to what’s essentially a refund of its leases for projects off the coasts of North Carolina and New York, and will invest the money in fossil fuel projects instead, the Department of Interior announced Monday.

The company pledged to not develop any new offshore wind projects in the United States. CEO Patrick Pouyanné said in a statement that TotalEnegeries renounced offshore wind development in the United States in exchange for the reimbursement of the lease fees, “considering that the development of offshore wind projects is not in the country’s interest.” Pouyanné said the refunded lease fees will finance the construction of a liquefied natural gas plant in Texas and the development of its oil and gas activities, calling it a “more efficient use of capital” in the U.S.

Read more at The AP

Daily Market Update March 24, 2026

The Apr ’26 natural gas contract is trading up $0.01 at $2.90. The Apr ‘26 crude oil contract is up $3.63 at $91.76.  

Read more at NRG

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Quote of the Day

“Art is the most beautiful of all lies”

Claude Debussy - French Composer who died on this day in 1918.

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